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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    The difference is 9%. After the Twins drafted him way higher than he was rated and made him an 18 year old millionaire. And the truth of the matter is that he has been the same pitcher for 3 seasons without improving. And he is willing to go to arbitration for that 9%? The hey with him...
  2. Thrylos
    Sure. But some of us are Twins' fans and kinda cringe on former first round draft pick millionaires who don't appreciate what the Twins did for them and are less of Twins' fans than we are
  3. Thrylos
    Switch that around: Berrios is willing to go to arbitration for $375K after he did not accept extension offers the last 2 offseasons. This is closer to the truth.
  4. Thrylos
    Um. Sale is 30. And he is an ace. He is a year older than Gerrit Cole.
  5. Thrylos
    Sale plus $35M. And the Twins will be better for it, and probably the Red Sox as well...
  6. Thrylos
    They did. He wants to go to arbitration for $300K difference and did not agree to a fair extension. They should show him the door while he still has some value. It is clear that Berrios matters more to Berrios than the Twins matter to him.
  7. Thrylos
    Been there, done that already. Both of them did not agree to an extension when Kepler and Polanco accepted.
  8. Thrylos
    No Enough with the bottom feeding, dumpster diving, etc. To be a champion the Twins need to behave like one.
  9. Thrylos
    The ranking of a team's assets is relative to a particular trade partner and their needs. For example: The Mets allegedly wanted Buxton for Syndergaard straight up. Would they have traded Syndergaard for Berrios straight up? I doubt it. Also, for a team that wants to save some money and rebuild, someone like Kirilloff and Lewis is much more valuable than someone like Kepler or Polanco. Like hitting and pitching, the greatest importance of value is situational
  10. Thrylos
    Got to wonder the significance of this metric. If for the duration of a season, Sano is allows 5 more PAs than the average third baseman (-5 OAA), which might translate to maybe 1 more run a season, or not. It is not that much of a deal. The importance of these outs are the situation in which they were given and their effect. Based on this metric if Gonzalez had the innings that Donaldson had at third base, he would have been twice as good
  11. Thrylos
    Lawyerson has 4 pitches: FB, CH, CU, SL. FB is 92-94 right now with plus command and above average movement. CH and SL are above average with plus flashes. Needs to improve command. CU is a work in progress and might just drop, if the CH command improved. Definitely room for velo improvement with mechanics. Never pitched in top programs and coached with top coaches. More after I see him this coming ST...
  12. Thrylos
    Who is the Twins starting second baseman for the next 5+ seasons then? That's a hole.
  13. Thrylos
    I think that the 4 most likely to contribute in 2020 at the MLB level (from the ones who have not been there in 2019) are: Brent Rooker, Jhon Duran, Brooks Raley, and Ryan Mason, in that order. Four relative unknowns I'd keep an eye on: Three 2019 picks who likely all will start the season at Cedar Rapids but seem to be fast movers: Pitchers Matt Canterino, 2nd round and Cody Laweryson, 14th round, and middle infielder Spencer Steer 3rd Round. I'd also watch Wander Valdez (okay he is not relatively unknown) who had a growth spurt last season, and will likely start in E-town with an outside change in also playing at Cedar Rapids.
  14. Thrylos
    Other than certain redneck beat writers... It gets scary if you venture in some of those places.
  15. Thrylos
    I would take their results with a huge grain of salt, basically because their sample is a. small, and b. restricted to a period 10 seasons ago. Their curve was introduced here, and here is how it was constructed: The other fail here is that they do not bother to show variation of range or even standard deviation from that data. Part of the issue here is that a lot of the pitchers who are not that great as starters just go away after age 26 or so (or they move to the pen; check Joe Nathan's or Glen Perkins's curves as starters - and both are included there.) Plus a lot of players just blow their arms. So, to talk about quality pitchers and what an aging curve looks like for a good pitcher, it would have been more meaningful to get pitchers who have satisfied the following criteria: a. They pitched for more than 10 seasons, b. their ERA+/FIP- is on the top 25% of the pitchers, and then look what happens. For every Greinke and Velander there are about 50 Duffys, Romeros, Guardados, Hawkinses, or Mayses, and including those pitchers in the graph, is just noise, not meaningful data...
  16. Thrylos
    Archer/Marte/Kela/Taillon (he is out in 2020) for Buxton/Kirilloff/Dobnak (the last 2 are from the Pittsburgh area)
  17. Thrylos
    About 2 years ago I was really high on Buxton to the Pirates for Cole and Marte. That bird flew. However, they can trade him to the Pirates (along with some prospects if necessary) for Archer, Marte, and someone like Keone Kela and call it a day. it will be an improvement all ways.
  18. Thrylos
    Good enough unless he is hurt again? The Twins should not count at him playing more than 87 games a season, because that was his average the last 4 seasons (he gets a mulligan for this first MLB season) along with below league average hitting. If the Twins could had trade him straight up for Syndergaard, they were not too smart not to do it...
  19. Thrylos
    Kirilloff needs to get better than a .756 OPS in AA before he is considered an "option". Rooker had a .933 OPS in AAA. Maybe there was some confusion between the two, as far as internal options go.
  20. Thrylos
    They need at least one more lefty in the pen, hopefully 2. Jake McGee is allegedly available and was very good away from Coors. Much more of a need than a corner IF. I'd love to see what Rooker can do. They can sign someone like Neil Walker for a utility type; much better than Astrudillo. They also need an ace, if they are to compete in the post-season, but they don't need one right now. They can wait until the trading deadline.
  21. Thrylos
    I just don't see how playing Sano in a position he is not extremely familiar with and happens to touch the ball more than any other position than Catcher, will make the Twins better defensively...
  22. Thrylos
    TBD. Rooker might not be a bad choice.
  23. Thrylos
    Nope. It is all about $$$$. I'd rather see them take a starter and a closer contract than spend them for Donaldson. That will make them more competitive in the post season than a third baseman who is hitting slightly less than their current
  24. Thrylos
    So are we all sure that Rooker plus the opportunity cost of $20ishM a year will not be better? He will not be replacing Cave or Adrianza for sure... Gonzalez is a utility player.
  25. Thrylos
    Can he pitch? Last time I checked the Twins had a third baseman with .378 wOBA and 137 wRC+, which is slightly better than Donaldson's .377 and .132. Third base is not the problem...
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