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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    I think it's the nature of other team's relievers. I think when they're already in house and have been here a year or so, you have a significantly better idea of when, how and if to use them.
  2. nicksaviking
    That was a terrible time for a team meeting. What did I miss?
  3. nicksaviking
    Have they decided it's best for Jenkins? Or best to keep his future earnings low? Because I can tell what's not incomplete, his low strikeout and high walk rates, which are almost always the things that holds a AAA player back.
  4. nicksaviking
    I'd take either a salary dump starter or even a low level waiver starter to get Matthews to the pen, which is where I think he belongs. That's not to be demeaning at all, because I think Matthews is going to thrive there as soon as he gets used to the transition.
  5. nicksaviking
    Don't we want the Twins to be in that boat? I don't think they've done pre-arb extensions with ANYONE since Kepler and Polanco, let alone 1st year contract extensions.
  6. nicksaviking
    The bullpen should be: Morris, Gomez, Adams, Funderburk, Raya and Klein. Anderson's still young so give me him and then Matthews, with Rojas going to the rotation. I'd be more than happy to try Culpepper over Klein or Anderson too. If you absolutely have to have a second lefty, sigh, I guess you keep Rogers, or help Prielipp limit his innings in the pen. But only Matthews and/or Anderson do the mop up multi inning stuff, the others all concentrate on learning the nuances of being a high leverage reliever. Matthews can do that next year. Not all of them are going to make it, but I'd bet good money that over half of them do, and getting them ready to rock in 2027 will set this team up to be an actual contender next year. Retreads from other teams will just hinder the evaluation of the players who are much more likely to contribute.
  7. nicksaviking
    There is nothing about Gray that is an analytic darling. This looks like old school, 'Just give me a veteran, I don't trust the young players!' kind of nonsense.
  8. nicksaviking
    A reliever? They better not. It's already clear this team has zero clue what to look for in other team's relievers. Multi-year track record, with multiple teams, good velocity, good strikeout and good walk numbers. They always zero in on some flash in the pan, small-sample-size hero and think that a few dozen innings of results this year are any kind of reflection of the player's ability.
  9. nicksaviking
    I do suspect the top prospects will be up after the trade deadline as a consolation prize to the fans if they fail to land any big trade targets. And I suspect they'll fail. Which I'll be Ok with. An unexpectedly enjoyable, yet not terribly fulfilling 2026 should be the preview, fielding a really good team in 2027 should be the real goal.
  10. nicksaviking
    He's got an absurd 14% K rate and an equally absurd 14% walk rate in AAA. He's got the gist of it. If you insist on waiting for him to add power before getting called up, we might not see him until he's 26. If ever.
  11. nicksaviking
    Right, it's unavoidable, so why are they kicking the can? Get through the curve ASAP.
  12. nicksaviking
    I guess I also might not have called up Jenkins. Because I'd have called up Culpepper who is about four months overdue for a promotion. This team is frustrating. I do think this club can be a top team next year, but only if they find a legit middle of the order hitter amongst the young internal players. And they need to be called up this year just to get their feet wet. Waiting until they are perfect in AAA and expecting instant results at the MLB level means this club hasn't been paying attention to how this typically works, for about the last 150 years.
  13. nicksaviking
    They just signed Caratini last off season and 80% of the posters had never heard of him before. I'm not sure why it seems implausible to find another stop-gap catcher. But the loss of Caratini is likely a moot point anyway, because if they DON'T trade Jeffers, it would almost certainly mean they plan on extending him a qualifying offer, which he'll likely accept considering the uncertainty of the CBA and thus the free agent market.
  14. nicksaviking
    I guess if the Yankees want him, there's nothing anyone can do about it, have to let them have what they want. Just honored that they let the Twins play in the same league with them.
  15. nicksaviking
    The Mariners have been loaded with starting pitchers for four years now but have refused to trade any. Now they're finally willing, but firmly only willing to move this one in particular? That should be a red flag. Looks like he was forced to give up the changeup because it got crushed. In place of that off speed pitch, he turned his slider into a sweeper. That's a pretty new development. Is that new pitch awesome? Or is the book just not out on it yet? You really need a reliable off speed pitch as a starter, so if this new sweeper wasn't a silver bullet to fix his repertoire, he's almost certainly destined for the bullpen. Starting pitching typically takes a pretty big over-pay this time of year. I'm guessing another club would offer the Mariners a package that's much more than what I'd be comfortable with the Twins offering.
  16. nicksaviking
    Well that would be unfortunate. I was referring to the 'He's still young, the power's going to come!' narrative.
