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    How Did the Buxton Process Go So Horribly Wrong?


    Ted Schwerzler

    The Minnesota Twins kicked off their spring training down in Fort Myers as they have for years. There was buzz about this team being strong enough to contend for the AL Central. Byron Buxton’s contributions likely would be a large part of that, but we’re now in August wondering how that part went so horribly wrong?

     

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    During spring training the Twins continued to insist that Alex Kirilloff and Jorge Polanco would be ready for Opening Day. They weren’t. They suggested that Byron Buxton, who had offseason knee surgery, would be eased back into centerfield. He hasn’t been. The former pair have contributed plenty this season, albeit with limitations through more injury. The latter has yet to step foot on the field in a defensive alignment, and it’s hard to understand how we got here.

    Buxton dealt with knee issues all of last season after sliding into second base awkwardly after a double against the Boston Red Sox. His season was one filled with knee-drains and time on the trainer’s table. Sure, his 92 games played were the most since 2017, but that seemed to give him a weird goal to chase.

    Speaking at the Twins uniform unveiling, Buxton told me about wanting to play in more games than he had during 2022. That’s a great goal to have, but one that became clouded over the course of 2023. Rather than contributing anything defensively, the Twins put him at designated hitter and allowed those games played to count in a similar fashion. Sure, he was in the lineup, but his .731 OPS, 98 OPS+, and clogging a bat-only position did little for Rocco Baldelli’s lineup flexibility.

    Now on the Injured Lists, this time nursing a sore hamstring, the Twins seem to believe it’s at this point that Buxton should be pushed back to the field. In a recent article from The Athletic, Baldelli is quoted saying this is where his legs are going to be best positioned to play the field. That seems like absolute lunacy considering what should have taken place during the offseason.

    At no point should Buxton have been more healthy than he would have been coming into the season. Rather than prepare him to contribute on both sides of the ball, Minnesota put Buxton at the designated hitter spot. That was a fine stance before the emergence of Matt Wallner and Edouard Julien. It worked before Royce Lewis returned. It was ok for a while. It shouldn’t have continued happening though.

    On May 4, Buxton owned a .920 OPS for Minnesota. In the 56 games he played after that, all at designated hitter, while unable to be even a defensive replacement late in a game, he posted a .178/.263/.366 slash line. His 71/20 K/BB would have made even Miguel Sano blush, and yet he was no closer to playing the field.

    As the calendar turns to September, and Buxton is apparently working toward a return, Minnesota now finds it the time to put him back in the outfield. That’s a great stance in that he has no business taking the designated hitter role away from other players or out of the hands of Baldelli. That doesn’t make it any less curious of one, however.

    Why now, after a few weeks off, is it a viable plan to build Buxton back up? Did the Twins do a terrible job getting Buxton ready for the season? Was Buxton set against allowing Minnesota the opportunity to play him in the field? No matter the reason, the timing and execution of everything that has gone into this process has been flawed by all parties.

    It’s a great thing that Minnesota won’t bring Buxton back solely as the designated hitter. We have seen for months that doesn’t work, and it’s beyond clear it also doesn’t keep him healthy. Maybe Buxton’s body will never again hold up for a full season, but chasing games played over the pursuit of complete contribution is not one that should ever be employed again.

    Minnesota is better with a good Byron Buxton on the roster. They are not well-served by having him only use his bat, and playing him at anything less than full go shouldn’t be a thing either. The Twins signed Buxton for pennies on the dollar because he is always injured. That’s baked into what they can get from him. Putting him in the lineup as a full participant should be the only way to go the rest of his career, and if that means 80 games a season, so be it.

    Let’s not ever do this again, for anyone involved.

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    2 minutes ago, KirbyDome89 said:

    He was physically unable to spend even any amount of time in CF to this point. The effort the Twins put in to ensure he never set foot in the OF was comical at times. He adds the wear and tear of 85 games played, people are constantly pointing to the grimacing, labored movement, ect as evidence he's struggling, he finally hits the IL, but now he's no longer dealing with the physical limitations that wouldn't allow him to play defense earlier in the year? Yeah, I think that's odd. I also think there's a very clear difference between incapable and unwilling. 

