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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    He had a strained UCL last year. He had a strained UCL this year. The strain he had this year eventually required surgery.
  2. bean5302
    Chase Petty last 4 starts at A+ as a 19yr old = 3.06 ERA, 2.29 FIP, 13.25 K/9 (35.6%), 1.53 BB/9 (4.1%), 0.96 WHIP. He is dominating high A right now, and he's looking like a true potential ace despite his first A+ start hiccup. It's not like anybody can say he'll continue to dominate since sometimes things just don't pan out (Balazovic). The false dilemma is strong on the Gray or Petty choice around here. You could have both. Or you could have Petty and a different starter. I'm sure the Reds didn't say "Petty or NOTHING!!!"
  3. bean5302
    I feel like losing the Wildcard series 2-1 would be like tossing a cracker to a starving person.
  4. bean5302
    A lot depends on this post season. If the Twins make it, win a playoff series or especially the World Series, it will be worth it. A playoff series win would be absolutely huge for this franchise. If the Twins miss the postseason, it's going to be very hard to justify the outflow of talent, especially if the top prospects in the minors don't all take major steps forward down the stretch.
  5. bean5302
    Looking for a little bright side (like the Twins' fWAR) isn't wrong, and the trade moves were all very good. The reviews were all glowing around here because it was obvious the moves the front office made were good. It's just a question of whether or not it was enough.
  6. bean5302
    Gordon actually has a very strong arm... He was throwing mid 90s across the diamond. You can hate him for his first step, but he has all the tools to be a solid center fielder including the range, the route running and the arm.
  7. bean5302
    I do not see the Twins picking up Bundy's option at $11MM. It's just too much to pay for even a solid #5. I also think Bundy might turn this season into a 2 year contract somewhere. It's tough to gauge what the market will look like.
  8. bean5302
    If spin rates and pitch velocity were the only things that mattered, Pagan would be great. He's not. You can have the best spin rate in the world and the highest velocity in the world, but if the hitters know when and where the ball is going to be, they're going to put it in the seats. Very few pitchers are Mariano Rivera who can throw a single pitch with devastating results. Deception is important. If hitters know what's coming, they're going to crush it. Placement is important. Hang a curve in the meat of the strike zone and hitters will crush it. Velocity is valuable. Obviously, faster means less time to react. Spin rate is valuable. The faster is spins, the more it moves, but when it moves can depend a lot on the grip and throwing motion. If a ball consistently moves in a nice arc, hitters will crush it. Later break is much better. Bundy may not have huge velocity, but there's a big velocity and movement separation between his pitches. Lefties struggle to figure out whether it's a changeup, curve or a 4 seamer and righties need to figure out if it's a 4 seamer, sinker or slider. If they all look the same coming out of the hand, it's just a guessing game. Guess wrong and it's a strike or mediocre contact. Because Bundy doesn't issue free passes, and he can get away with allowing more hits. WHIP is what's important and Bundy's WHIP is 1.21 (good enough).
  9. bean5302
    It's possible, but the Twins would have to call him up in the next 2 days if he's going to be eligible for the playoffs. How crazy would it be to call him up later, have him perform well, then have to cut him before the playoffs?
  10. bean5302
    Twins fans just seem to get so attached to players who don't "suck." When it comes to Gio Urshela, his current salary is $6.5MM and his raise will probably be to something along the lines of $10MM. He's not a better option at 3B, 1B or DH than what the Twins have right now, even with all their current injuries, and I wouldn't want him playing away from those positions due to defensive value. He's honestly not a better option than what we already have today, right now, and $10MM could be much better spent someplace other than corner infield depth.
  11. bean5302
    I would non-tender Urshela and allow him to enter free agency.
  12. bean5302
    I hate to break this to people, but Wallner was drafted in 2019. Wallner's ETA would have been 2021 at the very earliest and 2022 would have been a perfectly reasonable timeframe for him even with a full 2020 season. He's been promoted at a good pace. Theoretical No Lost 2020 schedule. 2019 A- Ball 2020 A+/AA 2021 AA/AAA 2022 AAA/MLB Would anybody believe that wasn't a solid promotion schedule for a late comp A pick? Now remove 2020... Wallner's moving right along in the minors. He was drafted a year after Larnach and 2 years after Rooker.
