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Everything posted by nicksaviking
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What is Royce Lewis STILL doing in St. Paul!?!?!
nicksaviking replied to bighat's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
This doesn't bother me. Though personally I'd have Lewis up DH'ing if that's what he's doing in St. Paul. He hasn't been a model of health, I'd probably try to squeeze as many MLB plate appearances as I can out of him before we deal with a new issue. If they're going to risk injury, I'd rather not waste that time in AAA. But whatever, this isn't some crime against baseball. The prospects with high draft capital haven't been delayed. The guys with gripes would only be the non-top prospects. I mean there was no reason to keep Julien in Wichita for a full season. Keirsey should obviously be up instead of Margot now and over Stevenson last year, and Camargo probably shouldn't be blocked by a clearly cooked Vazquez. It doesn't seem to be some big systemic conspiracy, but you can find guys most years that the team seemed to unfairly sidetrack for one reason or another. And fairness to the player aside, these sidetracks don't really seem to benefit the MLB W/L ratio in any way.- 56 replies
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- royce lewis
- rehab assignment
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One one hand I'd like to see Festa, but on the other I've still yet to see this team figure out a starting pitcher who has control issues. Despite those issues, I think he has a ton of value. I'm a 'play the young guys' fan, but I think I'd still look to package him with other prospects to replace Paddock with an established good arm. Though I say that really with only eyes toward the Marlins. I guess if they can't pry away Luzardo or Garrett I'm happy to roll the dice with Festa.
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- chris paddack
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And three of the four spots all currently go to guys who at their best are average veterans and at their worst (i.e. now, aside from Castro) are unusable, and there's no flexibility to option them. Ideally those three bench bats you listed should be optionable players you can sub out if they can't cut it. The fourth should be an actual good hitter.
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- kyle farmer
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Agree with Stringer, should be Farmer but it'll be a young guy and Kirilloff seems like the best bet.
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I loathe the uber-platoon approach mostly because it leads to extremely inefficient and inflexible roster construction. But if they're going to do it, they should be doing it with better RH hitters. It's not like Margot and Farmer are some stud .850 OPS hitters against lefties. They're basically just league average hitters from their strong side. Max Kepler used to be terrible against lefties too, now he's not because he got reps. Let the young left handers get those same reps or they'll only become usable against lefties about the time they hit free agency.
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Still can't watch the Twins - I can't let this go.
nicksaviking replied to Riverbrian's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Rule changes are free or of minimal cost. So far I haven't seen them willingly make any changes to endure the game that requires them to sacrifice short term dividends. Billionaires are obviously different than corporations. Corporations are loyal to the company; they are the company. It's why the (barf) Green Bay Packers are the only sports team that will never threaten relocation or contraction. Billionaires have multiple companies and investments that they can buy and sell as they please. They can still be loyal to one of their companies, but they can divest whenever they want, so their long term ROI goals have to do with all the parts of their portfolios, not one individual investment. For them, their best long term ROI may very well be to take the short term cash from MLB now and put it in the investment of the future. What is that investment? One Word: Plastics. -
Everyone needs to cut Lopez a break. He hasn't played for the A's, Pirates, Rockies or White Sox yet. Based off of his experiences, yeah, the Mets are totally the biggest mess in the whole MLB.
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Still can't watch the Twins - I can't let this go.
nicksaviking replied to Riverbrian's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
And for the NFL, 95% of their games are still on the broadcast channels and 5% are on the big streamers lots of folks already have. If MLB tries that approach with these 3rd tier streamers that nobody would ever subscribe to except to watch this ONE thing, they're doomed. -
Still can't watch the Twins - I can't let this go.
nicksaviking replied to Riverbrian's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
That would be great, but as you mention, we're talking about billionaires here and we should expect their top priority to be profit. And with billionaires, money now is infinitely more important to them than money in the future. If they can take the highest sums of money right now and the result is that the league ends up dying, they'll happily take their profits, divest their interests and reinvest in another industry. So far the leaders of the MLB have shown zero long-term ambition to making this game sustainable for future generations. Hopefully there's some backroom game-plan, but I'm doubtful. -
Yeah, there's possibly some 'the grass is always greener on the other side' syndrome here. The FO is not alone though, I see a lot of demand for specific free agents from the fans and a lot of it seems to be adoration without a close inspection.
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- jake cave
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Still can't watch the Twins - I can't let this go.
nicksaviking replied to Riverbrian's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
And based on St. Peter's erroneous claim that blackouts will end, it tells me the Twins were planning on going the MLB TV route too but at the last second Joe Pohlad decided he wanted the bigger bag of money instead. -
I'm not going to hammer them for trading after thought prospects for a guy who looked like he might pay off, but their evaluations of their internal players seems off. It's really weird, this front office just seems to have no faith in their own fringy prospects even though the fringy ones seem to pay off almost as often as the top prospects do. I mean, this really is no different than going with Margot and Vazquez over Keirsey and Camargo. No idea what is happening but if I had to guess, it would be that they spend too much time looking at the warts and not enough time looking at the ceiling.
