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SomeGuy

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Everything posted by SomeGuy

  1. SomeGuy
    I still think Cron is the best option for 1st. He might not be guaranteed to be the best 1B offensively but he is the best bet. Garver, Gonzalez, and Adrianza are probably the early favorites for the bench.
  2. SomeGuy
    That's the High School I went to. His older brother is a heck of a beer league softball player.
  3. SomeGuy
    If entering the sweepstakes means handing out the record contract for American sports I think we can give the FO a pass on this one.
  4. SomeGuy
    I'm not very concerned about Baldelli managing the bullpen. The Rays excelled at getting the most out of inexperienced arms. He should have a much better grasp on when and where to use guys than Molitor's daily routine approach, 7th inning = player a, 8th inning =player b, etc. I would assume Baldelli's role in analytics for the Rays included who was best suited to face certain hitters.
  5. SomeGuy
    It will be interesting to see how the flexibility of the Twins compares with this set lineup over the next 5 or so years. Two completely different strategies, I am probably leaning Twins since the Padres were already looking at overpays that will potentially be dead contracts before adding this 10 year deal. They will likely be depending on their "shaky core" much more than we will.
  6. SomeGuy
    Players like Machado should not be restricted to only the popular teams. Machado to the Padres is not a problem for the league as a whole. Competitive balance should always outweigh jersey sales.
  7. SomeGuy
    That underwhelming organization did offer him the most money and a record contract for American sports. Doesn't seem like that much of a PR issue. Bryce Harper has also reportedly turned down 2 contracts of this same value. Doesn't seem like the issue of them still being free agents was the teams fault. I'm predicting Manny's record contract is broken in the next few days.
  8. SomeGuy
    Yeah looking at the current depth chart on MLB.com their most experienced pitcher of the starting 5 is Robbie Erlin with 257 innings and a 4.40 ERA. Five of the six listed as their starting rotation were rookies last season. They might get Garret Richards back from Tommy John late this season. I am familiar with Joey Lucchesi from fantasy leagues and prospect status, he is pretty good. But this seems like a really bad group unless they all make substantial strides.
  9. SomeGuy
    2020 - 2022 they will be paying the amounts below annually. Manny Machado about 30M (not sure exactly how the contract is built yet) Wil Myers 22.5M (only making 5.5M in 2019) Eric Hosmer 21M 73.5M total for 3 players on a team that usually spends about 90-110M. I would argue that these 3 seasons are "peak window" for them. Better hope those good prospects pan out right out of the gate, especially on the starting pitching side.
  10. SomeGuy
    Buxton has some serious competition to make the All Star Game. My hot take is that Mike Trout is the starting Center Fielder in the all star game. Other CF options include Aaron Hicks, Mallex Smith, and George Springer. Since CF doesn't really matter he will also need to compete with Mookie Betts, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, etc. What kind of season would it take for Buxton to win a popularity contest with these names? I am betting a stat line that includes a sub .250 batting average will not cut it. Even with the first half that Eddie Rosario had last year he arguably wasn't even snubbed because AL outfield is so deep.
  11. SomeGuy
    I doubt they wanted to bet multiple years on the Schoop rebound. (Schoop was only interested in a 1 year deal too). It's not a bad idea to keep 1B semi open for the future. Sano could move over, Rooker or Raley could pan out in the prospect department. Signing a player similar to Austin and Cron is pretty easy, we shouldn't be too worried about the future there.
  12. SomeGuy
    I'm not that concerned with our OBP. I'm sure a few of the projections below will not live up to these numbers but it is encouraging that we have 8 players projected to have an above average OBP. Astudillo is probably the only one of those 8 that won't see regular playing time. Steamer 2019 OBP projections (League average was .318 in 2018) Cruz .361 Kepler .342 Polanco .333 Sano .327 Cron .323 Garver .322 Astudillo .320 Rosario .318 Adrianza .313 Castro .308 Schoop .307 Austin .306 Torreyes .306 Cave .305 Buxton .301
  13. SomeGuy
    Chris Sale uses that strategy of taking a little off on his fastball to perfection. He likes to sit at about 94 but can dial it up to 97-98 when he needs to. He says it causes less stress on his arm and allows him to keep hitters off balance. This would be an interesting strategy for Graterol to try. Just being able to effectively mix speeds on his fastball might be a "3rd pitch".
  14. SomeGuy
    DeGrom's agent Jeff Berry — has suggested that players have on-field recourse to utilize against their employers to gain leverage in an increasingly unfriendly market setting. Specifically, he proposed that pitchers self-impose workload limits if they aren’t protected by long-term agreements. What "leverage" does this impose? Not sure if adding an attitude/work ethic issue will make anyone more desirable. What would his teammates or fan base think if he abandoned a playoff run for his self imposed workload limit? Seems like a good way to kill your public image.
