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SomeGuy

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Everything posted by SomeGuy

  1. SomeGuy
    Update on the $300M man, Manny Machado. .251/.340/.423 (.763 OPS) 2019 League Average .248/.321/.425 (.746 OPS) Bryce Harper is fairing better but not historic contract worthy, not really all star worthy either. .243/.355/.477 (.832 OPS)
  2. SomeGuy
    They did trade for good pitching prospects Duran, Alcala, and Smeltzer. Duran and Alcala are top 20 prospects in the system and Smeltzer probably should have been. We will finally see this year how the new FO approaches a clear buying deadline. Maybe Perez isn't so much a rare event as it is good talent evaluation and coaching, he is certainly not our only pitcher that is pitching above their recent history. What are the odds that Fangraphs is right in all 3 or any of the Twins picks? Mock drafts usually fall apart early. I like the best player available strategy especially early.
  3. SomeGuy
    The easy schedule should be pointed out. 20 of our 54 games (37%) have been against teams with a record of .500 or better. We are currently 10-10 in those games (7-8 excluding the Indians). That and how early it is, I would say it is only safe to say the best team since 2010.
  4. SomeGuy
    https://twitter.com/Twins/status/1133722698838941699 Notice the bro hug on the right.
  5. SomeGuy
    It seems like OBP is an area he could address. He leads the team in chase%. Until he takes more pitches, the strategy should be to throw him junk and watch him make weak contact. He is also last on the team in exit velocity so it is probably unlikely that power or BABIP are coming. I think its a glaring weakness in his game right now and a AAA stint would probably do him good.
  6. SomeGuy
    Throw in the fact that the one that is statistically worse is the only one with options remaining. How can Astudillo ever hope to compete in stats like OBP and OPS when he is not going to draw any walks? It should be obvious that he will continue to be a low OBP/OPS guy going forward.
  7. SomeGuy
    A 50-50 split should keep both plenty fresh for the entire season. Astudillo is a utility bench guy on a team with 2 other utility bench guys. Compared to the other utility bench guys, Astudillos value is at catcher and not IF/OF. We don't need to roster 3 catchers just like we don't need 3 utility bench players.
  8. SomeGuy
    Just the nickname implying that he has the speed of a turtle should tell you how capable he is in the field. I will give him props he has stepped into any position we asked and not been a liability but he isn't the best choice at any of the positions. He could field these positions if needed and right now with the way he is hitting plus our other options probably having more range at the same positions, it is not needed. Hasn't most of his "versatility" come from us trying to fit his bat into the lineup. Right now there is no need to find him at bats. Gonzalez and Adrianza should be viewed as the superior defenders (and hitters).
  9. SomeGuy
    They won't need to carry 3 catchers. Castro can step into a bigger role if needed. Garver shouldn't be activated if he can't physically handle at least a backup role as catcher. Astudillo is worse with the bat than Adrianza, and Gonzalez plus they offer plenty of defensive versatility themselves. No brainer IMO.
  10. SomeGuy
    Adrianza .231/.333/.397 (.731OPS) 96 wRC+ Astudillo .264/.276/.396 (.671 OPS) 70 wRC+ (worst OPS and wRC+ on team, only Twins hitter with negative WAR) Once/if the Twins are fully healthy I think the roster pinch solution is pretty obvious. Astudillo is currently the worst hitter on the roster. Whether he is reluctant to take a pitch or just that bad at pitch recognition, he needs to make some changes. Once Garver is activated (possibly this weekend), I would send Astudillo down and continue to give Arraez as many at bats as possible from a bench role.
  11. SomeGuy
    He is still feeling it in his wrist and they would rather let him get to 100%. Do-Hyoung Park Nelson Cruz, whose left wrist is still sore but improving, continues to be cautious with his recovery and noted that the Twins' current success at the plate helps him avoid pushing his recovery timeline. The Twins did not plan to have Cruz hit again on Saturday or Sunday. "I don't want it to be something I'm dealing with all year long," Cruz said. "I want to make sure when I go out there it's 100 percent. Only when I'm swinging."
  12. SomeGuy
    Kind of worrisome that their record against teams currently at or above .500 is just 6-8.
  13. SomeGuy
    A Scherzer deal would be something like Royce Lewis, 2 others from our top 30 prospects, we pay full salary for Max, and probably more still. A 1 for 1 would be accepted 0 of 100 times from Washington's perspective. You dont trade 2.5 years of the best pitcher in baseball for 1 low minors prospect. Vlad jr wouldn't get Max 1 for 1. But Scherzer is not for sale and wont be at any point this season.
  14. SomeGuy
    Wheeler, Grienke, Ray, Gray and amazingly Minor are all on competing teams. Stroman is the lone player from a team in a selling position at this point. I would also argue they have been as good or worse than Perez/Odorizzi so far since Odorizzi has the best ERA of the bunch, Perez is 4th (Wheeler's ERA is almost 5). But they do project to be better going forward and probably will be. And I doubt Sonny Gray is available even if Cincy does sell. They didn't sign him to an additional 3 years to trade him. Alex Wood, Tanner Roark and Jose Iglesias might be available. I believe we are on Grienke's no-trade clause as well. Not sure if he has the kind where he picks the teams every year but we were on it at one point. He would have to want to come here which might not be an issue. He has previously said he wants to be in the National League so he can bat.
