Jump to content
Our free agent ranking is up to 100 names, and now you can filter by player position! Click here to check it out! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

drivlikejehu

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,284

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. drivlikejehu
    Yeah, the walk rate is really what illustrates Walker's severe limitations as a hitter. The K rate is bad but it wouldn't be completely hopeless if he worked counts and took a good number of walks. The combination is completely hopeless. But he will be a minor league attraction for a number of years to come.
  2. drivlikejehu
    Walker has never even scored runs at the highest rate on his own team. He just never gets promoted early and has stayed healthy, while playing with other good hitters. If you looked league wide, his run scoring rate is nothing special at all. The good players had less games due to promotions. In rookie ball, he scored one less run than Pimentel. In low-A, he was 4th on his own team in runs scored per game, and it wasn't even close. Buxton and Williams scored 50% more often per game, and Polanco scored slightly more often as well. In high-A, he scored fewer runs than Harrison despite playing in more games, and scored much less per game than Polanco. In AA, Walker has scored 5 less runs than Sano despite 9 more games, Buxton had a much higher rate per game, and Kepler's per game rate is basically even.
  3. drivlikejehu
    It's a bit odd because Gibson hasn't had a large uptick in swinging strikes, I don't believe. He's always gotten a decent number of swings and misses, actually, despite his low K rate last year and early this year. He is throwing more first-pitch strikes. So getting ahead of hitters early may be putting him more often in a pitcher's count where he can try and get batters to chase the slider or change-up. His stuff is also looking better, with an uptick in fastball velocity and an improved change-up. Here are some crazy stats: prior to today, with the bases empty, he had 8.2 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9. With runners on, a 3.1 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9. A piece of that relates to his attempts to induce double plays, but still...
  4. drivlikejehu
    Well at least you don't read jimmer's posts either. He just thought (incorrectly) that I accused you of supporting the decision. His post had nothing to do with whether other clubs would do this.
  5. drivlikejehu
    I explained why this was not a typical situation, and why most clubs would not do it. Don't try to change the subject to support a bogus argument and then blame me.
  6. drivlikejehu
    Of course. And I never said otherwise. I said I would not use small-sample ERA. And, in the example you provided, I did not consider small-sample ERA. What is the inconsistency?
  7. drivlikejehu
    Here is my original comment: "May isn't a prospect. He is a big league starter that is outperforming Pelfrey. Out of spring training, sure, many clubs go with the known quantity. This is different." I've added nothing to my argument. It was straightforward the entire time. May has established himself in the rotation. That is completely different than turning to a prospect who hasn't started in the Majors. Your argument is dependent on arguing something different - that many clubs tend to defer to veterans in general. I didn't argue against that. I said this situation was different and that many other clubs would not demote May. The only gray area is how many starts a pitcher would need to establish a certain level of performance. May has 15 this year, basically half a season, and to most clubs (and anyone thinking clearly) that would be enough.
  8. drivlikejehu
    He has a lower ERA than both of them, too. My decision would be based on who I expected to perform the best for the remainder of the season. To do that, I would consider their defense-independent performances this year in light of their career history. Liriano would be dinged for durability and inconsistency, for instance. The closer the pitchers are in ability, the harder a decision it becomes. In the case of May v. Pelfrey, it's very straightforward - May is better. The gap between their numbers is so great that no deep analysis is required.
  9. drivlikejehu
    When was Sanchez a better MLB starter than Happ? Or is starting the same as relieving? Is MLB the same as AAA?
  10. drivlikejehu
    There is no point. There is just a bunch of posters repeating incorrect statements without any kind of support.
  11. drivlikejehu
    May is succeeding as a Major League starter. I know that wasn't true of Sanchez. None of those examples look like they have anything to do with what I said. I want examples of a young MLB starter demoted for an inferior MLB starter. That's what the Twins are doing. Not starting a prospect in the bullpen after a mid-season callup or choosing a veteran out of spring training, as I specifically said clubs are known to do.
  12. drivlikejehu
    The Twins are giving up a ton of outs through baserunning errors and bunts. Bullpen usage has been dubious of late. I'm not impressed... I especially thought the former would be a strength of Molitor's.
  13. drivlikejehu
    The Twins have had plenty of chances in recent years to learn from losing. Not sure how much more there is to learn about that at this point.
  14. drivlikejehu
    On what basis would an argument be made that small-sample ERA is better than xFIP? What is the counter-point? I still have not heard a single statement that would support such a position. If there is no basis for using ERA, particularly in light of the strong arguments against using it, then I cannot agree it would be rational to do so. You have not come close to justifying how it possibly could be.
  15. drivlikejehu
    You admitted one way was better than another. Still waiting for an explanation of how using the inferior approach makes sense, following that detour where you tried to make it about whether my use of "irrational" was correct. Now that the dictionary proved me right there, please follow up for me on the substance.
  16. drivlikejehu
    I was thinking more along the lines of a hunger strike.
  17. drivlikejehu
    I listed a few teams that definitely wouldn't. Not sure how you got from there to everyone else doing what the Twins do. Other clubs that wouldn't: Red Sox, Blue Jays, Indians, Athletics, Pirates, Cubs, and Dodgers. So that's 10 I'm confident in. Then there are clubs that would respect the fact May is just a better pitcher... at least another 10+ clubs would be less likely than the Twins to give it to Pelfrey by default.
  18. drivlikejehu
    Complete misunderstanding of my statements. My logic is based on the limitations of available statistics, rather than any excessive reliance on them.
  19. drivlikejehu
    The problem with the statistics cited in the article is that weak ground balls are almost always hit to the 'pull' side of the field. I'd be interested in the production breakdown on balls hit to the outfield.
  20. drivlikejehu
    May isn't a prospect. He is a big league starter that is outperforming Pelfrey. Out of spring training, sure, many clubs go with the known quantity. This is different. There's no way a smart club like the Cardinals or Astros or Rays would do this. So far as how many dumb organizations there are, I don't know, but this is far from being justifiable on the grounds that everyone else does it.
  21. drivlikejehu
    In the draft, the more expensive picks are much more valuable than the less expensive picks. It's hard to compare that structure to the international free agents, but I think there's something to be said for maximizing the number of elite prospects in the system. Ultimately there will be an international draft anyway.
  22. drivlikejehu
    Well right, but its not an unusual thing for draft picks to quickly lose luster. I was mocked for being concerned about Burdi's very rough start in A ball last year, but the command issues turned out to be a real problem.
  23. drivlikejehu
    I think very few other clubs make this choice.
  24. drivlikejehu
    He'll be pitching in a new role... who knows what effect that will have. They are screwing around with a good young pitcher because they can't let go of Pelfrey. Ryan yet again shows how limited he is as a decision maker.
  25. drivlikejehu
    Not sure what the upshot is though. Definitely, Burdi's stock has cratered. But isn't that more because he is pitching badly, as opposed to what level he's at?
×
×
  • Create New...