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SomeGuy

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Everything posted by SomeGuy

  1. SomeGuy
    I think the Cubs will have a great year. They won 95 games with down years from Darvish, Bryant, and Rizzo. If just one of them rebounds they should be a serious threat for the World Series.
  2. SomeGuy
    I don't really see him fading out too quickly either. As long as he can pair an upper 90's fastball with a great curveball he should be fine. I expect him to still be a great pitcher 3 years from now. 3/45 probably won't be enough though. I think they will need to at least beat Wade Davis's 3/52M from last year.
  3. SomeGuy
    It's the Canadian Goose strategy of looking bigger and more intimidating. It was originally to relieve stress caused by bicep tendinitis but he says it no longer has a purpose other than being his thing. He says he was having success doing it so he didn't see the need to change even though the tendinitis is no longer an issue. He's only had one DL trip in his career and it was a knee issue in 2016. I don't think health is a serious concern for him.
  4. SomeGuy
    He certainly hasn't risen to the occasion when games actually count. Would any player see the Brewers as a much better position than the Twins? Possibly the best division and on the Brewers who watched all the other division teams make massive improvements while their major signing at the time was Cody Spangelberg. Every team in this division seems to be one injury away from last place. I would think 3 years in the ALC would be tempting for a good hitting catcher. Our only competition is trying to "compete with less." He could hit against pitchers like James Shields and Ian Kennedy every other day. He could DH occasionally (less so with Cruz but maybe year 2 and 3 could get him some additional AB). 3 years for a catcher is a great deal these days from the player prospective, Jason Castro was the last catcher to get 3 or more years.
  5. SomeGuy
    The chances of either getting traded this season has to be near zero. I doubt we are actively trying to make room for any of the 4th outfield options. They all seem to be good fits for 4th OF/ emergency options.
  6. SomeGuy
    His .107 batting average in 92 post season plate appearances and terrible defense last post season say otherwise.
  7. SomeGuy
    How similar are Rooker and Raley... Luke Raley 24 years old, listed at 6'3 220lbs. Plays OF/1B, 2018 at AA: 20HR, .275/.350/.471 Brent Rooker 24 years old, listed at 6'3 215lbs. Plays OF/1B, 2018 at AA 22 HR, .254/.333/.465
  8. SomeGuy
    I'm assuming Luke Raley and Jhoan Duran aren't going to be listed in the top 10 but I would put both ahead of Ben Rortvedt. He is probably outside my top 20.
  9. SomeGuy
    Darren Wolfson of ESPN podcast Minnesota was willing to go to three years at a total of $13-15MM per season in order to bring Grandal aboard. Grandal’s camp, however, told the Twins quickly and definitively that he wasn’t interested in signing there. Given that Grandal landed one state over in Wisconsin, it’s unlikely that geography played much of a role, so perhaps signing with a clearer contender was a priority. Interesting that he preferred 18.25M for 1 season to a 45M/3 year deal. He had a good 2018, I don't think his value will go up with another good year. There's a decent chance that he left some money on the table 3 years from now. He must have really not liked something about Minnesota.
  10. SomeGuy
    Replacing an entire bullpen seems like a stretch. I wanted 2-3 but giving a spot to Romero and/or Mejia fills my expectations. Dan Hayes just said he thinks we might see the Twins enter the Kimbrel sweepstakes but that is mostly speculation and I highly doubt it.
  11. SomeGuy
    In a season where our lineup is relying heavily on multiple breakout seasons I would rather trade that year of Pressly but that's just me. I'm not saying we had to dump him, just that we were right to take a good deal like this if it came along. I take it you're also taking the strides Pressly took with Houston as what we are missing out on in 2019. Not sure how much of that is Houston's coaching. If we are looking to replace the 3.40 ERA (4.70 in 2017) it is a much less daunting replacement. Blake Parker could be argued for that.
  12. SomeGuy
    All projections used by Fangraphs. Steamer 2019 projections Perez 4.69 ERA Odorizzi 4.93 ERA The Bat 2019 projections Perez 4.01 ERA Odorizzi 4.06 ERA ATC 2019 projection Perez 4.69 ERA Odorizzi 4.70 ERA DepthCharts 2019 projections Perez 4.69 ERA Odorizzi 4.93 ERA
  13. SomeGuy
    For me it is not about the money or the roster spot. De Jong is not a huge loss IF he is claimed. Mejia is at risk but can be stashed in the bullpen. The agent didn't do too bad considering how many people expected this to be a minor league signing. Seems like he did pretty good to have 4-5 teams bidding on him if Perez is as bad as this thread seems to think he is. Pretty fair deal all around plus he can get double in 2020 on the option if he does have a nice year.
  14. SomeGuy
    What would Pressly add to that win total? Is that the missing link, a great setup man? It would have been nice to have Pressly but I have to agree with Tom's article when he said the deal was too good to pass on. Projections are a funny thing too. Martin Perez is projected by Steamer to have a better ERA than Odorizzi.
