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Twins GFP

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Everything posted by Twins GFP

  1. The Twins are due for one of these types of fliers to break in their direction.
  2. I buy into the argument you put your best hitter at the top and follow suit down the lineup. Each spot in the lineup is worth roughly 20 PA over the next one over the course of the year, meaning the leadoff spot will get 40 more PA over the year than the 3rd spot in the lineup. Unless you have a high OBP guy that takes a lot of pitches (Wallner kind of fits that bill), I don't know why CC doesn't bat leadoff every game he plays.
  3. One way to guarantee comments... use the phrase "pitching pipeline" in your article.
  4. He could bat .900 in Independent Ball and will not see MiLB ever again. Whatever MLB finds, he will be blacklisted worse than Trevor Bauer. Nobody will touch this guy.
  5. Probably the one position invoking the most discussion this offseason (followed closely by 1B). So many options for the Twins to try, some hoping to maintain (Castro), some hoping to regain (Julien). some hoping for a chance (Gasper) some hoping to grow into the position (Lee, Martin). Unless somebody really hits well and grabs the position, expect another revolving door all year long.
  6. I am glad that you addressed the pitcher/catcher relationship as that is rarely commented on when discussing the Twins Catcher situation. It is really hard to measure the value of Jeffers/Vasquez impact on the staff, but all outward appearances lead us to believe it is a plus. Healthy veteran catchers that combine to a league average offense is nothing to scoff at. It will help to remember this if/when Jeffers goes down for an extended period of time and the lack of quality options in MiLB becomes apparent.
  7. Castro should not hold a full-time spot at any position or his value drops tremendously. Julien is kicking himself to the curb. Lee is still a work-in-progress. 2B is wide open, 1B depends on Miranda/France, with days to be had. What I am saying is that none of the four guys you mentioned are currently "blocking" Keaschall.
  8. My guess would be Mauer. Nishioka might count here too, but I am sure I am missing someone.
  9. This is my thought as well. Assuming he hits and nobody on the big club grabs 2B, Keaschall could make an impact on the club later this year. A big issue holding him back IMO is the Twins propensity for slow-rolling their position player prospects. As close as I think he could be this season, it would also not surprise me in the slightest if he did not get called up at all, regardless of how he plays in MiLB.
  10. For baseball, Spring Training is the time to be eternally optimistic. Young players may surprise, veterans come in healthy, older players look to regain the past. Even the White Sox fans look at their team and ask "What if?". What if Buxton and Corrrea stay healthy? What if Wallner, Lewis, and Miranda take steps forward? What if Paddack and Festa pitch well? What if... No matter what anyone says, everyone has a level of hope right now. Every day this game surprises us and gives us a possibility of something we have never seen before. That is why we are all here arguing on this website.
  11. To further that question, how does a 90th percentile exit velocity equal average. Wouldn't average be 50th percentile? Not trying to be snarky, just trying to understand where the numbers come from.
  12. hit ball fair reach base safe play defense good
  13. I am rooting for a team sale as much as anyone here, but I am taking this news with a grain of salt. All public information on this sale is released for a reason (posturing, pressure, etc.). The only news headline that I am dreading to see is "Pohlad's pull Twins off market, decide to keep team".
  14. Left handed relief pitchers will always get opportunities somwhere, especially younger ones. It may be a pivotal year for him with the Twins, but not a final stop if he fails.
  15. Julien is the Twins poster child for make-or-break this year. I imagine the leash for him will be relatively short this year. If he gets off to a slow start, it would not surprise me in the slightest to see him moved. I also think he his one of those guys that may need a change of scenery to see success.
  16. You are incredibly more optimistic than I am. Last year: 1) The big 3 SP combined for 86 starts, with Ryan ending with 23. 2) SWR, Paddack, and Festa all had positive WAR and ERA+ of 99, 85, and 83 respectively. 3) None of these 3 hit 125 games, Only Buxton played 100. 4) All of my listed names had OPS+ over 100. Last year's team won 82 games. You are telling me that if everyone back repeats what they did last year, 25 more games played from Buxton 40 more games from Lewis and Correa would result in an increase of 18 wins? I am not even addressing the nearly 5 WAR lost in Santana and Kepler that was not really replaced...
  17. Nick addresses the primary issues. 90 wins is possible IF: 1) The big 3 SP stay healthy enough to make 25 starts each. 2) The mixture of SWR, Paddack, Festa, and Matthews pitch close to SP4/SP5 quality. 3) Correa, Buxton, Lewis stay healthy enough to play 125 games each. 4) Larnach, Wallner, Castro, Jeffers, Miranda all have OPS+ over 100 There are a lot of IFs, but nothing that unattainable. I think the Twins margin for error right now is extremely small. If any of of the above mentioned items do not happen, the Twins chances for 80 wins (much less 90) drop exceedingly fast.
  18. I think the 4th spot is Paddok's spot to lose. Podack's contract kind of forces the Twins to give him the spot early on. But if Padok doesn't pitch well, I could see Padook getting moved to the pen. Another reason to give Padeck the nod is if he pitches well, the Twins could look to move him and his salary. With the high cost of SP right now, Podock could command a semi-decent prospect. Ultimately, it comes down to how P'Dack pitches in ST.
  19. I think the first thing that needs to happen is the Twins need to publicly make a decision on if they are preparing Varland as a SP or a RP so us commenters here at TD don't have to speculate or opinionate anymore. Young pitchers are rarely in a truly make-or-break scenario if they are willing to do whatever is asked of them. The Twins may bounce him around for a few more years, then another team or two will take a flier on him. He will get opportunities.
  20. I agree with you. As someone who is not an MiLB insider, I would be curious to know if there is anyone on the farm that they are looking at moving to 1B
  21. While they don't have a prototypical 1B guy in MiLB, they really don't even have someone defensively capable there that is close to coming up. Has there been any discussion of moving a bat-first prospect to 1B to speed up their path or fill a hole? As I have seen mentioned in other posts, there seems to be a lot of discussion regarding the lack of organizational depth at Catcher, but nothing about 1B.
  22. I think there are multiple pieces to this issue. Identifying talent doesn't seem to be one of them. https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/which-mlb-teams-drafted-the-most-big-leaguers-in-2024/
  23. Not quite 100% make or break, but I do believe this is a pivotal year for Lee. Playing a position of need for the Twins, if he fails there is a lot of pressure coming up behind him.
  24. I understand this doesn't address the main concern of the article (mainly the opinion that the Twins give too long a leash to veterans that aren't performing). The bigger issue right now is that the Twins have absolutely nothing in the way of 1B prospects in the minors. They continue to patch that position because they do not have great options there. I understand and accept the argument for Miranda, but who is after him on the organizational depth chart? A bunch of guys being forced into that role?
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