  15. SomeGuy
    I don't see them "brush shoulders." Sano clearly gives him a pat on the back as he walked by, it was almost a quick hug. I don't think its anything between the two, I bet whatever he said was directed at himself. More context would be nice, what part of the game was it? Was it right after Kepler's weak pop out in the 1st?
  16. SomeGuy
    I don't see Washington going into a full rebuild or seriously considering a trade for any of their core pitchers. They might sell the expiring contracts of guys like Rendon, Dozier, Kendrick and probably Doolittle (who the Twins could use). With Rendon as the only good player that they lose after this season, they will probably just regroup and try again next season. They should have at least 30M coming off the books, decline Zimmerman's option and its 50M. They could build a good team with that, especially since they won't have many glaring needs. Replace or resign Rendon and do something about the bullpen. Since their best offensive player, Trea Turner, returned from injury their offense is ranked 11th in WAR and wRC+. On the season they are 10th in pitching WAR. This is a great team on paper and might not even be out of the race this season. They have the makings to be a great team next season too, no need to blow things up.
  17. SomeGuy
    I would rather have Kepler batting about 6th. Either Buxton, Polanco at 1 and 2 or just Polanco at 1. Castro can be moved way up the lineup from his usual 8th too, he has an OBP of .370 behind only Polanco and Garver. Sano should be given a long leash, like at least 2 months of poor production without any signs of a turnaround before making a move. We could bat him at the bottom of the lineup or move him to a part time role but I think he is up for the long haul now. I'm not very worried about Sano.
  18. SomeGuy
    I would say Trout, George Springer, and Joey Gallo are locks for the outfield. Buxton will be in a popularity contest that includes Michael Brantley, Mookie Betts, Mitch Haniger, Andrew Benintendi and Aaron Judge (if he's healthy). He can't even really claim the breakout player prospective since Alex Gordon has been reborn and Austin Meadows is also breaking out in a big way. I would say his best chances are as a reserve but odds have to be low. Boston catcher Christian Vasquez has a higher fWAR than Garver with Robinson Chirinos and James McCann close behind. The position also has Gary Sanchez as the likely popularity leader. Garver has a shot but the quicker he returns the better. Polanco should be the easiest choice but Bogaerts and Correa have star power and are having great seasons as well. Lindor will also probably see his share of votes. I think reason will prevail here and Polanco has a good chance at a roster spot (even if he settles for the 3rd SS). Nelson Cruz should be in. JD Martinez is probably a lock as the starting DH. Volgelbach might be his only competition after that. He should make it. I am calling Berrios, Cruz, Polanco and Rogers the likely All Stars. With Garver more likely than Buxton as fringe players.
  19. SomeGuy
    Comparing 3 games for Pineda's swinging strike% to everyone else's full season is a little misleading. But he is still very good in the category for the year(21st in MLB). Blake Snell is 19.3% compared to Pineda's 12.3% so there is a good bit of separation between the two. Pineda's best game of the year was lower than Snell's season average. I wouldn't say Pineda has Snell-like swing and miss stuff but he is similar to the Shane Bieber and Trevor Bauer marks. Interestingly enough Kyle Gibson ranks 20th in the same category with 12.4%. They are both among some elite names in the top 25. Wouldn't have expected Berrios to be 4th on our staff in swstr% (52nd in MLB, Odorizzi 34th).
  20. SomeGuy
    I would like to see someone other than Kepler lead off. We have better options.
  21. SomeGuy
    How many of those inherited runners scored via sacrifice fly, fielders choice, GIDP, etc.? How many times did they inherit runners with fewer than 2 outs? Those teammates that get credited for the runs know who put those runners on base or in scoring position. Take last night for example, May puts runners on 1st and 3rd with 1 out and Magill let's the one score on a sacrifice fly before finishing the inning. He came in and avoided the big inning that it was headed for. Good chance that run scored no matter who came in.
  22. SomeGuy
    It is fair to question a few maintaining the success they've had but I would also question some of the others maintaining the degree of failure that they have achieved so far? There is no way that Hildenberger is an 8+ERA going forward (3.31 FIP, and career xFIP of 3.57). This is just a Just a bad stretch for him. I'm not giving up on Hildenberger (14.0 IP), Romero (8.0 IP), Vasquez (0.0 IP), or Mejia (11.1 IP) at this point. I'm fairly confident that at least 2 of these players return and pitch respectably.
  23. SomeGuy
    That's interesting that International league K% exactly matches MLB's K% of 23.2%
  24. SomeGuy
    I doubt Garver will take too many games away from Cruz but maybe one here and there. The downside to having a bat only DH. Its likely that Astudillo will remain in the catcher mix and Garver will be eased back when he returns.
  25. SomeGuy
    Baldelli's update on Garver. "MRI was pretty positive...could be shorter than longer" Gives no specific timeline. https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1128701184884084736?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1128701184884084736&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fbleacherreport.com%2Fminnesota-twins
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