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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    Eduard Julien made the Rockies. Jose Miranda on a MiLB contract was re-assigned to the Padres AAA affiliate. However both had an OPS over .900 this spring and I'm cheering for them. If for no other reason than if they find success elsewhere, just maybe we can reverse engineer what exactly it is the Twins are doing wrong with their hitting prospects.
  2. nicksaviking
    Maybe Gray is just the sacrificial lamb. Maybe the plan is to call up Culpepper in a couple of weeks come hell or highwater and they didn't want to roster than DFA Arcia. Probably not. But this certainly has the feel of a situation where something is going on behind the scenes that we're not privy to.
  3. nicksaviking
    While the Twins roster oddities are thoroughly documented, a few things have caught my eye across the league today. First, the 2025 WS runner up Toronto Blue Jays are keeping their Rule V pick Spencer Miles. Checking his stats to see what kind of steal they got, I see that since getting drafted back in 2022, this guy has only thrown 14.2 innings in organized baseball, more than half of which came playing fall league. Only 4 1/3 innings at A ball, and not a pitch at a level higher than that. Seems like a crazy thing for a contender to do. Good luck to that young man, I'm cheering for him. What I'm not cheering for, is the Detroit Tigers and their star prospect Kevin McGonigle. Drafted out of high school only in 2023, he's getting to skip AAA making the Tigers opening day roster. Is this stupid and reckless? No, it's probably just sour grapes on my part.
  4. nicksaviking
    A rebuilding team has one hitter on the 26-man roster under the age of 26. And of the six 40-man hitters in AAA, two of them are already 27-years old.
  5. nicksaviking
    Well it's encouraging that some of these issues are due to strikeouts, when strikeouts have never been an issue for him. Early season timing issues are pretty common. But I do worry about this being a systematic issue, where a lot of top prospects come up, rake at the plate right away, struggle after the pitchers adjust, and then the hitter fails to re-adjust. Obviously if that was an issue, getting a new coaching staff would be your first step, so fingers crossed. But it's also possible the well has already been poisoned and it's too late to clean. Since there's no harm in it, I'm going to lean toward the optimistic view with Lewis. The payoff would be top level and it's not like there's a logjam of 3B prospects we're waiting on.
  6. nicksaviking
    The problem with everyone playing with their pants down, is that it really becomes obvious which guys are swinging a lighter bat.
  7. nicksaviking
    I really want Matthews to work out because he appears to have the stuff to be a good starter, but so far it's been ugly. Of all the pitchers, he most reminds me of Trevor May. I'd still flip Festa, Bradley and Klein before Matthews, but doing this for another year or two is most likely just going to result in wasted late inning potential. So if I saw them starting to make the switch with the other guys and not Matthews (Festa still isn't committed to the pen??? Come ON) Matthews still starting would be fine. This is all just starting to rub me the wrong way because the team just saw last year how good and desirable their bullpen can be when they build it with these kinds of pitchers. It makes me think that they were actually blind to how they got into that position and don't comprehend the simple math as to the best way to get back there. And it's not like the gulf in production for starters and relievers is as drastic as it was 20 years ago when starters threw complete games and 200 innings pitched was the norm. Give me 70 (often high leverage) innings from a good reliever over 140 (usually low leverage) innings from a below average starter. Based on how much even sketchy relievers are now getting paid, it sure seems like the rest of the league is understanding this.
  8. nicksaviking
    Houston is still in A ball and it's quite likely he'll never hit well enough to be a staring MLB player. If he's going to push Lee or Culpepper to a new spot, that's still years out.
  9. nicksaviking
    Yeah, the current bullpen ceiling is atrocious. However, Bradley and Matthews should probably only get one more chance at starting at the major league level. Between those two, Raya, Festa, Klein, Adams possibly/eventually Preilipp and Morris, I'm pretty encouraged that the potential is high for a good bullpen once they test out and turn over the pen to these internal options. Eventually.
  10. nicksaviking
    Not to derail this thread, but this is kind of shocking. I'm not a great swimmer but as a lucky life-long summer lake cabin kid, this might be a spot for a PSA. While it's not exactly instinctual, if you have to carry someone to shore while swimming, put them on your chest and do your best to backstroke/kick to shore. Much easier to stay above water than trying to breast stroke. Glad everything is OK and understand why this was private for so long.
  11. nicksaviking
    As someone who has tipped a kayak with a child who had a life jacket on, I can tell you there is a zero percent chance you haul ass to shore and leave your kid behind. Even if he’s floating safely, you’re going under before you ditch him.
  12. nicksaviking
    You mean besides Wageman and Kredler right?
