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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. I think that it will behoove the Twins to trade him in a package for a top of the rotation starter, move Royce Lewis to CF, and play Kepler there until Lewis is ready for the majors. A top of the rotation starter is a bigger need than 1/3 of a season for Buxton, which is all the Twins should be hoping from him. He is that much injury prone. RonDL White territory. Even in his last game, playing hurt he slid head first on a base that tried to reach with the hand of his injured shoulder. That's not aggressiveness, it's something else...
  2. I don't know. I can see some people moving to bigger and better roles in other organizations, but not many making lateral moves. Where the Astros "raided" after their success? Not that much.
  3. Is this a joke? Hildenberger was the worst reliever in the majors last season as far as WPA goes, and has a career 5.01 ERA in 130 MLB games over 3 seasons. This is Jim Hoey (career 5.47 ERA with the Twins) and Lester Oliveros (career 5.06 ERA with the Twins) territory. No milk to spill.
  4. a. I think that you might be overrating Berrios b. It is about time that they start making trades c. All it will take is to sign one and trade for one d. Here are the FA SP I place ahead of Berrios (and there are a few more ahead of Gibson/Odorizzi/Pineda) : Madison Bumgarner, Gerrit Cole, Cole Hamels, Dallas Keuchel, Corey Kluber (option), Hyun-Jin Ryu, Zack Wheeler e. Plenty of choices out there...
  5. As I indicated, the Twins need to get 2 starters better than Berrios next offseason. So Perez fourth and Smeltzer fifth or Romero fourth and Graterol fifth will be more than fine with me. The window is short and they need to go all out. Thus re-signing Odorizzi for a lot of $ is a bad option. They don't need him. They need better pitchers.
  6. This is a bit of a fallacy. For next season the Twins have signed: Berrios Smeltzer Thorpe Dobnak Poppen Jax Barnes etc. All of whom have started at least in AAA and the 3 first in the majors, plus Romero & Graterol who should also be on the conversation plus they have an option on Perez. That's 10 starters, half of them (Berrios, Perez, Smeltzer, Romero, Thorpe) with major league experience as starters. This does not include other pitchers under contract like Littell and May who may also be on the equation. Plus that Gonsalves guy. It will not behoove the Twins to overpay for a middle to rear of the rotation starter like Odorizzi. They should look for 2 arms better than Berrios and I am sure that 2 of the mentioned 13 will be able to fill the last 2 spots of the rotation gallantly, or at least as well as Odorizzi.
  7. They shouldn't. They can get better pitching (eg, Wheeler) for the QO $ in the FA market.
  8. In August, Baily Ober pitched 24 innings between Ft. Myers and Pensacola, allowing 2 ER (0.67 ERA), 12 H and 2 BB (0.556 WHIP) and struck out 34 (13 K/9). He is 23 and the hottest arm in the system. He should be added to the 40 man roster and come up, because he is the hottest arm in the system.
  9. Quick: Who would you rather give a chance in 2020? Or even in September of 2019? Romero or Hildenberger? Same deal. Same struggles. Different potential
  10. Cave is having a 1.427 OPS the last 10 games. I'd take that. They better let Buxton heal and not rush him.
  11. .417 BABIP in the majors, .329 in the minors this season has some to do with it, plus his injury. Small print, but he has a career best in K/9 this season in AAA. I'd give him a Mulligan this season and see if he can crack the Twins' rotation next ST.
  12. I really do not see many similarities with Price. Price made the majors in his first pro year, after 3 years of being a College starter, including an 11-1 record senior campaign. He was 23 years old. Graterol's 21st birthday is today and was signed 5 years ago as a 16 year old. More importantly he has had 4 trips to the DL. Unlike Price, he is a righty. If the Twins call him up and perform like Price did with the Rays, this will really be their only common thing.
  13. Nothing is "wrong" with Berrios. This is business as usual for him: Data: 2019 First half: 3.00 ERA, 1.111 WHIP Second half: 4.89 ERA, 1.478 WHIP 2018 First half: 3.68 ERA, 1.013 WHIP Second half: 4.15 ERA, 1.400 WHIP 2017 First half: 3.53 ERA, 1.079 WHIP Second half: 4.24 ERA, 1.375 WHIP So he has been worse the second half of every season. I think that mechanics might also be the symptom here. He looks like he is out of juice and altering his mechanics to compensate... Root cause is likely an endurance situation and what he has been doing to prep himself for the season has not work the last 3 seasons. He might want to change.
  14. Not character. Just leadership skills as a ball player plus dedication to the Twins. Whatever they did on their own time it was their business.
  15. 2-0 in World Series rings. Advantage Kirby. Harmon might have been a better player and played longer, but he did not make his teams winners like Kirby did. And Kirby did not pull a fit and retired a Kansas City Royal...
  16. Brian Harper. 13.4 bWAR for the Twins and starting C in a World Series team. And was signed for $90K, and apparently on top of the list on the most underappreciated Twins' players (Chili Davis 5.2 bWAR, Jim Thome 4.5 bWAR for the Twins)
  17. Based on that data looks like Rosario is slower to react to fly balls than last season. Would love to see how that changes with Buxton at CF vs Kepler at CF. My eyeballing says that when Buxton is playing at CF the other OFs wait to see if he has a jump on it because he is all over the place. Another change I saw at UZR is his "arm" rating, which makes sense because runners have stopped challenging him. So I think that this is as much Buxton as the others at the OF...
  18. Sure but population does not equal market size. Market size is population times per capita GDP. The Twins cities are about 20% bigger market than Houston. 2010 data from here, but I bet they will be in the ballpark now as well: Houston–Galveston–Brazoria, Texas CMSA 4,669,571 pop $21,701 per capita GDP. Total market size: 101,339 MM Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, Minnesota MSA 3,478,415 pop $35,388 per capita GDP. TMS: 123,094 MM
  19. The Twins still a closer (I assume that Romo will replace Parker as the RH setup man) and a starter better than Berrios to be relevant. Now as far as this trade goes: Diaz has been underrated by the national media. Easily he would have been about #15 or so in my mid-season list (if I had one ) He was close in the top 10 some seasons ago. Chris Vallimont sounds a lot to me like Edwar Colina (constant mid 90s, flashes top 90s FB, plus slider, third pitch work in progress) but with about 6 inches of height and better control and more missed bats. Colina would have been very close to Diaz in my list, and, by extension so would Vallimont (even though I have never see him pitch other than in video today). Both look like closers rather than starters to me... So the Twins swapped a first baseman for an equally rated pitcher. Both about a couple seasons away from making the Twins (Diaz might make the Marlins earlier.) And then they added an old dude who might get somebody out this post-season and another guy. I'll take it. But they need more to be relevant. For sure.
  20. The future is now. If you are always going to be concerned about the future and do nothing in the present for the sake of the future, you are guaranteed not to have a The Twins need Syndergaard for this and the next 2 seasons more than they need Kirilloff and Lewis. This trade should happen, with the added caveat that the Twins need to look what they need to add to get Diaz. Kirilloff and Lewis are blocked by Kepler and Polanco for the next 5 seasons, and I am not sure that Javier is not better than Lewis at this point. They are just prospects who we hope to one day perform at the level of the players the Twins can get now. It is such a no-brainer. This will push Odorizzi to the pen. His high fastball will play there and he has been fine for an inning or two. Got to make it happen.
  21. I hope you realize that by trading him to the Yankees the Twins did a favor to Navaretto and not the Yankees...
  22. I'd trade Kirilloff + Lewis + Thorpe for Syndergaard + Diaz
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