Jump to content
Our free agent ranking is up to 100 names, and now you can filter by player position! Click here to check it out! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

jorgenswest

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    8,284

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    9

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Teams can with with a defense only third catcher. Wilson is fine and the Twins have the luck of getting 5 RBIs in 5 games. Whether or not they should have been expected, they are in the bank. The keys to success are going to be Sano, Buxton, Morrison, Lynn, Rodney... not the third catcher.
  2. jorgenswest
    With more power, I think he can be a starting left fielder. Without it, I think he will be closer to Robbie Grossman. It is unlikely that he will be playing CF so he really needs a little more pop to have that LF role. My guess is that he and the Twins are working on developing that skill this year. They need to invest that time. His one really good skill is his strike zone management. If he showed a lot of speed or had some power or showed elite athleticism, he would be on those prospect lists. I am concerned that LF has become his primary position at 24. I don’t see a plus defender in LF as he enters his prime.
  3. jorgenswest
    Seth can probably chime in on whether my perception seems accurate. In tracking back on a few players who have moved up in season, there appears to be a migration upwards coinciding with the A ball all star games. The MWL and FSL host their all star games on the June 15-17 weekend. I would expect that some of the better performing high end prospects will be moved up around that time frame this year. It also coincides with EST ending and draft signings filling some slots in A-Ball.
  4. jorgenswest
    Wade on base 4 times and another good game from Gordon. We will see several teams start moving guys up as extended spring training ends and some of those players fill low A pushing other guys up through the system. The June draft will also fill the system with a few players that need a spot in A ball. I expect both to move in the first half of June.
  5. jorgenswest
    On the other hand, the first signing might indicate the high priority the front office puts on the catcher position. If age or injury prevents Castro from playing at his prior level of defense, they may be motivated to look for an alternative.
  6. jorgenswest
    I like the option possibility. Keep him stretched out. Starters will get injured. They have some doubleheader’s ahead of them. May will be a far better option than the guys they brought up last year. If he is completely dominating AAA, find a spot in the rotation.
  7. jorgenswest
    He had to be relieved. The high fastball he missed that allowed the runner to advance from 2nd to 3rd and leading to the fielders choice run from 3rd and the the ball he missed later leading to the third run kept the Angels in the game led to 2 runs. Those are plays most major league catchers makes. Yesterday he didn’t need to make either but making one of them would have prevented extra innings.
  8. jorgenswest
    I hope you are right but I don’t think he is close to just fine yet. Some of the skills like calling a game will get better but I don’t know if he can improve his hands and receiving skills enough to be trusted as the regular catcher.
  9. jorgenswest
    What does that tell us about the second half? How much should it be a significant factor in the playing time decision?
  10. jorgenswest
    How much different is Escobar's value from Eduardo Nunez?
  11. jorgenswest
    The bullpen was rested after some good starts. Tomorrow is an off day. The Twins had a comfortable lead. Odorizzi could have gone another inning but it seems like a good move by Molitor. There was little to gain having him go through the lineup the third time and push his pitch count over 100. A week ago when the bullpen was gassed in the middle of a long stretch of games without a day off it would have made sense to keep him in another inning.
  12. jorgenswest
    How will you factor in Buxton, Sano and Polanco into whether they are young relative to the league? There must be a few teams but I don’t think I would trade our group of 26 and under major leaguers Berrios, Romero, Kepler, Buxton, Sano, Rosario and Polanco to very many teams.
  13. jorgenswest
    You can find weighted average on baseball reference. It also isn’t as helpful as you would think. Does it really matter that Lynn and Rodney are quite different in age? The Twins have no future control for either. You can also look at splits and find that the Twins ranks up to age 25 or 26-30 by innings or plate appearances. This is also a little problematic because the Twins have not played as many games as most other teams. That really is the best bet though. You can see use and effectiveness in the split. You would have to paste into a quick spreadsheet to get ratios to even out for the different number of games. Pitchers and hitters 25 and under both rank 9th in AL. I suspect that it might move up a little if it were leveled by games played but the narrative would be the same. The Twins are in the middle of the pack by age.
  14. jorgenswest
    I agree. It is critical midmarket teams make good decisions. Thus far the Twins have 3 good seasons to show for the 13 they purchased in Santana, Nolasco and Hughes. That is not a winning recipe. Midmarket teams can’t easily dump a Nolasco or Hughes contract. Every time we advocate for that winter signing we have to know that it comes with the risk that we will likely be buying some bad years that will be hard to watch.
  15. jorgenswest
    Maybe Wade is working on his swing to get more power. If that is the case, they really need to give him the time to develop that stroke. With moderate power, he might project similar to Matt Lawton instead of Robbie Grossman.
  16. jorgenswest
    I would prefer another bat over the extra mop up reliever. Hopefully one of them is removed when Buxton returns
  17. jorgenswest
    Lots of stuff above. LaMarre is the only true centerfielder of the group. Grossman is the best hitter (today) of the group. Could that why be the front office has chosen these two? As for sample, I didn’t use rate stats for that reason and used a count but the ISO are so similar I could have done the count across two years. When using ISO I used his 2017 numbers. Yes 8 singles would turn into doubles otherwise the batting average would change. In this case it was about increasing in power to increase SLG without increasing AVG. To stay focused on the big picture though... A minor league corner OF profile of very good OBP and low ISO does not translate well to the majors.
  18. jorgenswest
    This was a steamer projection. My understanding of steamer is that it uses a system of weighted averages and not component comps of minor leaguers. I don’t see a lot of difference either but 8 total bases would be an increase from 22 to 30 doubles. Wade has 3 extra base hits in 91 PAs this year. I don’t see how that is going to work well as a starting major league player on a corner. In AA, the first thing I look at as a hitter is age. The second is ISO. Walks are way down on the list for a few reasons. 1) Absent of power walks don’t translate well to the major leagues. 2) In order to get to that walk, the batter often would have seen a pitch or two that they could have barreled up in that at bat but didn’t. With all of his walks, Wade has seen a lot of pitches with few extra base hits as a result.
  19. jorgenswest
    Thanks for the link. It is the 1 PA steamer projection that they are comparing. I hope that steamer and other minor league projections based only on data can not be found in the Twins front office. It would be better to find comps of guys the same age with an ISO near 100 at 23 in AA but good OBP. How many of those guys make it? How long does it take them? Grossman is kind of close but better. He was 22 in AA with an ISO of 144 and lots of walks. ISO is a better indicator of future success because those walks off of minor league pitchers drop significantly against major league pitchers particularly if a player has little power.
  20. jorgenswest
    I see a steamer 1 plate appearance projection. Is that the one you are referring to?
  21. jorgenswest
    . Reminds of a guy the Twins have who started as a CF in the minors but moved to a corner while producing low ISOs and lots of walks. In his prime with luck we might expect a Robbie Grossman. Wade’s defense is better than Grossman at 28 but no reasonable projection would expect a contribution from his bat. Walks with low ISO doesn’t translate well to the majors.
  22. jorgenswest
    Ultimately it was Littell and Enns for Ynoa, some cash and one start from Garcia. Ynoa is off to an awful start in low A this year.
  23. jorgenswest
    I don’t think anyone really expected Garver to be more than a below average defensive catcher this year. He is going to have bad games. He certainly will be exposed by a pitcher that isn’t close to hitting the target.
  24. jorgenswest
    The Twins commitment to Hughes, Lynn and Santana this year. How much longer can they keep sending out Lynn? The Marquis line was 7 games.
  25. jorgenswest
    Encouraging. He may not be ready but the experience won’t hurt him in the long term and will likely help. This Twins team should be focused on the long term.
×
×
  • Create New...