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SomeGuy

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Everything posted by SomeGuy

  1. SomeGuy
    "MRI was pretty positive No specifics still on timeline but could be shorter than longer" Baldelli He also said Sano has landed and will be at the stadium by game time. Won't be in lineup. https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1128701184884084736?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1128701184884084736&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fbleacherreport.com%2Fminnesota-twins
  2. SomeGuy
    Remember Francisco Lindor suffered a "moderate" high ankle sprain March 26th and returned April 20th. We still need to know the severity but I'm not worried about 60+ yet. Baldelli says there was less pain than he was expecting for whats its worth. "We don't have a lot of the information. We will know a lot more tomorrow. Probably not in as much pain as I was expecting. But anything beyond that is speculation."
  3. SomeGuy
    I doubt it will end up being a 60 day trip unless they find something significant in the further testing today. I'm thinking 3-5 weeks.
  4. SomeGuy
    I'm guessing they haven't finished the testing they were going to do today but know its bad enough for an IL trip. These are from the Fantasy Baseball world and don't offer anything concrete. Twins placed C Mitch Garver on the 10-day injured list with a high left ankle sprain. Advice: Garver suffered the high ankle sprain Tuesday in a home-plate collision with Shohei Ohtani. He's likely to miss the rest of May and maybe a good portion of June as well. The 28-year-old catcher was off to a tremendous start this season for Minnesota, slashing .329/.418/.747 with nine home runs and 19 RBI in 25 games while showing improved defense behind the plate. Jason Castro and Willians Astudillo will presumably share time at catcher moving forward. (Rotoworld.com) Mitch Garver has been diagnosed with a high ankle sprain in his left leg. Advice: Garver suffered the injury in the eighth inning of Tuesday night's game against the Angels when Shohei Ohtani slid into his leg at home plate. Twins manager Rocco Baldelli said more tests are coming Wednesday, so the final diagnosis might even be more serious. It did look ugly. Garver, who owns a stellar .329/.418/.747 batting line with nine home runs and 19 RBI in 25 games this season, is almost certainly headed to the injured list. More: Dan Hayes on Twitter
  5. SomeGuy
    The IL trip is official, Sano is back. Still no word on Garver's timeline. Hopefully it is just the sprain.
  6. SomeGuy
    How long do you mean by the division should remain down for sometime? The White Sox and Tigers look like they are ready to exit the rebuild stage and compete as soon as 2020 (maybe 2021 for Tigers). The Indians also don't lose anyone important after this season so they should be decent for at least another season. I don't think the division is nearly as bad as it was last year. I am expecting it will only be better next season and could be a fairly competitive one going forward. The Twins are probably in the best shape of the bunch but they will likely never see the division this poor again during our "window". This does bring up a good point about the 2019 Twins though. We are currently 8-8 against teams at or above .500. That would be 8-10 if we lose again tonight since the Angels would move to .500. I kind of worry about how much our division and early games against Baltimore/Toronto have propped us up.
  7. SomeGuy
    I think a healthy Mejia would get strong consideration if we ever needed a starter for a stretch too.
  8. SomeGuy
    The pieces are falling into place for the bullpen. As a group they rank 8th in WAR, 13th in ERA, and 10th in FIP. This is a borderline top 10 bullpen. Hopefully Duffey will stick around in that elusive last spot. With just one addition in July this could be a great bullpen. We are also 5th overall in runs allowed per game (4.00) including starters and 7th in runs scored per game (5.25).
  9. SomeGuy
    Duffey has always been good at AAA, career ERA of 2.73 and 1.32 this season. I believe there is something there. It's not crazy to think that these coaches can get him to a decent MLB level. We're not expecting him to be a lights out late inning pitcher but he could be one of those last pieces that the bullpen hasn't been able to find. Let him have his shot at the revolving door that has been the back end of the bullpen.
  10. SomeGuy
    He did a nice job with the strikeouts last night but before that he was sitting at 6.53 K/9, kind of low but still higher than his career 5.62. Hopefully he will have more nights like last night.
  11. SomeGuy
    Luke Raley is a much more likely 1st base option for this season than Kirilloff. Kirilloff will likely have to wait until after next years service time date. If he does make the AA to MLB jump he will need at least a couple more months at AA to get more 1B time. I think the FO will find it worth while to wait until next season rather than start the clock late this season.
  12. SomeGuy
    Jason Castro is making some hard contact so far, he ranks 2nd on the team in exit velocity, 1st in barrel%, and 3rd in Launch Angle. This leaves him with an xSLG of .656 and xWOBA of .438 both 1st on team. His OPS of .965 is also ranked 4th. As a team, our catchers rank 2nd in MLB in average, 3rd in OBP, 2nd in SLG, and 2nd in OPS.
  13. SomeGuy
    Perez has been awesome. His Sierra (4.41) and xFIP(4.43) still think he is a mid 4's guy like a lot of predictions had. I liked the signing from the beginning but I don't think he is going to continue at an ace level. Its interesting that his groundball rate is way down. He is basically been a flyball pitcher in the 5 starts he has had but also ditched his past homerun problems. I wonder if this is by design. His high GB% was a selling point on me when we signed him but I won't argue with whats working.
  14. SomeGuy
    I just hope we don't do anything drastic at the trade deadline. Like put together an overwhelming package for 2 months of the declining Bumgarner etc. Hopefully we get a decent player(s) for a fair package(s) of prospects. We built a great foundation and I would hate to see us go all or nothing on the first whiff of success. With the current on-field product and the farm system, we could be really good for a long period. We will need to be smart about who we sacrifice and for what.