  13. nicksaviking
    Whatever temperature Outman is, it's not the kind of body I want. If you need a backup CF, give me Roden. Or Rodriguez. Or Jenkins. Put Martin back out there for all I care. Anyone who can sniff being useful beyond 2026. This season should have nothing to do with finding AAAA roster bubble players. Those are cheap and easy to find. It's absolutely bonkers how much time and effort this organization puts into finding the 23-26 men on the roster as opposed to the starting lineup. No other team cares this much.
  14. nicksaviking
    I'll trade Stewart and his IR spot for Outman and his regular roster spot in a heartbeat.
  15. nicksaviking
    Relax everyone. Rodon is only 25-years-old, that's too young to be a regular MLB baseball player. The average age of a AAA player is 26.5 years old and I'm repeatedly told by people who track Twins players in the minor leagues that this is reasonable measure of a player's future production. The Twins 40-man roster has an average age of 28.6 years, which is right in line with the other World Series contending teams. You know, the teams that are in the same boat as the Twins.
  16. nicksaviking
    That's exciting because I have one of those! Eddie secretly had a second career he thought he hid from everyone, but if you paid attention to batting stances, you could figure it out.
  17. nicksaviking
    Probably because there's only ever about four good relievers on the free agent market every season. You don't know what you're going to get from the guy moving team-to-team. Emilio Pagan is now worth 20M over two years despite being a DFA candidate in even numbered years? The difference between a 2nd tier reliever and a DFA candidate is about 30 innings of either good or bad pitching. 35-year-old Tyler Rogers and his !!!!16%!!!! K rate gets a four year deal? Nick Martinez, Ryan Helsley, Seranthony Dominguez? Unless you only look at one season, while completely ignoring other seasons, and ignore troubling walk or strikeout numbers, it's clear these guys aren't any more likely to help your team than they are to be a liability. I'll pay a guy who is good every year while playing for multiple teams while having usable BB% and K%.. If there's no consistency, look in house or scrape the bottom of the barrel, because half of those guys getting paid will be bottom of the barrel six months from now anyway.
  18. nicksaviking
    That gives me little hope that this front office has a good read on player values. Reese McGuire, Kory Lee and Ben Rortvedt have all be DFA'd in the past couple of weeks. And those are just the catchers off of the top of my head that at one point were similarly well regarded prospects. I'm guessing there are a half dozen similar but lesser known journeymen catchers in the same boat. But the Twins I guess have a special flower in Jackson that every team should covet? Except the Twins obviously because the team is so stacked.
  19. nicksaviking
    Just so we're clear, your side is that the Twins keep Arcia, and my side is the Twins trade for Bobby Witt Jr. Deal.
  20. nicksaviking
    With Kreidler being sent down and Arcia not yet added to the 40-man, I hope that means the Twins are looking for other options at shortstop.
  21. nicksaviking
    Wow, so bipartisan legislation is being proposed to at least stop this stuff in terms of sports betting. I only see two lawmakers mentioned for this being 'bipartisan'. Unsurprisingly the lawmaker on the right is from Utah, which is obviously anti-gambling of any kind. I hope they make this work, but I have doubts considering how much the president's family is now tied into this industry. If they are able to stop this, it would be great if MLB has a good enough contract and lawyers to make this shady company pay them the 300M anyway.
  22. nicksaviking
    Right. He was giving himself nicknames and publicly defying his head coach months after the national narrative had turned on him. And we all know a guy like him is on social media, so he's heard the bad press. And I'm not any more bewildered by this than I am when other normal 23-year-olds continually fail to grasp their situations while their parents are rolling their eyes saying, 'Why can't this kid get it?!'.
  23. nicksaviking
    He was topping out at 86 MPH. Paired with his typically terrible walk rates, I’d rather throw a dart at any random Saints reliever. Or even find something better on waivers.
  24. nicksaviking
    Kind of surprising, but probably not impactful. I was really hoping the Twins would be convinced to move on from Topa. Also not a fan of Orze or Kent. Or Chaffin or Banda. At least not all as a group. I'm kind of confused why the Twins are suddenly OK with so many pitchers with control issues. It's the exact opposite approach to what was working for them most of the last half decade.
  25. nicksaviking
    I'd agree that statistics that measure on productivity are often useless this time of year. Particularly the kinds of numbers you see on a baseball card. But biometric related numbers seem to be a bad omen as they would indicate physical limitations. How hard you can throw seems more akin to how much Miguel Sano weighed on opening day. Or how many inches Eddie Gaedel grew when he showed up to camp.
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