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Riverbrian

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Everything posted by Riverbrian

  1. Riverbrian
    I like his progress. K Rate Down... Walk Rate Up... Home Run Rate Up. Exit Velo still in the upper echelon of MLB despite a drop in hard hit percentage. His BABIP has always been high and it was going to come down. This year his BABIP is really really low and it's going to come up. Wallner isn't Gallo. Wallner isn't eligible for Arbitration until 2027. He will cost us the minimum next year and he can still work on things, while Gallo cost us 11 million dollars and he wasn't going to be back. Stick with Wallner.
  2. Riverbrian
    Can they develop players at the level of their peers? That is where the "Any Reason to Believe" rests. We picked up a lot of prospects in the deadline trades. We can win those trades if we are able to develop who we acquired and develop those already in our system. Can we make them better baseball players? It all rests on the development of our young talent either recently acquired or those who are in the system. If we can develop talent... we are in better shape right now than we were before the trade deadline because we cleaned the slate and added talent. We could be back to a playoff race sooner than a lot of you imagine. I'm not talking about Jenkins alone. We will need Jenkins and other young talent contributing. A lot of others. If we can't develop talent... If they don't believe in their own farm system production and end up filling roster space with cheap one year vet filler instead. We are in worse shape after the deadline and this could take awhile. If all we can do is add a Keaschall to the mix and that is the extent of the yearly harvest. This will take awhile.
  3. Riverbrian
    The Blue Jays have 10 Pre-Arb Players. The Twins currently have 18. The Jays are 78-56 and the Twins are 60-73.
  4. Riverbrian
    Timing is right? Well... in regards to having nothing to lose for the rest of the season. The timing is right. The timing has been right for a few years now. They are behind the curve. Many teams have kicked their baserunning aggressiveness into high gear. I'm all for getting these boys on the roster playing full tilt baseball. I've grown tired of station to station. I've grown tired of outfielders laying up instead of laying out on sinking liners within reach. Get these boys running the bases hard, get these boys laying out for some diving catches. Let them try to nail runners at the plate. Let them bunt when the shift opens up a dead spot. Let them bunt when you'd like to get a runner advanced in a key situation. Bunt in April and May and June and July instead of waiting until their backs are against the wall in September so it doesn't look so foreign to the player all of sudden asked to bunt because desperation for run production all of sudden caused a strategy change. It's nice that Rocco is going to let them spin around the bases. I applaud it. Just wondering why it ever stopped in the first place.
  5. Riverbrian
    From a simple curiosity standpoint. Yeah... It'll be interesting. No matter who it is. I don't expect a rise in payroll.
  6. Riverbrian
    Agreed... I'd love to get on the Tait bandwagon but he's in the low minors. I'll wait and watch in the meantime. Right now... I'm more concerned with those on the actual 40 man. or about to be placed on the 40 man. The players who need immediate assessment. Plenty of turtles hatch... very few complete the trek across the beach to the sea. The majority get picked off by Birds, Crabs, Raccoons, front office executives and coaches. What the Twins have to do now... right now... immediately is remove as many birds, crabs, raccoons and front office executives from their path to the sea.
  7. Riverbrian
    Can they compete in 2026? Yes they can... they gotta rebuild the bullpen but that can be done. I think we will be strong in the starting rotation and I'm hopeful that we stay away from the cheap one year vet to fill position player spots. If they choose to spend some money... we have some money to spend now. Don't know if they will choose to spend money. But, they got the money to rebuild that pen now. .
  8. Riverbrian
    You want an original copy of what is... Old News? Just an unbiased opinion. We will have to use plastic silverware for a bit until we find genuine imitations of MLB capable ball players that can cut meat. Even odds on if the front office can stop with the soft rock and raise this thing to a dull roar.
  9. Riverbrian
    Your post is awfully good... Had to reply just to avoid a deafening silence. It's not an open secret in regards to prospects. It's the same difference as always and it is often clearly misunderstood. Let them act naturally and it will sort itself out. Create competition, player X being the only choice will cause Rocco and Player X to be alone together taking the team down the wrong path. Don't look for an exact estimate... get out of the way and let the players tell you through performance.
  10. Riverbrian
    People who know such things have often said that if you own a book store. They say you should name your book store "Books" so everyone knows what you sell. Therefore "Chart Title" is a perfect name because everybody knows that they will be reviewing a chart. I'd like to see all 30 teams on that chart but come this time of year it can be a little misleading post trade deadline. The Twins for example started with 8 pre-arb and have risen to 18 post deadline. The Tigers started with 18 Pre-arb and have dropped to 13 post deadline. All in all.. I'm just trying to show everyone that pre-arb players make up a majority portion of the majority of teams and I'm trying to show that youth isn't necessarily scary and that vets are not necessarily guaranteed producers. I believe that Pre-Arb players have a similar production range that free agents on one or two contracts produce. I believe they have similar production ranges from Bad to Good with one major consideration. The Pre-Arb players makes the minimum along with club control that provide potential production upticks and the one year contract free agent cost at least double if not 10 times more per player and provides no future benefit to the club. The Twins have shot up to 18 pre-arb players and that's good. (let's see if they invest the money saved in the off-season which remains to be determined). I just wish that reaching 18 pre-arb players didn't happen all at once with massive amounts of deadline deals. I wish it have been something that was accumulated year by year. I still hope for that day.
