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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    I'd be fine DFA'ing Vazquez so Baldelli can't use him and promoting Cardenas to MLB for that matter. Cardenas is 25. Sink or swim. I'm sick of the Twins log jamming players until they have gray beards.
  2. bean5302
    Larnach has been far better lately, but his swing is too flat right now which is eating into his power production. He's never had what I would call an "upper cut" swing which typically results in a lot of home runs, though he got close to it in 2023. The most profound adjustment Larnach has made was last year to cut down on his enormous K rate. His walk rate dropped by 30%, too, but he just wasn't an MLB caliber player while he was striking out 35% of the time. I'm not sure how things will finally pan out for him. He's got very little defensive versatility with a mediocre arm and poor speed so the bat will have to carry him. I do think calls to move him to 1B are a fairly good idea, and at 1B, his bat might be "good enough."
  3. bean5302
    Yep. Looks terrible this year, but even more pointed on why the Twins should have traded Miranda instead of clinging to assets they didn't trust and then going out and getting an ultra bargain basement AAAA guy on a MiLB contract to overtly supplant Miranda. Bush league.
  4. bean5302
    a25 Cardenas (C) - .243/.391/.419 wRC+ 128 (16 games 144 innings caught 36% CS) a25 Cossetti (C/1B) - .211/.341/.394 wRC+ 106 (14 games 113 innings caught 12% CS) a23 Olivar (C/OF) - .298/.367/.450 wRC+ 124 (13 games 106 innings caught 25% CS) For whatever reason cannot be comprehended, the Twins are desperate to retain Winkel and Camargo rather than releasing them or pushing them lower in the system. Cardenas and Olivar have both controlled the run game well, with Cardenas being well above average. Olivar is the only prospect among them due to age, but Cardenas has some history of hitting well (was bad last year.).
  5. bean5302
    Anyway... Ty France is making $1MM / yr. He's producing fine for that amount of money. France was brought in on a MiLB contract with an invite, and he made the team in part because the organization doesn't have any faith in Miranda. France's offer was practically the same as Mike Ford got. With all the injuries, it could be worse, I suppose. The Twins have $80MM tied up in Correa, Buxton, Vazquez, Bader, Castro and Jeffers. That's plenty of cash for a mid-market team.
  6. bean5302
    I think it's clear Prielipp is following Raya's use path from last year. If the organization was developing him as a reliever, Prielipp would be pitching 3x a week, one inning at a time rather than 1x per week for 3.0-4.0 innings and 50 pitches at a time. Falvey's been clear he thinks Prielipp will be in the 'pen eventually, but Falvey's not the pitching coach or involved in the day to day development process of prospects. The people who are involved want Prielipp starting, and that's absolutely the right call for a guy with potentially 3 plus pitches because those guys are your upper rotation options if they can stay healthy. https://www.mlb.com/news/connor-prielipp-impressing-at-double-a-after-dealing-with-injuries
  7. bean5302
    Carlos Correa began baseball activities. I think he'll be back at the minimum 7 days. Buxton is a little behind him, apparently. https://www.mlb.com/news/carlos-correa-byron-buxton-concussion-il-progressing-after-collision
  8. bean5302
    Not normal, can't imagine it's related to a promotion. The development list was designed as a tool to remove guys from the competition roster while allowing them to stick with the team. It lets them continue to practice and work on issues outside of a game environment or going onto the IL. The actual rules are pretty undefined so teams can pretty much use it for anything, and it wouldn't surprise me if the Twins were using it for roster manipulation. A player has to stay on the list for 7 days. It might be more related to other roster moves while the Twins figure out who belongs in AA since Prielipp just pitched. The Twins have used it before with pitchers to build them up (like SWR after we acquired him).
