tony&rodney
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Everything posted by tony&rodney
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Yes, of course. I was responding to ideas that the Twins could sign Cease to a long term contract if he was acquired. Any extension is against extremely remote odds.
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I was only wondering where you fund your information because I was curious.
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The Dodgers will be looking for a 2B, 3B, SS, and an outfielder next year, so Guerrero, Cease, and Tucker fit nicely into the roster provided they are fine with a few deferrals.
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The headline states under 25. The last line before a look at the players is below. "Here is a look at the sixth- through 10th-best players ages 25 or younger in the Twins organization." I'm a little surprised at how critical people are about the content when each person is allowed to contribute articles themsleves or just not open the site if it isn't to your liking. There are a gazillion sites I never open and few that I read. It is always a choice and no you are not adding a critical voice by whining and yes the long offseason is bound to produce a number of articles that have little interest to many which is evident by the names missing in the comments. I would think that Brooks Lee and Simeon Woods Richardson deserve some respect for their time on the roster and their contributions to the team, particularly SWR. After that the prospect list is an arrangement of Jenkins, Rodriguez, Keaschall, Matthews (days but not innings), K. Culpepper, Winokur, Morris, and Raya with Soto and Prielipp close behind.
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- charlee soto
- simeon woods richardson
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Try to watch as many plate appearances as you can. It will take less time than whatever moments you spend on Twins Daily. I think you might be surprised.
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What seems possible if not real is that the Milwaukee Brewers or as many as 20 other teams would not be allowed to defer $1 billion + in salaries. The playing field is not level. There is what I would term a very lame defense of deferrals up on MLBTradeRumors.com. Ultimately, the wealthy teams (in terms of valuation/market size) (all of the owners are wealthy) make good use of the current rules and dictate to some extent how the lower half exist. I don't think that a cap or floor necessarily helps. I do think combining all media monies and stadium revenues into a pot and dividing by the number of teams would work. Well, except that that will never happen. There are other decisions that can have some effect. Change the days on IL to 15 days and not allow a player who is sent to the minor leagues to be recalled for any reason for 15 days. Reduce the number of times a player can be shuttled back and forth. Change the number of years a player can be retained in the minor leagues to age 25 or 26. Simply ideas off the top of my head, some need further thinking and work.
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Curious where you find this information?
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In A and A+ ball Emmanuel gave away many at bats based on the score - my observation. I noted that he was a little immature and didn't feel exactly challenged. Last season there were major strides made in his approach with occasional lapses. The big downer for EmRod last season was injuries. He has been injured often although every injury is totally different and unrelated to any previous ones. The 90% exit velocities are the best in all of minor league baseball and his chase rate declines each year and was below 10% in AAA. He tends to take some strikes that I would like to see him smash. There is absolutely no similarities between EmRod and Julien there. Rodriguez will also wave and miss at pitches right down the middle. I can remember Kirby doing that quite often. The swing decisions are huge for Rodriguez and it is why some are worried about him being a bust. Like I previously said, the Twins need to make a call because if they don't believe, the team is missing on a chance to trade him now. Me? I'm all in on him based strictly on watching him dominate those AA and AAA pitchers that are ranked highly. I think maturation and motivation are key for EmRod. But ...... what do I know?
- 43 replies
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- brooks lee
- david festa
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I have watched a ton of his plate appearances the last two years and his progression has been solid. The decision should be made early in Spring Training from those who are paid to evaluate players. I always wonder, merely out of curiosity and fully cognizant that not everyone has the time, how many times a person has watched a player actually play versus checking stats. I have stated in the past that the Twins should take a leap of faith with EmRod. If they don't fully believe in him, the Twins should gage his value across baseball to fill another need.
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- brooks lee
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FWIW, the notion that Cease will sign a long term contract with the Twins (if acquired) is truly remote. He will want to see his value on the market. Cease will hit free agency at nearly the same age as Corbin Burnes and their last four years of pitching have nearly the same value. If Cease has a strong year he will receive a contract similar to or exceeding the deal Burnes signed with the Diamondbacks. Expect 6 years and $210 million as a baseline with more if deferrals are a part of the deal. Cease is going to free agency as surely as Juan Soto or Corbin Burnes. And why wouldn't he? He picks where he wants to play and how much he wants to make.
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I'm not particularly high on Keirsey Jr., but reality means the Twins don't sign a Bader and if they do the past record suggests that usage continues past the time when a DFA is needed. Not enough money and not enough common sense in usage. This likely means that Keirsey Jr. is next one up. A far better choice (IMO) is that the Twins begin the season with Emmanuel Rodriguez in the outfield. The primary knock on EmRod is strike outs and the big fear is injury. Cast all anxiety aside. He is ready. Put him in the lineup and should Buxton go down for any time the Twins can slide Emmanuel over into centerfield. Problem solved.
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- brooks lee
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I'm not sure what you mean by vibes. If you watched enough of these players at AAA you could see the player's positive and negative points. Transferring those skills to MLB is much more difficult but everyone starts at the bottom when it comes to rookies and MLB experience. I think the Twins need to place trust in a couple players. If Bader or Hernandez agree to sign for $2 million or less, I might agree with you. Then if the Twins were not satisfied with performance, the player could simply be DFA'ed. However, that doesn't seem likely. Neither Hader nor Hernandez managed to impress with their OPS, WAR, or OPS+ numbers or much of anything else really. Given, I would choose either of them over Keirsey Jr. or Martin or Helman if they all played for the same salary. Bader and Hernandez, somewhat similar to Margot, are no longer the players they were in the recent past and there is very little guarantee that they will perform any better than the younger guys in the Twins system or even stay healthy. I don't think this is all about money, but teams are reluctant to pay Bader or Hernandez much more than the minimum for a reason. Austin Hays just signed for $5 million and he is still seen as capable of being a starter and productive bat. There was a fair amount of consideration that his past year was simply due to a serious health issue and not a massive decline in skill or inability to stay healthy. Hays was a player a team takes a chance at, although I don't think for a second that the Twins should have signed Hays either at any price. I'm a little surprised that Jose Iglesias hasn't received a contract yet. Maybe he signs for $2-3M.