  15. SomeGuy
    Mejia accounts for 23% of our bullpen's Earned runs (11 of 48) and 12% of our innings. (11.1 of 93.1). Subtract those numbers entirely from our bullpen stats and you have a combined ERA of 3.62 and this includes the Vasquez, De Jong, Romero, and Perez bullpen numbers. Addition by subtraction. We have a good bullpen.
  16. SomeGuy
    I disagree that we need two or more relievers that are at least as good as Rogers (who is one of the best relievers out there). In reality we need someone to step up and fill the last 2 spots with something resembling average output. Maybe Reed, Moya, Magill, Morin, Romero or someone else will eventually do that. It is likely we pursue relievers in July but its not a life or death situation where we need to overhaul the bullpen ASAP. I would say wait until July and reassess our needs then. With the best record in the AL and seemingly no challengers for the division there is no dire need to do anything until the deadline.
  17. SomeGuy
    16th in ERA at 4.20 and 13th in FIP at 4.12. Both have been improving lately as well. 2nd in ERA for the last 7 days (2.57) and 11th in the last 14 days (3.99). Should be a good group going forward. Keeping the big 4 healthy will be key. It's a good sign that our "weakness" is league average or better.
  18. SomeGuy
    I would have went with Cesar and his organization leading 13 extra base hits as our youngest hitter at AAA.
  19. SomeGuy
    The bullpen is 6th in MLB for holds and tied for 1st with just 1 blown save. They also come in at 5th overall in terms of WAR. The ERA of 4.63 is ranked 20th for the season but getting better. In the last 2 weeks, we are 15th with a 4.08 ERA more than a half a run per game better. This is a good unit that has had a couple poor early performances in the bottom. I wouldn't say we have bullpen "woes". Two bullpen pieces are injured and we still have Duffey, Vasquez, Romero etc in AAA as depth. As long as the big 4 stay healthy, this is a good group. I don't feel this bullpen needs addressing. Especially considering it's May 1st and only 4 of them have pitched more than 10 innnings.
  20. SomeGuy
    I would agree that you extend the QO if no extension is reached before then. My Cardinals minor league knowledge is weak but I understand that a few of their top prospects are OF and in the upper minors. The Cardinals also seem to be deep at OF at the Major League level. Ozuna is the best of these OF but they will need to determine if the money is better spent somewhere else. I would think that Bader, Fowler, Martinez, ONeill, and prospects would make a capable outfield. Maybe the Cardinals would be better off with a front line starter? The Cardinals seem to be an offensive powerhouse, I think spending the money on the pitching staff would be the best route. As for Ozuna's contract....I'm guessing a healthy season will net him a 4-6 year contract at 20-25M per season. I don't think that would be a terrible deal for the Cardinals but I think they can afford to use that money somewhere else.
  21. SomeGuy
    Its not the one AAA start that means decline. It is the downward trend in all statistical categories. The downward trend in velocity. It is typically better to get out in front of these things instead of saying he will continue to get past results as the declines continue. He should be expected to be worse than last year and even worse in 2020 etc. He is in decline, I don't think there is any disputing that. An NL team that badly needed a starter was probably the best case for him. Stashing starters in the bullpen doesn't always work well. Perez has been much better since leaving the bullpen. Mejia probably would be too. We have depth without Gonzalez, having him wouldn't make our rotation any better. He was not a fit here.
  22. SomeGuy
    Mejia's career ERA of 4.14 as a starter and Stewart's ERA of 3.68 (1.33 when used with opener) compare well. Factor in their age and potential for growth and it is a favorable comparison. Berrios, Perez, and 3 "new" starters (that will likely have MLB starting experience with the Twins) We will probably sign or trade for one aging (declining) veteran, don't expect 4.
  23. SomeGuy
    A 2018 level that was already poor, especially considering his pre-2016 results. ERA and FIP over 4, big decline in k% and increase in BB%. 4 consecutive years now his FIP and xFIP have risen. His velocity is declining. Pitcher in decline. At least he is staying in the NL. I would take all 5 of our rotation over him (and I really dislike Odorizzi).
  24. SomeGuy
    Berrios, Perez, Mejia (3 pitchers currently in the majors) and 2 others, possibly from our own organization. Here is a look at all nine free agent starting pitchers that accepted a contract of 2 years or more. 66% of these pitchers have an ERA over 4.36 so far. JA Happ 2 years 5.96 era Anibal Sanchez 2 years 4.91 era Charlie Morton 2 years 3.38 era Garrett Richards 2 years 3.54 era Merrill Kelly 2 years 4.37 era (rookie) Lance Lynn 3 years 6.51 era Nathan Eovaldi 4 years 6.00 era (just had shoulder surgery) Yusei Kikuchi 4 years 4.68 era (rookie) Patrick Corbin 6 years 2.48 era
  25. SomeGuy
    Will we need 4 new pitchers to the rotation? Perez has an option if he works out. Hopefully someone from Stewart, Mejia, Romero, etc. will finally be able to take on a full-time role. This flexibility probably isn't a bad thing with the early results from Odorizzi, Pineda, and Gibson. I'm not wishing any of them were locked up long term currently. We should (hopefully) only need to fill 1 maybe 2 rotation spots externally for next season.
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