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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    So now sample sizes don't matter anymore? Also, out hitting one of the worst hitters in the history of MLB isn't impressive.
  2. bean5302
    No team in baseball would allow one of their top 5 prospect to be claimed by DFA'ing them. It would be grounds for an immediate dismissal of the GM. The fact the Twins have never given Rodriguez a single plate appearance and he's still on the roster speaks volumes about the level of ineptness this front office has already.
  3. bean5302
    They haven't been very good in the minors, generally, either.
  4. bean5302
    Kendle certainly has an interesting path. Generally, age + level + experience are factors. Kendle was signed as a senior from NCAA Div I. On the surface, you'd expect him to be over-experienced in MiLB, where it can be easy for experienced players to show polish over talent. Kendle's a little different. He missed Jr and Sr years of high school, but absolutely raked after he gained weight back. He did have a hiccup in Cedar Rapids his first time through, but he's proving quite a bit at AA. I can't say I love the K vs. BB rates, and the BABIP is floating his production a lot in AA, but I don't see a reason why he wouldn't pass by a guy like Young.
  5. bean5302
    So good he allowed 3 runs in 4 innings. Sounds like 2nd half Joe Ryan and his stuff all right. I wish this site would stop shoving the Joe Ryan dark horse Cy Young experience down every fans throat.
  6. bean5302
    Guess I forgot about Gray. Sure, the Twins can make a QO to every single pending free agent on the roster. It's guaranteed draft picks!
  7. bean5302
    Jeffers a 4 WAR season if he hadn't been hurt? Maybe. He was out for 48 games? Expect he'd have played in about 30 of them. He still has to play out the last 20 games this year as well. He could wind up at 2 WAR on the year if he slumps. Pre-injury = wRC+ 167 Post injury = wRC+ 121 Overall '26 = wRC+ 142 Overall '26 +30G at wRC+ 121 = wRC+136 Last 4 years = wRC+ 122 He looks to be having a career year right now. That does not mean teams are going to give him a contract based on his career year, but I do think it helps Jeffers with +1 contract year or a couple million of AAV.
  8. bean5302
    The assumption would be the player would make the team better or the experience would make the player better for the following year. It's not like September call ups haven't been used for those purposes for decades...
  9. bean5302
    I don't think Lewis has shown enough at the plate to be a first baseman and I don't think using him there makes best use of his skills. That said, I would prefer Lewis over having a dumpster dive 0-1 WAR free agent there when that seemed to be Falvinezoll's objective every year. Can't fathom why anybody would think putting Keaschall at 1B is a good idea when he can't catch baseballs. 1B isn't considered a position with a lot of variance in defensive value because everybody who makes it to MLB can catch baseballs (except Luke Keaschall).
  10. bean5302
    @PuckettPond cheering for a lost season here, love it!
  11. bean5302
    Actually... May 18th. 22-26 May 19th-July 9th 24-22 (no Jeffers) July 10th-Now 22-28 Total with Jeffers 44-54 Total w/o Jeffers 24-22
  12. bean5302
    It's true. Maybe Zoll learned his negotiation tactics from Falvey based on Berrios.
  13. bean5302
    He's fine as a back end bullpen option for next year, but his optioning back to AAA says the Twins don't believe in him. He'll be 29 next year with 17 innings to his big league career. Man, the looming lock out is truly depressing. I hope guys like Acton find a way to put pressure on the MLBPA to start negotiating and giving the middle finger to the Bryce Harpers sitting on their mountain of cash who want another "victory" with not a care in the world.
  14. bean5302
    Sources please.
  15. bean5302
    Ownership doesn't extend QO's. The front office does, but they haven't had a player on the roster worth a QO under Falvinezoll. Says a lot about them, really. Wasn't Jake Odorizzi the last? But he was coming off a 4.3 WAR campaign
  16. bean5302
    I think the issue at play is the assumption Jeffers is guaranteed to decline the QO. He'll probably decline it, but 2-3 WAR players virtually never get a QO. I think he's probably in line for 3yrs $40MM to 4yrs $50MM as he's slowly coming back to Earth. A 1yr $23-24MM contract and getting out from under the QO gets Jeffers big value. No more QO's allowed, and 2 years of pay for 1 year of play. I'd be fine with the Twins offering him an extension for 4yrs so long as it didn't come with a NTC allowing the Twins to move on if the catching prospects make their way up the ladder.
  17. bean5302
    Yeah. He's my favorite player, but at this point, Lewis has to be looked at as a league average hitter at best. What a bummer. No real spot for him on the roster. Could be a UI if the Twins trusted his glove at all, but it's hard to do that either.
  18. bean5302
    I don't want Jeffers at $24MM. If the QO is an obvious major overpay, you don't offer it. If a team's "MVP" is a 2-3 WAR player, the team has some issues bigger than trying to hold on to the supposed "MVP"
  19. bean5302
    As I stated "31 PA is nothing." In plain speak, 31 plate appearances is insufficient to draw any meaningful conclusions without extreme stats like 50% K rates vs. 5% BB rates. Your data is garbage because the data set is too small to draw any meaningful conclusion. Please don't ask me to break it down more than that for you.
  20. bean5302
    Since Brooks Lee can choose to get a hit under high leverage, it'd be nice if he didn't choose to suck in lower leverage situations.
  21. bean5302
    He's not a "raw talent" at the plate or on the bases. He was a college pick now in his 3rd year in the minors. Most top college picks are already on MLB rosters from 2024. If Diaw doesn't make the big show next year, he's probably a bust. I don't need to conclude he's he's too slow for center, but he's certainly much more likely to be inadequate there than adequate.
  22. bean5302
    You have entirely missed the point.
  23. bean5302
    Why do TD writers make stuff up? There was no second half collapse. The Twins had a .495 winning percentage at the half. They own a .476 winning percentage now. They went 20-26 (.435), which isn't a collapse, but substantially off their previous (non-competitive pace). In order to be in a position of BARELY hanging on to a final wild card spot right now, the Twins would have needed to play 25-21 after the half (.543). Major improvement. That would put them at 73-70 or .510.
  24. bean5302
    Okay, let's ignore the sample size you don't like? First, his scouting reports indicate he's an average runner. While scouting reports on run speed aren't concrete by any means, looking for data which supports or detracts from it is common sense for me. Khadim Diaw has been poor at stealing bases this year. Second, you're cherry picking, ignoring the fact he was caught 3x in 6 attempts in Cedar Rapids. Third, 2 CS in 11 attempts isn't good. Anything worse than 75% success and you're literally hurting the team more than helping. His CS rate is "adequate" in AA, it is very poor in A+, and overall, it's below acceptable. Fourth, the fact Diaw has only attempted 19 steals this year despite being on first base at least 136 times when stolen base attempts are so common in the minors speaks quite a bit on its own (81 singles, 55 walks). Khadim Diaw ranks 18th of 32 players in the Twins' MiLB system in stolen bases this year, and 17th in attempts. That's despite ranking 3rd in singles and 8th in BBs. He's had far more opportunities to attempt a steal than most other players, but he doesn't try. That suggests he knows he'll probably be thrown out.
  25. bean5302
    Jenkins is learning MLB is hard. I doubt there's ever been a year where the adjustment from AAA to MLB has been harder for a batter with how abominable the AAA pitching in the International League has been. 31 PA is nothing. .115/.258/.269 OPS .527, 16.1% BB, 25.8% K take 2 Ks and turn them into doubles .192/.323/.423 OPS .746, 16.1% BB, 19.4% K
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