  15. SomeGuy
    I don't know if I would place as much stock in your 1st inning theory. He was poor in the 1st inning for 2017-2018 but over his career it hasn't been a problem. I only saw the trend you outlined truly happen in 2017, where he was poor in inning 1 but good for innings 2 thru 4. From 2013-2016 his 1st inning ERA's were 4.50, 2.25, 1.93, and 3.82. His times through the order stats support what I would consider the usual trend in that he gets worse each time he sees the lineup. Career 1st time thru order 4.13 ERA 2nd time thru order 4.17 3rd time thru order 6.01
  16. SomeGuy
    He's a Boras Client, Boras still has a ton of unsigned clients. 6 of what Fangraphs calls the best 10 remaining free agents are his. He loves waiting it out.
  17. SomeGuy
    He has already played at 3 levels and skipped Single A all together. Last year was his first full season. He is moving quickly. At the very least, he should get a Sept call up this season. I don't think he should be considered an elite prospect like many of the under 25 players.
  18. SomeGuy
    They were a sub .500 team with their good players and operating at a loss at that payroll. Pulled this from a 2017 article about their new ownership. The Marlins are expected to lose more than $60 million this season, according to a source who has seen their books, in part because their revenues are among the lowest in MLB and in part because their $115 million payroll is the largest in franchise history. Read more here: https://www.miamiherald.com/sports/mlb/miami-marlins/article166767852.html#storylink=cpy
  19. SomeGuy
    They rank 1 and 2 in sprint speed for all catchers.... 0.3 MPH separates them.
  20. SomeGuy
    The Marlins rebuild takes a huge step forward if this trade goes through. Replacing 2 years of a great catcher with 5 years of an above average catcher. Also adding a flamethrower that is viewed as a future frontline starter and whoever else is included, sounds likely it will be another Philly top 10 prospect.
  21. SomeGuy
    Phillies are close to getting Realmuto. Reports say they are in the medical/physicals stage of the negotiations. Sounds like Sixto Sanchez (#1 prospect), their young MLB catcher Jorge Alfaro (similar track record to Mitch Garver) and another prospect from Phillies top 10 will be included. This seems like a haul for the Marlins.
  22. SomeGuy
    In Realmuto trade the Marlins are currently asking for Phillies prospects Sixto Sanchez(#1 in Phillies org, about 20th overall, 100MPH pitcher) and their good young MLB catcher Jorge Alfaro (similar but better track record than Garver) be included in a package, so they probably want 1 or more after that too. Kirilloff, Garver and more would be a close comparison. Subbing Graterol with Kirilloff might get it done but would be a lesser deal than what they want from Phillies package. I think I would pass.
  23. SomeGuy
    I don't like any of them. DH and expanding roster size to 26 are the most tolerable. Sacrificing strategy for pace of play doesn't do it for me. If the coach or catcher want to spend 15-30 seconds to plan the best course with the pitcher, let them. If the game is on the line and you think one pitcher against this one batter is the best chance to win then let them pitch to just the one batter. A lot of people get mad about a batter adjusting his gloves or walking around in between pitches but they are thinking about a lot more than their gloves, same goes for the pitcher. I don't like the idea of a mindless game where they are focused on beating the pitch clock instead of the batter. I doubt the minimal impact on pace these changes have would impact anyone's decision to watch the game or not anyway. Limiting roster size to 28 in Sept is dumb too. Teams out of contention should be allowed to play prospects.
  24. SomeGuy
    This is from his MLB.com writeup. His fastball will sit in the low 90s, touching a tick more at times, with solid command of it. His changeup is his best secondary weapon, an above-average offspeed pitch thrown with good sink. His two breaking balls are distinct pitches, with a tight slider and more of a pure curveball he mixes in effectively. Scouting grades: Fastball: 60 | Curveball: 50 | Slider: 45 | Changeup: 55 | Control: 50 | Overall: 50
  25. SomeGuy
    It helps that two of our currently known competitors are heavy favorites to land Machado or Harper. I doubt either the Padres or Phillies would turn around and sign Kimbrel as well. Teams probably don't want to officially bid on Kimbrel if they are serious about landing either of them two. The big question for me is Boston, they probably wouldn't even need to match us to win his bidding. The Braves and Dodgers seem occupied with Realmuto negotiations. The Yankees already addressed their bullpen (and did an amazing job). Not many others have shown interest or been linked to him in anyway. I doubt Kimbrel would sign anything right now. Doesn't seem like he is a priority to anyone else at the moment and waiting might be his best option. Either way it is encouraging that we currently lead the bidding, and I would think he would give us a chance to match or beat any other offer besides maybe Boston.
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