  9. bean5302
    I get what you're saying. Castro wasn't elected and he wasn't really a default choice by the team (Correa), Castro was an alternate for the default. Kind of a round-about way to make it to the All Star Game. That said, Castro's performance at the point voting ended was All Star worthy, and he was selected by MLB, not the Twins if I understand correctly. Carlos Correa got a $100k bonus as a result of making the All Star Game so that might have influenced the Twins' decision making? Castro was at .274/.361/.448 wRC+ 133 while owning 2.7 fWAR, which was 13th highest in the American League among position players. Given he played pretty much everywhere, he'd have been electable for nearly any position.
  10. bean5302
    France hasn't been good as a 1B, but he's been... borderline adequate as a bench player. While his expected metrics are higher, I don't see a strong link to his batted ball data and a surge in production the xwOBA would suggest. That said, France isn't being paid the kind of money a starting position player in MLB should be making. France is being paid to be a bench bat. Offensively, his production is right on par with last year thanks to almost nothing other than singles. Defensively, he's okay, and thankfully, last year's defensive train wreck was a total aberration.
  11. bean5302
    Royce Lewis' dirt slow 25.6 ft/sec sprint speed, and the frequent clutching at his hamstring after swinging at pitches tells a very different story about how he's been feeling. As far as Brooks Lee, if people are hanging their hopes on him to carry the team, that's going to be tough. I just don't see much signal he's a better than average MLB bat.
  12. bean5302
    Tonkin shoulder strain? Add that to the list of ever growing arm injuries. I'm skeptical he'll pitch again at this point.
  13. bean5302
    Do you guys not know what retractable roofs are? Dome is not the same as a retractable roof.
  14. bean5302
    Prielipp can be moved to AAA any time now. His control and command were excellent yesterday. He was pounding the zone and painting the edges (just like he was, but getting bad calls the game before). I don't think there's a good reason to keep him in AA at this point. Prielipp's striking out 12.13 K/9 (32.6%) and only walking 1.96 BB/9 (5.3%). The marks are elite. This is about the time last year where the Twins opened up Marco Raya to 60 pitches, up from 50. Raya was stretched to up to 80 pitches after the All Star Game. Prielipp should get the same treatment. Gotta see if he can handle the starter workload. Either he can or he can't. Speaking of AA promotions, both Cardenas and Olivar look like better catching options than what we have at AAA...
  15. bean5302
    Virtually the entire AL Central is a disaster for early season weather. Cleveland, Detroit, Chicago and Minnesota all have open air stadiums with lots of icy weather and rain. Kansas City is the only nice venue early in the season, but it can be miserable in summer time with super hot weather coupled with high humidity. Target Field is no worse than the aforementioned sites (or the Cubs), and it's only marginally worse than what Phillies, Yankees, Mets or Rockies fans endure. Great weather = San Diego. Doesn't rain often, doesn't get too hot, doesn't get too cold, always open skies. Good weather = No times of the year where it's likely going to be bitter cold or excruciatingly hot/humid, unlikely to get rained/snowed out or has a retractable roof. Fair weather = Might be chilly, but doesn't come icy with precipitation often or with brutal heat/humidity. Poor weather = A significant portion of the season where it will likely be miserable to go to a game. Whether it's below 50* with rain or 95* with intense humidity. Dome = Great weather: Padres Good weather: Nationals Orioles Reds Pirates Angels Dodgers Brewers Mariners Blue Jays Astros Fair weather Yankees Mets Red Sox Phillies Rockies Diamondbacks Rangers Giants Poor weather: Twins Tigers Cubs Guardians Athletics White Sox Braves Royals Cardinals Domes: Marlins Rays
  16. bean5302
    48* and raining is the forecast for tomorrow at 12:10pm. Guessing they're going to try to fit in at least through inning 5 and call it.
  17. bean5302
    You can add that was 18 years ago, late in the season (August) and from Cleveland's 4th straight postponement game.
