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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    They still do, last time I checked. It is not over.
  2. Thrylos
    Still about a month and a half until pitchers and catchers report, but so far it seems that they kept the status quo and replaced Gibson with Bailey and Perez with Hill, which is an improvement, albeit a small one. I guess they are betting on natural improvement by the young core, both pitching and position players, Pineda yet another year removed from TJ, Arraez over Schoop for a full season, Buxton healthy, etc... Can argue that, the liveliness of the baseball being a wild card, this 2020 team should likely be better than the 2019 team, based on that, and should be the favorite to win the Central. That said, the bar should be at being relevant in the postseason, something that has not happened since 1991. They need an ace and at least a lights out bullpen arm to get there, and I hope that they go after them with trades.
  3. Thrylos
    That was a bad draft. Judge and Bellinger and a bunch of mediocrities. Sure the Twins could had traded him 3-4 seasons ago and gotten something more worthwhile for the $4.5M they spent in signing him.... He did okay for an 18 year old kid with some talent, but a chronic health condition.
  4. Thrylos
    a. Never is a long time. Pohlad got 2 World Series and had the Twins' payroll on the top half of the league's payroll in the late 80s - early 90s. b. (The facts for this are here.) The Minnesota Twins had $14 Million operating income (AKA "profit") last season. The were half a big contract away from losing money. It is not like they are making a whole bunch of $. From that previous link, their franchise value is $1.2 Billion (btw they are 23rd in value in MLB, and their player payroll was 18th, so they are overspending if anything.) That $14 million return of an $1.2 Billion investment is 1.16%, which is way way under-performing even savings accounts. If anything, the Twins are overspending, if you look at it as a business; in other words, they are investing more in their business to reap future profits. c. Also, the last few seasons the Twins have invested more money than ever in player development, coaches, facilities, academies, etc. They must have quadrupled their previous investment in that area by now, and that has started to pay dividends and will continue to do so in an even higher degree.
  5. Thrylos
    Felix Hernandez earned $217,500,000 from baseball in his career. Why in anyone's imagination would he sign a minor league contract? He does not need the money, and if he feels like pitching for fun, he can go pitch to his kids in his local community in the Seattle area.
  6. Thrylos
  7. Thrylos
    Too early to tell. It really depends on the Twins' moves this offseason, his offseason prep work/conditioning, and spring training performance of all the pitchers who are competing for a spot in the rotation. Even with Pineda out for a bit, the hope here is that the Twins do not need another arm in the majors and let him build up some endurance. His max of 102 IP is not much, but he is just 21. I'd rather see him get close to 150 or so this season and make the transition in 2021. However, if he is dominating and the Twins are in contention, it will make no sense not to get him up with the club as a starter. Delegating him to the pen makes no sense right now.
  8. Thrylos
    Gotta love the platitudes. For the record, here are the players the Royals traded before and during the 2015 season, with their ages in 2020, and what they did in MLB after they were traded in parentheses.) Kyle Bartsch (29, never made it to MLB) Aaron Brooks (30, 5.38 FIP, 1.413 WHIP, 27 GS in 2.5 seasons) Aaron Crow (33, never played again in MLB) Brandon Finnegan (27, 5.30 FIP, 1.426 WHIP, 44 GS in 3.5 seasons) Johnny Giavotella (32, 90 OPS+, 235 games, out of MLB in 2017) Ryan Jackson (32, never played again in MLB) John Lamb (29, 5.11 FIP, 1.604 WHIP, 27 GS in 3 seasons) Sean Manaea (28, 4.10 FIP, 1.195 WHIP, 85 GS in 4 seasons) Cody Reed (27, 5.09 FIP, 1.596 WHIP, 20 GS in 4 seasons) If any team is going to win a world series by "mortgaging" that kind of a "future", it should be silly not to do. Only Manea is a worthwhile player and no better than a number 3 starter in a champion, when healthy (and he is not.) The Royals did not mortgage any future to win. Their problems after they won was that: a. they decided to not spend any money to remain competitive b. they did not draft well, c. they did not sign good international free agents. But that was after 2015. Facts... And, yes, the Twins better start trading prospects before they turn into pumpkins or just expire...
