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    5 Ramifications of Justin Ishbia Dropping His Twins Ownership Bid


    Cody Christie

    Justin Ishiba shocked the Twins by dropping out of the running to be the team’s next owner. So, what’s next? Here are five ramifications for fans to follow.

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    The Minnesota Twins' ownership saga has taken an unexpected turn. Billionaire businessman Justin Ishbia, once a frontrunner to acquire the franchise, has withdrawn his bid to focus on increasing his stake in the Chicago White Sox. This development carries significant implications for the Twins' future. Here are five key ramifications of Ishbia's decision:

    1. Prolonged Sale Process
    Recently, the Pohlad family aimed to finalize the sale by Opening Day 2025. With Ishbia's exit, the pool of known serious bidders has diminished, potentially extending the timeline. The process, which began in October 2024, might now stretch into mid-season or beyond as the team seeks a suitable buyer.

    Earlier this winter, I wrote how the first half of 2025 might be the most pivotal point in Twins' history. Part of the premise of that article was to have new ownership in place by the trade deadline so the Twins could be active buyers if the team is in contention. There is still a chance for new owners to be in place by that point, but they might not get a chance to impact the roster until 2026.  

    2. Potential Reassessment by the Pohlad Family
    Ishbia's withdrawal could prompt the Pohlad family to reconsider their decision to sell. Reports suggest they might even take the team off the market, mainly if a satisfactory offer doesn't materialize. This uncertainty could impact the team's strategic planning and operations.

    Sportico values the Twins at $1.7 billion, and Forbes pegs the franchise value at $1.46 billion. The Pohlads only get one opportunity to sell the franchise and will want to capitalize on its value. However, few MLB teams have been put on the market, which could allow an unknown bidder to meet the team’s asking price. Fans are ready for new ownership, so the Pohlads keeping the team would be a disappointment. 

    3. Increased Uncertainty for Team Operations
    Ownership transitions often bring changes in management and operational strategies. The delay in finalizing new ownership could lead to a period of uncertainty, affecting decision-making processes, player morale, and overall team performance. Will the team need to trade players to cut payroll? Can the club push the payroll higher at the trade deadline? Some questions won't have easy answers. 

    Derek Falvey will be stepping into the dual role of baseball operations president and the franchise's business side. There are no guarantees that the new owners will want to keep him in that role. Sometimes, ownership groups like having people they know at the organization's top. There is value in keeping strong leadership in place, and that’s one of the reasons the Twins are promoting Falvey before the sale is finalized. 

    4. Financial Implications
    The Twins reportedly sought offers around $1.8 billion, with $1.5 billion considered a more realistic expectation. Ishbia's departure might influence the franchise's market valuation, potentially leading to adjustments in the asking price or terms of sale.

    Other bidders are aware that Ishibia is dropping out of the ownership race. Many considered him the frontrunner, so there is one fewer person to outbid for the new ownership. Those still interested in the Twins could try and submit a lower bid, but then there is the danger of being outbid or the Pohlads pulling the team off the market. Again, MLB teams are rarely for sale, so this is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. 

    5. Renewed Search for Potential Buyers
    With Ishbia out of the picture, the Twins may need to identify and engage new potential buyers. This could involve reaching out to local business figures or exploring interest from other national or international investors, potentially reshaping the future ownership landscape of the franchise.

    If the Twins honestly had a “robust market,” then there should be plenty of other groups interested in purchasing the team. If the Pohlads feel the bids are too low, perhaps they widen their search and look for other potential buyers. A renewed search likely stretches the timeline for new ownership until later this year. 

    As the situation evolves, the Twins' leadership faces critical decisions shaping the organization's trajectory in the coming years.

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    23 minutes ago, Parfigliano said:

    I'm not a Pohlad or a fan of them but I don't get why people constantly bitch about them.  The Twins have always had tight pocket owners.  Always.  It's not a new development.

    I enjoyed reading this in Dave St Peter's voice, however.

    Rule #1 in sales. “Buyers are Liars”  Owning a professional sports franchise is one of the ultimate luxury items.  Every penny not spent on the purchase can go towards running the shiny new toy. 
    The purchase price is only one facet of the sale.  The ongoing expenses and tight profit margin is the most important facet. Buying the best team to run the whole organization seems to be the hardest thing to ever achieve.

     
    At this point, I would bet that the Pohlads don’t like any offer they have gotten.  Like a luxury home that doesn’t sell or at least generate heavy interest and offers in a timely manner, it will get pulled off the market until the market dynamics change. 
     

    7 hours ago, tony&rodney said:

    I have understood this from the very beginning and stated such. MAYBE use Rube Nation for our national politics but it isn't fair or accurate to lump the many differences found among us on Twins Daily into one piece.

    If you understood this from the very beginning you were probably one of less than a dozen on here. 

    13 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

    It might be interesting why they backed out, maybe the Twins were too creative. With what the Twins did this offseason, I doubt the new owners would have money to go out & get a high-profile rental at the deadline IF the Twins are still in it. The Pohlads are on the hot seat if they back out they'd be tarred & feathered by the fans. If they have to take a discount they better do it.

    I don't think they really had interest in the Twins. I think they were using MN to try to get more leverage in Chicago. 