  18. bean5302
    Yes, it would be completely insane to move a game or two of Minnesota Twins baseball to U.S Bank Stadium with no notice. Concessions and event management are totally different companies from U.S. Bank Stadium to Target Field. How do you determine the new seating chart? Schedules for U.S Bank Stadium workers are already out and Delaware North Staff can't just take over. Post Malone is playing U.S. Bank Stadium tonight. How do you propose the late night concert to be cleaned, the stadium prepped for fans and completely converted to a baseball field for an MLB event with no notice?
  19. bean5302
    There is some truth to this, but there is also a flip side. If we left it purely up to voters, teams with a weak national fan bases would rarely see "All Star" position players. I look at it in a couple stages. 1) Was the player voted in? 2) Did the player deserve to be in, even if they didn't win the popular vote? The AL Shortstops as of July 3rd, 2024 (when voting ended) were: (BAL) Gunnar Henderson .284/.379/.593 wRC+ 175 - 5.3 fWAR (MVP-like pace) (KCR) Bobby Witt, Jr. .314/.366/.543 wRC+ 149 - 4.8 fWAR (MVP-like pace) (NYY) Anthony Volpe .256/.310/.384 wRC+ 97 - 2.5 fWAR (TEX) Corey Seager .260/.344/.451 wRC+ 122 - 2.0 fWAR (TOR) Bo Bichette .228/.282/.330 wRC+ 74 - 0.4 fWAR (HOU) Jeremy Pena .277/.323/.389 wRC+ 105 - 1.6 fWAR (CLE) Brayan Rocchio .218/.313/.315 wRC+ 85 - 0.8 fWAR (MIN) Carlos Correa, .310/.379/.512 wRC+ 152 - 3.2 fWAR Clearly behind Henderson and Witt, Jr. who were on MVP caliber paces, Correa wasn't going to be one of the shortstops, but his season was All Star worthy at that point even though he missed quite a bit of time with injury. Any player on pace to produce 4.0+ WAR in a season is All Star worthy IMHO.
  20. bean5302
    If Falvey gets his way, Prielipp will be in the 'pen. If the pitching coach gets his way, Prielipp will stick in the rotation. I hope Prielipp remains in the rotation, and he continues to pitch well. Morris probably isn't an MLB starter so I could see him used out of the 'pen if needed, but I think Adams is more likely to be moved into that role right now.
  21. bean5302
    I'd like to see them promoted today. Demote Camargo or Winkel. Cartaya is in Ft Myers on a developmental assignment and he's been there for a couple weeks.
  22. bean5302
    Sorry, this is my fault. Have tickets tomorrow to Dugout Box and Friday for Club Level with a friend flying in from out of town. This was pretty much a guaranteed outcome.
  23. bean5302
    I'm not sure what point you're trying to make here? That Gonzalez wouldn't have been traded for Polanco unless the Twins ate part of DeSclafani's contract? My point is the Twins took back a player they didn't want because Falvey overplayed his hand yet again and got backed into a corner. Seattle happily got rid of DeSclafani, but nobody really benefited from the trade at all because everybody sucked. The trade was a loss for the Twins because they would have been much better off declining the option on Polanco in the first place. There's potentially a saving grace in that Gonzalez could eventually become something. The trade was a loss for the Mariners because Polanco was terrible, but their saving grace is at least they unloaded a portion of DeSclafani's contract which seemed impossible at the time.
  24. bean5302
    I don't think that's going to be an issue at all. DFA candidates are Fitzgerald, Camargo, Bride, Keirsey. All easy DFAs. I don't think Alcala or even Funderburk would be hard sells as DFA candidates, either.
  25. bean5302
    Indeed, it would be an extremely fast drop for a guy who only has 29 PA, but a track record of success at the MLB level (Miranda). I'm not even sure what to make of Julien at this point. Honestly, just seems like his power isn't playing anymore. Otherwise, he's not that far off from his 2023 AAA production sources. Still only 55 PA, but after his full season of struggles last year, and another cold start this year with a sample size that's growing, he certainly doesn't look good.
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