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SomeGuy

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Everything posted by SomeGuy

  1. SomeGuy
    Another red flag for Buchholz is velocity. He was down to an average of 90MPH in 2018, down about 3 MPH from his career average or pre 2015 (pre injuries). Hard to imagine that turning around when 3 of his last 4 season have been ended early with similar injuries to his throwing arm.
  2. SomeGuy
    The Twins should be spending this offseason on building and sustaining an elite bullpen. I don't think it is a coincidence that the top 5 teams in terms of bullpen ERA made the playoffs last year. 7 of the top 10 made the playoffs while 9 had winning records. Easily a deeper talent pool in Free Agency compared to SP and position players.
  3. SomeGuy
    You're right that we have different ideas of lineup clogging if you think Escobar and his OPS of .824 (just behind Joey Votto and Jose Altuve at .837) is a clog. Not to mention he can play almost anywhere and is pretty affordable. Where Cruz becomes a lineup clog is when he desires a 3 year deal. Then in 2020 and 2021 when we are supposed to be getting better we will be forced to roster someone who is past 40 and was already in decline in 2018.
  4. SomeGuy
    Kepler and Garver are great examples of why you don't clog the lineup. Combined to just over $1M but gave us 4WAR. We were waiting out Joe Mauer's contract to unclog 1B/DH and a bunch of money. Escobar was great and should hit 3/4/5. Grossman was a lineup clog, couldn't field a position but batted well enough to justify wasting DH on him. Forsythe was only on our team to balance out the money of the Dozier trade.
  5. SomeGuy
    Moving on from Buxton and Sano would not be wise. One was injured the other was recovering from offseason surgery I do agree however that we should not expect them to be what we hoped. From day 1 they were over hyped. One MLB executive said it was like having Bryce Harper and Mike Trout on the same team. A down right stupid assessment. Mike Trout is the best player of all time, no one else in the majors or minors has that ceiling. We should not expect the future MVP races to be a two man race between Buxton and Sano but they are serviceable players that should eventually be above average possibly all star level.
  6. SomeGuy
    I take it your on the senseless spending train? Clog the lineup with expensive aging veterans that are in decline. Forget about putting together a young core and fill the holes with gum?
  7. SomeGuy
    "Standing Pat" probably isn't the best description since they have already addressed 2 areas of need but I get the idea, they weren't headline grabbing moves. We can be assume that at least one bullpen addition happens sometime and it probably won't be Kimbrel caliber. Overall I like the strategy. If a few key guys stay healthy and effective than we can compete. If they don't we will have plenty of rental options to offer other teams. Either way we will have a better idea of where our core stands in the bigger picture.
  8. SomeGuy
    They are making strides in better catching gear. Tyler Flowers is part owner of what is supposed to be the new revolution of catcher masks, Force3. https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/the-year-of-catcher-concussions-and-mlbs-battle-to-do-better-with-head-trauma/
  9. SomeGuy
    I comments I quoted specifically state "We don't have forever, the White Sox might overtake us next year." and "I agree this is the year to take the division." Does that not mean all in 2019?
  10. SomeGuy
    Sounds like you agree with me....we should stay away from Bumgarner, Sonny Gray, and any other player that is only controllable for 2019. I am not saying make no moves, I am saying don't make 2019 only minded moves just because we could sneak into the playoffs.
  11. SomeGuy
    I disagree with this strategy. We should not see 2019 as now or never. The White Sox rebuild has potential to be great but that is not a forgone conclusion. They have pushed back their perceived "contention window" by a few years already. Major prospects like Yoan Moncado and Lucas Giolito have underwhelmed so far, Michael Kopech just had Tommy John surgery. Twins fans should know that top prospects potential is never a lock. Besides, one more major injury or a large contract gone bad could throw a wrench in their rebuild pretty quick. Seems like our rebuild will be a waste if we go all in on one year just to capture a bad division. Especially with the 3 "super teams" present in the AL right now.
  12. SomeGuy
    I agree that we should be taking on talent to make the 2019 team better but most moves should be focused on the next 2-4 years. If we commit resources, especially on the trade front, to only making 2019 better than we might be shooting ourselves in the foot. The problem with 2019 is that we are saying if Sano, Buxton etc. play to their potential we can be great. Even with an ace or more, we are still saying if Sano and Buxton, etc. play to their potential. Aside from Buxton and Sano, there are still too many questions to say World Series 2019 or bust. Does Kepler have the next level everyone thought he did? Why did Rosario go from 19 HR and .311/.353/.537 in the first half to 5 HR .240/.262/.361 in the second half? Will he give us a full season? Will any of the starting pitching prospects pan out? Will May finally be healthy for a full season? Is Pineda going to contribute? Is Rogers elite now or was that a small sample size?