    Again, it's not about him having different physical limitations right now it's about how long of a stretch you're trying to get him through. His body is likely in no better shape now than it was at any other point in the season. They are just worried about different things. They have a different goal now.

    Their plan failed. No doubt about it. He didn't perform well enough as a DH to have made him a useful player. But the goal when they were limiting him to DH was to maximize his ABs over the entire season while having him available for the stretch run and the playoffs. They've said this from the beginning. The team, Buxton, Correa, the trainers, everybody said it. They thought he'd be able to handle just DHing and keep his body from falling apart over 162 games. They were wrong. Plan went "horribly wrong" to steal the title of the article. Now they only care about 30ish games(will be less than that by the time he'd come back). It was a marathon, now it's a sprint. You have different strategies for a marathon than you do for a sprint.

    21 minutes ago, chpettit19 said:

    I'd bet if he did he'd get the next day off. Byron has had 5 hits in a game 1 time in his MLB career, and 4 hits in a game 2 other times. There's a bit of a difference between him possibly having that game and knowing he's going to play 8 innings of defense (plus have to do all the running for that amazing offensive game), no?

    I mean the very simple equation to "why can he DH but not play CF" is Hitting<Hitting+Defense.

    My point is that it depends on how much he has to exert himself on the basepaths. Accelerating quickly, stopping suddenly, touching raised bases as a runner races full speed past them,  sliding into fielders, diving headfirst back to first base in response to a pickoff are arguably as taxing physically as catching 3 to 6 balls hit to CF, some of which require very little physical effort and some of which may require running at full speed and diving, similar to running the bases and sliding headfirst. I usually agree with almost all of your posts, CH, but on this one I must respectfully disagree with you.

    It went wrong the moment the team decided to use a 29 year old, streaky, injury prone player as a full-time DH, a position this team should be rotating guys through as a way to keep a hot bat in the line-up instead of on the bench.

    30 minutes ago, chpettit19 said:

    I'd bet if he did he'd get the next day off. Byron has had 5 hits in a game 1 time in his MLB career, and 4 hits in a game 2 other times. There's a bit of a difference between him possibly having that game and knowing he's going to play 8 innings of defense (plus have to do all the running for that amazing offensive game), no?

    I mean the very simple equation to "why can he DH but not play CF" is Hitting<Hitting+Defense.

    Would you also propose this equation: Defense<Defense+Hitting? And would you agree for for Buck his playing equation is Buck's  Defense>Hitting? If so maybe Buck should only be a defensive replacement in CF and not bat.  Look, I don't fault Buck at all, but he has not been helping this team this year by batting DH. There are better options for DH for the Twins in 2023.

    6 hours ago, saviking said:

    I remember reading another article just before the season started that said Correa talked Buxton into not playing centerfield for the team. I wonder if Correa was a part of that suggestion.

    Yes, this came out back in early May, when Buxton was batting .900 OPS. 

    Success has a thousand fathers; an orphan, none. 

    48 minutes ago, tarheeltwinsfan said:

    Would you also propose this equation: Defense<Defense+Hitting? And would you agree for for Buck his playing equation is Buck's  Defense>Hitting? If so maybe Buck should only be a defensive replacement in CF and not bat.  Look, I don't fault Buck at all, but he has not been helping this team this year by batting DH. There are better options for DH for the Twins in 2023.

    Oh, I've never argued the plan worked. Never really even said it was the best option. Just defended the idea that there's a real and very clear difference between being a DH and being a CF.

    4 hours ago, tarheeltwinsfan said:

    My point is that it depends on how much he has to exert himself on the basepaths. Accelerating quickly, stopping suddenly, touching raised bases as a runner races full speed past them,  sliding into fielders, diving headfirst back to first base in response to a pickoff are arguably as taxing physically as catching 3 to 6 balls hit to CF, some of which require very little physical effort and some of which may require running at full speed and diving, similar to running the bases and sliding headfirst. I usually agree with almost all of your posts, CH, but on this one I must respectfully disagree with you.

