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    Baseball Gods to Tom Pohlad: 'Aight, Bet'

    This spring, Tom Pohlad went out of his way to proclaim his intention to invest in the 2026 Twins if they earned that kind of reinforcement. They've earned it. Your move, Tom.

    Matthew Trueblood
    Image courtesy of Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    It wasn't equivocal, and it wasn't compulsory. This April, as part of a slow-motion goodwill tour in which he's tried to rebuild the fan base's faith in (or even tolerance for) his family, Tom Pohlad piped up. He gave Dan Hayes of The Athletic a quote that left little wiggle room. That even seemed to be by design. You can't gain much goodwill by going halfway.

    "As we go throughout the year and more opportunities present themselves for us to put action to words, so long as we do that, I’ll be happy," Pohlad said. And later: "We owe it to our fan base as much as we owe it to [Derek Shelton], [Jeremy Zoll] and the players, to do everything we can to improve our team at that point.”

    We should presume he meant it, because whatever goodwill (and time) it did buy him was nowhere near worth the backlash he'll receive if he goes back on that asseveration. However, it was an easy time to say those words. The Twins were 13-17 when Hayes's article ran, which was right on schedule; most fans, pundits and projection systems forecasted a losing season for them. In fairness, they're still sub-.500, too. Since that day, however, they've gone 40-37, and they find themselves right in the thick of the race for the AL Central, as well as a possible Wild Card berth. They've proved themselves resilient, and they've played near the top of their spectrum of possible outcomes based on their talent. Unequivocally, this team is in position to buy at next week's MLB trade deadline.

    It's time, in other words, for Pohlad to pony up. In fact, the baseball gods have offered him no quarter. Although this team (frankly) is not all that good, they're also plainly not bad, and they're playing in one of the weakest divisions and leagues in recent memory. They have a glaring need for pitching help, and a strong farm system with which to pursue it. They have, by any reasonable reckoning, plenty of money to spend. The stars all aligned. The dictate is clear, and Pohlad's own words have painted him into a corner.

    Admittedly, it would be strange (and ill-advised) for the team to go all-in and trade top prospects to bolster this squad. They're just entering a competitive window, not peaking or trying to maximize the final phase of a cycle. They can get better easily, though, and Pohlad's money can do a lot of that work. Here are five guys they could acquire, for whom the prospect cost could be minimized if the Twins take on the salaries involved.

    Quote

    Kevin Gausman, Blue Jays

    RHP Blue Jays Age: 35 FA: Nov 2026 Sal: $23m
    There are days when, as they say, the splitter ain’t splittin’, and on those days, Gausman gets frighteningly hittable in a hurry. The rest of the time, though, he’s as steady and sturdy as a starter comes these days. He fills up the zone and gets ample swings and misses, especially with that splitter. He can dominate, and he has a solid postseason track record. The Blue Jays, who look unlikely to emerge from the quagmire into which they’ve sunk in the standings, are likely to deal Gausman, rather than let him walk for free this winter. His salary is substantial, but Toronto is one team who should be willing to eat the money to maximize the return they realize in a trade. There are many harder-throwing starters a team might pursue this month, but few who are as likely to have a positive impact on a postseason run.

    Kevin Gausman is a tough, durable veteran starter—someone who could start a playoff game and give the Twins a chance to win even against a tough lineup. He's an impending free agent and is still owed over $7 million. If the Twins are willing to take on that money, he wouldn't cost that much, and he could be a difference-maker for them both in the regular season and come october.

    Quote

    Luke Weaver, Mets

    RHP Mets Age: 32 FA: Nov 2027 Sal: $9.5m
    A well-established high-leverage reliever having his best year on a massively disappointing team, Weaver is just about perfectly situated to be traded for a haul and to be a main character come October. He’s always had good swing-and-miss stuff, and is filling up the strike zone better than ever, working with a simple three-pitch mix and excellent command. The Mets are slated to pay him $12.5 million in 2027, and for them, that’s a drop in the bucket, so they might even pay down some of his salary to maximize the return in a trade. Neither on this year’s moribund club nor on next year’s is he likely to have a greater impact on the organization’s fortunes than he can have as a trade chip on a market starved for top-flight right-handed relievers.

