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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    Well that ratio argument is much more convenient if they don't have a high value free agent and payroll sits at 100M, instead of 140M. Or, I hope you're not suggesting the old 'quantity over quality' approach they used to run with. Geez, we only have roster space for four free agents, lets sign four Andrelton Simmons so as not to pay someone 20% of our payroll. Nobody wants that. Including the front office. And Houston 100% would have tried to re-sign Correa or one of the other shortstops last year if they didn't have one of the top shortstop prospects in the league ready to roll and 3B and 2B locked up through 2024. Bryce Harper, Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Manny Machado, Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado, George Springer. These kinds of contracts have often been paying dividends recently It is not 'common wisdom' to assign slot values to roster spots, that's very inflexible and outdated. Like, last decade outdated. Most of the fans and the TEAM ITESLEF has shown not to be interested in that conservative approach. One player you can confidently predict will be good is better than four who are unlikely to be much better than the guys already in the minors. Mid level free agents are the absolute worst value for your money as the young, cheap players tend to be able to approach, if not surpass their productions.
  2. nicksaviking
    Four JA Haaps >>>>> One Carlos Correa.
  3. nicksaviking
    The Twins roster situation is exactly why they should be doing a large contract now. They won't give a pitcher a long term deal and they don't have other holes to fill. If they're going to ride steady at a 140Mish payroll, it'll have to be due to signing a big time player. And the team is young, so it's going to be this way for the foreseeable future.
  4. nicksaviking
    Sure, plenty do, but plenty don't. Recently, they've been working well. Bryce Harper, Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Manny Machado, Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado, George Springer. And that's not counting all the early-20's career spanning extensions the shrewd teams are doing with the young players. A decade ago, these things were almost always swings and misses, but the last several years, teams seem to be hitting on them more than they strikeout.
  5. nicksaviking
    I’d like Correa back, but I’d also be interested in Bogaerts if he’s quite a bit cheaper in years and money. I’m guessing most around here would put him third or fourth in their free agent SS list, but of the four, he has the better, and most consistent BB and K numbers, which would seem to be a good indicator of continued offensive production.
  6. nicksaviking
    Unfortunately for me, I’ve never worked for a company where everyone was as equally good and bad at their jobs. Hypothetically, if some parties happened to not be pulling their weight, I’d hate to put my job on the line with them.
  7. nicksaviking
    Half of the playoff teams also have terrible catchers. It's not a pressing need because most of the league is in the same boat.
  8. nicksaviking
    Yeah, I kind of forgot about this, even though at the time, I'm pretty sure I posted that it sure sounded like extending Buxton was something Pohlad nudged Lavine to do, if not flat out told him to do. It was a week and a half before the extension when Pohlad, who doesn't do a ton of interviews regarding on-field activities, told Dan Hayes he didn't want the Twins to trade Buxton: https://theathletic.com/2958689/2021/11/16/byron-buxtons-future-with-the-twins-remains-in-limbo-as-team-gauges-trade-interest-potential-extension-offers/?source=emp_shared_article This situation doesn't sound too dissimilar.
  9. nicksaviking
    Does he need to have knowledge of how they work? I figure all he needs to do is tell his employees they should start.
  10. nicksaviking
    That sounds like a decision that would bite them in the butt considering attendance is down and the Twins probably more so than most clubs actually do rely on fans coming from outside of the metro. There are few things folks in the upper Midwest like to do more than take offense to perceived slights and marginalization.
  11. nicksaviking
    You thinking starting shortstop or front line pitcher?
  12. nicksaviking
    I'd add a fourth reason: It's just an overall weak position. Jeffers is closer to 'average' than he is to 'awful'. I mean, Gary Sanchez is the 2nd best free agent catcher, I think that says all there is to know about the position these days. Don't waste the time and money on a position that will only provide minimal gains, if any at all.
  13. nicksaviking
    No, that actually does not sound familiar. The Twins have been giving out big contracts the last several years and any contract Correa would get wouldn't put the Twins over any self-imposed salary cap. I highly doubt ownership cares HOW the front office spends that salary space. A deal for Correa wouldn't put the team over budget so what would it matter to ownership? In fact, one Carlos Correa surely brings in more revenue than four bargain basement free agents. If a deal for Correa, one of the other shortstops, Rodon or any other big budget free agent doesn't come to pass, it'll be because either the player wants to be elsewhere, or because the front office shied away from committing X% of the payroll to a single individual player or committing X amount of years to a player. No deal most likely means that someone in the front office is too scared to tie their future employment to one deal that can be easily pointed at as being a mistake.
