Richie the Rally Goat’s 2023 Payroll Blueprint

[Richie the Rally Goat]

calibrating recent moves in

Miss out on C4 but land Bogarts on a creative 4 year 88 plus incentives to push it over 100m with MVPs

Sign Rodon to a 4 year 100m deal

sign Narvaez to a 1 year 5m deal

I want to do more w/ outfield. Needs more hitting, but couldn’t keep it in the realm of possibility and still get a SS and starting pitcher. As I’m typing this, it dawned on me that much of the language from DYP and the FO sounds like they’re not prioritizing SP, but that would lead to a very similar pitching situation that we saw in 22…. Yuck

• C: Ryan Jeffers ($0.70M)
• 1B: Luis Arraez ($4.50M)
• 2B: Jorge Polanco ($7.50M)
• 3B: Jose Miranda ($0.7M)
• SS: Xander Bogarts ($22.0M)
• LF: Matt Wallner ($0.7M)
• CF: Byron Buxton ($15.00M)
• RF: Max Kepler ($8.50M)
• DH: Alex Kirilloff ($.7M)
• 4th OF: Kyle Garlick ($0.70M)
• Utility: Nick Gordon ($0.70M)
• Utility: Kyle Farmer ($6.0M)
• Backup C: Omar Narvaez ($5.0M)
• SP1: Sonny Gray ($12.00M)
• SP2: Tyler Mahle ($8.00M)
• SP3: Kenta Maeda ($9.00M)
• SP4: Joe Ryan ($0.70M)
• SP5: Carlos Rodon ($25.0M)
• RP: Jhoan Duran ($0.70M)
• RP: Jorge Lopez ($3.00M)
• RP: Griffin Jax ($0.70M)
• RP: Jorge Alcala ($1.00M)
• RP: Caleb Thielbar ($2.00M)
• RP: Jovanni Moran ($0.7M)
• RP: Bailey Ober ($0.7M)
• RP: Emilio Pagan ($4.5M)

Payroll is 0.50% over budget

[DocBauer]

No Larnach? I'd have him in LF over Wallner, probably. There could be good reasons for Larnach in RF and Wallner in LF.

To me, Kepler would be moved. His freed up salary would allow to bring in that solid RH hitting OF for only a little more $. The defense suffers some, naturally, but the offense is so much more effective. 

While I understand the reasoning for including Pagan in your bullpen, I am so hoping he's gone, one way or another, and is replaced by a FA or one of the young internal arms.

The rest makes sense.

I'm buying in to Bogarts as a quality option to replace Correa, assuming we lose out. But I'm starting to wonder about Dansby Swanson as well. He's probably better defensively, will probably come cheaper, but wouldn't be quite as good of a hitter as Bogarts. 

[stringer bell]

If I’m not mistaken, Wallner has almost exclusively played RF. If Larnach and Wallner man the corners, Wallner will be in right. 

[Richie the Rally Goat]

On 11/19/2022 at 4:19 PM, DocBauer said:

No Larnach? I'd have him in LF over Wallner, probably. There could be good reasons for Larnach in RF and Wallner in LF.

To me, Kepler would be moved. His freed up salary would allow to bring in that solid RH hitting OF for only a little more $. The defense suffers some, naturally, but the offense is so much more effective. 

While I understand the reasoning for including Pagan in your bullpen, I am so hoping he's gone, one way or another, and is replaced by a FA or one of the young internal arms.

The rest makes sense.

I'm buying in to Bogarts as a quality option to replace Correa, assuming we lose out. But I'm starting to wonder about Dansby Swanson as well. He's probably better defensively, will probably come cheaper, but wouldn't be quite as good of a hitter as Bogarts. 

I forgot to offload Kepler to make room!

@stringer bell now that you mention it, agreed.

if I were to do this again, trade Kep, Larnach Left, Wallner Right. About 5% under budget

[Reptevia]

On 11/19/2022 at 9:18 AM, Richie the Rally Goat said:

• C: Ryan Jeffers ($0.70M)-Not a MLB hitter
• 1B: Luis Arraez ($4.50M)-Fine
• 2B: Jorge Polanco ($7.50M)-In decline
• 3B: Jose Miranda ($0.7M)- Twins best position player
• SS: Xander Bogarts ($22.0M)-Good add
• LF: Matt Wallner ($0.7M)-???
• CF: Byron Buxton ($15.00M)-(IR)
• RF: Max Kepler ($8.50M) No longer a MLB hitter
• DH: Alex Kirilloff ($.7M)???
• 4th OF: Kyle Garlick ($0.70M)-not a MLB player 
• Utility: Nick Gordon ($0.70M)-If this is Buxton backup, expect average WAR from CF. 
• Utility: Kyle Farmer ($6.0M)-ok?
• Backup C: Omar Narvaez ($5.0M)—ok
• SP1: Sonny Gray ($12.00M)-good
• SP2: Tyler Mahle ($8.00M)-good
• SP3: Kenta Maeda ($9.00M)-???
• SP4: Joe Ryan ($0.70M)-good
• SP5: Carlos Rodon ($25.0M)-plus
• RP: Jhoan Duran ($0.70M)-plus
• RP: Jorge Lopez ($3.00M)-???
• RP: Griffin Jax ($0.70M)-good
• RP: Jorge Alcala ($1.00M)-???
• RP: Caleb Thielbar ($2.00M)-ok
• RP: Jovanni Moran ($0.7M)-???
• RP: Bailey Ober ($0.7M)-??? In BP
• RP: Emilio Pagan ($4.5M)-Ugh!

I don’t see this lineup scoring enough runs to be above .500. Too many bad or hugely questionable players.