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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    The Twins need to be close to feel that they have at least half favorable rotation matchups with any post-season team to be relevant in the post-season. Not sure that they are there against the Astros and Dodgers (at least). Also they need to have a pitcher who they trust that no matter what will keep them in the game. They had that in Johan. They even had that in Radke. Not sure that they have that in anyone in this rotation. I would think that everyone in this rotation is prone to a 5 run inning out of the blue. So a starter better than Berrios/Odorizzi is a must for this team to be relevant in the post season. This might actually improve the pen by pushing one of the starters there. As far as the pen goes, they need 2 arms better than Rogers for the RH setup up position and the closer position.
  2. Thrylos
    How about this: There is only one starter or bench position player (Gonzalez) with OPS+ less than 100, and his is 96 There is only one starting pitcher (Pineda) with ERA+ less than 100, and his is 99 There is only one relief pitcher (Magill) with ERA+ less than 100, and his is 98
  3. Thrylos
    Rijo came to the Twins along with Tyler Austin from the Yankees in the Lance Lynn trade. Fangraphs had him ranked as the Twins' 18th best prospect one spot ahead of Nick Gordon. I think that the pen might be his home curve is plus and flashes higher, but command is not there and A ball hitters can bite on that. FB at low 90s is just average. Great performance for sure, but lots of things to work out.
  4. Thrylos
    The best comparable to Stroman is Archer. Not.quite.an.ace.
  5. Thrylos
    I was not trying to compete with MLBTR as far as linking to LEN3's piece where they got their info. My issue was linking to the MLBTR post, instead of the original post (LEN3's) that has more information. And, yes, they are an aggregator of other people's news, other than their chats.
  6. Thrylos
    Kennedy is owed about $25M roughly and is under contact for one more season. If the Royals eat about $18M of that I would not mind parting with a B prospect to get him. They still need another arm better than him in the pen. He can be the RH setup guy complimenting Rogers. They need a closer on top.
  7. Thrylos
    MLB Trade Rumors is an aggregator. Here is a link the original material from LEN3 @ the Strib that let to that post, to give credit where credit is due: http://www.startribune.com/twins-seeking-pitching-depth-inside-and-outside-the-organization/512308752/ Also LEN3's piece says that there were scouts from Diamondbacks, Padres, Blue Jays and Pirates in Rochester, which includes a couple more possibilities that what the MLB Traderumors poster realized and conveyed. LEN3 wrote: Each team has pitchers the Twins could be interested in dealing for before the July 31 trade deadline. Zack Greinke (Diamondbacks), Kirby Yates (Padres), Ken Giles (Blue Jays), the sore pectoral-muscled Marcus Stroman (Blue Jays) and Felipe Vasquez (Pirates) could be available over the next few weeks. The Twins have definitely checked on Yates and Giles, both ninth-inning specialists. and also added that Gonsalves, Rooker, and Gordon might be trade candidates, and that the Twins have been doing due diligence with the pitchers in the organization to see whether they can help, and that includes Littell and Mejia....
  8. Thrylos
    They need to improve both the rotation and the pen. They need a starter better than Berrios/Odorizzi and a couple of relievers better than Rogers to be relevant in the postseason. I look at all these starters, including the 2 All Stars, and I jut don't trust them to win a game against any opponent the same way I would trust Johan, Morris, Viola, or even Radke. They need someone at that level. Berrios could be that in few seasons, but I am kinda sick and tired of saying that season after season... If they get another starter, likely one of the current starters will go to the pen and that will help them. Still they need shut down people at 7, 8, and 9 and Rogers are 3/4 the way there and May may be close. The rest are a disaster waiting to happen. So they need an 8 and a 9 inning guy as well. (and, no, Cody Allen is neither)
  9. Thrylos
    Officially he is in Fort Myers.
  10. Thrylos
    Polanco leads the team in bWAR and WARP and tied with Kepler in fWAR. So it is Polanco
  11. Thrylos
    FWIW, the Twins have just outrighted Torreyes, opening a spot on the 40-man roster and optioned Thorpe opening a spot on the 25-man roster. The obvious addition is Mejia...
  12. Thrylos
    I think that Mejia is a valuable player that can be added to a trade, not be the center piece, and help a team more than the likes of Gonsalves or Stewart. I expect this to happen sooner than later
  13. Thrylos
    I think that the All Star selection process really hurt the Twins. The Twins fans have a voice and option and they can keep their TVs off during the game. There are better ways of selecting the most worthy players. I rarely watch that joke, but this year I got another reason not to even think about watching it.
  14. Thrylos
    I checked what it will take to get Bumgarner and Smith from the Giants and Larnach was more than enough according to that site... I go my doubts about the accuracy of that site
  15. Thrylos
    It will probably take Lewis and Kirilloff and one pitcher, but that will be fine. The Polanco and Kepler extensions took care of the starting SS and the LH hitting and throwing OF positions for 5 years. Sell high...
  16. Thrylos
    Too much off the field baggage. No. Thank you.
  17. Thrylos
    On the other hand, a major leaguer is closer to his prime than a minor leaguer so you assume that he will improve as a player. Have to compare similar players. Someone like Polanco for example, has has BABIP around .345 each of the past season. In the minors his average BABIP was .330. Pretty much in the ballpark. Kepler's BABIP decreased by 50 points or so in the majors, but he is a different player now, hitting homers instead of doubles (and homers are subtracted in the BABIP calculation, since they are not in play.) It is typical for power hitters to have lower BABIP than non-power hitters. I am not sure that Arraez will have that problem
  18. Thrylos
    I just hope that other teams have Gordon ranked that high. He might help bring some badly needed pitching for the Twins.
  19. Thrylos
    Interesting. Math: Arraez's BABIP right now is .449. He is hitting .442/.524/.558 His career BABIP has been around .360. That is .090 points higher. If you think that it will normalize to that and subtract it from this slash line, you got .353/.435/.449, which is better than Rod Carew's (to pick on your username) career .328/.393/.429. Do you call that low ceiling? I'd take that every day.
  20. Thrylos
    Johan and the other Frankie are free agents...
  21. Thrylos
    Exactly the same as yours and mine this season. He has not pitched a game in an AL park.
  22. Thrylos
    Here is some food for thought: 2019 MadBum: 4.16 FIP, 1.227 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, 4.3 K/BB, 6.04 Inn/GS Verlander in 2017 with Tigers before he moved to Astros: 4.07 FIP, 1.279 WHIP, 9.2 K/9, 2.6 K/BB, 6.14 Inn/GS The rest is history Cannot get closer than that and Bumgarner is 5 years younger than Verlander was then. A change of scenery might make him a game changer for a team, and I hope that this team is the Twins, instead of, let's say, the Indians or the Yankees.
  23. Thrylos
    Last seven games: .200/.231/.320 Last fifteen games: .226/.268/.283 He was pretty terrible.
  24. Thrylos
    Agreed, but those 2 do not belong in the same sentence. Hutchison was never good, Allen was really good for a while.
  25. Thrylos
    I bet that he might sell a few more tickets in Rochester and maybe even help them. If they see something obvious in him and they fix him so he would contribute for the Twins, it will be bonus. Other than that, I am not seeing this signing different than Preston Guilmet's.
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