  11. Riverbrian
    I haven't really been able to update while I was on my road trip. I'm back home now so let's get caught up. As of this morning. The Chicago White Sox have 18 pre-arb players. The Twins also have 18. The White Sox are 47-83 while the Twins are 59-71. I didn't update the previous series so let's do get caught up. The Athletics currently have 21 pre-arb players. The Tigers have 13 and the Yankees have 9. The A's are 60-72, Tigers 78-64 and the Yankees are 70-60. Youth doesn't means wins. Youth doesn't mean losses.
  12. Riverbrian
    I have selected my poison. I will take a vial of Ortiz please. Did the same thing with Frelick and Turang in 2023 and 2024. Turns out… it wasn’t ingesting… it was investing.
  13. Riverbrian
    This is the best post of this thread. Discussion of weather Ortiz worked out just pulls the big picture into the weeds. It’s why I don’t want to discuss individual players because it just leads to missing the point. He makes the minimum and the Brewers are winning with him. The Twins ran out of money. We had 7 roster spots to fill with very little money. They tried to cheap one year vet their way to a playoff spot and this approach was going to crash and it did. The Brewers… instead of playing Ty France everyday like he couldn’t be replaced went with youth instead. Some acquired in trades, some homegrown but youth. Their efforts produced ranges on individuals from poor to pretty good just like our cheap one year vets produced ranges from poor to pretty good. The end result. The Brewers could sign Kyle Tucker (they won’t) in the off season and still be below our payroll this year. The Twins had to tear it down just to get where the Brewers were 5 years ago. Develop or Die. We don’t have the budget to be the Phillies and we were acting like the Phillies. What we did have all along was the ability to be the Brewers WITH MORE Money! We chose cheap vets over youth. We strip mined youth for parts. Why is the big question. Lack of trust in youth in general or lack in trust in what your farm was producing. Either option isn’t good and it cost us.
  14. Riverbrian
    Greetings from the Bronx it took about 9 hours to drive here from Cincinnati. The last 6 miles took about an hour. Uff Da. This is nothing like North Dakota. The Yankees have 10 Pre Arb players on the Roster. The Twins have 17 with the return of Buck. Yankees are 63-56. The Twins are 56-62.
  15. Riverbrian
    Congrats to both Matt and Carson. Exciting days for both of them. it’s interesting that they are giving away Carson McCusker bobble heads tonight in Wichita. I’ll be holding the box with his bobblehead in it when he is playing up in Minnesota. Hope I’m lucky for him.
  16. Riverbrian
    Greetings from Wichita. The Royals came into target field with 13 pre-Arb players. The Twins with 18.
  17. Riverbrian
    I ran across your post and responded before I ran across his post that's why I added a second post to something that was already addressed. It's quite possible I'm putting words in his mouth because I can never be sure what he is thinking but I gave his comment a like because I agree with what I thought he was trying to say. I didn't take his response as an attack on you personally. You are one of X number of writers, bloggers and cat jugglers who grade trades after they happen. It's quite common. I read his post as a caution that the trade grades are premature because the winners and losers are yet to be determined. You just happened to be the lucky example to illustrate what he was trying to say. You seemed to be a little defensive in your response (Could be words in your mouth) and I was just trying to clarify what I thought was happening and that defensiveness isn't necessary. That's all. I completely understand. Content is everything... and you need daily content when let's be honest... yesterday was like the day before and day before that making that necessary content difficult to come up with. I totally get it. This trade deadline was obviously big news and the bloggers would not be doing their job if they didn't come up with multiple angles to present for public consumption. I totally get it. In the grand scheme of things. My opinions are just as worthless as anybody's. I do embrace them, I spend thousands of words defending them and it takes guts to stand up to that wind. The thing that I personally have stopped doing is trying to predict what anybody will be in the future so while these articles are necessary and I read them for fun. I take very little stock in them.
  18. Riverbrian
    15 current managers with no love.
  19. Riverbrian
    Nurse is not attacking your analysis. He's using your analysis to show that these immediate trade reaction opinions are worthless. If he thinks that these immediate trade reaction opinions are worthless. I don't think he will put his worthless opinion out there. He knows his opinion is also worthless. He has the guts to express that these opinions are worthless... that's his opinion. His opinion is to not pay attention to these types of opinions. Deep Breath
  20. Riverbrian
    Everyone has a different clock.
  21. Riverbrian
    That is odd but I think one Zebby beats it.
  22. Riverbrian
  23. Riverbrian
    Agreed... Rough year in Colorado. Nobody walking out of a dispensary is feeling much hope in the mile high city. However... I'd love to be the GM of a team with Freeman, Tover, Goodman, Beck, Moniak and Bernibel hitting 1 through 6 in the order. However... I'd hate to be the GM of a team with Freeland, Sanzatela and Marquez 1 through 3 in the starting rotation.
  24. Riverbrian
    It doesn't have to take 2-3 years to build. Turn all the faucets on. See what produces water. Replace the faucet that isn't producing water.
  25. Riverbrian
    I like this thread. Thanks for keeping it up. It'll be interesting to see the overall results of this. To be able to compare and contrast pre and post deadline.
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