    A major bullpen upgrade is the most obvious way the Twins could get better this week. Weaver is under contract for 2027, too, so while he would cost a good prospect or two, he could help them not only this year, but next. He's an ideal fit for their situation, as long as Pohlad is willing to shell out the relatively high financial cost for a non-closer.

    Quote
     

    Antonio Senzatela, Rockies

    RHP Rockies Age: 31 FA: Nov 2026* Sal: $12m
    Quick, someone rescue this guy from Coors Field and see if there’s even more to unlock. After a career full of promise (enough so that he signed a long-term deal with the Rockies in 2021) but often sidetracked by injuries and/or pitching at elevation, Senzatela has embraced a move to the bullpen and taken off this year. He still throws 97 with his four-seam fastball, but now, he pairs that with a vicious cutter in the 92 MPH range, which both misses some bats and induces ample weak contact. If he never (or very rarely) had to pitch in Colorado, his four-seamer might even turn out to be the good pitch everyone briefly hoped it would turn out to be. He’s stuffed the strike zone and begun manipulating swings better by simply relying on power out of the pen. A team picking him up would have a chance to benefit from his experience working multiple innings come September and October, and in November, they’d even have a chance to retain him for $14 million in 2027. That’s a high price for a middle reliever, but if he shows you two months of relief ace-caliber work after escaping Colorado, you might give that a shot—or even move him back to the rotation at age 32.

    It's a similar situation to that of Weaver, but Antonio Senzatela offers the bonus of not being obligated to pay up for 2027. The salary taken on for this season wouldn't be terribly onerous, and if it pans out well, the team could elect to bring him back at a moderate price.

    Quote

    Dustin May, Cardinals

    RHP Cardinals Age: 28 FA: Nov 2026* Sal: $12.5m
    It’s great to see May come through a multi-year run of miserable injury luck to pitch the way many long believed he could. Not has his good season with the Cards been solely about being available. He’s throwing more strikes, thanks in part to a rejiggered approach that favors four-seamers, cutters and changeups at the expense of sinkers and sweepers. He still has an extremely lively arm, and his stuff is playing better this season, thanks to his newfound ability to fill up the zone. As an impending free agent on a team that still views itself as building for a future brighter than its present, though, he’s a strong candidate to be dealt. Unless the Cardinals can strike a deal with him this month to convert his mutual option for 2027 into a multi-year commitment, he’ll be on the market, and should slot nicely into the back half of a playoff-caliber rotation.

    Dustin May could be a huge upside play for the Twins, and although the mutual option on his deal for 2027 is almost certain not to be mutually exercised, even a fistful of starts that get the team over the hump and into the postseason could be a huge windfall. The Cardinals will want something good for May, but his salary does give the Twins leverage, if they're willing to eat that money.

    Quote

    Andrew Kittredge, Orioles

    RHP Orioles Age: 36 FA: Nov 2026 Sal: $9m
    It’s not a trick they were hoping to turn, but the Orioles just might get something in return for Kittredge for a second year in a row. After trading him to the Cubs last summer and watching him dominate for Chicago down the stretch and into the playoffs, the O’s reacquired the righty so they could exercise the club option on his deal for 2026. Unfortunately, he’s missed some time, and the results aren’t especially pretty even when he’s been on the mound. Meanwhile, the team is floundering for a second consecutive summer. The stuff remains good; he’s still inducing ground balls; and he’s throwing strikes, so Kittredge still has trade value. There’s little reason for Baltimore not to move him again and look ahead to 2027.

    This should, at this point, be the bare minimum. The Twins need help in the bullpen. Andrew Kittredge is one of several available right-handed hurlers who could assume a high-leverage role for them and slightly upgrade the relief corps, and who are making somewhere between $7 million and $12 million. If the Twins don't at least trade for someone like Kittredge, Pohlad will have failed to keep his promise to the fan base and to the team.

