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drivlikejehu

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Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. I guess I'm confused why Polanco hasn't played any SS in Rochester.
  2. Interesting trade. I definitely like it from the Twins' perspective, though I don't think Mejia is anything special. He gives the Twins more depth from which to jettison non-performing veterans.
  3. I normally don't get too worked up about draft picks since I'm not a scout. But I called this when they drafted him.
  4. The Twins most likely wouldn't pay a search firm so that they could hire Antony. It's not impossible, but he has to be considered a long-shot at this point.
  5. For sure, though interestingly most of the Twins' young hitting prospects that did well there continued to have success at higher levels, including the Majors in a good % of cases (jury is still out on some of course).
  6. Pitchers don't really get worse just because of age per se . . . typically they lose velocity, and of course every time they throw a pitch there is a chance of injury. My guess is that teams are concerned by Santana's peripherals, which since coming back to the AL have been pretty mediocre (significantly worse than his ERA). His velo is fine, which is a big plus, but AL teams at least might see him as too expensive for a #4 starter, in dollars and prospects, if the peripherals wind up being predictive.
  7. Good move by the club. At this level, search firms aren't necessarily focused on discovering candidates . . . it's about getting the right candidates involved in the process, and helping make sure the process is effective.
  8. Nolasco is an unusual pitcher that is legitimately easier to hit than his peripherals would suggest. But that tendency takes an extremely long time to stabilize - even after a lengthy career there is some uncertainty as to what "true" BABIP ability really was. And most likely that true ability varied a lot during the career, year to year and even start to start. The issue with Nolasco isn't really Nolasco, it's the Twins' inability to develop pitching in-house.
  9. While struggling "incredibly," Berrios had the same swinging strike rate as Chris Sale. Higher than Greinke and DeGrom. That's a measure that stabilizes much faster than HR allowed, ERA, etc. He made a few mistake pitches and didn't have his best command. The stuff was MLB-ready. As soon as he was locating pitches in AAA he should have been back up. It's not complicated. Nolasco has zero trade value and the Twins are trotting him out there instead of Berrios because they lack the ability to make good decisions.
  10. Some would have sent him down, sure. But they would have called him back up by now. If you pay attention to other teams in MLB, they don't have such a short fuse with prospects when they are rebuilding. It's not speculation - look at how these situations play out across the league. Aaron Blair has been way worse than Berrios, factoring in peripherals, and the Braves have given him 11 starts. Just one example from this year. Some other teams have struggling young pitchers that don't have many starts yet but that are still with their team.
  11. Whether or not Jack is employed by the Twins doesn't address what concerns fans. If Antony and other leaders do not understand basic analytical concepts, how can they even have a productive discussion? There has never been so much as the slightest hint that those guys have delved at all into modern metrics. Not one comment that has ever hinted at it in the least bit.
  12. He was dominant in AAA last year. He has thrown over 500 innings in the minor leagues and been good at every stop in his entire minor league career. In 10 of his 15 starts in AAA this year, he's allowed 0 or 1 earned run, and he's allowed more than 3 twice - both in May. He would be up for every other non-contending team without question.
  13. That's the entire reason that the lack of a call up is so egregious.
  14. His sharp velo decline is a massive red flag, as are the command issues. He's hurt, toast, or some combo thereof. Worse yet, after this year he will be entering his 2nd year of arbitration. There's just nothing there.
  15. Miller's performance years ago is irrelevant because he's not the same pitcher. His velocity is down, his command has disintegrated, and his secondary pitches aren't as effective. He stinks. I wouldn't give up anything of value for him, or even be tempted in the slightest.
  16. The problem is that Ryan's strength was also his weakness . . . he let loyalty to those around him take priority over the interests of the organization. He inexplicably resisted adapting to changes in the game. He was the classic case of a natural subordinate who rose to leadership and wasn't suited for it. He talked about accountability but didn't practice it.
  17. It's actually pretty simple - the Twins' front office is not able to do their job.
  18. The measures aren't entirely different, they are based on runs created/prevented against replacement level.
  19. Low minors walk rate is not very predictive. Since he's not striking out, and appears to be making hard contact, it looks like he is seeing the ball fine but just being very aggressive. Doesn't concern me.
  20. I don't understand. WAR is basically just a re-denominated count of runs created and prevented. If a pitcher saves 10 runs over replacement with his pitching, and a position player saves 5 with defense and creates 5 with offense, it seems very reasonable to say their contribution was roughly equal.
  21. I'm not as worried about Antony as maybe I should be . . . It really makes zero sense to retain him. Pohlads could have chosen the status quo and instead fired Ryan.
  22. I'm OK with the Boshers call up. He's actually a pretty good LOOGY, I think, better than Abad at this point. Chargois needs to be up as well of course.
  23. That's the whole point, he knows better. How many times has the podcast covered the mishandling of trades, injuries, prospects, playing time, every possible aspect of the organization? Literally thousands. OK, so there have been some good things. No one completely disputes that. It just has not been *enough* good things, and in any event the organization has serious ongoing problems that have not been addressed. Things needed to change. Bonnes himself has been clear and unwavering on that point for the entire run of the podcast. Did that mean firing Ryan? Well, technically you could say not. But how do you fix the problems without doing that? If he had a way, that would have been a perfectly fine position to take. But to advocate for the status quo was not a tenable position, by his own words and the obvious facts.
  24. Well, I'm not even sure what this is supposed to mean, but my post was not a "personal attack." I listen to the podcast regularly. It was a very frustrating episode . . . Bonnes came out of nowhere to make a bizarre pro-Ryan argument with minimal justification. You can't talk about how the Twins are screwing up constantly and then turn around and say, that despite having said those 10,000 things, Ryan has done a good job and deserves more time. Did Bonnes mean what he said on practically every other podcast? It makes zero sense. If he is going to put himself out there then it's fair game to call him out on this.
  25. It is not enough. They want an impact player in his prime for Profar, not an average starter in his 30s and a subpar catcher.
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