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After an 0-9 start, the Twins are 6-5


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Posted

Twins biggest problem this year has been competition.

 

 http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/page/2016mlbpowerrankings_week3/mlb-ranking-mlb-teams-three-weeks

Nats 2, KC 3, Balt 4, CWS 6....  All swept us.  We actually played most of those games close.  Of course, losing all to all 4 of those doesn't bode too well.  Also having the Sox who are moving up, and Royals in our division doesn't exactly scream rebound either.

That said, I do expect the offense to click at some point.  We should have a couple winning months this summer.  May has traditionally been a good month for us.  If Mauer keeps hitting, we're going to make a run at some point.  Bull pen needs some help.  If we can get anything from Berrios, Buxton, Burdi, or Meyer, we can be pretty darn good still.  But still that competition...

Provisional Member
Posted

 

This just in from the 'misery loves company' department:

 

The Twins have the same record as the Astros.  The main difference I could see, is that the Astros have had three separate three game losing streaks sprinkled throughout the rest of their 6-5 record.    

 

Despite correctly predicting the Twins suckitude, many national prognosticators have regressed to the mean due to the Astro's start.

 

Things like talent aside (although I would argue the Stros and Twins make pretty decent doppelgängers)---do the fancy numbers say the Astros' postseason chances are as bleak as the Twins?  This is an actual question.    

I think most 'fancy numbers' still think the Astros are the better team overall, so they are still projected to do better than the Twins going forward. But that doesn't mean their playoff odds haven't cratered. Most sites had the Astros favored to win the AL West but now are expecting closer to .500. 

 

Fangraph's rest-of-season projections are now pegging the Astros for 81 wins and just a 35% chance of making the playoffs. Baseball Prospectus is even more pessimistic, with just a 29% chance. There was a recent article talking about how the Astros have had the largest drop in playoff odds in baseball: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-astros-are-in-trouble/

Posted

 

I'd add Kyle Gibson to that list.

 

I'd agree, though he might be a better one to move this offseason, in part b/c he seems to be a guy who puts up good numbers after starting slow (and the overall line at the deadline won't look as good) and in part b/c I'm not quite sure how many SPs you want to unload in a month.  We have some nice depth there, not to mention a lot of high minors talent, but it can become a major headache if we suddenly have 3 spots to fill, especially if Meyer and May remain in the pen for the forseable future.

Verified Member
Posted

I'm more inclined to add Dozier to the list--he is far more likely to fetch talent.

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