    10 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    To the best of my knowledge, it hasn't been reported on why the Ishbia's stopped pursuing the purchase of the Twins. What was reported was:
    1) The Ishbia's were no longer pursuing the purchase of the Twins.
    2) The Ishbia's were approached by Jerry Reinsdorf about buying out some minority White Sox owner shares which would not give the Ishbia's a majority stake or team control.
    3) The Ishbia's intend to accept Reinsdorf's proposal.

    If the Ishbia's were outbid, they might have decided to stop the pursuit. If that is the case, the high bidder can't just drop their bid because the Ishbia's are out based on price, not interest. A bidder can't play bidding games like that, either. Offers are offers and gaming the offer to scare off other bidders would have consequences.

    If there is a higher bidder there's nothing stopping them from backing out.

    11 hours ago, terrydactyls said:

    Sentence 3.  Knowing Minnesotans, if the Pohlads decide not to sell the Twins, I would expect the reaction to more like "well gosh darn it all" than tar and feathers.

    For some reason I attached my brother-in-law's voice to that comment.  It was eerily accurate.  
    (He has lived his whole life in the Twin Cities area.  I lived there for 9 months.  The first 9 months.)

    22 hours ago, Doctor Gast said:

    It might be interesting why they backed out, maybe the Twins were too creative. With what the Twins did this offseason, I doubt the new owners would have money to go out & get a high-profile rental at the deadline IF the Twins are still in it. The Pohlads are on the hot seat if they back out they'd be tarred & feathered by the fans. If they have to take a discount they better do it.

    WAIT a minute.  NOW you're trying to tell me that whoever buys the team is NOT going to come in and outspend the Dodgers?  Stop.

    I’ve said from the beginning that they aren’t selling the team.  Similar to the Glen Taylor situation, any reason they can find to keep it while seemingly intentionally throwing up arbitrary road blocks.


    It’s a professional sports franchise.  I don’t care where it is or what sport, if someone really want to find a buyer and get out, it’ll be there.  Probing for a buyer at a price they know won’t be met isn’t an earnest attempt.

    What better way to attempt to drive some fan engagement and get in the media cycle (any engagement/press is good) after completely blowing the highest fan engagement/optimism in a decade off a playoff series victory?  Make a splashy roster move?  Shake up the coaching staff front office?  We all know those weren’t options.  Stage a search for an exciting new owner like Ishbia who would spend like a drunken sailor at a pub compared to the Pohlads would certainly get people talking.  

    I might be proven wrong.  But as they “work” through this process, the more I feel my initial gut reaction of “BS” seems accurate.

    It just makes no sense, if they have any real business acumen and long-term thinking/planning, to tank ticket sales and fan excitement, then try to sell the team.  I don’t buy the “they need clean books, so they can’t sign any significant contracts” trope that’s been thrown around.  You’re telling me a group of multi-billionaires clamoring to get into a professional sports franchise wouldn’t buy a team because they signed some mid-tier free agent deals?  They’re more likely to pay your price if the team stinks?  The sale price is certainly hurt much more by demonstrating zero fan engagement/excitement and bottomed out ticket sales.  

    55 minutes ago, Beast said:

    It just makes no sense, if they have any real business acumen and long-term thinking/planning, to tank ticket sales and fan excitement, then try to sell the team.

    You're assuming the Pohalds have any real business acumen and/or long-term thinking/planning just because they're rich and "successful". The reason they allegedly are looking to sell the team is because all their other businesses are struggling. Look at their estimated net worth versus the value of the Twins and then look at that ratio towards the end of Carl's life. 

    Carl was a ruthless POS, which is why he was "successful" in business. There's nothing to suggest his nepo baby failsons have any real business acumen other than the fact that they have an important job that was handed to them. 

    13 hours ago, Beast said:

    I’ve said from the beginning that they aren’t selling the team.  Similar to the Glen Taylor situation, any reason they can find to keep it while seemingly intentionally throwing up arbitrary road blocks.


    It’s a professional sports franchise.  I don’t care where it is or what sport, if someone really want to find a buyer and get out, it’ll be there.  Probing for a buyer at a price they know won’t be met isn’t an earnest attempt.

    What better way to attempt to drive some fan engagement and get in the media cycle (any engagement/press is good) after completely blowing the highest fan engagement/optimism in a decade off a playoff series victory?  Make a splashy roster move?  Shake up the coaching staff front office?  We all know those weren’t options.  Stage a search for an exciting new owner like Ishbia who would spend like a drunken sailor at a pub compared to the Pohlads would certainly get people talking.  

    I might be proven wrong.  But as they “work” through this process, the more I feel my initial gut reaction of “BS” seems accurate.

    It just makes no sense, if they have any real business acumen and long-term thinking/planning, to tank ticket sales and fan excitement, then try to sell the team.  I don’t buy the “they need clean books, so they can’t sign any significant contracts” trope that’s been thrown around.  You’re telling me a group of multi-billionaires clamoring to get into a professional sports franchise wouldn’t buy a team because they signed some mid-tier free agent deals?  They’re more likely to pay your price if the team stinks?  The sale price is certainly hurt much more by demonstrating zero fan engagement/excitement and bottomed out ticket sales.  

    I love how everybody assumes a new owner would spend like a drunken sailor at a pub.  Hell, I'm old enough to remember when folks thought that of the Pohlads after they bought the club from Calvin.  I'll bet anyone that when and if the team is sold, they won't win two World Series within 8 years.




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