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Nine of twelve

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Everything posted by Nine of twelve

  1. When the Twins made the decision to keep Pagan on staff I was open minded about it. I assumed that the FO and on-field people felt that he could be effective with proper coaching and proper use. And I thought it was the right thing to do to give him opportunities to prove himself. While he has mostly done OK, when things have gone bad for him things have gone very bad. Every reliever on a team with championship aspirations needs to be able to do the job in any situation and it seems to me that he is simply not reliable enough. I think the time has come to thank him for his service and wish him the best of luck in his future elsewhere.
  2. Sometimes you're the pigeon, sometimes you're the statue. On Monday Cuzzi was the pigeon and the Twins were the statue. Today the Dodgers were the pigeon and Pagan was the statue.
  3. Obviously there is never one and only one reason for a loss. But in this case I think the two obvious missed calls on the Kirilloff strikeout had a very large effect. Moreover, Kirilloff did not make a mistake in that at-bat. Cuzzi did. I think it's very, very likely that the Twins would have scored at least one more run in the top of the tenth if not for those blown calls. And that would have won the game. Cuzzi's poor umpiring is a reason for the loss that is just as real as any other reason.
  4. What's even more telling than Cuzzi's poor grade is Gibson's grade. The best human pitch-caller is about 94% accurate. I don't have a citation for this, but it's my understanding that electronic systems have been more accurate than that for many years. As said before, there is no good reason not to replace human pitch callers with electronic ones.
  5. My patience regarding this issue has evaporated. At this point I say **** both Manfred and the union. Just get the right thing done.
  6. Why have challenges? In a challenge the electronic call supersedes the human call. So just use the electronic call in the first place.
  7. And this is the 14th season since that happened in which he has continued to umpire. It's unconscionable that MLB has not relieved him of duty.
  8. I didn't see any of this game. When I checked on the outcome this morning I was disappointed in the Twins for scoring only once in the 10th inning after having the bases loaded with no outs. And then I saw the Kirilloff strikeout. Now instead I'm disappointed in Phil Cuzzi. I believe that Cuzzi truly thought those pitches were strikes, which shows two things. One, some umpires are better than others (and Cuzzi is not one of the better ones). Two, the outcome of this game was almost certainly changed by these incorrect calls, and this would not have happened with electronic pitch calling. While Cuzzi is largely to blame for the Kirilloff strikeout, MLB is also culpable for not implementing electronic pitch calling. Everyone who has studied this matter knows that the electronic system is more accurate than the best human umpires. While there are reasons to prefer human pitch calling over electronic pitch calling in the Major Leagues there are no good reasons--absolutely none--to do so. I am disgusted.
  9. There are two ways to evaluate trades. One, base judgement on information available and the team's needs at the time of the trade. Two, base judgement on the career path of each player involved from the time of the trade forward. Subsequent transactions involving those players create a trade tree which branches with subsequent transactions, so a complete evaluation of a trade can require literally decades in some cases.
  10. The trade in which Mahle was acquired is completely immaterial. The trade did not cause this injury nor was there a way to anticipate this injury. Nor does the trade have any bearing on what happens from this point forward. So I hope the trade can be left out of further discussion on this matter. Injuries are almost always mostly just bad luck, and I hope Mahle's recovery is complete and rapid. Regarding his future with the Twins, I'm sure it will be a difficult decision for Falvine. He has been a good enough pitcher to merit a spot in the rotation, but even if he had stayed healthy it was not certain we'd have had room for him next season depending on how much our starting pitching prospects progress this season. And depending on Sonny Gray. It's a gamble to keep Mahle and it's a gamble to let him go. I just hope our front office makes the best educated guess.
  11. And, even if he's fully recovered after a year, the following winter.
  12. I almost never boo any player. Even a Yankee. I think almost every player tries hard to do the best he can. The only thing that I would consider booing is obvious intentional poor sportsmanship. Now, I realize that includes cheating like the Astros did but for me the statute of limitations on that has expired. I think Correa and most of the players and coaches involved in that now regret their actions, although I wish more of them would say so publicly.
  13. The ABS may be different, but if it's correct and our eyes are not (which is almost certainly the case) then our eyes are what causes the issues, not the ABS.
  14. To make the difference clear to myself I watched this video. I conclude that you are probably correct. BTW, I notice that the Straw Man fallacy and the Slippery Slope fallacy have a word in common because they have in common the attribute of not actually refuting an argument.
  15. Of the four aspects of baseball (pitching, batting, fielding, and base running) pitching has always been and will always be the most important. The other three aspects tend to manifest themselves on highlight videos whereas pitching tends to manifest itself in the standings. Regarding our current team, I think our batting will improve over what it has been so far this year. We haven't been hitting well but we're in first place in spite of that and I think we have a good shot at staying there.
  16. The foundation of this challenge rule is that when the electronic call differs from the human call the electronic call will be enforced. This is because the electronic call is far more likely to be correct than the human call. By putting this challenge rule in place baseball executives are acknowledging that fact. So there is no reason to even bother with the challenge rule when the electronic system can make the call as quickly as humans and more accurately than humans. It simply reinforces how silly it is to use an inferior method of calling pitches when a superior method is available.
  17. I don't think there are systems that have been developed to make those calls. I'm not aware of any. Are you? This is why home plate umpires are still needed and important.
  18. I stand corrected. There is a margin of error with electronic pitch calling. It is a much smaller margin of error than that of the current system of using humans. Moreover, this margin of error can be improved upon in the case of electronic systems; the human margin of error cannot be improved upon. The argument that because there is a margin of error with electronic systems they should not be adopted does not hold water. If they are better than humans it's time to make the change. And, if a pitch is within the margin of error a program can either call it a strike every time, call it a ball every time, or use a random number generator of some kind to call a ball or a strike. I do not know the precise details of how the systems determine the location of the pitch. And it's not necessary to know all the details in order to know that they do that well. I don't know the details of how my phone works either, but it does what I need it to do and it does that well.
  19. The speed and movement of pitches was beyond what a human umpire could accurately perceive on a consistent basis 100 years ago.
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