  13. bean5302
    At the game tonight. Here's what I remember. I ate all the things. I looked up and saw Joe Ryan at 100 pitches at 5.1 innings. He made it to 107 on the night. Ryan came into the game averaging 87 pitches a game (by far the highest of the Twins starters). Ryan wasn't working super efficiently early on, but settled into things a little bit better after the first couple innings and really turned it into a nice start overall. Garlick looked really good out there. No rust to be seen while playing solid defense and making a lot of great contact, and the Twins hitters really fed off one another and there were a number of near hits as well. I'm going to try to stay positive on this post and leave out the negatives. Twins win!
  14. bean5302
    Nick Gordon is the Buxton replacement for the rest of the year. Billy Hamilton is an emergency depth/defensive replacement/pinch runner type.
  15. bean5302
    Were there perhaps other assets the Twins had on the MLB or MiLB system which could have been used to secure a starting pitcher as good or better than Gray? Yeah, that's what I thought... This false dilemma is awful common on the boards lately.
  16. bean5302
    Speaking of Petty, I'd be surprised if he wasn't in AA next year. 5 starts in A+ with a 10.38 K/9 a 2.91 BB/9 and a 3.17 FIP. He's dominated his last 3 starts. That one could cost Falvey his job.
  17. bean5302
    The season strike out percentages don't tell a very clear story on Wallner. His strikeout rate has improved every single month this year. April = 39.2% strikeouts May = 31.4% strikeouts June = 29.5% strikeouts July = 29.5% strikeouts with a promotion to AAA August = 28.4% strikeouts Wallner has also reached base in 20 of 21 games this month with a consistent high walk rate. Seems like he's adapting to a more sustainable approach. Not sure how well Gallo is as a comp. Gallo struck out a lot more than Wallner in the upper minors (pretty consistent 37%) and he covered center field when he came up as I recall. His sprint speeds were on par with Nick Gordon. Even today, Gallo would outrun Larnach, Arraez and Correa. Basically, Gallo had significant defensive value and that's a major reason why Gallo was in the big show at age 21.
  18. bean5302
    Varland has been everything you might hope for and more at AAA. There's nothing not to like. Elite strikeout rates, excellent walk rates, reasonable BABIP and strand rates. It might be worth calling his number now so he's playoff eligible and move Chris Archer to the pen.
  19. bean5302
    If all he wants is the moist guaranteed, he should be using oil and not butter in his cake recipes. Butter can dry out.
  20. bean5302
    Do you think Wallner just needs more time to adapt to his buy-in philosophy of looking for better pitches and taking walks if the pitches aren't there to hit? He really took a huge step forward this year, but it's got to be hard to suddenly find the balance of what's too aggressive and what's too passive?
  21. bean5302
    Bundy... 89.2mph 4.51 xFIP burn him at the stake! run him out of town! don't trust him! Ryan... 91.9mph 4.45 xFIP isn't he dreamy??!!!
  22. bean5302
    Since 80% of all MLB starters walk out for the 6th inning (on average), I'd say that's all MLB teams except the Twins
  23. bean5302
    WHIP is the most underrated stat for pitchers. 1.52 in AAA = unplayable at MLB. Anything north of 1.40 isn't worth a roster spot. In any case, it's not just walks which have been a major problem for Moran. He also gives up a ton of hits. 9.0 hits per 9 innings with a .429 BABIP and a 16.7% HR/FB rate. While you may be temped to infer he's been unlucky, high BABIP and high HR/FB rates are also indicative of pitches not being deceptive enough to fool professional batters. I see Moran as similar to Drew Strotman. If they throw strikes, their pitches get destroyed. If they don't throw strikes, too many AAA hitters can lay off them and take a free base. Until Moran throws strikes and gives up on batters always chasing junkballs, he won't be able to prove his value and he won't be worth the risk at the MLB level... If you think Pagan is rough, Moran looks like a lesser version of him right now. The real question is why the highly touted pitcher development guru Derek Falvey's coaching staff can't get Moran to throw strikes or Woods-Richardson to fix his delivery mechanics and be consistent on his fastball being at an MLB level...
  24. bean5302
    The playoff hunt.
  25. bean5302
    Not sure if it's good or bad the White Sox beat Baltimore tonight. At least it keeps the Orioles from expanding their lead over the Twins in the Wildcard hunt, but the White Sox are now tied with the Twins in the standings. 4 games back in both the division and wildcard. At least it seems like my concerns the White Sox would put it together this year are fading fast and the Guardians have a pretty tough schedule the next couple of weeks. Of course, the Twins have 1 more game against the Astros before taking on the Giants and Red Sox, two teams with similar records to the Twins who play in much, much, much tougher divisions. I don't have much faith in Minnesota putting it together at this point.
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