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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Correia's strike zone map with Pinto behind the plate today from Brook's Baseball. It is nice to see those called strikes outside of the strike zone. It hasn't happened very often this year when the number of strikes outside the strike zone is greater than the number of balls on the inside. Just one game and no more telling than his good day at the plate, but I am encouraged anyway. The graphic doesn't show well. Here is a link. http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/cache/location.php-pitchSel=429781&game=gid_2013_09_01_minmlb_texmlb_1&batterX=0&innings=yyyyyyyyy&sp_type=1&s_type=3.gif
  2. jorgenswest
    The season ticket base should have great priority. If free agent signings are necessary to retain that base, it is probably better to always try to compete rather than rebuild from a base of younger players.
  3. jorgenswest
    We disagree. I don't want to be stuck with decline phase players when the younger players are ready. I don't think the Twins can afford to sign a Willingham for three years and toss him after one and just get another guy. I wouldn't want the Twins to give a pitcher a 5 year contract only to get two good years and decline or injury in the last three. That is a signing I would support when the base of younger players has contributed to a good team ready to be a very good team. Clearly I am in the minority. It could be because my pocketbook isn't contributing to the current budget.
  4. jorgenswest
    Nice angle.
  5. jorgenswest
    It is not a matter of being convinced. It is what baseball guarantees. Almost any star player would want to test the free agent market at first opportunity. It is even more likely when that player has fewer ties to the home town area. The Twins are guaranteed 6 years service time before free agency. They should maximize what the contract provides and hope these players turn out to be stars.
  6. jorgenswest
    Isn't it just as problematic if Sano is arb 2 or 3 when all of the others are arb 1? Ideally the Twins have as many of Sano's best seasons under team control as possible. Calling him up trades a month of his age 21 season for his entire age 28 season. Starting him in AAA next year is the wise move.
  7. jorgenswest
    I enjoy reading and debating about the future of the Twins and their plans. I often find myself having a hard time agreeing with those that would want the Twins to spend big in the free agent market this winter (or last winter). In my mind the timing is off. Almost any free agent is certain to decline in years 2,3 or 4 of the contract. That doesn't mesh with my long term hopes of building the next Twin team to win a playoff series. I would rather them go young and not try to compete. I would rather they find a way to move Willingham and Doumit even for little return. I enjoy watching today's game of AAAA players. Shouldn't I care more about the certain drop in payroll by going young? I don't. I don't need to because I am not contributing to the budget. Rod Carew was playing second base when I last lived in Minnesota. The wonder of MLB TV keeps me connected. I see or listen to most games. I am not a season ticket holder. I have seen one game in Target Field. I wonder if my perspective would be different if I were a season ticket holder. I might be angry if my ticket money wasn't spent making the current team as strong as possible. It seems like our opposing views are miles apart. Those miles are also literal. For all on this board that spend significant money on the Twins, your voice certainly should matter more to the Twins than mine. Thank you to all season ticket holders that have suffered through three losing seasons. I am sorry that the direction I would advocate for the team would lead them to another losing season before the prospects really start to arrive.
  8. jorgenswest
    Ogando - a 24 year old reliever in A-Ball with an ERA of 4.09 including a low strike out rate and high walk rate. There will be plenty of these guys and better available as minor league free agents. The Twins can use the money from the Royals to buy some.
  9. jorgenswest
    Brian Dozier's 15 home runs were the most for a second baseman in Twins/Senators history. Congratulation Brian! Keep it going.
  10. jorgenswest
    Gardenhire did not confirm Welker as the return on his show this morning. In fact he said it was a just a rumor. He may need to say this if Welker has not cleared waivers.
  11. jorgenswest
    Is it a correct assumption that the Pirates would have happily given up a good prospect in return for 2 million? That doesn't make baseball sense. Their front office know the cost of developing and acquiring a good prospect.
  12. jorgenswest
    Waiting for someone to say the Twins should have thrown in money for a better prospect. There was no reason for the Pirates to do that. They were the only one in the market for Morneau. They could set the terms. The money was not going to break them.
  13. jorgenswest
    Pinto needs to be the main catcher with Herrmann starting twice a week against right handed pitching in September.
  14. jorgenswest
    Since it is a blind bid... The Twins can outbid and eliminate the competition. This won't be a case of Tanaka choosing another team looking for a better situation. If they don't acquire Tanaka, it will be solely because they didn't put up enough money. How much should they bid?
