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Riverbrian

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Everything posted by Riverbrian

  1. Riverbrian
    I agree... if they skillfully manage things, having a 40 man full of solid choices is a good problem to have. Trading excess value gets more value in return and the system can hum along. My concern with the spillage is going to be the current crowding of the SP gate. We can only commit X amount of spots to the SP position on the 40 man and we are SP plump full now with guys who need to build up yearly inning totals and at least 3 more quality young arms that need to be added to the 40 man next year. If we don't graduate some of these arms into the rotation this year for next year it will cause spillage: Trading of players who haven't developed full value yet. Trying to get players through waivers, risking R5 exposure. If Bundy and Archer types stay healthy this year, eat innings and perform average to below average, it will limit how many of the young arms get a look see for Ober type MLB qualities or better. Without the look-see for Ober type abilities(or better)... it will be hard to trust fall with a young arm cold next off-season just to relieve the 40 man crowding. which keeps SP over stocked on the 40 and under stocked on the 26 which leads to more Bundy type 1 year deals just to be on the safe side and the cycle repeats itself. The can gets kicked down the road. I wish I could say that my scenario could never happen but... I've been watching this scenario play out for a few years now. There is large crowd of people waiting to get into the nightclub... if the bouncer doesn't open the door... someone is going to get hurt.
  2. Riverbrian
    When they answer that question... please pass it along because I'd really like to know that answer as well. The only answer that makes sense in my head is that Baseball does promote too slowly and I assume they promote slowly because you CAN... because the service time rules allow you to and the 40 man roster limitations force you to. The system kinda keeps you chugging at a pre-determined pace unless you are a Spencer Torkelson type that is head and shoulders above. Those guys get sped up.
  3. Riverbrian
    If they don't manage this skillfully. There will be spillage off the 40 man. Lots of people don't worry about this type of spillage but I do. In the past 3 years, our farm system spillage has produced for other teams... nearly as much as our farm system has produced for us.
  4. Riverbrian
    Options... the players you list have options. Too my knowledge... Celestino is the only player that will run out of options and force a put on the 26 man roster or risk losing him scenario. However, there will be some 40 man roster decisions that need to be made this off-season with Centerino, Richardson, Varland and Wallner (I'm sure I'm missing others) that could produce some spillage, It's the hopeful continued progression of Centerino, Richardson and Varland being players that we don't wan't to lose via R5 that could produce spillage. That is the main reason why Bundy and Archer gobbling up innings instead of Winder and Balazovic can cause a chain reaction bottleneck... IF EVERYTHING GOES AS PLANNED. We really have to start getting some major league miles on the mound out of our 40 man candidates this year.
  5. Riverbrian
    Please Delete this post. I struggle with simple tasks.
  6. Riverbrian
    Great post. You are 100% right. I don't know what the percentage is between Right Handed and Left Handed pitchers in the majors but it's a pretty significant short side. Accumulating more AB's against left handers than right handers is hard to do unless you are being utilized for that exact purpose. The Giants, Rays and Dodgers are the three teams that I consistently mention as examples of how to utilize the entire roster. I really really want the Twins to emulate them. However, during the regular season... in the name of development... the platoon is something that I'm not a fan of. Ruf, Slater and Garlick are a little past the development stage but the roster spot that they occupy is never past the development stage.
  7. Riverbrian
    If an organization decides that you are only going to face left handed pitching. Bango... Zippy... Just like that... You are a platoon hitter. Once an organization decides that you are a platoon hitter, the organization is telling you that your value is very limited especially if you are on the short side of the platoon. Once an organization determines that your value is limited to this, Start the Egg timer... the buzzer on the career of Kyle Garlick will go off soon. His minor league stats don't suggest that he should be a platoon hitter but he is because the declaration has been made. He needs to mash lefties (also small sample size) to stay alive. Garlick won't be allowed to see right handed pitching so he has no chance of proving he can hit the Right Hander. Therefore no chance of getting used to the right hander at minimum and therefore stabilization of the MLB small sample split would be impossible. Clearing a 40 man roster spot for a 30 year old platoon hitter who won't be around as a 31 year old would be incredibly short sighted.
  8. Riverbrian
    This is the type of solid practical advice that can only be found on Twinsdaily. How many pages is the instruction manual?