  13. SomeGuy
    Cleveland aren't waving the white flag though. They are right to trade ONE of their elite starting pitchers. They should get a haul in return and that could open up a much longer window for them if they end up with another Lindor level prospect from the trade of Kluber or whoever. They would be dealing from a position of strength and starting pitchers get a boatload of talent in return. There's no way they blow up the roster Mariners style. To me the next 4 years looks brighter for the Indians than any other ALC team but the Twins and White Sox can compete with a couple of the right moves.
  14. SomeGuy
    Instead of having Kepler play 1B and signing an OF/DH, wouldn't we be better off signing someone who could play a position other than 1B or RF? Seems silly to have a "versatile" player playing positions that we are already flush at. Someone like Jed Lowrie, who closely resembles Bellingers ouput last year, would get us someone who can play 2B and 3B. A position of need and a position of doubt.
  15. SomeGuy
    Seems to reiterate the conservative approach to this offseason.
  16. SomeGuy
    I am optimistic he regains that early season success that he had last year. They should proceed with caution and manage his workload better. We need a couple bullpen additions this offseason, hopefully Reed won't be critical to our success in case the injury is more serious than it was.
  17. SomeGuy
    His fastball velocity was increasing month by month until peaking in June then lost 2 MPH by the end of the year. Wearing down is a possibility, that might be a normal year long model for a pitchers velocity but losing 2 MPH seems significant for a low 90's reliever. However, he was successful early in the year when he was building strength and essentially throwing the same speed as at the end of the year. His walk rate increasing dramatically probably affected him. His homerun to flyball ratio also ballooned from 12.8% to 30.4% from 1st half to 2nd half.
  18. SomeGuy
    BrooksBaseball.net says he used a slider 6.53% of the time in 2016. 0% in 2017 and 13.19% in 2018. The whiff % nearly doubled between '16 and '18 on his slider. The linked article from Dan Hayes says he developed it with Eddie Guardado before using it this season. Must be a little different from his previous slider.
  19. SomeGuy
    The Mariners have to regroup. I disagree with that being a bad thing. They are an old team with what could be the worst minor league system. It is probably in their best interest to start getting younger. They have some massive contracts that are currently overpays. They should be ready with a decent young core when those start ending. Getting Justus Sheffield is a big step in the right direction, Felix and his massive overpay ends next year. Paxton just set a career high in innings at 160 previously 136 and 121. He has not been a reliable source of innings and is not that far from FA. Great time to sell him.
  20. SomeGuy
    I would pass on Goldschmidt. One year of control doesn't fit our plan of building a long term competitor. We aren't ready to go all in this year. If they wanted to save some bucks this offseason and throw him a nice contract offer as a FA I would be on board.
  21. SomeGuy
    How many of those players lost a year to injury? I'm not trying to defend Jay as the next big thing, because he is not. Just saying it was not a "shameful pick." Saying that 8 players from the first round are playing right now doesn't mean all other picks are busts. You're forgetting Eddie Rosario from the 2010 draft. Added data point: Bill Smith was GM for 2008 to 2011 drafts. He was terrible. He in no way reflects the generally decent drafter that was Terry Ryan or the new front office that I think had 2 amazing drafts.
  22. SomeGuy
    It would be interesting to see a full list of players from the 2015 draft that are in the majors let alone "starring." 3.5 years in the minors is not that long. Tyler Jay was still below the average age for AA last year. Considering that he only threw 11 innings in 2017, we shouldn't really be concerned about him being a bust yet. He is just not ready to be on a 25 man roster so there isn't the need to protect him. From the first round, 8 of the top 20 selections have MLB experience....Alex Bregman, Walker Buehler, Andrew Benintendi, and Dansby Swanson are actually contributing.
  23. SomeGuy
    I don't think of either of them as "not worth stashing". I think of them as unlikely to be drafted or highly unlikely to succeed on another team if drafted (returned). Its clear Jay isn't ready for MLB time and needs more time to develop.
  24. SomeGuy
    I don't think anyone else will be added for the final 2 spots but would like to see Jake Reed added. Arraez doesn't seem likely to be selected.
  25. SomeGuy
    I'm okay with signing someone without MLB experience. Every time I hear so and so has experience with Team X I think "but wasn't he fired for not getting results? What will be different this time?" Sounds like we were one of at least 3 teams interested in signing Wes Johnson.
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