  15. SomeGuy
    At 27 I don't think you can say the questions have been answered. There is a good pitcher in him somewhere, it is a 4M gamble that we can figure out a good way to utilize him. A very small gamble for sure. His career numbers are no worse than our other options, what is there to lose? Just leaving the poor pitchers ballpark in Texas should help, plus he is going from the worst team in a very good division to one of the best teams in a very poor division. I'm sure there are some advanced analytics underlying the Twins interest as well as the other 4-5 teams that were bidding on him.
  16. SomeGuy
    Gonzalves is 3 years younger while Littell is 4. Kindergartners to 3rd grade maybe. Starting MLB at 21 shows how good Perez was supposed to be. Reports were that Houston was bidding on him until the very end. That is interesting to me, those guys are pitching wizards. Speaking of rookies, Martin Perez finished 6th in rookie of the year voting with a 3.62 ERA and 124.1 innings.
  17. SomeGuy
    From a career standpoint that cannot be said of Perez. With this 2018 logic the same could be said about Gonsalvez, Busenitz, and Littell being among the worst in baseball or Berrios in 2016.
  18. SomeGuy
    I wouldn't expect it to be in spring training that he is cut but I could see him losing the rotation spot in spring training.
  19. SomeGuy
    I would want to try him in the bullpen before cutting him in this hypothetical situation. We could also ask him to accept a minor league assignment if he is pitching too poorly. But these "3-5M guys" also have a chance to be successful too. Everyone is pretty eager to say this guy is dragging us down.
  20. SomeGuy
    Alcala is 11th and Celestino is 14th according to MLB.com. Baseball Prospectus has Celestino at 10th. I'm thrilled that 1 year of control for a relief pitcher netted this return.
  21. SomeGuy
    His spot in the rotation is not guaranteed. Neither is his roster spot since it is still only 4M if we decide to cut him. Are you saying there is no scenario where he improves the team? His career ERA of 4.63 is pretty similar to Kyle Gibson's 4.47. Perez is also 4 years younger than Gibson. His career ERA of 4.63 is better than the 2018 ERA from these players; Lance Lynn, Fernando Romero, Gabriel Moya, Alan Busenitz, Tyler Duffey, Ervin Santana, Stephen Gonzalvez, Matt Belisle, Zach Littel, Aaron Slegers, Phil Hughes, and John Curtiss. No guarantee he pitches to a 4 something ERA (or better) but its not that unreasonable that he would. I don't think its fair to say he blocks the development of a youngster when he himself is only 27 with room to develop. He has a mid 90's fastball and one of the better curveball spin rates in MLB. Not many of our youngsters have this skill set and experience. There will be an opening in the rotation at some point this season for other youngsters, this is only a 1 year deal, this is only 4M. I don't see any way this hampers our team.
  22. SomeGuy
    Where would we play Palka in our lineup if we still had him? He is a bad outfielder with limited experience anywhere else. It would likely be between Cave, Cruz and him. Sorry Palka, I'll take the other two. Finding a poor fielding, power hitter with a .240 batting average and under .300 OBP is not that hard to find.
  23. SomeGuy
    Sano is a better hitter than Kepler. Hopefully he proves me right when I've maintained that last year was him not being fully healthy, missed offseason, etc. But pre-2018 Sano was quite a bit better than Kepler has been. Career lines, including 2018 Sano .244/.336/.477 Kepler .233/.313/.417
  24. SomeGuy
    Below are the top 10 catchers of 2015 in terms of WAR. Only two of them were in the top 10 in WAR for 2018. Four had less than 20 plate appearances in 2018. I don't think it's a wise choice to trade a top 10 prospect for someone who is currently among the best at the vulnerable position of catcher. I think there is a very good reason no one has bitten on the Marlins demands yet. Buster Posey (12th in 2018 WAR, age 31) Francisco Cervelli (3rd, age 32) Russell Martin (34th, age 35) Brian McCann (37th,age 34) Derek Norris (zero MLB plate appearances in 2018, age 29) Stephen Vogt (zero MLB plate appearances in 2018, age 34) Nick Hundley (30th, age 35) Travis dArnaud (16 PA in 2018, age 29) Yasmani Grandal (2nd, age 30) Miguel Montero (13 PA in 2018, age 35)
  25. SomeGuy
    3 of the 4 are better than marginal in my opinion and hopefully the FO too. Perez being the odd man out there. I wouldn't call 30 HR .813 OPS .323 OBP a scrap heap player but you and the Rays feel otherwise. Same goes for a career 3.29 ERA 3.60 FIP pitcher. All these players have to do is play close to this level and they are good players IMO. They could be quite a bit worse than this and still be decent. Even with Schoop I feel that a decent or better 2019 is a better bet than being flat out terrible.
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