  15. jorgenswest
    At over 1000 plate appearances, Plouffe is at about the same point as Valencia when the Twins released him. At this point the Twins should have a pretty good idea of his value. His role should be a platoon corner OF or IF. Unfortunately he is on the wrong side of the platoon and these guys have lost their place in baseball with the 12 man pitching staffs. Some teams find a way to do it. If the Twins want to get the most value out of his skills, he platoons in a corner next year. I would like to see Willingham at DH and a Plouffe/Parmelee platoon at one of the corners. They can play Romero at 3B and give Sano some time to play in AAA while preserving valuable service time. The Twins should understand the value they have in Plouffe. Will they utilize him in a role where he brings value to the team?
  16. jorgenswest
    What are the posting rules for Tanaka? Is it blind? Best offer wins?
  17. jorgenswest
    At midseason his HR/FB rate was an unsustainably low 3%. There was no way it would remain that low. Without making any changes, he was bound to hit double digit home runs the second half. His rate in August has flipped the other direction. Nine home runs a month isn't sustainable either. For 2013, his rate sits at 10.6%. That's low compared to his 2012 rate and career rate but it is approaching career norms. It is reasonable to project 20-25 home runs for 2014. Is that production worth a contract offer?
  18. jorgenswest
    Maybe they will get a look at Romero when Rochester is done.
  19. jorgenswest
    They traded a guy of no value and received an equal return. There is no reason to take a guy from the Royals headed for minor league free agency. There is no reason to expect anything better.
  20. jorgenswest
    The Twins should not have blocked Morse. That would alienate the Mariners and any other team interested. In the future, we don't need the Mariners or other non contenders blocking all players of value the Twins placed on waivers. It would probably upset Morse also. He doesn't want to move away from his family to play for a team going nowhere. John is correct. Noncontending teams don't do this.
  21. jorgenswest
    It seems that the Twins shifted directions on strike outs with the 2012 draft and then the following winter with the acquisitions of May and Meyer. I wonder of those added to the minor leagues starting with that draft tend to be closer to their league averages in strike outs. Let me acknowledge that the signings of Correia and Pelfrey do not fit this plan. They also aren't in the long term outlook. Correia had the reputation of staying healthy which was a need given that every starter had been injured in the previous year. He has stayed healthy and been the only constant this year. Pelfrey was a gamble that didn't work out. My interest would be studying the acquisitions minor leaguers in the draft and trades. Are we seeing more guys with above their league average strike out totals. Is it a coincidence or change in direction?
  22. jorgenswest
    Is it correct to assume that he would sign with the Twins for the same contract? In Gonzalez' case, he also wants to set himself up for his next contract. I really don't think the a Twins are an ideal place for that to happen. They have had little success developing pitchers. For the last two years, Target Field has been 10th in park factor leaning towards a hitter's park. Citizen's Bank has been 19th and 5th. The Twins have several players who are among the poorest defensively at their positions. The Twins play in the AL. If the offers had been comparable, I would think an agent would advise going to the Phillies.
  23. jorgenswest
    Picking up salary didn't matter. By claiming him, the Orioles were willing to take on entire salary. They had the following goals. -Find a right handed bat. -Block the A's from getting an OF to plug in for Reddick -Give up as little in prospects as possible I think the Orioles did a great job of meeting those goals. They blocked the A's by claiming both Morse and Willingham. Morse was cheap in terms of prospects because he was a loan. There was no motivation to deal for Willingham with Morse. They had achieved their Willingham goal by blocking him for the A's. They were probably gambling that the Twins would not stick me with the contract. The Orioles played this perfectly. The only option the Twins had was to give up Willingham. I think the Orioles were pleased that the Twins recalled him off waivers.
  24. jorgenswest
    Buck is an above average pitch framer. The Pirates and some other teams think this has a significant effect on the game. Russell Martin is very good. How much did his addition help the improvement in pitching numbers? The Pirates certainly have changed their catching over since 2011.
  25. jorgenswest
    It is reasonable to project that Doumit will hit somewhere between 2012 and 2013 levels. That would put him right at league average. Is that good enough to be a decline phase DH? I would rather have a guy performing a little below league average that has defensive skill and room to grow.
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