Jump to content
Our free agent ranking is up to 100 names, and now you can filter by player position! Click here to check it out! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Brock Beauchamp

Site Manager
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    32,662

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    328

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, I don't think Gibson has been that bad. He has disintegrated in two games and suffers from control issues, which is common after TJS. Other than that, he looks like a guy entering MLB games for the first time. Not great appearances but not horrible, either... Usually 5-6 IP, 3-4 ER, too many walks. Gets behind batters, gets hit too hard. I'm not sure what people expected from him. He's coming off TJS and is likely facing dead arm. Sure, it'd be nice to see better performances from him but I'm not going to get too worked up about it yet. If he starts off 2014 this way, I'll be much more concerned.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    An interesting article but it doesn't prove your point for a few reasons: 1. The data used in that article was from 1977-1992. That is... problematic for obvious reasons. 2. Even under the "best" of circumstances, the run expectancy for sacrifice bunts was marginally better than swinging away while swinging away held a commanding lead in most situations. 3. The author doesn't do a very good job of analyzing what percentage of sacrifice bunts are actually successful and admits that he can't pull sacrifice bunt statistics from older games at all (basically, he's guessing, which places the entire article in question). 4. You started this argument by saying Gardy should have called for a Dozier bunt. Brian Dozier is the second-best hitter on the team. The article clearly states that the only time a sacrifice bunt might break even or take a marginal lead in run expectancy is when you call for it when your worst hitters are at the plate.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    True. Bunting for a hit is a perfectly valid way to try to reach base.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, the stats have shown that pitchers don't pitch very differently with a three run lead. There are hundreds of thousands of baseball games played. We have an enormous pool of data from which to pull and universally, they say "bunting is stupid".
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, I think by and large it boils down to a couple of things: 1. Tillman did not have the public recognition of DiMaggio, Williams, et al 2. People are going to be more dismissive of enlistment when a huge portion of the public disagrees with the war itself I think it's terribly unfair to compare anything about WWII to the Iraq War, much less glean any real information about society from it.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    It's bad baseball and the stats tell us this in a myriad of ways. Moving runners over is from a time when baseball managers just didn't know any better; we now have the information that tells us it's a bad idea because it limits your ability to score runs (you may be more likely to score one run but that's all you're going to score). Bunting, by and large, is not a winning strategy... The exact opposite, actually. Honestly, any manager who bunts before the eighth inning with anything more than a one run game differential should be tossed out on his ass for being unable to understand simple mathematics.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I cheer every time Gardy doesn't call for a bunt. The bunt is a decent option when you need one run, maybe two runs in the right situation. The bunt is also a very good way to make sure you only get one run, maybe two runs in the right situation. And the Twins were losing by three runs. A bunt is a bad call in that situation.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Particularly when the guy was just not that good a prospect. We can't expect the B-/C+ prospects to come into the league and hit like Mike Trout... It's completely unreasonable.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    The pitching, while still awful, is not "just as bad". It's a full half run better in ERA.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    That's not true. I think Cobb would have hit .600 in later generations once he realized the possibility of spiking a person of color every time he slid into a base.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    When it comes to pure hitting, I'll take Williams over Ruth all day. Against much stiffer competition, he posted a career OPS+ of 190 to Ruth's 206. Oh yeah, and he skipped his age 23-25 seasons to enlist in the war and then skipped more time in his early 30s to train soldiers for Korea. His OPS+ in those 1940-41, 46-47 seasons: 235, 216, 215, 205.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Why would Pittsburgh want Morneau so badly? They have Jones, who is pretty much the same guy at this point.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I edited oldnurse's response to your post... That wasn't entirely clear.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    That would still be Dozier. Really, Dozier has been the Twins second-best hitter/player, period.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Okay, this thread is done and warnings/bans will be handed out if the personal attacks and/or asinine "cynical" argument continues. Let it go and talk about baseball, people.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, now any trade involving Justin would work just like a pre-July 31st trade.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Baseball is all about hedging your bets. And a betting man would take these odds: 162 games of age 27 Miguel Sano > 35 games of age 21 Miguel Sano The Twins are unlikely to compete in 2014 and even if they do, a month+ of Miguel Sano probably isn't going to change that one way or the other. Most people seem to agree that the Rays have one of the smartest front offices in baseball and they didn't hesitate to make Wil Myers sit in AAA for a couple of months to start 2013. It's the prudent move that gives you more flexibility going forward. It's not "video gamey", it's gaming the system to your advantage and keeping your options open during critical years of a player's career.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Nice. And it turns into a moot point.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. It's time to start thinking about improving and utilizing assets internally for mediocrity, not treading water with mediocrity across the board.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Sounds like a fair assessment to me.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    In a word, no. Gibson has never been projected to be a top 30 starter. Top 50, maybe. Not top 30. And I'd be very happy with top 50 performances from him for 4-5 years.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Billy Beane has been the GM for 15 years and has one playoff series win. Is that good enough? What I care about is getting to the playoffs. A couple of those years, I thought the Twins should have pushed a little harder to shore up problem areas but a large part of those series losses were just **** luck. Good players playing badly in key moments. Baseball is a frustrating sport in small doses.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, there were some that thought Pelfrey had a good chance to tank. I wasn't one of them but they certainly posted about it before the season started. As for Worley, his performance was surprising. I didn't expect him to be good but I certainly didn't expect him to be absolutely awful (and absolutely unlucky, to boot). Quite a combination. Honestly, it wouldn't surprise me to see Ryan punt on free agent pitching again this offseason. With Diamond and Worley in the minors and pitching much worse than they did in 2012 after minor surgery, I think there's a good chance both will rebound in 2014 and Ryan will count on one of Worley, Diamond, Hendriks to step into the #5 slot. Which I'm not entirely against... But really, the best thing the Twins could do at this point is find a way (any way) to offload Correia and replace him with a better free agent (Hughes, Johnson being my first choices). I'm all for letting the young kids try to improve and field a cheap roster internally but 32 year old mediocre pitchers shouldn't be taking up space on the 2014 roster.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    The thing is that teams "lock up" arb-eligible players based on remaining service time. Add another year of service, punt on locking the player up for 12 more months. How differently does Joe Mauer's contract play out if the Twins were able to lock him up after the 2010 season instead of before it? IMO, it's even more vital to think about service time when you're dealing with a rare talent, as you get one more year of them in their physical prime to make a decision about an extension and the difference could be tens of millions of dollars over the life of a contract.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I was looking over the schedule and tomorrow, the Royals kick off a five (!) game series in Detroit over four days. This could be a make-or-break series for both teams and could factor heavily into who wins the AL Central. Some of the more interesting baseball of the year thus far, for sure. The Royals are red-hot while the Tigers have stumbled a bit in recent days.
×
×
  • Create New...