    The good news is that this team is in the hunt. The even better news is that the season has left much less uncertainty than one might have worried it would even a month ago. The only bad news is for Pohlad, and then only for his bottom line. He said he wants to help Zoll make this team better. Now, he gets to prove that he meant it.

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    Featured Comments

    2 minutes ago, Hawkeye Bean Counter said:

    Arias wasn't even a top 100 prospect last year and Tolle was a top 16.  Now I liked Tolle.     There is value in having some leaders on your team showing the young players how to be professionals.  The team is getting value from Ryan but yes we haven't seen a prospect return per se.  The Twins sound like they wanted MLB talent last year and Duran was who they wanted.  I am glad that trade did not go through LOL.  

    Arias was a top fifty prospect on fangraphs before the trade deadline last year. 

    Just now, Coach Wheels said:

    I have also stated that they can upgrade this bullpen without sacrificing great talent and they should do that because this bullpen is awful. Gomez, Funderburk, and Morris are good and getting better but the rest is chaos. 

    You can't let Jeffers become a free agent and get nothing in compensation for him so I believe he's gone. I would offer Ryan a legit 3-4 contract and show the fan base you're serious about getting better.

    Gomez, Morris, and Nance are good.  Rogers has provided some decent consistency.  Funderburk is up and down. The last month the bullpen has performed so much better.  The back end is still questionable.  Right now Adams and Sands sub 95 mph fastball are not good enough.   I actually think Anderson has some ability.  

    Ryan is asking for 7 year $210 million contract.  

    2 minutes ago, Hawkeye Bean Counter said:

    Arias wasn't even a top 100 prospect last year and Tolle was a top 16.  Now I liked Tolle.     There is value in having some leaders on your team showing the young players how to be professionals.  The team is getting value from Ryan but yes we haven't seen a prospect return per se.  The Twins sound like they wanted MLB talent last year and Duran was who they wanted.  I am glad that trade did not go through LOL.  

    You’re kidding, right?

    Arias is overall #3 and #7 top prospect on Baseball America and MLB, respectively.  He’s 20 and just demolished AA and was promoted to AAA this week.

    Tolle is 24.  He has a 3.31 ERA and a WHIP of 1.15 averaging over a strikeout per inning in his rookie season.

    Whom do you honestly think we can get better than those two for a starting to age out, can’t pitch in the 2nd half, wants a huge deal we can’t afford starter? Please, let all of us know a better deal than that. 

    4 minutes ago, Mike Sixel said:

    Arias was a top fifty prospect on fangraphs before the trade deadline last year. 

     

    1 minute ago, Nashvilletwin said:

    You’re kidding, right?

    Arias is overall #3 and #7 top prospect on Baseball America and MLB, respectively.  He’s 20 and just demolished AA and was promoted to AAA this week.

    Tolle is 24.  He has a 3.31 ERA and a WHIP of 1.15 averaging over a strikeout per inning in his rookie season.

    Whom do you honestly think we can get better than those two for a starting to age out, can’t pitch in the 2nd half, wants a huge deal we can’t afford starter? Please, let all of us know a better deal than that. 

    Coming into last year Arias was not viewed as a high prospect to start the season.  His value increased drastically in the middle and end of last year and this year.  Good on Arias but multiple individuals claimed the return for Ryan was light.  Looking in hindsight at players that have outperformed this year isn't realistic.  

    4 minutes ago, Hawkeye Bean Counter said:

     

    Coming into last year Arias was not viewed as a high prospect to start the season.  His value increased drastically in the middle and end of last year and this year.  Good on Arias but multiple individuals claimed the return for Ryan was light.  Looking in hindsight at players that have outperformed this year isn't realistic.  

    He was 37 on fangraphs at the start of 2025.... That seems pretty high.

    2 minutes ago, Hawkeye Bean Counter said:

    ...Ryan is asking for 7 year $210 million contract.  

    Source, please. I saw this made up contract a few days ago with no actual source. It's attributed to Dan Hayes of the Athletic, but there aren't any linked articles and I can't find any article when searching for it. This appears to be more likely a Twins Daily made up rumor being treated as fact and A.I. models seem to be hallucinating.

