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Schmoeman5

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Everything posted by Schmoeman5

  1. Schmoeman5
    IThat's the problem with analytics. You can use Tony Gwynn. His splits on the road were about 10 points less BA wise. And his splits righties vs lefties was 20 points less. In some cases road splits are extreme. See Colorado Rockies. In a lot of cases there isn't much difference. What was the Twins wRC+ at home. These metrics I don't buy into. There's too many variables that you can't compute. Let's use Polanco who was trying to play on 1 leg the last month and how his stats dropped off because of that reason. Not because he was playing on the road. Same thing for Larnach, Kiriloff, Buxton, and Kepler. Who's stats all dropped off due to injuries. You can't compute that.
  2. Schmoeman5
    They may not be hiding or covering up anything. But they also aren't telling you he won't be playing CF this year. Solely DH. So how many games will he play in that scenario. I posted yesterday that he would be DH today, and that's where he'll be all year
  3. Schmoeman5
    Power might still play, but a Molitor type hitter would suit me just fine. Hit .300 with 30 or 40 doubles and 15-20 homers. Lewis could be that person. Maybe Lee or Julien.
  4. Schmoeman5
    Buxton DH in tomorrow's ST game is my guess for his 1st game. Just a hunch
  5. Schmoeman5
    Define a casual fan. Is a casual fan a person who goes to opening day and then disappears until mid September if they're in a potential division title run and goes to playoff games.
  6. Schmoeman5
    You're right in saying the Twins don't need to explain everything to its fans. But the reason in my opinion is money. An optimistic fan base buys merchandise and tickets. If you tell them that perhaps 2 or 3 of your top players may be sidelined for some time. Fans moods change and aren't as willing to shell out their hard earned dollars for a perceived inferior product. I'm still optimistic about this season with the new acquisitions and younger players that will see time. We know Polanco probably won't be ready. Buxton may or may not have a herniated disc. Kiriloff may or may not be getting an injection this week to deal with the pain. Time will tell
  7. Schmoeman5
    If great players can't play, then how can they be great? And if they are great why do you need backups? Oh yeah, because they're not available. My suggestion is get them healthy before they play. It's like a car with a flat. Are you going to run it down the road till it falls off? And ruin the wheel too.
  8. Schmoeman5
    Polanco will not be ready. Kiriloff. Still feeling pain. Theres more to that. Buxton will be primary dh all season. And there's a reason for that too.
  9. Schmoeman5
    That's fine once he gets healed up. Can't DH on 1 good leg. And he still has to run the bases.
  10. Schmoeman5
    My mistake. I thought it was 50. That's why I used the Donaldson comparison. 86 would be a stretch for sure, but then that would show their willingness to spend.
  11. Schmoeman5
    The Pohldads willingness to spend big on free agency? Carlos Correa fell (back) into the Twins lap. Their initial offer was way off what the Giants and Mets were offering in terms of years and total money. I give them some credit in that their offer was always the highest yearly salary. Now I do agree that they were smart in the business sense. 12 or 13 years is nuts for any player over 21. Aren't the Mets still paying Bobby Bonilla? But they aren't opening the bank vault like the Padres or Mets or like the Rangers did last year. Nor do I believe they should. But I would like to see them acquire 1 front of the rotation guy. Didn't they give Donaldson 23 million per for 2 years? They could have got Verlander this winter. Yeah he's 40 but he signed for 2 years and50. And I believe they would get a lot more benefit out of Verlander for those 2 years than they did out of Donaldson. To me it's spending the money in the right places. With that said, I am optimistic for 2023. Just not ready to call the Pohldads big spenders.
  12. Schmoeman5
    I'm rooting for him too. I hope all of them can play at the top of their game. Injury free. Too tier players like Buxton at his best is why I love baseball.
  13. Schmoeman5
    That's not a fair comparison. Buxton got about half of the market value of players that are hes compared with ability wise. Players like Betts, Trout, Judge, etc. If Buxton had 3 or 4 seasons where he played 140 or more games, he wouldn't be a Twin now. And if Buxton is out for a considerable amount of time this year, the caddy may be a bargain in comparison. As for Gallo being just a guy, I hope he does well. Maybe he couldn't handle the bright lights of LA or NY. But I'm not holding my breath. And if Gallo is jag, what is Kepler? He's making nearly as much as Gallo
  14. Schmoeman5
    I don't disagree. But if you ever watch catchers set up, it's usually off the plate. Either inside or outside. Basically he was saying you can't fool me. But yeah I agree 100% . Angel hernandez and a few others have strike zones that change with the weather
  15. Schmoeman5
    To me pitch framing and the stats that measure it are way overrated. Unless the umpire is Helen Keller. they see the catcher pull in or up and down to steal a strike. My cousin was an MLB umpire for 30 years. He told me he would give pitchers a strike if he hit the catchers glove where they set up. But wouldn't if he saw the catcher dragging balls into the strike zone.