  14. nicksaviking
    Obviously there will be a payroll limit we as fans will never be privy too, but any Correa contract could fit into that limit comfortably. I honestly do think Jim Pohlad is on board with signing Correa, but the Pohlad's aren't known to be meddlers. The biggest problem is that Falvey or Lavine (whos responsibility is this really? we SHOULD know that as fans) know that they'll be judged based on how this hypothetical deal works out. I do believe it's almost entirely in the hands of the front office and how comfortable they are making this type of decision.
  15. nicksaviking
    He got booed in Minnesota while still an Astro too. It's tough to be a fan without having some built in hypocrisy.
  16. nicksaviking
    Well whatever St. Louis and San Diego are doing to fight in the higher weight class, that's what I'm in favor of this team doing. But also, they don't actually NEED to fight in that weight class to sign Correa or another top SS. Their current payroll would fit a giant contract quite comfortably.
  17. nicksaviking
    He's a big-name prospect that might not live up to that kind of billing, so I'd be more than happy trading him, but not if his stock is still low. Will teams pay for his AFL performance? Or will they still demand his AA production value? He headlined a package for Jose Berrios. If he'd now only be an auxiliary piece for a similar pitcher, I'd rather wait and hope his value increases. If his value is low, it's not an expensive gamble.
  18. nicksaviking
    Still seems nuts that Julien never got a promotion last year. He was way too good for AA.
  19. nicksaviking
    Just my feeling, which is completely uneducated, but he's always been perceived to have the best defense of them all, and I'm sure he's aware of that. Plus he's the youngest, very confident in himself and proud. All three traits being positive in my view. He'd likely be the last of them to NEED to move from shortstop though, so it may be a bridge crossing well down the line. Despite what other teams' fans think, he does seem to be a team player though, so I could have it 100% the opposite too. In any case, I might prefer the free agent SSs most amenable to a hypothetical future position change.
  20. nicksaviking
    They did, but I think that's because they already had Turner and didn't plan on giving two big contracts to two shortstops. In any case, I'd have to think that if there's any indecision on whom to pursue, they'd prefer the shortstop(s) that their fanbase doesn't constantly boo and berate.
  21. nicksaviking
    I believe in the Yankees interest, despite the prospects they have coming up; that team is in desperation mode. I don't believe LA as much. They seem to really like 'their guys' and I'd guess they'd rather retain Turner. I do want Correa back, but of the four free agent shortstops, he does seem like the one who'd be most resistant to moving off of SS when that inevitable time comes. And that time is probably coming sooner rather than later for all of them. If you could get one of the others at 2/3rd the price with the understanding that SS isn't their forever home, that might work out pretty well in the long run.
  22. nicksaviking
    Jorge Lopez may have been the best reliever in the league until the Twins traded for him. Diaz was only average in 2021 and he was awful in 2019. Relieves are flakey and unpredictable, what makes you think he'll be good in 2023?
  23. nicksaviking
    I think we can put a lid on deGrom, Verlander and Kershaw. Those guys have already made their big money, are at the end of their careers, and currently play for three of the best teams in the league. These guys rarely chase the top dollar; they'll chose a destination based on contention and/or geography. I'd like Rodon, but since he's the cream of the crop this year, there will be teams that give him deals longer than we know the Twins will offer. The Twins might be right not to offer a long term deal, but I'd like them to try it just once. If they can't bring in one of the top SS, they should be all in on Rodon; this team doesn't have roster space or needs for a half dozen free agents, just do a few. Quality over quantity.
  24. nicksaviking
    Yeah, there's way more of this type of pitcher available this offseason than normal, likely because most teams have wised up to giving these guys multi year deals lately so most are just constantly rolling over on 1 and 2 year deals each off season. Anyway, with this glut, none of them will have any leverage. A couple might find a dopey team like the Rockies or Angels to give them a player friendly deal, but I agree with you, most will get less. Many will get much, much less. Sorry Ricky Nolasco, this isn't 2013 anymore.
  25. nicksaviking
    You see a lot of MLB players demanding trades? Maybe it's happened recently, but I don't recall reading about it. There's 1200 players on the MLB rosters, It's unlikely that Sonny Gray is the most disgruntled of them all. He only averaged facing one extra batter a start his last two years in Cincinnati, it's not like the Twins were a colossal outlier for him; they basically used him the same way. And the Twins pitching strategy seems to change year-to-year and pitcher-to-pitcher. No one knows how they'll use him or the other starters next season. Besides, I wouldn't want to sign a 33-year-old pitcher to an extension anyway. 2023 seems to be about the exact right time to walk away from this union.
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