  9. Riverbrian
    There are degrees to how disappointed a given individual is over individual circumstances. The degree of disappointment can be similiar regardless of having control or no control over the circumstance. On a scale of 1 to 10 Having Chinese Food when I didn't feel like it... is about a 2, The plastic bag in my tree... is about a 2 The Twins carrying three catchers... is about a 2. I'll sleep OK tonight but I am open to suggestion on how I can get that plastic bag down. Players will be called up and players will be sent down. Come May things will be different. This is how the season begins with an opening day roster.
  10. Riverbrian
    Kinda surprised that it would be necessary to be this specific to try express my level of my disappointment... but OK. Since November, I've got a plastic bag that has gotten stuck very high up in a tree in my yard. When it's windy... it's makes this flapping sound that makes me look up at the bag and it disappointments me. I have no control over the wind that put it there and or the wind that makes it rustle. And there isn't really anything I can do to get it down. I'm going to continue watching the Twins and I'm not going to sell my house. Better? Yeah I meant Sanchez.
  11. Riverbrian
    Yep... Just change the names and this article can be cut and pasted for the other 29 teams.
  12. Riverbrian
    I was sitting in the living room with a freshly opened beer on the end table... I want to be clear that I was using a coaster because I'm not a cave man. I reached for it... knocked it over and it spilled on to the floor. Now my wife doesn't want me having any drinks in the living room because she worries about the carpet. I presented the argument that my beverage consumption in the living room typically goes without incident. The next day, I heard her tell my mother-in-law on the phone that I spill all the time.
  13. Riverbrian
    Sure looks like 3 Catchers is the plan. Unless you have a Cruz type talent... I'd prefer the DH spot be spread around to get some AB's to the entire roster. It sure looks like we will be disappointed because Garcia is most likely not Cruz and I worry that Godoy will be under utilized and therefore a waste of a spot. I'm with you when it comes to my level of disappointment. My wife wanted to go out for dinner and I said "Sure... Wherever You'd like to go". I didn't really have a preference but I didn't feel like Chinese Food at that moment. She chose the China Garden... and that was a comparable disappointment. I had the Cantonese Beef Chow Mein and now I'm getting 3 catchers.
  14. Riverbrian
    I Agree with the sentiment. 3 catchers with a 26 man roster is the last thing I want to see. However, if you think about it... I actually may be more disappointed with the 28. With the quick spring training ramp up... I am hoping that the two extra slots go to pitching. They will need the extra arms. I think it would be a little on the risky side asking arms still ramping up to produce 100 pitches out of the gate. The bullpen is going to be utilized early and often. Therefore, giving one of two extra spots (that are only being provided to teams because of the quick spring training) to a third catcher, a catcher that just ends up being a roster causality when the roster tightens back. Well this would be an incredible waste of the emergency provision and the reason for the provision in the first place. So... if you are going north with 3 catchers... you'd have to assume that 3 catchers would also be the plan for the 26 man roster. So if 3 go North. 3 catchers for the season is the plan. Sanchez spending a large portion of time at DH would be the plan. One less roster position player slot for someone just to accommodate Sanchez and the Sanchez shortcomings would be the plan. Using the DH to provide AB's for Sano, Arraez, Rooker, Larnach or Miranda is less of an option would be the plan. I'm not going to like that plan. ?
  15. Riverbrian
    I'm already saying I told you so... just not publicly. ?
  16. Riverbrian
    Who they pick is who they pick... it won't be permanent with adjustments forthcoming. However, I will be disappointed if three catchers come North.
  17. Riverbrian
    There are a lot of people who feel the way you feel. However, if you are willing to dedicate exclusive playing time to a selected few based on very very very small margins. You have to be right... I mean you haaaavvvvve to be right... because the wrong will keep being wrong like a church bell while you have been injecting pentobarbital into the right player, When that happens... we never really know what we lost but that's ok because the continued playing time of the failed chosen player is always justified with the standard "Well... there is nobody else to play anyway". ?
  18. Riverbrian
    "No Wise Man has the Power... To Reason Away".
  19. Riverbrian
    Options to choose from and utilize is a terrific problem to have. Back when I was programming rock radio stations. Radio Stations all over the country were using test scores to determine playlists. Listen to the Music by the Doobie Brothers tested at a 75 so I could play it without a consultant crawling up my... China Grove tested at a 74 so I couldn't play it or the consultant would crawl up my... 75 was the line. The end result: Listen to the Music was the only Doobie Brothers song that played in a playlist of 200 songs spanning the 60's, 70's and 80's and China Grove is gone to fade into oblivion. That's a small difference and a hard line that produces a needless tight play list and eventually Listen to the Music stops working for ya. Urshela and Kepler are Listen to the Music Arraez and Larnach are China Grove ?