     

    2 hours ago, Rufus said:

    The time to make major trade deadline deals is when your team has a legitimate shot at a winning it all.  Not when your team might sneak into the playoffs.  At this point the Twins should look at their strengths and trade from them to fill weaknesses (catching for pitching).  They should not be trading any top prospects for expiring contracts.  

    Any time you are in the playoffs you can win it all.  

    2 minutes ago, Mike Sixel said:

    He was 37 on fangraphs at the start of 2025.... That seems pretty high.

    https://www.prospects1500.com/milb/overall-top-105-prospects-april-2025/ - 91 here in April

    https://www.boston.com/sports/boston-red-sox/2025/01/24/red-sox-mlb-pipeline-2025-top-100-prospect-rankings-roman-anthony/ - mlb pipeline was 76 

    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2025-top-100-prospects/  -  Fangraphs February of 25 didn't even have in top 100. 

    I can find more if you wish.  

     

    18 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

    Source, please. I saw this made up contract a few days ago with no actual source. It's attributed to Dan Hayes of the Athletic, but there aren't any linked articles and I can't find any article when searching for it. This appears to be more likely a Twins Daily made up rumor being treated as fact and A.I. models seem to be hallucinating.

     

    Its coming from 2 things - 1 yes Hayes which gives some credence.  2 is this near the expected value of a contract.   

    26 minutes ago, Hawkeye Bean Counter said:

     

    Coming into last year Arias was not viewed as a high prospect to start the season.  His value increased drastically in the middle and end of last year and this year.  Good on Arias but multiple individuals claimed the return for Ryan was light.  Looking in hindsight at players that have outperformed this year isn't realistic.  

    Ye olde “Hindsight is 20/20” excuse. The better GMs and franchises somehow figure out how to beat that lame way of thinking.  Falvey and the Twins are not in that category.

    Regardless, a top 50 prospect and a very promising left handed, on the cusp starter was plenty for Ryan last deadline anyway.  

    We couldn’t trade Ryan straight up right now for either Tolle or Arias, let alone both.

     

    I'm not saying the Twins should be huge buyers (nobody really is saying that). But I do feel obligated to say that the Twins are 3.5 games out of a 1st round bye and have the 6th easiest remaining SOS.

    For me, because of that fact, it feels incredibly silly to trade away any pieces that makes the 2026 team worse. 

    Are we a great team? Nope. But we ARE in an incredibly weak league and a very weak division. And like I said, we are 3.5 games out of getting a first round bye. 

    Just now, Nashvilletwin said:

    Ye olde “Hindsight is 20/20” excuse. The better GMs and franchises somehow figure out how to beat that lame way of thinking.  Falvey and the Twins are not in that category.

    Regardless, a top 50 prospect and a very promising left handed, on the cusp starter was plenty for Ryan last deadline anyway.  

    We couldn’t trade Ryan straight up right now for either Tolle or Arias, let alone both.

     

    The Twins fanbase was killed all ready,  trading Ryan would have been difficult for most to handle.  I would know I was one of the few stating this was the best option and was actually stating the Trades the Twins did was good for the longterm.  I would have been ok with the trade.    However you had many thinking it was a light return.  I can't change that.   Most hated Bradley last year.   We can't quite say the Twins do a horrible job at picking out talent.   Rojas is definitely looking intriguing and I have like Abel more than most on this site.   

    5 minutes ago, Hawkeye Bean Counter said:

    The Twins fanbase was killed all ready,  trading Ryan would have been difficult for most to handle.  I would know I was one of the few stating this was the best option and was actually stating the Trades the Twins did was good for the longterm.  I would have been ok with the trade.    However you had many thinking it was a light return.  I can't change that.   Most hated Bradley last year.   We can't quite say the Twins do a horrible job at picking out talent.   Rojas is definitely looking intriguing and I have like Abel more than most on this site.   

    Haha, love it.  If it’s not “Hindsight is 20/20”, then let’s blame it on “politics”.  

