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Twins Daily Contributor
Posted
Image courtesy of © Tim Heitman-Imagn Images

Draft week is finally here! We’ll have a ton of coverage for you here at Twins Daily. Here are a few important details to get you oriented to our coverage.

Despite finishing with the 14th-worst record in 2024, the Twins will pick 16th in the first round of the 2025 MLB Draft, courtesy of falling two spots in the MLB Draft Lottery. They will revert to picking 14th in all subsequent rounds. They have the 12th-largest bonus pool overall, at $12,653,000 (marginally more than 2024). This is primarily a function of their Competitive Balance Round A pick, 36th overall, which revenue-sharing recipient teams garner in either Comp Round A or Comp Round B on an annual rotation.

The Twins' top-100 picks and slot values are as follows:

  • Slot value for pick 16: $4,929,600
  • Slot value for pick 36: $2,692,200
  • Slot value for pick 54: $1,761,600
  • Slot value for pick 88: $893,000

This combination of financial and pick flexibility puts the Twins in a strong position to work with a draft class shaping up to be uncertain in terms of top-tier talent, but with plenty of depth through around 75 picks—and interesting prep bats, in particular.

You can find our MLB Draft board here.

This is a project I’ve been working on since February. The rankings are consensus rankings, taken from leveraging all of the major draft boards in the industry. The goal is to eliminate some of the noise in rankings for casual fans looking to get more interested and get to know the class better. You’ll find the logo from the team next to their pick positions in each round, to give folks an idea of the caliber of talent available in a particular portion of the draft.

By Sunday, you’ll find a writeup for 136 player profiles, with biographical information, scouting reports, 2025 performance for college players, and potential fits. The board will be updated every day or so until day one.

Additionally, we’ll be live-streaming an episode of Destination: The Show through the entirety of Day One. We’ll get started at 5:30 PM ET/4:30 PM CT. We’ll bring you information on all the picks, live reactions, and team-specific special guests. We hope you’ll join us.


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Posted

I know full well that the results of the MLB draft will take at least a couple of years before we see any sort of results. And even then, if you get 3 quality, viable ML players out of 20/21 selections you've done well. But I just love the process and the potential to speculate on. Really looking forward to what the Twins do.

I could see them closing a prep SS that can STICK there for a young option to develop behind Culpepper, with no disrespect to DeAndrade. And I understand the idea that has been discussed on the podcast that this might be the year for the Twins to roll the dice a bit on projection. The system is deep enough to afford a potential swing and miss that could pay high dividends if they guess right.

I see no way Irish falls to 16, but even though I generally agree with not drafting catchers in the 1st round unless they are special, I think Irish might turn out that way. I like him because the BAT plays even if he can't stick as a backstop, for whatever reason, and moves to the OF or even 1B.

But MY IDEA of taking a swing and miss is to grab a more ready made college pitcher that they can develop instead of their previous MO of finding  developmental arms later on.

My ideal #1 is Tyler Bremner. Before the season began he was top 10, if not top 5. The talent is still there. He already sits 94-95? He might sit 96-97 a year from now. He's already got a good change. The Twins are very slider heavy in their development. Imagine how good his slider might be in a couple of years? I could easily see the introduction of a curve or sinker in his 2nd season to give at least a 4th "show me" pitch to keep the batters timing off. I don't want them to stop with what they've done with discovering arms later on, but what might they do with an almost ready made arm?

Also, despite SWR, Festa, Matthews and others, as of now, you have to dip down to A ball to find the next wave. And as this moment, we have control of our top three through 2027. I think this is the perfect opportunity to go the college arm in the 1st round.

I'm probably dreaming, but a down season for Laviolette and Conrad in the OF...Conrad due to injury and little time at the D1 level...might one of them possibly slide to our comp pick at 36?

Again, I'm probably just dreaming here.

BTW, you mentioned a college catcher in the last podcast that you saw as a possible option for the Twins a couple rounds later on. I can't recall who that was. Could you give a name and possible brief breakdown on who that was?

Twins Daily Contributor
Posted
2 hours ago, DocBauer said:

I know full well that the results of the MLB draft will take at least a couple of years before we see any sort of results. And even then, if you get 3 quality, viable ML players out of 20/21 selections you've done well. But I just love the process and the potential to speculate on. Really looking forward to what the Twins do.

I could see them closing a prep SS that can STICK there for a young option to develop behind Culpepper, with no disrespect to DeAndrade. And I understand the idea that has been discussed on the podcast that this might be the year for the Twins to roll the dice a bit on projection. The system is deep enough to afford a potential swing and miss that could pay high dividends if they guess right.

I see no way Irish falls to 16, but even though I generally agree with not drafting catchers in the 1st round unless they are special, I think Irish might turn out that way. I like him because the BAT plays even if he can't stick as a backstop, for whatever reason, and moves to the OF or even 1B.

But MY IDEA of taking a swing and miss is to grab a more ready made college pitcher that they can develop instead of their previous MO of finding  developmental arms later on.

My ideal #1 is Tyler Bremner. Before the season began he was top 10, if not top 5. The talent is still there. He already sits 94-95? He might sit 96-97 a year from now. He's already got a good change. The Twins are very slider heavy in their development. Imagine how good his slider might be in a couple of years? I could easily see the introduction of a curve or sinker in his 2nd season to give at least a 4th "show me" pitch to keep the batters timing off. I don't want them to stop with what they've done with discovering arms later on, but what might they do with an almost ready made arm?

Also, despite SWR, Festa, Matthews and others, as of now, you have to dip down to A ball to find the next wave. And as this moment, we have control of our top three through 2027. I think this is the perfect opportunity to go the college arm in the 1st round.

I'm probably dreaming, but a down season for Laviolette and Conrad in the OF...Conrad due to injury and little time at the D1 level...might one of them possibly slide to our comp pick at 36?

