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Thrylos

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  1. 2019 Twins SP FIP- Dobnak -63 (Odorizzi) -73 Thorpe -75 Graterol -75 Berrios -84 (Pineda) -87 (Gibson) -93 The other guys were better albeit in slightly different roles or frequencies... I'd rather see two of the young pitchers (or a find) at numbers 4 and 5 and save the $ they would have given Gibson, to sign/acquire a number 1 and number 2 that they need more than Gibson.
  2. Mookie Betts and David Price might cost just Buxton and a prospect if the Twins are to take all that $, but should the Twins do it? Price's contract is a bit too rich ($32 per for the next 3 seasons until his age 36 season) and might prohibit extensions that they should make (Sano, Rogers, May etc.) Betts is a very expensive rental. Paying close to $70 million for just these 2 makes no sense for the Twins. They might be able to get both Cole and Strasburg for that money...
  3. The Twins have better younger and cheaper options at this point; Gibson is 32 and at the downturn of his career. Last season was a bit funky for pitching thoughout baseball and looking at absolute numbers can make for a tricky comparison, but if you look at relative numbers, 2019 was Gibson's best season with a 93 FIP- (7% better than league average.) That said, with only one pitch better than average (slider), being on the wrong side of 30, fit for a number 5 in a post-season-competitive team and having a chronic disease (there is no cure for ulcerative colitis, only partial remission), makes others a higher priority than Gibson for the Twins who can spend that money towards someone on the top of the rotation.
  4. This is really entertaining; however until the MLB establishes rules(*) against stealing signs, no written rule was broken and no punishment should be doled out, other than unwritten rules one. (*) There is a "directive" against stealing signs by electronic means. The Red Sox were found guilty of that and got a slap on the hand (fine of undisclosed amount) as a penalty.
  5. Salazar lost about 10 mph in his fastball. Change up was his best pitch and that was about 10 mph slower than his FB. Now it is about 6-7. Very hard to reinvent himself after such a change, even if he throws 100% changeups because those are now in the mid 70s, and unless you have something that you can change from, can be batting practice pitches. Should they sign him to a MiLB contract with a ST invite? Sure. But expecting anything and counting on him makes no sense...
  6. a. His 2019 BABIP is 5 point lower than his MLB career average BABIP, which makes any difference insignificant and any regression discussion moot. BABIP for hitters (unlike the pitchers') is individual-dependent and it is supposed to regress towards someone's mean and not towards a league mean. b. Sano had a career high walk rate, IsoD, and led the league in HR/FB; all 3 have nothing to do with BABIP. c. Since when .923 OPS is "struggling"? BABIP is not a good measure for an argument here... On the other hand, Buxton with .340 wOBA vs. .309 xwOBA, is a prime candidate for regression, if he stays on the field
  7. I would definitely try to extend Garver at this point as well
  8. Which is an incentive for the Twins to including him in a package for an ace who can use more than Kirilloff this season.
  9. Since when .756 OPS in AA makes anyone MLB-ready? These are not the late 1990s Twins...
  10. It takes two to tango: Berrios and Rosario were offered and rejected extensions the last two offseasons...
  11. Some math: 31 - Hildenberger and Ryan Harper = 29 + 2 starters, + 2 relievers + 1 catcher = 34 That leaves 6 open spots. I don't see Rijo getting claimed from Cedar Rapids. Chalmers is a career 4.00 ERA, 1.400 WHIP pitcher with fewer than 22 innings at high A. He is not going anywhere. Same with Celestino who has only 6 high A games under his belt. Someone might be tempted by Javier but he is still pretty raw and hasn't stepped in a single high A game. Not going anywhere. Blackenhorn is a player without a position and likely projects as a corner OF, who is just getting familiar with the position and might just not have the bat for the position. Does not fit the Rule 5 pick profile. Jax is a must to protect. In his first full season as a pro player he had a 2.67 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in AA. Outside chance for an end of the rotation spot after ST. 5 spots left Duran has to get protected. Someone will take a Johan-like chance at him 4 spots left Raley is MLB-ready and provides the Twins with a RH OF bat who can play CF. They probably need him more than Cave. 3 spots left, which might allow them some flexibility or keep Ryan Harper So for me is Jax, Duran, and Raley only
  12. With Cruz at DH Encarnacion is not needed The last time that Teheran or Barraclough were any good was in 2016Hamels might be a decent number 4 in a team that is competitive in the post-season, but the Twins need a number 1 and number 2 before a number 4.All the 3 aforementioned pitchers have been from bad to awful against AL opponents Those are the exact types that Terry Ryan would have targeted. I hope that this regime quits bottomfeeding and dumpster diving when the window of contention is open. There is nothing wrong with bargain hunting, if the risk is low, ie. get a guy who does not have a guaranteed MLB contract and/or need a 40 man spot. Imagine the Twins losing eg. Wander Javier in the Rule 5 draft because they gave his spot to Barraclough...
  13. He fell behind Smeltzer and Thorpe in the chart of AAA/MLB LHSP. Moving him off the 40-man roster was natural... Good luck in Vegas next season
  14. Both Gonsalves and Stewart were exposed last summer. Their prime time to be traded would have been 2-3 years ago. I hope that this regime does not repeat these series of mistakes of the previous regime that kept on to prospects, until they become suspects, and then were lost for nothing. Sell high.
  15. I have no problem with this rotation, but in this instance Berrios is the number 3 or number 4 pitcher...
  16. The Twins have to explore trades as well, before their prospects lose value...
  17. Check this video out from when the Braves traded for him in 2015 Former top 50 prospect, was the Braves' second overall after that trade. Lots of potential there. In the big picture of things the risk is yet another arm to fight for a back of the rotation spot. He just turned 27 last month and interesting to see what he can do with some good coaching. Nothing to dislike about this
  18. a. Buxton's situation is old news. Since then he did not file even though he had the opportunity to file. b. Teams have the right to keep any player with options in the minor leagues for as long as they want to, for any reason they want to. Nothing was done illegally in either case. If the players' union does not like it, they need to change it in the next CBA. If individual players do not like what their union have signed, they should change their leaders.
  19. The best value the Twins can get from Gordon for next season is as a trading chip in a package towards a starting pitcher this offseason. We are talking about a guy who has fallen apart the second half of every single season as a pro. Counting on Gordon as a full time piece makes no sense if you want to compete. The Twins need pitching more than they need Gordon.
  20. I'd ask this question a bit differently: Whose departure will hurt the Twins less? The answer is obviously Buxton, since they won the division practically without him and the issue in the postseason was pitching and not hitting/defense. Kepler proved that he can man centerfield adequately and keep the position warm until Royce Lewis is ready to play there. So Buxton's 50-60 games a year is much more replaceable for the Twins. If the Mets want Buxton for Syndergaard, it is a no-brainer and should had happen already.
  21. Sano was 3rd among AL third basemen in wRC+ and OBA. That is not broke. Other things need to be fixed...
  22. The weird thing about Gray is that he is pitching much better at Coors than on the road. I'd pass really fast.
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