    You are correct on the other trades.  Good comment. 

    20 minutes ago, Mike Sixel said:

    I stand corrected for the 1 site thanks.  Even still last fall you said there was zero chance of a deal with Boston.  

     
      On 10/16/2025 at 11:41 PM, Historyking88 said:

    Would like to see you conduct this same exercise more particularly concerning Boston and Philadelphia. Curious to think if either would give up Tolle or Painter in a trade for Ryan. 

    Boston isn't close. I doubt Philly deals painter, but good have to consider it if they do.

    I think the Mets are the ideal partner. Likely you'll get tong, sproah, and a hitter. 

    You aren't getting three top 100 prospects.

    USAFChief
  • Twins Daily Contributor
  • Posted (edited)

    47 minutes ago, TheLeviathan said:

    They have forsaken me.  I beseech ye gods....6 game losing streak!

    I hope I never reach the point as a fan where I'm asking for a six game losing streak. 

    Edited by USAFChief
    2 hours ago, strumdatjag said:

    Bingo.  In addition to trading Jeffers in order to acquire pitching and pitching depth, the Twins need to rebalance (probably in the off-season)  to get more right-handed hitting in the organization.   There must be mlb teams who are overbalanced on the right side if the plate.  
    Meanwhile, adding one veteran right-handed bat for the stretch run would help this team’s problems when facing lefties. 

    We are putting 8 or 9 right handed hitters in the lineup now against LH pitching.  We face RH pitching a lot more than LH pitching.  The goal needs to be to get quality players at every position and let them play.  Quality play will win more games than not.  The problem is we keep playing musical chairs to fit bats in the lineup that are only average because we think we need them in the lineup.

    2 hours ago, Nashvilletwin said:

    Another sucker bet - just what this franchise needs.

    After learning the Bosox offered us Arias and Tolle for Ryan at last year’s deadline, it just makes sense to keep doubling down on bonehead bets when we could be building for the post lockout future. Sheesh.

    Can you even imagine an infield of Arias, Houston, and Culpepper for six or seven years starting no later than ‘28?  Those three are all potential all stars - and not unreasonably so.  Not to mention two stud young lefty starters in Tolle and Rojas.

    What were Falvey and ownership thinking?  Probably the same delusional thoughts Shelton and TP are thinking today.

     

     

    I am guessing this was Falvey's call.  Ownership is not evaluating the players and is saying player x is better than player y.  I don't understand this narrative with blaming ownership for every trade idea not happening when it is not a budgetary issue.  Falvey was a poor PBO and I don't think Zoll is much better as GM as he has the same people advising him.

    13 minutes ago, Hawkeye Bean Counter said:

    I stand corrected for the 1 site thanks.  Even still last fall you said there was zero chance of a deal with Boston.  

     

      On 10/16/2025 at 11:41 PM, Historyking88 said:

    Would like to see you conduct this same exercise more particularly concerning Boston and Philadelphia. Curious to think if either would give up Tolle or Painter in a trade for Ryan. 

    Boston isn't close. I doubt Philly deals painter, but good have to consider it if they do.

    I think the Mets are the ideal partner. Likely you'll get tong, sproah, and a hitter. 

    You aren't getting three top 100 prospects.

    Ya, zero chance you get three top 100 guys. 

    Tolle is as good as Ryan this year, and has more control. Why would anyone do that?

    Painter? Zero interest at this point. He's broken. 

    2 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    This is a Derek Falvey team. Relatively high floor, very low ceiling. A bunch of mediocre, might be good enough to play regular guys. No direction. No plan. Wasted resources.

    And I see no path forward as the same people that were assisting Falvey including his top guy in Zoll are still here.

    1 minute ago, Mike Sixel said:

    Ya, zero chance you get three top 100 guys. 

    Tolle is as good as Ryan this year, and has more control. Why would anyone do that?

    Painter? Zero interest at this point. He's broken. 

    Mike Sixel

      On 7/31/2025 at 4:39 PM, nicksaviking said:

    I'd consider that. Otherwise there's no reason to trade Ryan.

