KirbyDome89
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Everything posted by KirbyDome89
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Article: Real Or Pretender?
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
There is also risk in holding onto an aging player, and value lost by not moving him at his peak. Ervin is far from a sure thing to put up another 3 months performance like this. To me it sounds like everybody willing to let Ervin go is comfortable with a prospect(s) return. How comfortable are you with hoping the Twins spend real $$ in FA? They can put together a package of prospects and snag a pitcher, but is it reasonable to expect multiple moves like that? Probably not, so now you're looking at trading away major league players. Apparently Dozier is worthless, and Santiago never cashed in on the promise of that 4 game stretch in April. Either way the team is hurt, but I would rather have 4-5 years of Buxton/Kepler/even Polanco instead of 1-2 years of Ervin in his mid to late 30s. IMO it makes the most sense to trade an aging veteran having a career year.- 137 replies
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- brian dozier
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Article: Real Or Pretender?
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's at least dealing from some depth so I can stomach it depending on the pitcher coming back. If they're shipping out prospects then I would rather see them go all in and get at least a 2 starter with multiple years of team control. It was said earlier but if they're dealing high end prospects for a mid to back end rotation starter to "shore up," the staff in an attempt to limp into the playoffs I'll be very disappointed.- 137 replies
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Article: Real Or Pretender?
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Honest question. If they aren't willing to move guys like Santana then where are the Twins finding pitching? They won't be big spenders in FA and the minor league system isn't exactly stocked with upside arms. What players have the necessary combination of value and expendability to bring back mid rotation or better starting pitching? Hopefully Ervin's July looks more like his April/May than his June, and the Twins can sell at or over market value.- 137 replies
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Article: Breaking Byron Buxton
KirbyDome89 replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree he shares a good part of the blame for the lack of hitting thus far, but if Buxton needs to figure this out himself isn't the fact the Twins won't leave his swing alone part of the problem then? -
Nope not at all. Of course not all prospects work out, but I don't know where anybody is banking on a majority of them to hit their ceiling. Prospects aren't lottery tickets; meaning they don't all carry the same chance for success. Higher end guys like Gonsalves, Romero, and Gordon are going to be the starting point to acquire a starting pitcher at the deadline. Unless they can somehow find get a front of the rotation guy with multiple years of team control (very unlikely) I'm not in favor of giving up what little high end talent this team has in AA. That doesn't mean I don't want them to get better, or do nothing, but improving the team doesn't have to mean giving up young arms for a rental. Every young player that makes up the core of this team will be here after 2020. Barring injuries I can't see players like Buxton, Sano, Kepler, Berrios, or Polanco getting worse over the next few seasons so no, I'm not concerned about future performance. I get the "future isn't promised," argument, but making decisions that only involve "NOW," and where they are in the standings today is how half steps are made. One of the loudest (and legitimate) complaints over the past few seasons has centered around how directionless this organization has looked. Nobody is rooting for more time that this team can't contend, but a shot at a wild card loss or a first round sweep isn't worth what a rental is going to cost.
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I'll echo Mike and say that I don't think anybody enjoys watching bad baseball for 6+ seasons. Rebuilds are ugly and the process can unfortunately be long. Some teams are far better at doing them effectively (Hello Houston and Chicago.) We're finally seeing a foundation forming after a delayed start to the process. To get to this stage and then start selling off prospects for rentals/a chance to drag a seriously flawed team into the playoffs this season is the equivalent of buying the cheapest materials you can in a rush to finish the project. If the goal is a sustained window of contention, which I believe it is, then I can be patient. That said if the trade talks revolve around bringing in a starter with multiple years of team control I'm all ears. The Twins are likely going to have to make significant trades to improve the pitching staff. Barring some miracle, the Pohlad's piggy bank isn't breaking open and this team isn't spending real money in FA to improve the front end of the rotation.
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You should.... Another starting pitcher and a starting corner outfielder would be huge right now.
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Article: Twins Daily’s Instant Draft Reaction: WTF?
KirbyDome89 replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Disclaimer: I'm on board with the first couple picks but wasn't thrilled with the "Reach for Leach," (I think I'll copyright that) move. My issue with these arguments is the use of TR as some sort of Boogeyman. It was time was for him to go and I'm glad the Twins made a change, but he was far from the only issue in the organization. A large number of people who also contributed to the dismal drafting/developing/signing of players are still here. Does that mean they're destined to continue the streak of poor performance? No, but I can certainly understand why that is a concern. Ultimately the draft decisions ran through TR, but those same scouts and development staff who provided him with their own data/professional opinions are doing the same for Falvine. Their past failures are relevant. They shouldn't have to wear them as a dunce cap but they shouldn't be forgotten simply because the ear they're whispering into has changed. The first day of the draft was disappointing. Not everybody may feel that way, but it's unfortunately the overwhelming feeling at this point. Things can change with a couple high upside picks above slot in the 3rd and 4th round, and hopefully they do.- 209 replies
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Article: Twins Daily’s Instant Draft Reaction: WTF?
KirbyDome89 replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm not expecting them to come out and say "Hey guys we really f***ed this up," but they'll need to provide some explanation for signing under slot and then reaching in the 2nd round.- 209 replies
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Article: Twins Daily’s Instant Draft Reaction: WTF?
