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tony&rodney

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Everything posted by tony&rodney

  1. tony&rodney
    This is an easy one to answer. I would take the $1M, buy NVDA, and now I have $3M.
  2. tony&rodney
    Keep those 2025 roster projections below $135 million. Oh, and also try not to feel too sorry for billionaires.
  3. tony&rodney
    Miranda is a hitter by trade. This is why he has been moved up the line and why many see him as a reasonable player to fill first base. The 2024 Twins were horrible on defense and on the bases. They committed few errors because the fielders couldn't get to the batted balls in play. To me, this is a problem. To be fair I was a pitcher and never liked needing to get four or more outs each inning. It results in many more thrown pitches and has a cumulative negative effect on the entire pitching staff. I understand and accept the opinion that many people do not believe that fielding is that important. Jose Miranda is weak at first base. He is actually better at third base but still poor. I could actually see him improving more at third base than at first base because the hot corner is more instinctual. Then again, Miranda is pretty slow too. I would keep Miranda unless another team feels he fits their needs and offers the Twins somebody that Minnesota wants in return. Jose fits fine as a DH and is useful as a reserve as well. Who plays first base then? I don't know. That is Falvey's problem. I would move Royce Lewis to first base, which has already been almost universally rejected by those on TD.
  4. tony&rodney
    I just don't understand this defense, however it is constructed, of a trade that did absolutely nothing to improve the 2024 team. There have been dozens of comments and replies that have covered all angles of the trade with Seattle last winter. The Twins received two minor leaguers (I have watched both), Justin Topa, and Anthony DeSclafaini in the trade. How did this exchange make the Twins a better team is what I asked myself. I'm not looking for a return response from anyone because this is a dead subject. I would only ask that each person satisfy themselves with their reasoning. Disagreement is a positive thing on many occasions because we see separate sides to an issue. I think everyone has sufficiently explained their positions and have their views and it was a good conversation. This is one of the joys of Twins Daily. I'm looking forward to how individuals on Twins Daily construct a team for 2025 on a budget of somewhere between $115-135 million. In such an exercise, I am interested in knowing how the rosters constructed may have the ability to improve the prospects of the 2025 team being 1. more interesting and 2. more successful. Further, I am hoping that everyone can avoid all talk of the constraints of payroll and the Pohlads. The Twins are competing initially with their AL Central foes. While winning playoff series remains an important goal, winning the division or getting into the playoffs is a first step. Management of the roster is crucial to taking that step. I wonder how this will be accomplished?
  5. tony&rodney
    Leading off and playing left field ... Emmanuel Rodriguez. Latin America is flush with baseball players and the Twins are involved. A few worth watching this summer via milb.com, Adrian Bohorquez and Eduardo Beltre. There are others as well.
  6. tony&rodney
    So you are saying that if the Twins had plans to keep Polanco they would still have tendered Farmer. Ok. I guess we disagree and you could be correct. It doesn't matter really. I Thought I remembered Farmer being surprised that he was tendered a contract. It's all good though.
  7. tony&rodney
    I won't correct you. Those whom are fixed on knowing how Polanco was going to perform have their position. I accept the differences of opinion. Keeping Farmer and trading Polanco was related per Falvey. It's all good. I am curious what you are predicting for Royce Lewis and Edouard Julien for 2025?
  8. tony&rodney
    You are correct in that the Twins had Royce Lewis play shortstop in the minor leagues. However, this was a very odd move due to the fact that his high school coach moved him to third base (off of shortstop) because of his limitations and he was never seen as a potential shortstop by any scouts. You would have to ask the Twins why they used Lewis at shortstop because I never saw any reports that stated shortstop was a possibility for Royce. Since those minor league appearances Royce has really (very noticeably) bulked up. He is a big dude currently and too stiff for even third base now except to get his bat in the lineup. The idea of using correa at third base or first base even may be solid at some point, but the Twins would need someone to take Correa's spot. They don't have anyone right now, as we saw so clearly last season when Carlos was injured.