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- brooks lee
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Think the Rays traded Ryan for Cruz at the trade deadline in the summer because they wanted a bat.
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The Twins have to feel that the team is in a pretty good spot with Woods Richardson, Festa, and Matthews trending upward. Makes any trade for Cease seem difficult too due to the loss of several players that would need to go to San Diego. I have more belief in Festa and Matthews now than I did going into last season because they have continued to refine and adapt to hitters. Yes, each had a few hiccups but the overall stuff and skill looks really good and the team will benefit from the experience gained last season. Hard to know what the Twins can get from Brooks Lee. He looked weak but bad backs will do that. The other position guys on the list are all capable of solid production as utility players. It has to be very difficult for an athlete who has always been a star to see their projections stall as a part time player. The mental hurdle is enormous but Keirsey Jr., Martin, Helman, and Camargo should be decent utility players.
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- brooks lee
- david festa
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The Minnesota Twins Are Active In the Trade Market
tony&rodney replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Not sure Tork is worth Julien either. -
The odds are probably 1,000-1 right now. The conversation (of some kind) was had, reported, and thoroughly discussed. The Twins would need to sign Luke Maille first to minor league deal, $2M. If the Twins wanted to make Preller think real hard, they could throw a pile of players in an attempt to entice him. It won't work and if it did it might weaken the Twins. No harm in texting. Vazquez, Larnach, Julien, Raya, and Cory Lewis is my last offer ..... for now. I think this idea has outlived its shelf life, but it never hurts to wish/discuss.
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The Minnesota Twins Are Active In the Trade Market
tony&rodney replied to Matthew Lenz's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
The problem is that one of the two teams (or both) may be reluctant to face a guy they gave up on too soon. It is just how MLB works. I mean there should be times when these trades are made. This may be a perfect example but the hesitancy is still there even if it seems counterproductive. -
The Time for "Getting Creative" Is Upon Us
tony&rodney replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes and this makes Luke Maille the last available MLB catcher. Minnesota cannot trade Vazquez before acquiring a catcher which is what we knew back in October. Meanwhile the free agent market is reduced to Margot or Andrelton Simmons or we now know for sure that trades are the only path remaining if the Twins want to add any significant players this offseason. It is possible that Paddack is dealt for a lower level prospect. The current roster looks ok and it is likely to be what we see in April unless Falvey gets real fancy. No use guessing any longer. -
Well, I was responding to a comment that posits the Twins as a landing for Alonso, which seems way way out there to me. If the Twins were to have had an interest and a willingness to spend Walker was the better bet. I'm not a fan of Pete Alonso but wondered what type of deal dxpavelka envisioned the Twins might see? Good to read what others think always.
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- anthony misiewicz
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Yes, I find that interesting because he was the #5 pick in Round 1, but never had one position in college or thereafter. Good athlete, not openly poor defensively but also not really average either at any position. Odd.
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The Diamondbacks had their wrists slapped a few years back for too many deferrals. One thing to consider is that any team can defer contracts but only to that amount where the money gets set aside and is covered. How does a team worth $1 billion defer $1 billion+ in salaries? This is complex and it is easy to understand how the players like this arrangement because it is good for income. Similarly it is easy to understand how the wealthier teams like this arrangement because it reduces their CBT liability and they have the money to set aside which satisfies requests from players and may also benefit the club financially as well in the long run. I'm not seeing the attraction for about 20 teams in MLB and it makes one wonder how that affects competition. From a distant viewpoint it looks like the CBA is largely a negotiation between the MLBPA and the ten or so wealthiest franchises. The players get enough to agree to terms, especially the top earners, and roughly two thirds of the clubs are still viable financially via revenue distribution to still be among the club (MLB).
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Martin was a CF/LF in his first year, 3B/if in second, and Of in his third year at Vanderbilt. Toronto and Minnesota moved him to the infield in 2021 and 2022. When he played in 2023 and 2014 Martin was used in both the infield and outfield. The idea that Austin Martin hasn't had many experiences in the outfield doesn't compute. Perhaps his issues defensively are a lack of confidence from being moved all over virtually every year and now he finds himself needing to prove himself as a utility player when he was once seen as a future MLB regular. I can only wish him good luck. Looking at his usage from college until now, I see what appears to be some mismanagement.
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Bohorquez is one to watch in his first full year above the rookie level leagues. Good player to highlight. Last season Fangraphs also liked Yoel Roque but I haven't heard or seen anything about him.
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Your take is interesting. Do you think Alonso will sign a one year deal for $10-20 million or less? If the Twins were shopping for a free agent first baseman, there were players available for a better price. Christian Walker? The optimism is laudable but it would be far more surprising than the Correa signing.
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It was a stretch to suggest the Twins have the best bullpen. Perhaps an optimist would suggest one of the best or possibly a strong relief corps. The Twins bullpen should be ok. They signed another guy. Minor league free agent, and former 19th round pick by the Colorado Rockies, Jacob Bosiokovic has agreed to a deal with the Minnesota Twins. Bosiokovic spent time at North Carolina’s Tread Athletics this offseason and transformed his abilities. It is way too winter for baseball but nothing much is happening. Maybe all the GMs are playing a game of I'm not calling him, he should call me.