  20. Riverbrian
    Who are the best 9 is the question that no one knows the answer to and how big of a difference is there between number 4 and number 13 is also an important question to be asked? The answer to that question can only be determined on the field. Sing for your supper... let the best man win.
  21. Riverbrian
    I don't believe in a bench. Buxton, Correa and Polanco should be in the lineup close to every day. Everybody else on the roster needs to compete for the most playing time at the available positions.
  22. Riverbrian
    The gain is always significant in my eyes. The gain is the roster spot. The gain is MLB evaluation of players that might or might not have something of future use. I honestly admit... I don't know where I would have pulled the plug on Shoemaker... I'm guessing that I would have started plug pulling on Shoemaker and others right about the same time that I started looking at 2022 instead of 2021 which was probably sooner than the front office was ready to. Yeah... Barnes and Jax were slight improvements (if that) and I agree that they certainly didn't significantly move the needle for 2021 but I wasn't too interested in 2021 anymore. That roster spot provided to them should have been helpful for the upcoming 2022 decisions that were just around the corner. Barnes was evaluated and he isn't here now. I'm lot more comfortable with the decision on Barnes than I was with the decision on Nick Anderson because Nick wasn't given the chance to strike out two batters an inning for us at the major league level. Now, the argument that is typically used against my thinking is that the front office knows who to give that opportunity to, They do... better than I... but they haven't perfected it or Nick Anderson would have gotten that roster spot over Matt Belisle and Anderson is probably on our DL right now. I agree that 2020 put a huge crimp in the development arc that limited the 2021 options. 2022 looks like a different can of beans. This year... we got some young arms on the 40 man that are crowding the gate. Winder is 25... Archer was 23 back in his glory days... So... while I'm willing to give Bundy and Archer a chance to show that they can help us, if they go Shoemaker on us... I'd like less rope. ? These types of signings always make me nervous. It's the rope... It's the rope.
  23. Riverbrian
    I was aware of that. The June 4th start in Kansas City where he achieved one solitary out while giving up 8 Earned Runs was his final start (rightfully so) and his ERA ballooned from 5.90 to 7.28 over the course of that one third of an inning and then off to the bullpen for further elevation of the ERA. Actually... if he could have just avoided starts against Kansas City his ERA would have only been 6.04. 16 earned over 3.2 innings is bound to hurt a little. ? Shoemaker wasn't the sole life sucker of our miserable season. We have a bunch of 1 year deals that I could of included in what would be my overall point. I'm singling out Shoemaker to make a briefer example. I'd rather it be easier to escape from out and under the bad free agent. Younger players with options would have been sent down in May... even with better numbers. The fact that 5.90 isn't "an automatic cut". is my point. These vets get more rope and that rope can hang us. I get why they get the rope but I'd rather go young for roster movement ease and future development.
  24. Riverbrian
    You are probably correct that injuries played a role in the length of Shoemaker's leash... our injury situation got ridiculous, however it still doesn't hold water. Shoemaker's ERA was 8.08 when he was finally designated for assignment on July 1st. However, no matter the injury situation. Finding someone better than 8.08 should never be a problem for any organization. Select Charlie Barnes earlier... sign Wade LeBlanc off the scrap heap if you just can't give Charlie Barnes a chance. Wasting a 26 and 40 man roster spot on a vet pitcher on a 1 year deal with an 8.08 ERA is how the life gets sucked out of an organization. You literally try anybody else. I'm ok rolling the dice with Archer and Bundy... but if the dice roll is snake eyes, they can't be allowed to kill us all the way into July like Shoemaker... like Logan Morrison was placed in the lineup over and over again. They can't be absolutely terrible and block youth from auditioning. No more Logan Morrison's... No more Matt Shoemaker free agent mistake double downs. Vets have always gotten the longer leash and it should be the other way around. I say this as a supporter of the front office.
  25. Riverbrian
    I agree with you. This is likely a 1 year deal and it will leave the Twins with a nice piggy bank to reinvest next year. But... Yeah... Massive Injury is the nightmare scenario.
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