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drivlikejehu

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Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. drivlikejehu
    That's the same thing a good chunk of those 100-loss teams could have said. Usually teams don't lose 100 games because they played to their full potential. Going back to 2011, after this year the Twins will have a 6-season stretch where 70 wins was their 2nd best outcome! That is absolutely mind-boggling . . . this season is just the continuation of an indefinite period of complete failure, broken up by one fluky month. Yet, magically everything will change once the Twins sign . . . Doug Fister? I'm still waiting to see an actual plan for using free agency to get the team into contention, or even close to it.
  2. drivlikejehu
    I don't know for sure how much they'll spend. But if anything they should be going all-out . . . they certainly do not appear to be doing that, and whether they even spend the ostensible maximum looks dubious.
  3. drivlikejehu
    LOL
  4. drivlikejehu
    The Twins organization is in such disarray that the typical concepts don't even apply . . . what is a "rebuild" when a team can't get anything significant for its veteran players? The Twins don't have enough talent to "surround [their] young players" with. They have no rotation, no bullpen, half an infield or so, no outfield to speak of, and no catching. There is nothing they can do in free agency to fix the extreme shortfall of MLB or truly MLB-ready talent in the organization. If you're going to hold that view, I'd love to see an actual gameplan for the Twins competing in 2017. Position-by-position WAR showing us a competitive team. Feel free to group the bench guys to save time. The Twins have $77 million committed, not including arbitration - make good faith estimates for those or non-tender them as you see fit. Pohlad has had a bout of generosity and given you a total payroll limit of $130 million. Let's see it.
  5. drivlikejehu
    I have a very hard time accepting the idea that Ryan doesn't know his own budget. If that's true, it's a fire-able offense by itself, but that idea seems so crazy that I'm very skeptical it's true.
  6. drivlikejehu
    Different player development philosophies, OK, fine . . . focusing on "winning" this year? Wow.
  7. drivlikejehu
    Sad, inexcusable, but 0% surprise.
  8. drivlikejehu
    That may be semantically true, but if the probability is extremely close to 100%, then it's fair to say in a colloquial manner. If the distinction really matters, then fine - there is a minuscule chance Ryan will be fired. It is the least likely scenario imaginable. Therefore, it's not a possibility worth really considering.
  9. drivlikejehu
    Change could happen. But Pohlad will work with Ryan on any changes. I am 100% comfortable saying that is a fact. It's unavoidable really unless Ryan is fired, which will not happen outright.
  10. drivlikejehu
    Antony is not qualified to be the GM of an MLB organization, so even if the team happened to play a little better while he had an interim tag, it would be completely meaningless and not change anything about his suitability for the job. I do think there is a certain amount of failure that would make complete resistance to change effectively impossible. Now, Ryan will never be fired. That is a fact. Ryan will be involved in any future changes to the front office. That is a fact. But it could play out in several variants: - Ryan is "promoted," hires new GM, either internally or externally - Ryan "retires," advises Pohlad to hire internally or externally - Ryan stays in place, makes no changes of note - Ryan stays in place, makes substantial changes Then there's the question of timeframe - for instance, he could do nothing this off-season, but after 90-100 losses next year finally bring in some new blood. Or he could continue holding out, of course. I don't think Antony, for instance, is a lock to be the Twins next GM. He will be in the front office, but it's possible Ryan will convince Pohlad to spend more money on F.O. salaries since the player payroll will be low for the foreseeable future. In that way he could protect his guys while also trying to salvage his legacy to some extent.
  11. drivlikejehu
    I know that they aren't going to contend next year. I'm not sure why anyone would be confused on that point.
  12. drivlikejehu
    Nunez potentially blocks younger players, e.g., Polanco, from getting at bats. That is reason enough to trade him. A win or two this year and next year have no meaning.
  13. drivlikejehu
    If someone isn't going to be a valuable contributor in 2019, his value to the Twins is zero, aside from the available trade return. That's the earliest new management could have the team in a position to be at least somewhat competitive.
  14. drivlikejehu
    There is no objective reason to think there is a "future," which I thought was evident (and said so) even during the Potemkin "contention" of last year. An organization can't be over-matched in leadership by every single competitor and expect to win. It is literally impossible.
  15. drivlikejehu
    There was no point in Arcia staying in the organization. But I certainly think his natural ability has been squandered the past couple years, through some combination of Arcia himself and the Twins organization. His struggles certainly fits into a troublesome pattern for the club, which logically we can only expect to continue indefinitely. Even so, between his non-existent defensive value, and clear vulnerabilities at the plate, he doesn't fit the mold of the more egregious failures by the Twins to retain their own talent (e.g., Ramos, Liriano, etc.).
  16. drivlikejehu
    Dean is not a Major League caliber player, or even particularly close.
  17. drivlikejehu
    The idea of the Twins trading away prospects right now is bizarre, completely divorced from reality, and at odds with the fact that most of their prospects won't pan out. They need quantity.
  18. drivlikejehu
    I'd like to see Jorge do well in AA before getting too excited. A lot of guys have enough control and offspeed stuff to get out minor leaguers, particularly at lower levels, but they don't have a Major League out pitch or truly elite command (minor league walk rates can be misleading in that regard). Maybe he could be a bullpen option if moving there allowed him to throw harder.
  19. drivlikejehu
    Excusing Terry Ryan by blaming Bill Smith is absurd. Ryan picked Smith, and Smith was surrounded by other people Ryan picked. It was a group completely assembled by Ryan from top to bottom, reflecting his assessments and philosophies. In fact, the Bill Smith era highlights one of Ryan's primary weaknesses, which is his inability/refusal to surround himself with capable subordinates. Very nice work by d-mac to point out the $/win totals. Considering trajectory, the only team I could see even contesting the #30 F.O. spot is Colorado, because they lost almost as much and have struggled to come up with a coherent plan. However, their unique home field situation is grounds for a bit of leniency in my view . . . while I would certainly put them towards the bottom, I don't see any real argument to put them below the Twins.
  20. drivlikejehu
    I'm not sure I really understand why the Twins would rank ahead of teams that win more with lower payrolls, over a 5+ year stretch of time. I'll take that track record over subjective views of how clubs are set up for the future, especially since the Twins are set to continue losing horribly for years to come.
  21. drivlikejehu
    The key is whether his increase in power is at least partially 'real.' My guess is that he's basically a league average hitter without much defensive value - a good bench player or tolerable starting one - but it is possible that he's figured something out.
  22. drivlikejehu
    The Angels have the opposite issue as the Twins - their owner is meddlesome. The Angels' actual front office is far superior to the Twins', but the Angels' management is in a tough situation. The Twins' management deals with no interference, in fact Jim Pohlad takes orders from Terry Ryan, so there is no excuse at all. They are just astoundingly incompetent, as I've pointed out, correctly, for many years.
  23. drivlikejehu
    Rosario's plate discipline flaw is probably a fatal one for his MLB future, unfortunately. Against big league pitching, he is just too vulnerable. This is the first time he's even hit in the high minors. It's frustrating because his other tools are so good, but it is what it is.
  24. drivlikejehu
    Realistically, there is no light at the end of the tunnel under current management. The rotation is going to be among the worst in baseball indefinitely.
  25. drivlikejehu
    Then why don't they turn into big leaguers?
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