  17. nicksaviking
    I'm happy to have the consistency, but he had a lot of moments last year where he struggled. I wouldn't be surprised if the contract was built so the Vikings could get out of it even as soon as next off season.
  18. nicksaviking
    Yeah, looking at the Bucs roster, they need a new GM to go with the coach next year. You don't want to give Mayfield a 50M deal, but that's the price these days and much worse QBs are getting paid that much or more. So they don't have a ton of good players, so why are they 27th in cap space? Answer, Tristan Wirfs has a 36M cap hit. He's definitely a good LT but but it looks like the cap hit was front loaded and it would actually save them money to cut him in the next couple of years. Is that what you want? His contract makes it look like they'll have to give good consideration to cutting him starting next year. Chris Godwin has a !33M! cap hit. I know he's well liked and a good player when healthy, but no team would have let that happen. Antoine Winfield is good, but he already peaked and he's got a 27M cap hit. Then this offseason, 10M to good-not-great A'Shawn Robinson and 7M to running back Kenneth Gainwell? Do they realize what year it is and how much you're supposed to pay running backs? Sorry, I don't actually care about Tampa one bit but went down a rabbit hole wondering what the hell is going on here.
  19. nicksaviking
    There is so much group-think with these prospect rankings, and Law seems very aware of that and often bucks trends, which is commendable. I usually roll my eyes at contrarians, but since no big name pundits in any sports dare stray too far from consensus with these things, this is the spot a contrarian is actually beneficial. Because of this, I'm sure at times it gets to the point where he has pet prospects, but I'm pretty sure he's acknowledged that happens, which is also commendable. And while I like Jenkins, I'm surprised people aren't putting Lackey above him. If he doesn't start putting the ball over the fence, he's going to be getting Alex Kirilloff comps as soon as he's called to the majors.
  20. nicksaviking
    They only got one fringy top 100 prospect in last years sell off. And history clearly shows the team getting the star player wins about 75% of the trades involving prospects. I keep both Ryan and Jeffers if possible. I know it looks pretty blasé right now, but if kept, I think this club is going to be really good next year if two things happen. 1) either Jenkins, Culpepper, E-Rod or another homegrown talent can be a legit #2-5 hitter in the lineup. 2) Instead of blowing their budget on five players, they mostly use it on ONE free agent/trade for a front line starter. Obviously neither of those are remotely close to sure things, but I think the odds of those things happening and the Twins making 2027 a year of legit contention is higher than trading Ryan and Jeffers and being a legit contender later in some undefined window.
  21. nicksaviking
    Maybe if he's just one component of a surprisingly big deal for a long term controllable player. But definitely not just to move him. Not now anyway. Only bad teams sell their players at their absolute nadir. Why trade him for a player of no consequence now instead of waiting to see if his value rebounds? Even if it doesn't, the odds that whomever he brings back in return is any good are just as low or lower. Unless they're willing to call up Gabriel Gonzalez to play 1B, I don't see the rush.
  22. nicksaviking
    Maybe. I guess I'd need to start hearing the trade scenarios rumors. I'm still fairly turned off by the fact that the Twins were only able to snag one fringy top 100 prospect during last year's massive sell off. I think the system is pretty heavily rigged for the buyers these days, which not coincidentally is mostly made up of the big pocket teams.
  23. nicksaviking
    Out of curiosity, what free agent(s) are you interested in? I guess that question isn't just for Mike but anyone who'd rather put the Jeffers QO money towards free agency.
  24. nicksaviking
    I don't think this season is going anywhere no matter what they do, but if the Twins are willing to take on salary to avoid giving up anything of note, they can go ahead and trade for a starter as far as I'm concerned. It would send a good message at the very least. No bats though. And controversial take here, no relievers either. Because I think this team actually CAN be good in 2027, but they need to get the top young bats up ASAP and continue to transition the internal starters into relievers for that to happen. They can't sit on the young hitters and wait to transition the young pitchers to one inning relievers and expect it to come together all at once next year. Get these young guys up to speed now, and if you chase .500 while doing so, great.
  25. nicksaviking
    I'm seriously not being flippant. The 16-23M free agents next year are going to be guys like Luis Arraez and Jazz Chisolm and I'd much rather run with the younger Keaschall and Lee. The pitchers will be Kevin Gausman, Robbie Ray, Brandon Woodroof and Sandy Alcantara. All have some combination of age, injury and severely declining strikeout issues. And if the bottom dozen teams are all going to spend more, than these guys all might blow past the 16-23M figure. If there ends up being a salary floor, this years 22-23M QO is going to be way undervalued comparatively; if the system remains similar (which it never does) it's going to have to jump significantly after the CBA.
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