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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    The Twins bought low in '17 when he was coming off an injury and again following his suspension in '19. I don't want to commit to more than 2 years or a high AAV either, but if Pineda avoids major injury this season I think the odds of having our cake and eating it too are slim. This might be his best chance to cash in during FA.
  2. KirbyDome89
    See, I'd say that's a selective way to view his tenure. Maeda was far and away their best success story, are we discounting that now?
  3. KirbyDome89
    If you account for the HR binge in '17 and use xFIP then the difference becomes marginal. His hard hit % bumped up in MN and never really came back down, as did his BABIP. Maybe you can explain some of the latter away with defense. To my original point, if we're arguing whether he was worse or simply the same, then there wasn't improvement, and that was a selling point of the trade. That meltdown was half of June and almost all of July. His last 15 starts were roughly average in total, which is why I said he reverted back to what we'd seen. Undoubtedly his best season, but then '20 happened. Do you think he was a better pitcher in MN?
  4. KirbyDome89
    "The cupboard was bare," is the response I'd expect to hear, and although there's some merit to it, I don't agree that it fully exonerates the FO. They're also responsible for "developing," or "fixing," some of the arms they've brought in. They've gone out and signed Lance Lynn, Martin Perez, Michael Pineda, Rich Hill, J.A. Happ, and Matt Shoemaker in FA. The trades for SP have been better, but that isn't exactly a high bar to clear. Odorizzi was actually worse in '18 with the Twins, he was lights out to start '19, and then reverted back to what we'd seen. We know the 2020 story. As well as Kenta pitched in 11 games last year he's been almost as bad this year. It's hard to look at any SP they've brought in and say that player has markedly improved. The bullpen has been a throw it at the wall and see what sticks approach from the get go. We're in year 5 and it isn't like internal options, inherited, or acquired via trade, are banging down the door. There's some success (Clippard, Rodney) but a lot more uninspiring additions.
  5. KirbyDome89
    Likely, yes. Do you think a .500 Twins team navigates August at a similar win rate? Even if they do, they still need to climb over the two current wild card teams which each have a record inverse of the Twins'. Do we hope the Sox just fall apart or stop winning games against a bad division? "Best option," is post the 50 game threshold.
  6. KirbyDome89
    The Twins get the Sox for the final 3 times in the upcoming 50 games, with NY and Houston sprinkled in. Those series likely decide their fate at the deadline. MN can go 5-10 against that trio, 25-10 against the rest, and still end up at .500. I can see the Twins going the second route if something similar happens but I think that's just doubling down on mistakes already made. A band aid isn't fixing the pitching woes, and the August schedule is brutal to boot. Selling the expiring deals seems like the best option.
  7. KirbyDome89
    Colome gets his first taste of high leverage work since imploding throughout all of April and he promptly gives up a walk off in 2 pitches. You can't make this stuff up. Just feed him middle innings in meaningless games and hope so poor team at the deadline decides he's worth a flier....
  8. KirbyDome89
    There's a 0% chance he doesn't test FA. If the Twins refuse to pay him then you're right, it's rebuild time. I'm holding onto a small hope that they can convince/pay him to stick around. Regardless, the Twins aren't getting an answer on whether he'd consider resigning at this time. Berrios isn't committing to anything when FA is 1.5 years away, so I'm opposed to the notion that if he won't sign long term prior to this trade deadline then he has to be dealt. Probably, but that's also an incredibly niche market no? You'd need a find a team that has the pitching talent and is willing to deal it. They'd also need to either be ok with Berrios walking or be willing to pay him. Lastly they'd need to view themselves as a true WS contender and in that "one piece away," mode. We're in agreement there. Something has to change regarding this FOs approach to pitching.
  9. KirbyDome89
    Berrios, hope Kenta bounces back, hope the FO is able to fill at least 2 rotation spots with something other than fliers and projects? I didn't say the outlook was roses but giving away Berrios all but guarantees a full on rebuild, not a reset for a year or two. Conversely, what's the pitching plan if he's moved? What team is giving up a front end prospect that's a year or two away from the majors for the opportunity to pay Berrios to be that guy? If Kenta bounces back this year or next we're likely having this same conversation about him; good pitcher on a bad team with 1.5 years left. We've seen the difficulty this organization has had filling a few back end spots each year, I don't want to imagine what the rotation will look like with 4 slots open. If we agree that the Twins are light on pitching prospects, how many eggs are we putting in that basket? Maybe it's selfish, but I'd rather not race towards a stretch of baseball like we watched in the mid 2010s. If they're going to tear things down to the studs and be terrible again, I'd rather the Twins at least take one more shot at putting a good team on the field for 2022 and hold a fire sale next July if necessary.