  9. tony&rodney
    Congratulations to Carlos Santana, well deserved and achieved through persistent hard work.
  10. tony&rodney
    This is more or less rolling back the same team. Or do you think Falvey trades Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, or other prospects? Who exactly is available in your opinion? While I have no ideas because I do not understand what Falvey has been doing, this offseason has the potential for being his one shot before the shoe drops for him.
  11. tony&rodney
    Well, that isn't much of a limb for a couple of reasons. 1. Most fans seem to be calling for another run with the same players and 2. Falvey doesn't have much of a history of trading, especially as compared to the guys who work for the Mariners and Padres. FWIW, I'm all for trading Jeffers (one idea = Jeffers, Lee, and Varland for Quero and Williams) but I wouldn't bet a dime against Jeffers being moved because I think Falvey has him penciled into the starting lineup on Opening Day of 2025.
  12. tony&rodney
    Some folks believe that when Falvey/Baldelli had Royce Lewis take ground balls and play at second base that this messed with Lewis in a big way. This can be viewed from different angles but is the foundation for the "mishandling" comment (it wasn't my comment). Hope that helps. The Lewis for Gilbert idea is a year old and related to the Polanco trade. Seattle was fairly adamant about not trading a starting pitcher for Polanco unless it was part of a larger deal where the Mariners received more in return. Thus, the Polanco plus Lewis for Gilbert conversations last offseason. It is all water over the dam now. It is in the past, it doesn't matter. In any event, most TD users are against any suggestion of trading Lewis. This is what I know that should answer your questions.
  13. tony&rodney
    What is your definition of a meltdown? Would it be ok if the Twins won, say, 82 games in 2025 and finished in fourth place in the AL Central again? Will the positive individual achievements of several specific players combined with a record above .500 (82-80) constitute an ok 2025 season? I read the comments and your statements generally represent the overwhelming majority of those who participate on this site. I respect that but also wonder what constitutes acceptable for the 2025 Twins.
  14. tony&rodney
    Enjoy this series looking at players up for arbitration, but instead of discussing whether some should be tendered or not perhaps it would be more useful to speculate as to a player's value in a trade. There is no chance that the Twins let go of guys like Ryan, Ober, Duran, Jax, Alcala, Jeffers, Lewis, or Larnach. Zero. It would be very surprising and frankly poor management to non-tender Willi Castro, especially after keeping Farmer and trading for Margot last offseason. Tonkin is likely let go and Topa and Stewart likely return, but no shock if these guys are let go. Jeffers has value to other teams. Which teams is the trick to identify. Perhaps the Twins can send Jeffers and Lee to Milwaukee for Williams and Quero. Add Varland if he is needed to close the deal. Or as so many others have already suggested, just keep everyone (not my plan). Either way, Jeffers is a decent MLB player.
  15. tony&rodney
    We just have to agree to disagree on the value of noting BTV as worthwhile. Joe Ryan does have immense value and one can hope Falvey talks with teams for some ideas. Perhaps Ryan could be replaced by either Luzardo or Alcantara from Miami. No idea what Miami is looking for right now. Royce Lewis is a lightning rod as far as anyone proposing him in a trade. You might remember that there were discussions last offseason that proposed a Lewis for Gilbert deal, which was vociferously shot down on Twins Daily. There is plenty to like about Lewis. However, he really struggles on defense and his muscles seem to have shrunk his speed. I'm in favor of keeping Royce and moving him to first base but am also aware that Lewis was likely exasperated by the Twins handling of him last season. I don't see how you can compare him to Kirby. The Twins and Falvey are in a tight spot because the team is unbalanced and expecting a total turnaround with the same roster doesn't really seem like a plan. However, we have seen Falvey sit on his hands before and perhaps, as many on here suggest, there will be almost no changes this offseason.
  16. tony&rodney
    Hindsight is 20-20. I agree that Polanco had a poor year for the Mariners. As far as the money goes .... stated several times already .... the Twins brought back Kyle Farmer ($6.75M) knowing they were trading Polanco, paid DeSclafani ($4M), Topa (@$1M), and also paid some peanuts to Gonzalez and Bowen. The maths say keeping Polanco would have cost less by a minimal amount. FWIW, one should not bet that Topa does better than Polanco in 2025. The Polanco trade totally failed in making the Twins a better team in 2024. The addition of Santana does not come from any savings according to the maths above.
