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  • Is Royce Lewis Going to be Here to Stay?


    Royce Lewis has not played much baseball over the past handful of seasons, but watching him produce, you’d be pretty shocked by that revelation. He’s eligible to come off the injured list at the end of the month, and it’s worth wondering if he’ll ever head to the farm again.

     

    Image courtesy of Image courtesy of William Parmeter

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    Last May, less than one year ago, Royce Lewis crashed into the centerfield wall at Target Field. He went down in a heap, and days later it was confirmed he had re-torn his ACL. After slipping on ice in Texas the year prior, it was another fluke that was going to cause him a significant amount of time on the shelf. As he has always done, Lewis attacked the circumstances with positivity and maturity, putting himself in position to play for Minnesota again at light speed.

    Talking to Lewis in March during spring training, he felt ready to go at that point. He appreciated the Twins being cautious knowing the future was more important than rushing back into things, but it also seems he couldn’t have been more right.

    Recently beginning a rehab assignment scheduled to end on May 31, Lewis has played in five games on the farm. He is 8-for-18 with four extra-base hits, of which three have been homers. He went yard twice in a game, played in back-to-back contests, and is pushing towards an activation that will have him in the Twins lineup.

    Where he would be inserted was unclear earlier this season, but it seems like opportunity will continue to present itself. For now Jose Miranda is at Triple-A and looks like a shell of the player he flashed last season. Carlos Correa is the starting shortstop, but Jorge Polanco just went on the injured list with a hamstring issue leaving second base to Edouard Julien. Byron Buxton is again a consistent question mark from a health perspective, and the entirety of the roster always has a potential to be in flux.

    Playing for Toby Gardenhire with St. Paul, Lewis has focused on shortstop and the hot corner. His big league role would appear to be third base, which could push Kyle Farmer back to second base or more into a utility role. Julien will need to show a bit more development to stick in the majors, but his lacking defensive abilities should continue to give Lewis a leg up.

    It’s not as though Lewis has a lengthy track record of health or production, but he has done nothing to slow the hype train while in action since 2022. Lewis put on a show during his 12-game cameo with Minnesota last year, and it will undoubtedly bring out his beaming smile when he emerges from the Target Field dugout again this year.

    Sometimes prospects need trips back to the minors in order to figure things out. Miranda is going through it, and Trevor Larnach was sent on that path as well. Nothing was straightforward about Byron Buxton’s development, and even Mike Trout wasn’t an all-time great from the start. That said, Lewis’ development even while shelved has been phenomenal. He has tweaked his approach, honed in his production, and succeeded through every opportunity.

    Considering where Miranda is from a development perspective, that Polanco is in the final guaranteed year of his contract (though the Twins have two option years), and that Buxton remains as unlikely to play centerfield as he ever has, Lewis should find ample runway to stick. The Twins offense has been anemic at times this season, and inserting Lewis on a daily basis could be the boost this club needs for the rest of the year.

    By 2024 there should be no reason why Lewis isn’t considered a regular, and how quickly he takes to that reality following his rehab assignment could go a long way for the 2023 team. It shouldn’t be counted as failure if Lewis goes through a dry spell at some point, but he’s now writing a story that may have him as among the best Twins development narratives in quite some time.

    Fans will continue to hope that the promotion comes sooner rather than later, even if it isn’t possible until June 1. Once he gets the call this year though, it could be his last trip across town for the duration of his professional career.

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    10 hours ago, Fornasiere-ite said:

    Alas, I don't think dear Rocco will take my advice. I think it would be natural to DFA Solano, even though he is one of only a handful of twins consistently getting hits. The more I see Castro, the more I think he could be a better option than Gordon, and he hits from both sides (although his left handed swing is not my favorite, but it doesnt matter because we have enough left handed bats). Going forward, it's hard to imagine Kepler getting back in the lineup, but Rocco seems to love him. Most of it is mute if Buxton doesnt start getting at least semi-regular time in CF. 

    Kepler's OPS of .847 since April 18th is why Rocco puts him in the lineup.  His OPS since then is only behind Buxton on the team.  When healthy he deserves and needs to be in the lineup, especially against RHP.

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    57 minutes ago, Craig Arko said:

    If he doesn’t get recalled on the 29th, won’t he then have to be optioned and down for 10 days? Barring the inevitable injury, of course.

    Not exactly. His rehab (20 days) can be extended through the 31st. The Twins could keep him on rehab through that date and activate him on June 1 without having to option him.

