bean5302
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Everything posted by bean5302
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Bailey Ober Is Reinventing Himself in Real Time
bean5302 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
4.0 innings starts and a 6.75 ERA is okay? Paddack was much better than that last year, and 2022 Dylan Bundy was a lot better than 2025 Paddack. For pitchers with 100 innings last year, by ERA, that would make Ober the 3rd worst starting pitcher in the game. MLB is not the place for learning how to pitch. That's what the minors are there for and Ober needs to quickly figure things out or he should go to AAA where the coaches can hopefully help him recover 3mph of velo. I'm not sure how Pablo Lopez comes into this? He's not a coach, and he doesn't throw 88-89mph. Ober's simply not a viable starter at 88-89mph, and I think there's a pretty strong agreement among this forum in regard to that position. Maybe with some warmer weather Ober's velo will pick up. It's worth hoping he's able to put it together in the next 3 starts or so. -
There's a huge difference from knowing everything you do is watched and tracked vs. if you strike out at this plate appearance, you'll probably get demoted.
- 47 replies
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- game recap
- mick abel
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Personally, I believe the Twins should have torn it down, traded Lopez, Ryan, and Buxton for sure and built a beast of a farm system. I also posted a true reconstruction to be competitive after Tom fired Falvey. A legitimate, lets be competitive in 2026 plan. It would have thinned the farm a bit, bumped the payroll a bit, and it would have resulted in higher payrolls in 2027+ as more players would have been arb eligible, but it was a legit plan IMHO. Then there's what the Twins did. Juuuuuust about nothing. There is a high ceiling on the team, but it requires so many things to go right, and already a couple major things have gone sideways (Lopez, Matthews). Oh well. It is what it is. Anyway, it's MLB through April 4th. These are the players the front office wanted so it's time to stick by them and see what they can do for at least a full month, probably until mid-May before advocating for demotions, etc. IMHO, there are few things which hurt inexperienced player performance more than a quick hook. The belief every single pitch or swing has to be perfect or you're going to AAA is a horrible thing. In the office world, nothing creates an environment which is more hostile, distracting and dysfunctional than feeling like you're under a microscope. It's also 35* out there...
- 47 replies
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- game recap
- mick abel
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Reason for optimism for the 2026 team? Guys who aren't on the roster, but might be some day. LOL. The Twins need a lot of career years out of their roster to be competitive. We'll see, but this looks like a wasted season right now.
- 52 replies
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- byron buxton
- brooks lee
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Correa nearly drown because he was trying to swim with his son (in a lifejacket) on his shoulders and while he was in the middle of drowning, he still had his kid, safely in a life jacket on his shoulders? Yeahhhh, no. The kid obviously had no life jacket on, and Correa was lying to avoid potential legal issues or reputation damage, etc. While I'm extremely glad nobody was seriously injured as a result of what happened, it's only natural to expect a lot of criticism in these scenarios. Anybody who has spent significant time on the water has witnessed somebody in over their head, and too often you don't realize how bad off somebody was until minutes later when everything sinks in. Reckless activity which results in scares brings back a lot of pain and bad memories out there in addition to negative attention to people's favorite places.
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Knowing this organization, they'll option Luke Keaschall and start Alex Jackson every day at 2B until September.
- 45 replies
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- ryan kreidler
- eric wagaman
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I'd say more like his "adequate" spring performance. 47 PA .302/.362/.395 OPS .757 wRC+ 104. Very Austin Martin-like. No power, speedy, needs to walk more to get the OBP up high enough to provide value. Let's be real about Roden. Roden probably shouldn't have been asked to repeat AA for the beginning of 2024, but he earned a spot opening day for the Blue Jays in 2025 and proceeded to defecate the bed. There's a high degree of likelihood he's a AAAA player, but the possibility he could be solid as a 4th outfielder.
- 84 replies
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- alan roden
- trevor larnach
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Maybe we sould put a bunch of players in a box of "returns" guaranteed to be worth at least 50 surplus value and trade them all for a quality addition?
- 45 replies
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- ryan kreidler
- eric wagaman
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I think there are just a couple different perspectives. 1. all veterans are the best thing ever. no matter how useless they've been in the last 5 years, they're the best! keep them around so the smell of ben gay is strong in the air at Target Field. 2. maybe just spend money on the good players and cut players who are clearly detrimental to the team?
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Exceptionally critical the Twins optioned Kridler instead of DFAing him. We really need to hang on to that one! Gonna be a superstar for sure!
- 45 replies
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- ryan kreidler
- eric wagaman
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I mean... they sorta changed managers. Shelton is widely regarded as Baldelli v2.0. Honestly, Falzoll has failed miserably when it comes to tender/trade opportunities on a consistent basis. The Twins have been stuck with players they really shouldn't have wanted on the roster at the price they cost vs. other depth options who could have replaced them. Kepler, Polanco, Farmer, Larnach, it really doesn't end. Same 'ol, same 'ol.
- 45 replies
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- ryan kreidler
- eric wagaman
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The same Marek Houston who made Ryan Kreidler look like a legitimate MVP candidate last year? .152/.220/.239 OPS .459 in Cedar Rapids (low minors) Marek Houston? Royce Lewis at SS is better than Brooks Lee at SS, IMHO. Btw, Brooks Lee isn't exactly tearing it up in ST, though he does have a lucky .341 BABIP helping him out.
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Funderburk had some outstanding results a couple years ago, too. His debut was more than just simply dominant. He was in a different league striking out over 40% of batters (14.25 K/9) while allowing just 1 run across 12 innings. All memory of his 2023 debut was quickly erased in 2024 where Funderburk's Achillies heel surfaced. He's been unable to hit the broad side of a barn and while getting MLB hitters to chase great stuff is possible, getting them to chase terrible pitches, even with great movement, is almost impossible. I don't have any faith in Funderburk.
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Is It Time to Sound the Panic Alarm On Bailey Ober?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's physics. It's based on physical and mathematical laws, not 2 pitchers. The 2 pitchers were used as an example. I'm more impressed with Driveline's published findings based on mathematical law than your personal opinion so I'll stick with Driveline. -
Is It Time to Sound the Panic Alarm On Bailey Ober?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Driveline's article talks about it. Basically, there are ways to get efficiency from throwing motions. Longer levers (arms) require more torque/power to accelerate them, but that's offset by higher relative velocity (same throwing motion over the same amount of time for a long arm means the hand/baseball is traveling faster). There's also an inherent PERCEIVED velocity as the taller the pitcher is, the longer their legs and arms and the closer to the plate they can be when they release the ball (extension). It doesn't make the ball travel any faster, it just makes it feel faster. -
Definitely no change in philosophy. There have been plenty of MiLB contracts handed out to former veterans with ST invites where the players didn't make the roster in recent years. Nothing to see here. A change in philosophy would be DFA'ing an MLB contract player who was performing poorly in spring training.
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Twins Spring Battle: Orlando Arcia vs. Ryan Kreidler
bean5302 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Right, the REAL problem is Brooks Lee should be the guy we're talking about as the backup, utility infielder. The Twins had to work hard to find guys who will make Lee look like a starter.- 45 replies
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- orlando arcia
- ryan kreidler
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Is It Time to Sound the Panic Alarm On Bailey Ober?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No, the point is tall pitchers don't have any major inherent advantage in velo. It is NOT a significant advantage in achieving velocity. I even linked you to Driveline's analysis and gave you examples of short (6'0") pitchers near the top of the MLB starting pitcher leaderboards. If you'd like to provide some credible source which conflicts with Driveline's analysis, please feel free.