  17. tony&rodney
    Agree that Seattle does not really match up with Minnesota, but one never knows. On another note, ignore BTV. That site is merely entertainment for fantasy looks. No team pays any attention to their values. There may be some similarity on the odd occasion but mostly BTV is off the mark.
  18. tony&rodney
    Something to consider is that the Twins may trade several players where the pitching staff is realigned (replace one traded out for one acquired) at the same time as a position player or three get moved in an attempt to balance the roster while improving team speed and defense. One move will not fix the roster.
  19. tony&rodney
    This list is the same as yesterday. The Twins may have some players that other teams could use to improve their team and those teams may have some players that could improve the Twins roster. The trick is in completing transactions. I would think that a healthy Correa and Buxton are difficult to improve upon and their histories plus the no trade contracts reduce the odds of either being traded. Wallner seems like a lock, for now, in right field. The remainder of the position players are largely fungible. The pitching looked pretty good and I'm considerably more optimistic about Festa, Matthews, and Morris than most. There could be both additions and subtractions to the pitching staff depending on how other teams view the Twins organization. The defense, base running, and general athleticism needs to be improved. Trades can and should be made, but this is totally up to Falvey. Rolling out the same roster in 2025 would be a tough sell.
  20. tony&rodney
    I'm still a Twins fan (since 1961) and still like the Mariners too. You might remember that we had some good back and forths on the Polanco situation last offseason. If I recall you suggested a Lewis for a SP too. Well, the Twins and Mariners are back at it and one wonders whether a Lewis and Paddack for Miller might work this year? Seattle might find a better team for trades this time though.
  21. tony&rodney
    Harmony, your'e back. How did the year go for Seattle fans?
  22. tony&rodney
    Cleveland has players who can catch the ball, run the bases, put the bat on the ball, and they are a younger team. FWIW, they also hit more home runs than the Twins and they had many more injuries to their pitching staff. Going into the 2024 season I picked the Twins and Guardians to both win 83-87 games. Their young players developed more than expected. C-Jeffers/Vazquez, 1B-Miranda, 2B-Lee/Julien, 3B-Lewis, SS-Correa, LF-Larnach, CF-Buxton, RF-Wallner with Castro and Martin plus whomever as utility. They could potentially hit but the defense would continue to bleed and the slog around the bases would remain the same too. Of course we can always hope for everything to go perfectly and we do, but it doesn't seem like much of a plan. I am pretty high on the pitching staff though.
  23. tony&rodney
    Four players and money is a win no matter who the players are sounds like a judgement to me. Either way, we totally disagree which is fine -no hard feelings .... it's in the past and I shouldn't even have responded.
  24. tony&rodney
    I try to see most everything in life in a positive way. We both know that looking back is pointless. I accept that you believed Polanco was worthless. However, Seattle really wanted Polanco. Falvey could have added Julien and Paddack or others (Varland?) to pry away Bryce Miller. I have defended Julien more than anyone on Twins Daily but he has never been a complete player and had a strong rookie campaign making him a useful player to trade. The fact is that Falvey has struggled to identify talent in trades. His trade for Trevor Richards was inconsequential but also left a guy like A. J. Puk go elsewhere. Of course people were disappointed by a reduction in payroll but it is noteworthy that last offseason there really wasn't any players that Falvey would have signed. Topa may still contribute but it is just as likely that Polanco has a better year. Don't bet on either. The trade was inconsequential but I would contend there were options. Whatever. Will Julien be the starting second baseman this coming year?
  25. tony&rodney
    I have only seen Eeles on several occasions which makes me a poor judge of his talents. Nevertheless, I'm willing to give him the same shot at earning the 2B job in Spring Training as anyone else currently in the organization. His numbers last season sure put him in the picture. Why not Payton Eeles?
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