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    17 hours ago, SwainZag said:

    Kepler's OPS of .847 since April 18th is why Rocco puts him in the lineup.  His OPS since then is only behind Buxton on the team.  When healthy he deserves and needs to be in the lineup, especially against RHP.

    I would disagree with this as the assessment of why Rocco puts him in the lineup, small sample size metrics where three (I think) of his bombs came at progressive field. I think he just really likes Kepler, period. He played 115 games last year and his OPS was .666 (spooky I know). I know there wasn't alot of other options, but since 2019 he just hasn't been a guy that I have any confidence in. It's my inherent bias against left-handed hitting, left-handed throwing outfielders, with "The Kid" being the only exception to my unjustified rule. 

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    18 hours ago, tony&rodney said:

    I like it. A few small tweeks: Julien, Buxton, Kirilloff, Polanco, Correa, Larnach, Lewis, Kepler, Vasquez with Farmer, Taylor, Castro, and Jeffers as the reserves. If Buck cannot play centerfield, things change.

    I have also been trending towards Castro over Gordon the last few weeks as a bench player, but I tend to lean towards homegrown talent. Also, our homerun leader is not on your list but our corner outfield will be the center of roster/lineup debate for months to come. 

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    4 hours ago, Fornasiere-ite said:

    Also, our homerun leader is not on your list

    True. I'm not sold. He has a ton to prove in my opinion, but I'm just a small voice that favors different skill sets. I understand those who like his game; I don't.

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    35 minutes ago, Nine of twelve said:

    The day, whether it's tomorrow or Thursday, is drawing very near. Someone will be dropped from the 40-man. I wonder if Maeda's situation justifies moving him to the IL-60. If not, who will go?

    Maeda is going on rehab assignment on Tuesday, so he isn't going to be transferred. The candidates in my mind are Gordon and Alcala.

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    On 5/26/2023 at 2:00 PM, Fornasiere-ite said:

    I would disagree with this as the assessment of why Rocco puts him in the lineup, small sample size metrics where three (I think) of his bombs came at progressive field. I think he just really likes Kepler, period. He played 115 games last year and his OPS was .666 (spooky I know). I know there wasn't alot of other options, but since 2019 he just hasn't been a guy that I have any confidence in. It's my inherent bias against left-handed hitting, left-handed throwing outfielders, with "The Kid" being the only exception to my unjustified rule. 

    So you would ignore how he is playing now and assign playing time based on him not playing well last year?   Vasquez really sucks right now but he was good last year so should Rocco also ignore Jeffers is hitting far better than Vasquez because Jeffers played poorly last year.   I guess he should quit playing Castro too based on last year.

    Kepler's offensive performance this year is well above average and he is a well above average defender.  There should be no mystery as to why Rocco is playing him as long as he keeps it up.

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    On 5/28/2023 at 8:53 AM, Major League Ready said:

    So you would ignore how he is playing now and assign playing time based on him not playing well last year?   Vasquez really sucks right now but he was good last year so should Rocco also ignore Jeffers is hitting far better than Vasquez because Jeffers played poorly last year.   I guess he should quit playing Castro too based on last year.

    Kepler's offensive performance this year is well above average and he is a well above average defender.  There should be no mystery as to why Rocco is playing him as long as he keeps it up.

    I am not ignoring how he is playing this year, I just don't believe that his performance this year is as strong as the 10-game sample size that you referenced. I am all in favor of giving Jeffers more time, as I think he is a more dangerous hitter than Vasquez. A platoon system at catcher seems completely normal, given it should be (given our talent) our least productive hitting position. Carlos is a different animal because he has performed every year for the last 5 and we paid him a bunch of money. My whole point is that I'm not a Kepler fan, he hasnt consistently played well the last 2 years, and I think we have some other players who could fit into his spot giving the rest of our lineup more flexibility. 

     

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    On 5/26/2023 at 5:47 PM, tony&rodney said:

    True. I'm not sold. He has a ton to prove in my opinion, but I'm just a small voice that favors different skill sets. I understand those who like his game; I don't.

    I too am a lover of someone who puts the ball in play, doesnt strike out, and does the little things at the plate. However, this brave new world we live in where the long ball is king and strikeouts don't matter seems to be the norm. If we had other players I was confident would do that, my feelings wouldnt be hurt by getting rid of Gallo. 

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