I like all of your takes. With the first one in particular, I think people have blinders on.
I do think Drake Maye is really good, but his season was pretty flukey, and I doubt it's repeatable because of the offense he is in. He threw for almost 4400 yards, but it was due to an unbelievably high completion percentage on deep balls. He put up those yards and threw for 31 TDs on less than 500 pass attempts, which makes sense because Mike Vrabel doesn't want to throw the ball. I will say, that if Maye is legit that good on deep balls and can hold a 72% completion percentage on 9 Yards per Attempt and 9.5 Air Yards per Attempt for his career, he's going to be better than Manning, Brady and Brees and Vrabel is going to waste his talent.
As for Williams, he did improve last year, but only because they got him to cut his sacks down by 2/3rds. How is nobody noticing that he went from a pretty poor 62% completion percentage in his rookie year to what should be very concerning 58% last year? His reads are still slow too and it shows as he went from a 3.03 second average throw time in his rookie year to 3.25 seconds last year. I'm guessing like KOC, Ben Johnson has some longer developing plays, but any 'improvement' Williams showed had to be almost entirely due to the improved offensive line.
And the Packers are the least talented team in the division. They've been playing above their skill level for a few years though. I think once they all acknowledge that they no longer have a generational QB leading them, the house of cards will collapse and they'll be bottom dwellers for a decent spell*.
*Sigh, probably just wishful thinking