    But doesn't he move for balls he doesn't catch? Balls hit to right field or left lead to him accelerating quickly, stopping suddenly, etc. right? But I'm not even arguing offense is less work on any given day than defense. Simply arguing that offense alone is less work than offense and defense 100% of the time. Yes, running the bases can be a lot of wear and tear on his body. But running the bases then turning around and going to CF is even more wear and tear.

    It wasn't offense only or defense only debate. It was offense only or offense and defense. Him going 5 for 5 is X amount of wear and tear. But him going 5 for 5 and also playing defense is X amount plus Y amount. That is more. That's the entire argument I'm making. Just playing offense is less than playing offense and defense. That's why there's a difference between being capable of DHing and being capable of playing CF.

    If I'm feeling super cautiously optimistic, I'll note that Buxton had knee surgery last September.  Recovery varies but always takes time, even from arthroscopic surgery.  It is plausible that his knee was still healing in April.  And May.  And June.  The PLAN, good or bad, maybe is justifiable, even if it failed.

    After a few months of DH-ing, in unfortunately typical Buxton fashion, a hamstring injury take him out.  But this is totally unrelated to his knee injury.  And it takes him off his feet for awhile.  And his gimpy knee gets several weeks off to heal further.  Maybe, just maybe, it feels better now.  (Knee pain sucks and endures / personal experience)

    Add in the fact that he realistically has about 20 or 25 possible games left in the regular season, plus possible playoffs....

    Well, if you are Byron Buxton, why not give the outfield a shot now?  Worst case scenario (medium probability) is you hurt yourself again.  Best case?  You are able to play 20ish games in September, plus some playoff games.

    It's the only likely way to bring substantial value to your team (DH ain't helping much). 

    Nothing risked, nothing gained.  Give it a shot and hope for the best..

    6 hours ago, Hosken Bombo Disco said:

    To those discussing a possible Buxton retirement or not:

    Stephen Strasburg has just announced his retirement, leaving millions on the table. So, it does happen. 

    Better check your source's on how much $$$ he's leaving on the table.

    https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10087183-nationals-stephen-strasburg-reportedly-will-retire-after-complications-from-injury

    1) Buxton is 29 years old, hardly ancient, but the number of players who have better health in their 30s than in their 20s is pretty small. 2) The Twins’ plan for Buxton hasn’t worked because his lower body injuries didn’t improve with he limitations of being a full-time DH. Being shut down for the hamstring injury could possibly improve his other injuries hip & knee) to the point where he can play some in the field. 3) As @chpettit19 has pointed out, the Twins now need to worry about 7-9 weeks of games rather than a majority of the season. 4) Buxton has always been a streaky hitter and he’s been cold much more than hot as the team’s DH. If he gets perhaps another 100 at-bats there might be a period where he is absolutely crushing the ball.  Does DHing make him a worse hitter? Maybe, but there was no discernible difference in 2022, the first year when he was used extensively as a DH. 

    15 hours ago, chpettit19 said:

    But doesn't he move for balls he doesn't catch? Balls hit to right field or left lead to him accelerating quickly, stopping suddenly, etc. right? But I'm not even arguing offense is less work on any given day than defense. Simply arguing that offense alone is less work than offense and defense 100% of the time. Yes, running the bases can be a lot of wear and tear on his body. But running the bases then turning around and going to CF is even more wear and tear.

    It wasn't offense only or defense only debate. It was offense only or offense and defense. Him going 5 for 5 is X amount of wear and tear. But him going 5 for 5 and also playing defense is X amount plus Y amount. That is more. That's the entire argument I'm making. Just playing offense is less than playing offense and defense. That's why there's a difference between being capable of DHing and being capable of playing CF.

    If you're argument is that playing CF is too much of a workload for him on top of hitting then the Twins need to work on a buyout .  He is obviously not a good enough hitter to justify his current contract.  

    As far as the people on here saying he is a streaky hitter...I mean he shows flashes of being a good hitter followed up by much much much longer stretches of being putrid.  I look at as "a blind squirrel finds a nut once in a while."  His K rate and OBP have never been good.