  16. Schmoeman5
    I'm not sold on this best defense in the major leagues. They have proven players at SS and CF in Correa Buxton and Young. Solid in the corner outfield spots with Kepler and Gallo, but their hitting is suspect. 1B, 2B and 3B are all questionable. Polanco has limited range with his knee and 3rd and 1st base are being manned by Kiriloff and Miranda. Neither of those 2 with a proven glove. Miranda looked lost defensively last year. Kiriloff hasn't played enough although one poster suggested he's a potential gold glover. Thats just wishful thinking. There's no evidence to back up a statement like that.. With Farmer and Solano they'd be stronger defensively if that's the Twins plan. They might lead ESPN top 10 plays this year, but who cares. Especially if they lose games by scores of 4-3 or 3-2. Then the narrative will change. Twins defense and pitching are keeping them in games, but where's the offense?
  17. Schmoeman5
    5 or 6 #2 starting pitchers? Which pitcher would be a #2 for the Yanks, Astros, Guardians, Mariners, Blue Jays, or Rays. Those are the teams the Twins have to beat in the AL to get to a title run. Now if you said the Twins have a solid core of #3 or 4 starters, I'd agree. And the last teams I remember who've won it all with pitching and defense was 2015 Royals who had a lights out bullpen those 2 years. So that being said, I think at this juncture the Twins might be better defensively and their pitching too. But will it be enough? And will they be able to score more runs consistently. Because that's just as important.
  18. Schmoeman5
    Jose Ramirez playing with an injured hand the last 30 or 40 games and still put up awesome numbers. Another team that let's their prospects play. Did anyone see Kwan doing as well as he did. I did, and so did the Guardians. They are better than the Twins top to bottom. How many Twins would start in Cleveland? Maybe 2. And that's only the starting 9. And they always pull a rabbit or 2 out of the hat as far as pitching goes
  19. Schmoeman5
    Kepler Gallo. Kepler Gallo. Kepler has been sliding backwards since 2019. It can't be all attributed to the shift. Is he a top 10 rightfielder? NO! Even on the defense alone he might be. Gallo has always been Gallo. He'll hit 30 homers, strike out 180 times and hit .200. The Astros took Kyle Tucker and put him in rightfield and watched him improve year by year. The White Sox did the same with Vaughn. Even though Vaughn never played outfield. The Twins are not going to win with Gallo and Kepler no matter what their DRS is. It's time for Larnach Wallner and Gordon to show or go. Buxton in CF with Taylor. Of course it all depends on health. They're all lefty bats as far as Kepler Larnach Gallo Gordon and Wallner go. So why not go with the unknown vs you know what your getting from Gallo and Kepler. Of course the stat geeks will go crazy. 100% of nothing = nothing.
  20. Schmoeman5
    Easy peezy Vanimal. And thanks for the 0% discount. Funny thing. When I did mention you I got infinite question marks as a reply
  21. Schmoeman5
    Except Verlander was throwing 100mph+. Let's hope the Machado-Miranda comparison is only in regards to the positive aspects, and not the parts where Machado doesn't hustle and takes plays or ABs off
  22. Schmoeman5
    I was only referring to Kiriloff in the case that he doesn't get in any spring training games at all. If he is able to play in live games before the season starts, then he'll be fine. But I will dispute you on the matter of the Twins not pushing him last year. I remember them acknowledging his pain, but following that up with " he has to get used to playing with pain." And that there was nothing else that could be done. I'm rooting for him. And as for raking when he came back, he was hitting but there was no power due to the pain. The wrist injuries are hitters worst nightmare.
  23. Schmoeman5
    Load management? Is this Twins Daily or NBA Today?
  24. Schmoeman5
    I'm not sure how Kiriloff CAN be on the opening day roster. He is progressing as spring training rolls along getting more reps. But are the Twins going to put him at 1st base to start the season despite the fact he hasn't faced live pitching in a game scenario since last summer? Idk, maybe. But I would bet he'll start at SP. They pushed him last year and we all saw how that worked
  25. Schmoeman5
    Cleveland trading Bieber to a division rival is not ever going to happen and the Braves aren't parting with Fried
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