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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    Is it just me, or are the Twins going to struggle spending all of their draft pool this year? Should everyone but Hill be slot value or less. Some way less? And it would be very un-Twin-like to target the top tough-to-sign prep players left out there.
  2. nicksaviking
    I don't know, the Twins have done well finding good players at all spots in the draft, but 6th round doesn't sound early any longer to me. If he's your favorite bat at this point, take him regardless of position.
  3. nicksaviking
    Yeah, it's a culture war thing. Even in little old Fargo ND it's a made up talking point: https://www.inforum.com/news/fargo/is-downtown-fargo-safe-city-leaders-say-perception-doesnt-match-reality
  4. nicksaviking
    Don't forget the slow start to the season, that too certainly is contributing to the lower attendance. Plenty of fans probably wrote them off, and without the ability to watch them on TV, likely have no idea the team got good all of a sudden. First impressions still mean a lot, especially when something is out of sight, out of mind. Of course the lower payroll certainly aided in that slow start to the season.
  5. nicksaviking
    A bigger (stronger) Nick Gordon probably would have been a pretty good player though. I know some people wanted Brecht and others wanted Honeycutt, but the Twins have been pretty reliable about doubling down on what is currently working, and running far away from the things that aren't working. They have steered clear of pitchers with command issues for a few years now and hitters with strikeout issues since leading the league in that category last year. On the other hand, middle infielders with good bat-to-ball skills? They've been doing well there at all levels, so this is no surprise.
  6. nicksaviking
    I don't think WAR is terribly reliable, but lately it has been pretty reliable in who the voters will choose. So for these predictions, I think it's a pretty safe benchmark.
  7. nicksaviking
    I think voters already know the issue with using counting stats now. I think Greinke gets in by year three on the ballet at the latest. I think Votto, Goldschmidt, Freeman and Betts are basically locks too. How many guys with .890 OPS, or whatever they'll finish with, aren't in the HOF?
  8. nicksaviking
    Fun discussion. I mostly agree with those tiers, but probably not the relievers as locks. The voters can't make up their minds about that position. Mariano Rivera is the ONLY unanimous HOF amongst all positions, but then you have to twist their arms to put anyone else in? Make up your minds guys and gals. Altuve is close to a lock but so was Carlos Beltran. We'll have to see how that trashcan blow back turns out in the years to come.
  9. nicksaviking
    He was always more of the crafty type, working with that low velocity. His velocity and movement look to be the same, I wonder what changed with him.
  10. nicksaviking
    The best part about these bios is that anyone can create or add to them. Click the View Player Bio link in the post above yours. If his foreign stats are available, they're probably included in the Baseball Reference link. Feel free to add pertinent information to that page, including his years overseas!
  11. nicksaviking
    I agree with going after ceiling players, not floor, and I'd give up a ton for Steele. However, I do think Kikuchi has the stuff to be a top end arm though. Even if it's only for this season when no one is hitting HRs anymore. I like him quite a bit more than Gausman and Bassitt. Just my take.
  12. nicksaviking
    He's had a HR problem in the past, like Joe Ryan. They both seem to be benefitting from this year's suppressed offense. I'm more than happy to take advantage of current climate while using past results to lower his cost. Then when they tweak the game next year to heat up the bats, you just don't re-sign him.
  13. nicksaviking
    I actually think Kikuchi might be the best of the three. He has the best K% and BB%, the two things I think are the biggest contributors to shutting down good offenses, which is what you'll see in the post season. The counting stats may keep his price down, meanwhile FIP says he's the one to target regardless of cost.
  14. nicksaviking
    Then the Twins need to keep starving them for wins so they continue to feast on Guardians!
  15. nicksaviking
    I agree, I'm skeptical they sell. They might test the waters, but they're not that far back of Seattle.
  16. nicksaviking
    The tighter purse strings were a surprise this year, and then they got their TV money late in the offseason after there were no good free agents left to spend on. I think the odds of them expanding the payroll are lower than 50/50, but I'm not writing it off completely. A deep playoff run surely wouldn't hurt next year's TV negotiations, and after last year, surely they know starting pitching is the best bet to get there.
  17. nicksaviking
    The Rangers had a loaded roster last season, how were they a surprise champion? The lineup was stacked and they traded for Scherzer and Montgomery at the deadline. They were on everyone's radar. And AZ ran out of gas and got toasted in the World Series. They would have had to win four series against superior teams; they got close, but as expected didn't pull it off. Anything DOESN'T happen just by making the playoffs. The best team doesn't always or even usually win, but ONE of the best four or five teams pretty much always does. The goal needs to be one of the favorites, not just a scrappy underdog who got a ticket in.
  18. nicksaviking
    Agreed. If the Pohlad's are willing to re-open the wallet, Eovaldi seems like he could be a playoff starter. No interest in Lorenzen. He's always been a smoke-and-mirrors pitcher, I don't want him anywhere near the mound come October. And if the Twins need him just to get to the playoffs, then this team isn't a legit contender anyway. Andrew Heaney wasn't mentioned, but didn't the Twins try to sign him a couple years back?
  19. nicksaviking
    I'm disgusted by this country's toxic super capitalism, but it doesn't happen every time. His contact is for 4.8M, 800K of which was already paid as a signing bonus. An NFL team withholding 4M in in today's market would be worse for them than paying it. It's peanuts to these owners; the good-will alone would be worth more than 4M. The only reason they wouldn't pay is for salary cap reasons, but I'm sure they could work something out easy enough where they cancel the contract and just cut a check. So yeah, feel free to be heartless about corporate USA, but not because they won't pay, but because they may be doing it for the wrong reasons. But again, the Vikings keep getting top marks for how they treat their players, there's no reason to think the Wilfs won't realize the Vikings make 4M every other day from the franchise and think it's the right thing to do.
  20. nicksaviking
    Not sure what they'll get, but the Vikings keep getting top ranks for how they treat their players. I'd bet on them to do some degree of right by the family. But you're right, hardly the point at this time.
  21. nicksaviking
    I didn't like the Santana signing, but I'll be happy for him to continue to prove me wrong. But garbage titles like this is what is wrong with discourse in our society. Not enough people are willing to change their opinion on a topic despite evidence elsewise anymore. A certain demographic will NEVER admit they were wrong about something, but condescending finger waiving only makes the people who may be open to change, double down on their positions harder, it doesn't bring them around to see your side.
  22. nicksaviking
    Doesn't much matter which order you get the wins in. Except when it comes to claiming fan interest. The TV situation is brutal, but even when fans could watch them, slow starts were always bad for season-long attendance; they might want to figure that out one of these years.
  23. nicksaviking
    Raise the ceiling, not the floor. This sounds like a trade just for the sake of making a trade.
  24. nicksaviking
    Awful news, such a young guy.
  25. nicksaviking
    I think teams have gotten much more adept at realizing the difference in value in improving the 'floor' as opposed to improving the 'ceiling' of their teams. A guy like this likely only minimally improves the team more than a waiver claim guy like Caleb Boushley or whatever the Brewers have floating around AAA and AA. Adding someone you could stick at the top of your rotation is still going to cost a pretty penny I'd think.
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