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drivlikejehu

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Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. drivlikejehu
    It's not a very illuminating exercise, for the reasons already pointed out. The same could be done for every team in baseball. A better question would be, what if the Twins drafted as well as a club like St. Louis? Things would certainly be very different. Overall production from the draft is important . . . second guessing individual picks generally is not.
  2. drivlikejehu
    Other teams aren't fooled. They understand baseball and won't overpay for Nunez.
  3. drivlikejehu
    The idea that Twins fans place more emphasis on winning than Yankees fans is absolutely ludicrous. It is shocking that a human being with enough brain matter to walk and talk could possibly think and say something so completely, laughably, embarrassingly opposite of reality.
  4. drivlikejehu
    The price . . .
  5. drivlikejehu
    The MWC is a solid baseball conference. By the 3rd round virtually all prospects need major improvements to profile as a good big leaguer. Jax seems to have the command needed to succeed, so it's just a matter of whether his stuff continues to improve.
  6. drivlikejehu
    It's extremely rare for an ace to have a mediocre strikeout rate. As of now there are none in the league. Very low walk rates help reduce the strikeout rate needed for success, but Stewart isn't really that kind of pitcher and probably won't be, at least in the foreseeable future. Stewart's strikeouts have picked up this year, which is certainly a positive sign. But he clearly has a ways to go.
  7. drivlikejehu
    How can having good players backfire? Worst case is that a team makes a trade. The Twins desperately need talent, everywhere.
  8. drivlikejehu
    The Twins have had a lot of draft years where they get literally nothing, out of the entire draft. So while I see what you're saying in terms of position scarcity, step one would just be to actually draft and develop big league talent. I'd rather have a decent outfielder than a pitcher that flames out in A-ball, not that the Twins have had success with position player or pitchers.
  9. drivlikejehu
    If Stewart spends 3-4 years as a mid-rotation starter, he'll be one of the Twins' best draft picks of the past 20 years.
  10. drivlikejehu
    I just don't see how you can get worked up about position when almost none of the Twins picks ever pan out. People talk about the Twins having a surplus before the season, and within weeks its a deficit.
  11. drivlikejehu
    Teams have a limited ability to project "ceiling" too. There was a good Fangraphs article about that the other day. Did anyone think Altuve was a guy with a really high ceiling? Since 2003, the Twins have signed 2 draft picks that have produced more than 10 career WAR: Matt Garza and Brian Dozier. That's it. A few good years or 4-5 average years is what it takes to get to that mark, and they've managed it twice, and one of them they traded away for Delmon Young.
  12. drivlikejehu
    The MLB average OPS for catchers this year is .680, including backups. That's not great, but it's a lot higher than Turner projects for, and also higher than Garver is likely to manage. I don't think Turner could crack .600. The guy just can't hit at all. I don't understand what some people are looking at to come to a different conclusion. I could see Garver managing a .650 OPS for a few years, which would be OK for a backup but . . . who cares? Teams can get a guy like that in free agency for a couple million. Garver's only real selling point is that he could be a backup or AAAA type for a few years and make the league minimum.
  13. drivlikejehu
    Well, they can't hit, so there's that. Turner is a .220 hitter in AA, basically a poor man's Drew Butera, which means he's not even backup material . . . Garver is a little better, but still borderline even by backup standards, and he's not exactly the best receiver in the world, either. I'd rather have Rortvedt than both of them combined, not even close.
  14. drivlikejehu
    The idea that the Twins have an OF surplus is, uh . . . dated at best. Sano will be a 1B/DH by the time a HS draftee is in the picture, not to mention that Kepler is unproven.
  15. drivlikejehu
    The Twins' track record makes it impossible to have much confidence in their picks. I'm not a scout, so I don't have an opinion on Kirilloff in particular.
  16. drivlikejehu
    I don't find prospects as encouraging as I used to, because the Twins haven't generally been able to translate prospect talent into performance at the MLB level. If anything I'm more worried for the prospects because they are in a failing organization.
  17. drivlikejehu
    I don't think Walker will be able to sustain above-replacement-level production in the Majors (assuming he gets the chance), so it's pretty easy for other prospects to be ranked ahead of him in my view. I agree with the general gist of your rankings, so I'd have him behind most of those you've listed. Palka to me is borderline top 20 . . . basically I'd rather have some of the younger lotto tickets like Diaz because there is still a lot of time for them to develop. Palka is 24 1/2 and has contact problems at AA, so while it could come together for him, he seems like a guy without a high floor or high upside.
  18. drivlikejehu
    Walker can't hit or throw . . . I mean, this is baseball, right? I have him outside the top 40. Palka is a better prospect but I don't think top 20 . . . he doesn't have defensive value and it's questionable whether he can hit for a decent average. I could see him being a role player though.
  19. drivlikejehu
    Money is, unfortunately, the only language Jim Pohlad can (sort of) understand. Even though he's coming out ahead while losing, he knows there is more to be made by winning.
  20. drivlikejehu
    Duffey and Dean are not at all alike. Anyway, spycake's post is exactly right, and highlights the absurd way some posters are evaluating moves. The Twins FO isn't even compared to other MLB front offices, which is their actual competition, but instead to some bogus standard of 100% perfect incompetence. Oh look, not every single move was completely foolhardy, what a great sign of progress! That is the straw man I referred to originally. This isn't about whether they sometimes call up the right person from AAA, especially when there are no alternatives. Who cares? The organization has been a disaster for years and it is nonsensical at best to focus in on irrelevant, minor transactions when the big picture is what matters. The Twins as an organization do not have the infrastructure required to win in 2016 and beyond, without a shadow of a doubt. And until they take steps to address that problem, all those little moves are background noise, signifying nothing.
  21. drivlikejehu
    That's not a valid statement at all. Quite to the contrary - it's incredibly naive to declare the Twins are changing based on them doing the same things they have always done. They have demoted or waived/released players countless times over the years.
  22. drivlikejehu
    Strange thread . . . zero explanation of how anything has changed. The Twins have always had some kind of pain threshold at which they would demote a player. It's a pure straw man to say they used to ignore player performance. And Dean is a perfect example of how they stick with the same archetypes.
  23. drivlikejehu
    I've never been a big fan of firing Molitor for the front office's incompetence, but it is getting to the point where they really don't have much choice. The baseball season is just too long for things to fester without change. I actually think an early firing is something that could happen, as a way of trying to take pressure off of the front office. If a new manager came in and the rate of losing slowed, that is. Not that people would buy that story, but the Twins are so out of touch that anything is possible . . .
  24. drivlikejehu
    It is really unfathomable to me how openly and intentionally ignorant Antony is, and surely he's not the only one. I truthfully cannot wrap my mind around it. In what other line of work is that acceptable? Maybe still some corners of the sports world, though not really MLB outside Minnesota. How would I imitate this at my job? client: What are the consequences of this transaction? me: Well, in 1990 you'd take a big tax hit. client: What about in 2016? me: I really prefer to stick with the 1990 thing.
  25. drivlikejehu
    Ryan's decision-making after this season will reveal a lot about his character. He should not only resign, but also recommend to Pohlad that he look for outside replacement GM candidates. I mean, Ryan doesn't even want the job in the first place . . . he'd rather be retired or semi-retired. It would be damning if, under those circumstances, pride prevented him from accepting responsibility and paving the way for change.
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