  9. Thrylos
    Bit of a background on Steven Matz: He is a 4th generation Mets' fan who lives in Long Island and he and his family are imbibed in that community and he is very popular locally. He is married to a country singer and moved his offseason home to Nashville. I just don't see Minnesota in his future. Just sayin'
  10. Thrylos
    Thorpe is a back of the rotation starter at best. Not sure his upside if he moves to the pen. I do not consider someone who made the majors a "prospect" any more, by definition. He made it He is a major leaguer and part of the MLBPA. From the ones who did not play in the majors in 2019, as far as position players go, Rooker and Raley are the too most likely to surprise with their contributions in 2020. As far as pitchers go, Jhoan Duran is the obvious pick, with potentially Ryan Mason and Bailey Ober contributing in the pen.
  11. Thrylos
    The Red Sox
  12. Thrylos
    Sure. Buxton for Sonny Gray and Nick Lodolo. Who blinks?
  13. Thrylos
    Not sure about Metaphysics, but I am willing to bet that Carl did not take it with him...
  14. Thrylos
    Good signing. Would allow some of the youngsters sloted for the pen to be included in trade(s) for a starter (or 2).
  15. Thrylos
    Blankenhorn looked like a different man this Spring when I saw him at Fort Myers. He gained a good twenty pounds of muscle during the offseason and gained some pop. Still has pretty decent issues as far as pitch recognition, contact, and OBP go, which is exactly the opposite of Arraez. A high contact, high OBP player, like Arraez, can make the transition to the majors pretty fast because pitch recognition is a skill that translates. The trick there is catching up to the fastball and laying off good stuff out of the zone, which is much more difficult to do in the majors. Back to Blackenhorne: He used to look a lot like Levi Michael, now he looks more like Travis Harrison, and unless he fixes his issues, his career will mirror that of these two... He projects as a corner OF now btw (still awful with the glove) and the logjam there is huge in the organization.
  16. Thrylos
    Below average FB (88-91), plus SL (mid 80s), above average CU (~80ish). Throws each pitch with equal frequency. Will get AAA hitters out with the breaking stuff.
  17. Thrylos
    Yamaguchi has 2 pitches. He projects as a reliever in MLB. I guess to answer that question is because they thought that Romo will help them more.
  18. Thrylos
    My take is that the Twins window is open just that much and that Sale (and Eovaldi) will help them win it all more than any non-ready prospects or an oft-injured guy without whom (pretty much) they won 101 games last season (plus I am disappointed with Berrios's 3 year flatline of non progression pretty much.)
  19. Thrylos
    I'd letter them pick 2 from group a or 1 from group a and 2 from group b: a. Buxton or Lewis, Kirilloff, Larnach, Cavaco, Javier b. Balazovic, Gordon, Enlow, Calderino, Severino, Celestino, etc... or if they preferred I'd trade them Berrios and 1 from group a or 2 from group b if they add Eovaldi and eat $10-15M of the total contracts
  20. Thrylos
    ERA? Really? Sale.
  21. Thrylos
    Ryu will be 33 by the beginning of the season, is not fit, has never pitched more than 182 innings or made more than 30 starts a season, has only 3 pitches (FB, CB, CH), and comes from a career season. I would not offer more than 1 year plus an option; I'd rather let the WSux overpay. He is a year older than Keuchel who even has been more durable. At this point I'd rather give Keuchel a 2+1, but I think that the way forward for the Twins should be a trade.
  22. Thrylos
    Did you hear it from the horses' mouths?
  23. Thrylos
    So far this offseason has been the definition of insanity. The Twins have just been re-signing the same people who went 3 and out (again) in the postseason and apparently are expecting different results... They need to start making some trades
  24. Thrylos
    Jose Berrios's 3 full MLB seasons: 2017: 3.89 ERA, 3.84 FIP, 1.229 WHIP, 8.6 K/9, 2.9 K/BB 2018: 3.84 ERA, 3.90 FIP, 1.144 WHIP, 9.5 K/9, 3.3 K/BB 2019: 3.68 ERA, 3.85 FIP, 1.233 WHIP, 8.8 K/9, 3.8 K/BB Maybe improvement but maybe regression. If improvement, with that rate, it will take him 10 years to realize his potential. Potential is different that results in the ballpark. Maybe it is his training regiment and he needs to focus on recuperating and or pitching, instead of dragging tractor tires around. Could be between his ears. I don't know what it is, but he is not progressing at the rate a top pitcher should be progressing...
  25. Thrylos
    Fact: Berrios, Dobnak, Odorizzi all lost games last postseason against the Yankees who now added Cole. The Twins need much better if they want to be relevant and not go belly up again in the postseason
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