    Unless the whole plan here is to go scorched earth on the franchise because you know you're getting the boot very soon.

    I'd still rather have Ryan......but Anthony would have to be the minimum I take.

    I’m not going to judge Tom Pohlad solely on if we buy, if we sell, or if we do both. It’s also important to judge HOW he does any of those things. 

    I’ll use the Kevin Gausman example, but the same thing could apply to other targets. He’s owed $7M (I’ll trust the author’s numbers). Some fans fear buying in a year like 2026, where the team is competitive-ish, but nobody’s idea of a title contender. Those fears are probably well-founded, but when you’re trading for a guy like Gausman there’s usually a spectrum of prospects you need to give up depending on how much of the contract you are taking on. You might be able to trade them your 10th best prospect if you take on the full contract, but maybe Toronto wants a better prospect and will take on the majority of the owed money.

    The same works in reverse when trading away players. Depending on who you are trading, say, Josh Bell to, the 2.5M he is owed might be meaningful. Can the Twins take on the money and receive a moderate prospect, or are we salary dumping and receiving a silly lottery ticket?

    For trades, as a fan, I don’t care about the money. I care about the prospects. So this is how I’ll be judging the front office and Tom Pohlad. He might have a chance to almost literally put his money where his mouth is.

    I think it's a little silly to assume Zoll is philosophically just like Falvey, just because he hired him a few years back. 

    For a variety of reasons I find it unlikely that the duo of Tom P and Zoll will act like the previous duo of Joe P and Falvey, but who knows.

    We've learned almost nothing about how Zoll will operate, in the last 6 months, since he took over. Not only will we learn about Tom Pohlad this deadline, but also Jeremy Zoll. 

     

    6 hours ago, Matthew Trueblood said:

    It's time, in other words, for Pohlad to pony up.

    Disagree. That was a throw away line I expect from an owner (or politician).

    Let's assume he buys into a run at playoffs. This team is going against the ALEast, let alone the NL in a competition for championship/WS.

    Trade the pieces you have and go after '28 (after an abbreviated '27 season). Let the development continue.

    10 minutes ago, Dave Borton said:

    Disagree. That was a throw away line I expect from an owner (or politician).

    Let's assume he buys into a run at playoffs. This team is going against the ALEast, let alone the NL in a competition for championship/WS.

    Trade the pieces you have and go after '28 (after an abbreviated '27 season). Let the development continue.

    I know it's increasingly ubiquitous, but I will never stop pushing back at the idea that the only goal should be a championship. The Twins have a chance to win their division. They have a chance to make the playoffs. Those are objectives worth pursuing. This is not an all-or-nothing game and it costs you nothing, really, to put the best team you can together when you're in a position like this in late July. Winning more than you lose, winning your division, going to October, those are worth doing, even if your hopes of winning a Series in a given year are remote. Not to mention, this team right now is as good as the 1987 Twins were—maybe better. The format is expanded; it's harder to luck your way into a title. But no fan base should be more keenly aware that you don't have to be Great to win a championship than this one.

    2 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

    One more time: Jeremy Zoll was made Twins GM in November 2024.

    I know. But it's my personal belief that he was still below Falvey on the decision tree and that a Falvey philosophy would win out over a Zoll philosophy (if there were differences)

    I agree with Matthew Trueblood's view.

    The Twins have been to three world series since moving to Minnesota. I would suggest the 87 version that won the world series was not considered to be a serious contender until. they actually won some games in the postseason!

    If a team makes it into the postseason it has accomplished something. that the majority of teams failed to do. You have to be in the postseason to. compete for a title. it's an opportunity that doesn't occur most seasons.

    60+ years of Minnesota Twins baseball. Two world series titles. Three trips in total to the world series. 14 playoff seasons since 1969 resulting in two world series, 43 seasons since 1969 of no playoffs and no world series appearances.

    it's a very difficult challenge unless you are a franchise with deep pockets and a willingness to spend.

    Last related point - the weakness of the division in 2026 is not a flaw it is an opportunity.




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