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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Constructing a competent starting rotation is hard. A good one can turn into a bad one in a matter of a few weeks. I'm reluctant to part with a good starter. And I say this as someone who was slow to come to the belief that Gibson finally is one; I don't overstate his value, but trading him would open up a hole that would be filled by question marks rather than sure things.
  2. ashbury
    A lengthy and thought-filled response at your link. There's an old saying, "all politics is local," which surely has an analogy for baseball marketing: the city-by-city approach to looking at the question probably has to be done, to make sense of the situation. It's not for the Saints to solve the other cities' problems, but it seems that you do recognize that success can't be in a vacuum.
  3. ashbury

    56-26

    ashbury replied to Loosey's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk

    That's also pretty much this year's Yankees and Red Sox level, in the first half. Some team, perhaps, will have a second half about like that - it's the nature of half-seasons. Do the Twins profile as a team that could do it? They have the horsepower, moreso than some other sub-.500 teams you could name; the trouble is, too much of that horsepower is in the shop, in tear-down mode on the shop floor in certain cases.
  4. ashbury
    If he succeeds, then it's a "timing mechanism."
  5. ashbury
    Is attendance at other parks in the league a concern for the Saints? Is there something the Saints can do to help the weaker franchises, if the health of the league as a whole becomes at risk?
  6. ashbury
    And not just PCL, but Reno was his home park. That is a very pleasant place for a fan to visit, but it's lousy for assessing either hitters or pitchers. I would have failed to sign him for a look-see, too.
  7. ashbury
    Apparently it has not.
  8. ashbury
    My sources say he gives up too many wild pitches and passed balls, but is a framing wizard.
  9. ashbury
    After his strong start at high-A, Ben's gone hitless his past four games. He's taken walks three times, and scored one of those times. But it's been 17 PA since his last hit. His Ft Myers BA still stands at a reasonable .265 and his OPS remains good at .754. But, methinks it's time to get back on track after this brief early-summer vacay.
  10. ashbury
    Lehigh Valley Iron Pig Trevor Plouffe launched a two-out homer in the third inning against Slegers on June 30, good for 3 runs, messing up what had been up to that point a strong beginning for my guy - walks in the first and third innings plus a soft come-backer that went for a hit and an error when Slegers threw the ball away. After two more strong innings, Plouffe again scored after he walked, advanced, and was driven in by a sac fly. Plouffe also doubled against reliever Moya, and had a perfect 2-2 night at the plate plus two walks. Slegers struck out 8 in his 6 innings, a positive development; and gave up only 4 base hits plus 3 walks. But, "another game, another HR" became the story of the night for him. For the season, Aaron's ERA has inched upward to 3.55 and his record has dropped to 5-6. Indeed, since his brief appearance with the major league club, he's an unimpressive 0-4 and 4.08.
  11. ashbury
    How many AA players in 2018 do you expect will get contracts in MiLB next year?
  12. ashbury
    At this time of the year you see a lot of articles on a lot of baseball topics like this. Comparing full-season outcomes to half-season projections will often look more extreme than they will at season's end, due to regression-to-mean and all that. Such articles amount to "watch this space". Interesting trends to follow. Some will indeed pan out. The ALC's bad, no question, but probably won't be some kind of worst-ever by October. Probably. Maybe.
  13. ashbury
    You might enjoy Deadpool 2.
  14. ashbury
    That's pretty narcissistic. Middle America is frightened to death of self-styled "freedom fighters," like Antifa, who wear masks and don't actually take the time to interact positively with the masses of population that they purport to save from fascist doom. I'm not saying to lay down and not resist. But the more it looks like freedom fighters, who have been seen on teevee down through the decades, the more that the remaining uncommitted voters will flock to candidates who promise to protect them from anarchy. Even groups of retired men and women shouting slogans at city parks make too many folks go, "ugh". "A working class hero is something to be." Yeah, if the working class actually perceives you as on their side.
  15. ashbury
    Those two players have team control for the same amount of time as Syndergaard. If the Mets are poised to trade the latter, it's for talent that hasn't consumed much if any service time.
  16. ashbury
    Other GMs can see the same things I can: a super-sub approaching 30 who is having a career year at the plate. As a part-season rental, Eduardo probably doesn't bring us a king's ransom in trade. OTOH he's probably not a good value for us to re-sign, either. Probably I keep him, unless a trade offer is better than I expect; but all these conflicting factors mean we're in no-man's land yet again.
  17. ashbury
    Putin's long game didn't wind up taking that long after all.
  18. ashbury
    I thought my wording clearly would exclude guys like these two. And Boston's bullpen is pretty good. You pick your poison, with that team. And I also took pains to say I agree with the general rule you stated, implying it is optimal on average. Results against one guy, such as Colon, don't necessarily sway me much. And the Twins are overall swinging the bat so poorly, that I don't know if any particular tactic will help. Colon consumed only 82 pitches in his 7 innings, facing 28 batters, so maybe the Twins were trying the go-after-him tactic at times, and simply failed. The next pitcher the Rangers ran out there had a larger ratio of 22 pitches for just 4 batters, for whatever that's worth - different batting tactics, or simply a different pitcher with different style, I dunno. Texas batters went with the standard tactic, against a very good starting pitcher, resulting in 132 pitches for 31 batters in the entire game, and yet also failed. Back (somewhat) to the thread topic: with so few pitches from one side of the box score, at least, I see that the game was completed in a crisp 2:21. In this day and age, I consider that a good thing for the sport.
  19. ashbury
    My conciliatory feeling? Yes, I suppose. But make no mistake who went scorched earth. Sitting on a nomination for a year was beyond the pale.
  20. ashbury
    Against a mediocre starter, or against a team with a shutdown bullpen that's well rested, I'd like to see the opposite tactic. Go right after the starter and don't work the count, but instead take a cut at the first good strike you see - his manager is motivated to leave him in there for 4 or 5 innings if you let him. At least, with the top half of your batting order. Haven't seen that happen much. The optimal tactic on average is sometimes incorrect in specific situations.
  21. ashbury
    I look at it the other way: the Republicans did go scorched earth on Obama's supreme court nomination. Whatever conciliatory feelings I had toward governing with them are gone as a result.
  22. ashbury
    During these last four games the log shows 61% GB. That is up from earlier in the season, when it had been 56%. Not sure the difference is significant. Last year at Chattanooga it was about 47% grounders. Game logs for 2018 are here for anyone to peruse.
  23. ashbury
    Yeah, I bet no superstar likes to hear, "we can't sign someone else now, we gave you the world already," or even implicitly have it held over his head during the life of his contract.
  24. ashbury
    I occasionally get redirected when I access TD via android phone, but lately my Windows PC has not given me trouble. In the last day or so, though, Norton has blocked a couple of accesses that were about to yank me somewhere questionable while I was viewing a TD page. I am not sure what is useful information, and for some reason Norton doesn't let me cut and paste the information it's giving me, so here is a bit, typed by hand: "An intrusion attempt by server3.onlinefreelance.info was blocked." (185.44.66.52, 80) If onlinefreelance.info is just the bad guys, probably that's not useful information. But if it's directly related to the ad service, then maybe Brock can follow up.
  25. ashbury
    Looks like a nice 4-game stretch, but I was concerned when the WHIP number was posted; the fancy ERA under 2 seems aided by timely outs (or untimely hitting by opponents). But I checked, and BA on balls in play during these 4 games is high, almost .400. These two aspects of "luck" may have cancelled each other out. Encouragingly, two of those games were against opponents who had cuffed him around in the two bad starts preceding these. I'm back to, "nice 4-game stretch."
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