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And you could probably pay Drew Butera 1% of what you pay Vazquez to 'teach' Jeffers these intangibles. And he wouldn't cost a roster spot, you just got to buy him a coaches jersey. Or heck, Pay Tim Laudner to do it and get him off the broadcasts.
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As seen on MLBTR, the basement dwelling Rockies are yet again keeping their best player. They can't be talked into trading an average player at peak value, who's owed 44M over the next three years? McMahon is a 29-year-old corner bat who in his first seven big league seasons never ONCE had an OPS+ over 100. They should be drooling over the idea of getting young assets and clearing payroll for this guy who is is clearly at the ceiling of his value. I feel bad for Colorado fans. Unlike fans of Pittsburg or Oakland (RIP), this organization doesn't seem like it fails because they are cheap, they fail because they are just so incompetently run.
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Ryan Jeffers is 27-years-old, pretty sure he should be considered a 'leader' at this point. This team's insistence on stuffing the roster with 'leadership' players keeps costing them wins because by and large, these guys are not good on the field. I don't get it, why do you need 9-10 'leaders' to teach 3-4 guys who are in their early to mid 20s? And where are the coaches in all of this? That is a completely inefficient and backwards educational model. Do the military, school systems and labor industry have it all wrong and the Twins have it right? Doubtful.
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A Narrow Path for José Miranda
nicksaviking replied to stringer bell's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
That's probably the overall sentiment, but I don't care about making the playoffs, I only care about winning the World Series. I think they need another top end arm to do so. If they can't get to the playoffs without Miranda's slightly above average bat, this isn't a team that I'm going to be overly invested in. Miranda seems like a good fit for Miami, if they can package him with some prospects for Luzardo or Garrett, I'm pulling the trigger without thinking twice. And, no, I don't think the prospects need to be Jenkins or Lee, the Twins got Lopez AND a prospect for Arraez alone.- 34 replies
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A Narrow Path for José Miranda
nicksaviking replied to stringer bell's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
David Festa is actually on my mind as a companion piece to move. The Twins have had next to no luck figuring out starting pitchers with control issues. Miami has though.- 34 replies
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A Narrow Path for José Miranda
nicksaviking replied to stringer bell's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I like Miranda. But the Marlins need a 3B and a 1B. And they've already announced that they're sellers. I'd be calling them up about starting pitching.- 34 replies
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Gomez at #3 is a pretty strong argument for why WAR isn't a good stat. Gomez was undeniably the WORST offensive regular on that team by pretty much every metric. Those regulars included Alexi Casilla, Brendon Harris, Nick Punto and Brian Buscher. The even more maligned Delmon Young was a better 22-year-old on that team. If anyone remembers anything about the 2008 season, it was how disappointing the top piece of the Johan Santana trade played.
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Did the Twins Give Up on Brent Rooker Too Soon?
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
These guys were all drafted during the Twins successful juiced ball era. It's understandable why they thought it was appropriate to continue to churn out those three-true-outcome hitters. The league changed the game on the Twins and by 2021 the Twins had shifted their draft philosophy dramatically.- 44 replies
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Did the Twins Give Up on Brent Rooker Too Soon?
nicksaviking replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I liked Brent Rooker and his pre-draft articles and scouting reports suggested that he had the make-up to adjust his game to fix his shortcomings. Still, the Twins had and still have too many high strikeout guys in the system. There would have been no room for Julien, Wallner, Buxton and Rooker in the same lineup to open the season. Those 30%+ K rates would have devastated the lineup, even if they all put up .800+ OPS's. As much as we complained about Santana and Margot, those low K% acquisitions clearly showed the team did realize this was an issue. Obviously Wallner and Buxton to a degree have taken themselves out of the equation, but had the Twins not traded Rooker three years ago, they almost certainly would have traded him no later than this past off season. Now they may have gotten a better return for him had they held on to him longer, but the only way I could see him still on the roster is if they for some reason decided to keep him over the younger and cheaper Matt Wallner, who was better than Rooker last year. And that's not even taking into consideration the other internal corner bat options. I just don't see a reasonable scenario where he'd still be on the team now.- 44 replies
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Doesn't look much like Balazovic to me, Balazovic was never able to miss any bats and he struggled with control. Looks more like Griffin Jax in 2023 when he looked impressive early than from April 21st through May 19th his ERA ballooned from 2.16 to 5.59. For both pitchers the strikeouts were still there, the walks weren't an issue and the FIP says they just ran into a some tough breaks.
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This team might struggle this year, but I don't see the gloom and doom about the schedule. The Vikings play the worst conference in the AFC and avoid the NFC East. The only teams they play who had more than 10 wins last year are SF and Detroit twice. It looks like they just play a ton of really average teams mostly.
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I think the defense is going to keep this team out of the bottom ten, and really, outside of the QB question mark, the offense is pretty good too. Still, I agree no trading picks this year. This is not a team that I'm also in no rush to rush McCarthy. However I think elite QBs are like elite starting pitchers, if they can be ruined by early career failure, I don't think that's a guy you want to be commanding your team through the playoffs. The best guys are just wired differently.
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Yankees (Schmidt) vs Twins (Ryan): 5/16/24, 12:10pm
nicksaviking replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
I was less impressed with the contact during David Well's perfect game.