Again, I'm probably just dreaming here.

BTW, you mentioned a college catcher in the last podcast that you saw as a possible option for the Twins a couple rounds later on. I can't recall who that was. Could you give a name and possible brief breakdown on who that was?

Easton Carmichael!

Carmichael has been a steady riser this season as has become part of a solid second tier of catching prospects ahead of the 2025 draft. A compact, right-handed stroke is the headline offensively here. Carmichael has a solid approach at the plate with good bat-to-ball skills. He increased his BB% in 2025 from 6.9% to 9.1% while maintaining a solid 15.7 K%. There's sneaky pull side power here too, Carmichael hit 17 home runs (31 XBH) and has above average foot speed for a catcher (average overall).

There's plenty of work to do behind the dish; receiving and blocking both need work. Additionally, his arm is a little light for the position and he can, at times, struggle to control the running game. He's an ideal profile for a time that values a solid overall hitting skillset over current catcher skill.

Posted
24 minutes ago, Jamie Cameron said:

Easton Carmichael!

Carmichael has been a steady riser this season as has become part of a solid second tier of catching prospects ahead of the 2025 draft. A compact, right-handed stroke is the headline offensively here. Carmichael has a solid approach at the plate with good bat-to-ball skills. He increased his BB% in 2025 from 6.9% to 9.1% while maintaining a solid 15.7 K%. There's sneaky pull side power here too, Carmichael hit 17 home runs (31 XBH) and has above average foot speed for a catcher (average overall).

There's plenty of work to do behind the dish; receiving and blocking both need work. Additionally, his arm is a little light for the position and he can, at times, struggle to control the running game. He's an ideal profile for a time that values a solid overall hitting skillset over current catcher skill.

Somewhat reminds me of Jeffers coming out.

I like the potential of Diaw and Ferrer, and haven't given up on Cardenas. 

But I like another option like Carmichael to add. 3rd or 4th round?

Posted

Can't wait for the live stream.  It was a lot of fun last year. I'm with @DocBauer I just love to dream on these kids.  I also agree that if the right college pitcher falls it would be nice to have a fast moving arm with mid rotation potential.

Looking at the way most boards are shaping up I have them taking Aloy or Summerhill at 16. So many things can happen to change consensus though we won't know until we know.

Appreciate all the work and effort you put into this Jamie!!! It is greatly appreciated.

Posted
3 hours ago, DocBauer said:

I know full well that the results of the MLB draft will take at least a couple of years before we see any sort of results. And even then, if you get 3 quality, viable ML players out of 20/21 selections you've done well. But I just love the process and the potential to speculate on. Really looking forward to what the Twins do.

I could see them closing a prep SS that can STICK there for a young option to develop behind Culpepper, with no disrespect to DeAndrade. And I understand the idea that has been discussed on the podcast that this might be the year for the Twins to roll the dice a bit on projection. The system is deep enough to afford a potential swing and miss that could pay high dividends if they guess right.

I see no way Irish falls to 16, but even though I generally agree with not drafting catchers in the 1st round unless they are special, I think Irish might turn out that way. I like him because the BAT plays even if he can't stick as a backstop, for whatever reason, and moves to the OF or even 1B.

But MY IDEA of taking a swing and miss is to grab a more ready made college pitcher that they can develop instead of their previous MO of finding  developmental arms later on.

My ideal #1 is Tyler Bremner. Before the season began he was top 10, if not top 5. The talent is still there. He already sits 94-95? He might sit 96-97 a year from now. He's already got a good change. The Twins are very slider heavy in their development. Imagine how good his slider might be in a couple of years? I could easily see the introduction of a curve or sinker in his 2nd season to give at least a 4th "show me" pitch to keep the batters timing off. I don't want them to stop with what they've done with discovering arms later on, but what might they do with an almost ready made arm?

Also, despite SWR, Festa, Matthews and others, as of now, you have to dip down to A ball to find the next wave. And as this moment, we have control of our top three through 2027. I think this is the perfect opportunity to go the college arm in the 1st round.

I'm probably dreaming, but a down season for Laviolette and Conrad in the OF...Conrad due to injury and little time at the D1 level...might one of them possibly slide to our comp pick at 36?

Again, I'm probably just dreaming here.

BTW, you mentioned a college catcher in the last podcast that you saw as a possible option for the Twins a couple rounds later on. I can't recall who that was. Could you give a name and possible brief breakdown on who that was?

Great post Doc.  Totally agree on Bremnar. I think his arm action could be something like Bieber had in Cleveland.  I think it is a top of the rotation arm, he won't get past picks 11 to 15 if he lasts that long. All the really good arms look like they will be gone around the top 10.

I like Woods stuff. I think it can be elite in time. He could droop to 16 or late 20's. Kind of Joe Ryan like, but with a shoulder impingement already and only two plus pitches that seems like too much risk for me at 16.   If he were still there at 36 or 54 I would do it, but I imagine he won't last that long.

I have them taking a college player again at 16.  Summerhill could be plus everywhere with a question mark with power.  Likely just  a left fielder despite good speed, but he would be plus defensively there.

Aloy comes with concerns with chase and thus the bat to some degree, but it would be nice to have an infielder with a nice power stoke.  It's something they don't have in the system and he plays good D at short as well.

Both could be gone before the Twins pick, but most mocks have them making it to 16.

Posted

The Twins drafted a HS SS a few years ago from Wisconsin who was recently promoted to the Dodgers AAA Team...Still stings. None of the "Expert Rags" have us going that direction. Tyler Bremner is not that unrealistic of an option. Also, stranger things have happened then having  Irish slip that far. MLB Draft 2025 is almost upon us - Dream Big Twins fans...

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