    38 minutes ago, SoDakTwinsFan said:

    If you're argument is that playing CF is too much of a workload for him on top of hitting then the Twins need to work on a buyout .  He is obviously not a good enough hitter to justify his current contract.  

    As far as the people on here saying he is a streaky hitter...I mean he shows flashes of being a good hitter followed up by much much much longer stretches of being putrid.  I look at as "a blind squirrel finds a nut once in a while."  His K rate and OBP have never been good.

    I don't disagree that him as a DH only is not what they're paying him for. But a buyout isn't something that's going to happen. Far more likely he just retires if his body continues to fail him. They're not eating that deal.

    13 hours ago, mnfireman said:

    Good catch, and dumb me. Collecting in full due to medical retirement

    This could be relevant for Buxton and especially Correa if either ever reaches a point where they simply cannot take the field to do anything baseball related.

    23 hours ago, chpettit19 said:

    Again, it's not about him having different physical limitations right now it's about how long of a stretch you're trying to get him through. His body is likely in no better shape now than it was at any other point in the season. They are just worried about different things. They have a different goal now.

    Their plan failed. No doubt about it. He didn't perform well enough as a DH to have made him a useful player. But the goal when they were limiting him to DH was to maximize his ABs over the entire season while having him available for the stretch run and the playoffs. They've said this from the beginning. The team, Buxton, Correa, the trainers, everybody said it. They thought he'd be able to handle just DHing and keep his body from falling apart over 162 games. They were wrong. Plan went "horribly wrong" to steal the title of the article. Now they only care about 30ish games(will be less than that by the time he'd come back). It was a marathon, now it's a sprint. You have different strategies for a marathon than you do for a sprint.

    You aren't participating in either if you're physically unable to run, that's the oddity being pointed out here. 

    The messaging seems to have shifted more than the goals...

    4 minutes ago, KirbyDome89 said:

    You aren't participating in either if you're physically unable to run, that's the oddity being pointed out here. 

    The messaging seems to have shifted more than the goals...

    When was he physically unable to run? My understanding is that it's always been about the amount of running his body could handle.

    Maybe I'm just understanding the messaging differently than you and some others? My understanding has always been that they wanted to maximize his ABs (pretty sure those exact words have been said by Falvey, Rocco, and Buxton) while keeping him in the lineup as much as possible for the entire season. That's always been the messaging I've been aware of since those are almost direct quotes from Buxton himself. Now "the entire season" is going to be less than 30 games before he's back (plus the playoffs). I think that changes things, but I recognize that others have interpreted the messaging differently, and have different opinions on his health in general.

    On 8/24/2023 at 3:13 PM, Hosken Bombo Disco said:

    To those discussing a possible Buxton retirement or not:

    Stephen Strasburg has just announced his retirement, leaving millions on the table. So, it does happen. 

    It doesn't sound like he is leaving any money on the table and even if he was, Strausburg has made $250M.  Buxton has made $35M.  Not exactly the same.  Buxton is not going away without being paid.

    11 minutes ago, chpettit19 said:

    When was he physically unable to run? My understanding is that it's always been about the amount of running his body could handle.

    Maybe I'm just understanding the messaging differently than you and some others? My understanding has always been that they wanted to maximize his ABs (pretty sure those exact words have been said by Falvey, Rocco, and Buxton) while keeping him in the lineup as much as possible for the entire season. That's always been the messaging I've been aware of since those are almost direct quotes from Buxton himself. Now "the entire season" is going to be less than 30 games before he's back (plus the playoffs). I think that changes things, but I recognize that others have interpreted the messaging differently, and have different opinions on his health in general.

    Run would just be analogous to whatever physical criteria Buxton wasn't meeting to be considered able to play in CF.

    I think it was also Rocco and the team, well into the season, relaying the message that Buxton was physically unable to be in CF, and I know a lot of the pushback towards clearing the DH/CF logjam by using him in CF centered on his inability to be out there. 

    We could probably chalk this up to s*** PR, because I do think they were trying to save their bullets so to speak.




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