  10. KirbyDome89
    Dealing Berrios isn't punting on only one year and then kick starting the next Twins run for 2023 and beyond. I hope everybody advocating for a trade realizes that. Balazovic hasn't thrown a pitch above high A yet. Duran has 37 unimpressive innings at AA; I guess we'll see how AAA goes this year. Both are currently on the DL, which itself is another hurdle. Van already said it, the pitching pipeline in this organization isn't exactly about to burst. Expecting either of the prospects to replace Berrios or even jump into the lineup within the next 1.5 years and be effective at the major league level seems overly optimistic.
  11. KirbyDome89
    I definitely agree Berrios would bring back a better return, but wouldn't dealing him essentially be signaling the beginning of the rebuild neither of us think is necessary at this moment? The Twins would have to replace 4/5 of their starting rotation for next season, not to mention fill in the the talent gap left by Berrios' departure. I don't have much faith that this FO can adequately fill three spots for next year; losing Berrios would seemingly make that issue insurmountable.
  12. KirbyDome89
    Astudillo's last 14 ABs: .429/.429/.857 Astudillo's previous 50 ABs : .280/.275/.380 Even the 50 AB sample before his recent power surge is buoyed by a couple multi hit games to start the year. He spent the three weeks prior to this little streak slashing .220/.214/.293. I don't even see an average offensive player. The weak bat coupled with his inability to be even an average defender at whichever position the Twins deploy him is the reason for the criticism, and it's valid.
  13. KirbyDome89
    I'm not sure I'd include Berrios in the blame game. Kenta has been disappointing but his HR rate won't stay this high, and if the expectation was that he'd pitch at or near where he was last season then that's on the FO. I was in favor of the extensions Kepler, Polanco, and Sano received. The Kepler and Polanco deals looked phenomenal after their '19 breakouts. Neither one is a financial albatross and if development breaks right the Twins could have Kirilloff, Larnach, and Arraez to step in. Of the three I think Sano has the best chance to turn things around. If he's indeed going to be a worse version of Mark Reynolds then his contract will sting a bit but I can't fault the FO too much for these moves. They're misses, but I think their on field impact (hopefully) will be small. The FO has always used the dart throw/waiver wire approach with the pitching staff, and I've bitched about it for years. This season the Twins just don't have the offense, or the back end anchor(s) to hide it. It's year 5 of Falvey, and developing arms was his claim to fame when he came over. Where are they? I can't understand the Rocco angst. 14%? Really? Apart from purposeful sabotage, I don't know how he could negatively impact a game so much as to be responsible for such a large percentage of the losing. Yeah, I've disagreed with some substitutions, bullpen usage, and quibbled over lineups but these guys are all (allegedly) professionals and Rocco can only cook with the ingredients he's given.
  14. KirbyDome89
    In his last 16 games not counting tonight he has a .234 OBP and overall a .604 OPS. That's brutal....
  15. KirbyDome89
    Precisely
  16. KirbyDome89
    Kyle Garlick is 4 for 18 with 7 Ks in his last 7 games. It's fair to point out he might not even be a better option than Cave at this point....
  17. KirbyDome89
    So Rocco's presence had little to do with the last few seasons but it's a primary reason for the start to this season? Say it with me; scapegoat.
  18. KirbyDome89
    Colome was gifted that K to start the 8th as well. The guy just can't be anywhere near games that are close at this point. The Twins don't have the luxury of finding out whether he can regain some semblance of a major league pitcher.
  19. KirbyDome89
    15+ minutes of game time with zero contact...
  20. KirbyDome89
    I always look back fondly on those first 6 weeks or so when a good portion of TD was convinced Morrison was just off to a slow start.
  21. KirbyDome89
    I'm listening to the Cleveland broadcast and they're blaming Colome's early season performance on unearned runs... Lets make a deal.
  22. KirbyDome89
    The 2006 comps came up a lot in '18 when the Twins got off to a lackluster start. That '06 team had 2 pitchers performing at a Cy Young level and they went 37-15 through June and July. There really isn't anything about this 2021 version to suggest either is happening. I think the more realistic hope is that Chicago and Cleveland stall out around .500 and the Twins can capture the title with a win total in the high 80s/very low 90s a la 2003. That still requires MN to play at a 95ish win pace for the remainder of the season on top of getting some help. I realize these were some "not all hope is lost," scenarios but the fact that it's late April and the Twins might already need a May like '15 is pretty brutal.
  23. KirbyDome89
    I wish more people would realize this. I don't think those calling for Astudillo to be a primary catcher have any idea what type of clown show is bound to ensue.
  24. KirbyDome89
    Two line drive outs and a couple ground balls. I wouldn't give up on him just yet....
  25. KirbyDome89
    The visiting clubhouse is warmer...
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