KirbyDome89 replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You have to think they were sniped. Saving the $$$ isn't necessarily a bad thing but waiting to use it until day 2 makes no sense. Lots of questions. It'll be interesting to see how many answers the Twins provide...- 209 replies
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Article: Twins Daily Official MLB Draft Day 1
KirbyDome89 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Basically the same range of emotions here. I was cool with Lewis 1-1 and assumed they either saw McKay/Greene/Lewis as equals talent wise, or they viewed Lewis as the best overall. The Rooker pick might have been a small reach but still an exciting pick and apparently they saved more cash. The Leach pick was when I started wondering WTF was going on. That one was disappointing to say the least....- 720 replies
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If Lewis didn't sign under slot then that must be the case. I'm OK with it, I want them to draft whomever they believe is the best player. If that isn't the rationale and Lewis indeed signed under slot then odd might be too gentle of a descriptor.
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Article: Twins Select Royce Lewis First Overall
KirbyDome89 replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Agree 100% on the first paragraph. Yeah, we should probably wait to see who they take with the supplemental picks and hear some rationale for the moves made. -
Article: Twins Select Royce Lewis First Overall
KirbyDome89 replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Why wouldn't he? If the Twins were offering less than he stood to make signing in the 2-7 range it's a smart decision on his part. -
Article: Twins Select Royce Lewis First Overall
KirbyDome89 replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I need to see what they do with that extra $$$ before passing too much judgement on the pick....relieved it wasn't McKay though -
Article: Twins Daily Official MLB Draft Day 1
KirbyDome89 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This draft has nothing to do with football or fantasy.- 720 replies
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Article: Twins Daily Official MLB Draft Day 1
KirbyDome89 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
For me it is in the context of strategy. I would rather they sign the best player at 1-1 regardless of how much of their allotment it uses up.- 720 replies
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Article: Twins Daily Official MLB Draft Day 1
KirbyDome89 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Thanks for ruining my day....- 720 replies
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Article: Twins Daily Official MLB Draft Day 1
KirbyDome89 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Greene...then Gore if he'll sign under slot. The association of Wright with "safe," scares me and I'm not terribly high on McKay as anything other than a mid to back end rotation piece. If they go with one of the college pitchers and save some $$$ for picks later in the round I can understand it but short of that it'll be disappointing for me if they take one of those two guys.- 720 replies
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Article: Ervin Santana: To Trade Or Not To Trade?
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
We'll disagree on the first sentence and agree on the last paragraph. -
Article: Ervin Santana: To Trade Or Not To Trade?
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Both are theoretical scenarios. A return for Santana exists, the question is whether the Twins can make a deal happen. The same goes for all the above pitching scenarios and whether they work out in the Twins favor. -
Article: Ervin Santana: To Trade Or Not To Trade?
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Who are they signing in FA to solidify this staff? How long does Ervin pitch like a Cy Young candidate? Are we counting on him to pitch like this at 36 years of age in 2019? Which direction does Mejia go? Hughes and Gibson may potentially have to contribute as starters? Romero and Gonsalves haven't spent a full season at AA yet but one may be starting the season with the Twins? The questions and uncertainty that are causing a break down are abundant on both sides. -
Article: Ervin Santana: To Trade Or Not To Trade?
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
When did I claim to know something that everybody else doesn't? Can you quote that one for me too while you're searching for the quote about bringing back front end prospects? I'll give you the benefit of the doubt and assume you realize just how drastically Santana is outperforming his career numbers. I shouldn't have to explain why that makes him a prime candidate for regression. That in no way is a downfall for the argument to trade him. In fact, it's a strong reason to seek out a trade. The major league staff has seriously issues. It isn't an assumption to say that this organization has refused to spend big money in FA and the pitching pipeline in the minor league system is underwhelming. Those two FACTS don't leave many other options for acquiring the pitching the Twins need. -
Article: Ervin Santana: To Trade Or Not To Trade?
KirbyDome89 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Personally I think amateurism is when you falsify other posts to form an argument. Still waiting on that quote where I said they'd get 2 frontline starters btw.... I just told you it was sarcasm. I know you're not high on Santiago, which is why I found it amusing that a big part of the rotation righting itself and making the playoffs involves him turning his season around. So just throw in the towel on trading anybody and just chug along with a dumper fire of a staff? That's the solution? They can ignore obvious issues because hey, maybe they'll "get lucky," every year and make a playoff push. I mean once you're in "ya never know," right? He was a utility player his entire time in NY and the same in 2015 for the Twins. The number of seasons he spent as a bench player greatly outnumber the 1.5 seasons he has started. "Then trying to trade the remaining prospects (out of 4 SS and 4 MLB Top 100-potential arms) with them for "established, solid and cost-controlled pitchers" to bolster the current pitching depth." That sounds like attempting to dump the farm to me.... All the front end starters you would trade for fit the description of a rental. Yes I know, all prospects are created the same, they're all huge risks and lottery tickets. Also, all veteran players are safe investments, they can be counted on to perform at an expected level, and they're all immune to regression.

