Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

KirbyDome89

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,561

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. KirbyDome89
    I think I would feel too guilty taking your money if we placed a wager on a Twins vs. Yankees 22 game series... Since we're on probabilities; do you know what the percentage chance of the Twins being swept in three straight playoff series is? A lot less than 1%. They're either one of the unluckiest teams of all time or they weren't at the level of their playoff competition. I would agree with the latter. Nobody is making the point that a 3-19 record is impossible and that deviation to the mean (a TD favorite) couldn't happen, it just seems highly unlikely that in a game where a player/team can exert so much control physically on the outcome that a team like the Twins is just "unlucky," that often. I'm not sure why all these one game playoff comparisons are popping up. The one game wild card didn't even exist during those playoff years. They participated in play in games as a regular season tiebreak and those games aren't included in the 3-19 record.
  2. KirbyDome89
    On the flip side I've never liked the argument that the Twins were the victim of bad luck in the postseason. Since that last series win in 02' they're 3-19 in all other series. Those aren't those ridiculous one game wild card set ups either. I just can't subscribe to the idea that these were great teams but every year they just succumbed to bad luck once the calendar turned to October. That record speaks for itself. Even if the playoffs are a crap shoot as you've described then their odds would still be 50%. To say its just bad luck seems off the mark. I've never heard anybody say those weren't good teams, but when they consistently fail to get out of the divisional round (not to mention getting swept their last three appearances) it takes some of the luster away from those division crowns.
  3. KirbyDome89
    My thoughts exactly. The problem is I can see this as a realistic scenario....
  4. KirbyDome89
    I'm trying to find some way to blame Sano's weight for this.... I'll get back to you guys...
  5. KirbyDome89
    Careful....I hear warning points are assessed for this discussion....
  6. KirbyDome89
    Gotcha, the innings angle makes much more sense. Given Molitors bullpen usage I would say you have reason to worry. Honestly I would go with the "Pick em," group for reasons already stated; you have a revolving door available if usage or ineffective become issues.
  7. KirbyDome89
    "Would you rather see a guy like Jake Reed, Mason Melotakis, Trevor Hildenberger, Nick Burdi or (insert your favorite of the Twins 46 relief prospects here) getting abused in a mop-up role in the majors or pitching in the back end of the bullpen in the minors?" I'm not sure I understand where this argument is coming from. Is a a guarantee that any of the above options are destined to struggle through a sharp learning curve? I think not, but that is what seems to be implied and if that is the case, then wouldn't you rather have them take their lumps in a season like this?
  8. KirbyDome89
    ^^^^^ How about "What to make of the Twins offseason,"......Yuck
  9. KirbyDome89
    That Tim Stauffer comparison isn't helping to make sense of the Park DFA.... If one of the relievers is getting the boot i would rather see Boshers go and Tonkin stay.
  10. KirbyDome89
    Likely a better bet
  11. KirbyDome89
    Rosario is safe....Dantana too unfortunately....
  12. KirbyDome89
    There is a difference between falling to complete an important task and being an overall failure. I see the move to start the season with Dozier rather than acquire at least one future arm as a failure. That doesn't mean I think the new FO is in it's entirety a disaster.
  13. KirbyDome89
    I believe Einstein had a pretty famous quote about the definition of insanity. It seems very fitting in this situation...
  14. KirbyDome89
    "They'll be better because they have to be...." So tired of this defense for what was a poor offseason. Apparently at this point only losing 90-95 games is a step forward. A team that loses 103 games has more problems than just bad luck but if we wish hard enough and sign a couple guys to minor league deals it'll all just go away I guess....
  15. KirbyDome89
    99 it is then!
  16. KirbyDome89
    Gotcha, I was referring to above the average meaning "higher than." I agree, the more data points you have using the actual average the less impactful outliers (like the Twins staff...see what I did there) will be. Whether we call it .9 or .8 it rounds to 1 and thats terrible.
  17. KirbyDome89
    9/10 of a run above correct? I'm using the mean. League average was 4.18 and the Twins finished with a 5.08 team ERA.
  18. KirbyDome89
    Agreed, the D was horrendous and certainly didn't help. If only there was some way to fix these problems.....hmmmm
  19. KirbyDome89
    Compared to the league average, as a staff they were nearly a full run higher. I could have phrased that better. It doesn't change anything else in the post.
  20. KirbyDome89
    The pitching staff had the worst ERA in baseball by almost an entire run. Regression to even bottom third of the league isn't simple for this team. I wouldn't say that coming off a 103 loss season and remaining quiet during the offseason is an upswing. Also with a pitching staff this bad I think calling the rebuild complete is premature.
  21. KirbyDome89
    That has barely changed this offseason, yet they're on an upswing?
  22. KirbyDome89
    They went from winning 83 games to only 59...if they're moving in a direction right now its a backswing.
  23. KirbyDome89
    Are you saying you're fine with moving him in the last year of his deal for a Mejia type pticher?
  24. KirbyDome89
    Dozier is 29 so I don't think the age gap is really that relevant. In the same way that I don't think Dozier is as bad as that stretch from the end of 15' until the middle of 16', I also don't believe he is the player we saw at the end of last season. That isn't holding anything against him.
  25. KirbyDome89
    The only way this was absolutely the right decision is if Dozier repeats (or improves upon) the second half he had last year and the market for 2B suddenly booms. I'm not holding my breath waiting for either to happen.... It would be one thing if they were in talks with other teams at the moment, but if all they can do now is bank on the above criteria and sell us optimism about Dozier leading the Twins to a strong start, I can't see this as anything but disappointing.
×
×
  • Create New...