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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. It'll be tough to lose close to 100 games in the ALC. The division as a whole is objectively terrible.
  2. We saw Falvey do this with Kyle Farmer a few years ago. Idk if it's a hedge so much as an incredibly poor read on player value. That assumes Larnach was (is?) an actual trade candidate, because based on the mess that is the rest of this roster, he very well may have been in their plans the entire time.
  3. Yeah I'm not arguing that the Twins' trio is any good. I'm asking what teams are so flush with talent at probably the most desirable position in baseball, that they're willing to give away even a capable backup for literally nothing? I don't see that happening.
  4. What organizations are hoarding so much SS talent they'll be dumping usable players onto the waiver wire at the end of ST? I don't doubt some players will be available, but I'd be surprised if they're not also part of the Kreidler/Arcia/Gray echelon of talent.
  5. They'll have to cover 1,500 innings minimum. 100 mediocre innings might actually be more valuable depending on who is covering the 40 inning difference.
  6. What's the excuse for his lack of production in medium leverage?
  7. For Keaschall, I agree, for the rest of that crew, it is "make it or break it," at least as far as retaining the roles they'll have this season.
  8. Might be a case of the evil you know. Concur that to actually compete (which I don't think they had any real chance of doing) it was going to require a considerable jump in production from the supporting cast. For all the angst over the confusing construction and overall poor quality on the position player side (rightfully so) the pitching side, even prior to Pablo's injury was messy. The bullpen is just as bad as the infield situation IMO, and the quartet (Matthews, Festa, Abel, and Bradley) of SPs now filling in for Pablo + that last rotation spot are more wishcasting and hype than actual production.
  9. You can't have 3 guys, all of whom are unusable against RHs, in the same pen and expect to get away with it. It's the equivalent of trying to platoon your entire OF.
  10. Not a kinesiologist or orthopedic surgeon, but a clean MRI last September, i.e. no tear, doesn't mean forearm muscles struggling to carry a pitching load are unrelated to the current injury. This of course assumes the forearm wasn't at, or capable or performing near full strength.
  11. This team was destined to be bad with or without Pablo, but now the "consolation prize," for sucking just got thrashed. Btw, the "I'd love to get off this 'payroll' thing for a second and let's get halfway through the year, to the end of the year, and let's judge the success of this year on wins and losses, on whether we're playing meaningful baseball in September," thing still applies....
  12. Which is a problem when the three newcomers all posted an OPS at or near .800 vs RHs. Last year the bullpen could afford the luxury of carrying a modern day LOOGY in Coulombe. They could burn a RP to get 2 outs because they had at least 3 arms at the top end that they trusted to get through innings (sometimes more than one) without intervention. That top end security blanket is gone. Coulombe was also far better vs. RHs than Banda/Chafin/Rogers. SWR + one of Festa/Matthews/Abel/Bradley aren't going to sniff getting through a batting order for a third time. Ober is coming back from injury too.
  13. Buddy, the "any reliever who doesn't have elite stuff or metrics," part is the strawman.... Yep, minor league contract for a Major League bullpen that badly needs to raise the floor. We're not even talking about the roster spot here. This is about a team that decimated its own bullpen and attempted to patch things back together with an abundance of washed arms/waiver wire fodder. "Depth," and "no bad minor league deals," aren't really a defense when those guys make up over half the pen. Detroit let him walk last year.....
  14. Spare me the strawman here, this guy is on his 7th team since 2023.... If you want to play the results, i.e. champion the ERA of a RP with 30ish IPs, and ignore the process that screams unsustainable, don't let me stop you. Any moderately forward thinking FO likely cares about "how the cake is baked." The idea that there's no downside to packing these incredibly limited arms into a bullpen that already lacks quality is also false.
  15. He's Banda with half the SS. Terrible against RH hitters, walks way too many guys, and an ERA that significantly outperformed his FIP and xFIP. I wouldn't trust either of them anywhere near high leverage, but that's not how bullpens work over a 162 game season, and given the still awful state of this pen one or both may still find themselves thrust into leverage roles early and/or often.
  16. You have to be if you're trying to paint this move in any sort of positive light.
  17. This was all I was saying, plus I do believe his ability to stick at SS was in question (not at all uncommon) prior to the physical erosion.
  18. Yeah I agree I think the difference in physical impact is pretty minimal in the grand scheme. I was speaking to his ability to play the SS position. If I remember correctly, Lewis moving off SS was a topic being discussed at his peak athleticism. I know there were questions about his release and at one point he was struggling to pick the ball cleanly. Maybe the errors were SSS noise and the throwing has been resolved (although he did look clunky at times last year) but I have to assume multiple knee surgeries took a toll on those physical gifts you mentioned. His sprint and throwing data aren't all that impressive, granted it's not necessarily apples to apples if we're talking about ranging into the hole to make a play.
  19. Ninja'd by JD, but is SS not higher in the defensive hierarchy? Is it not far more common for guys to move off SS and into either of the other 2 positions than vice versa?
  20. Idk if Lewis was ever truly tracking to be a viable starting MLB SS. After 2 ACL surgeries + other lingering lower body soft tissue injuries it's not happening.
  21. Raya barely averaged more than 3 IP per appearance last season and he spent the 2nd half as a relief arm. It's not much of a transition.
  22. My pushback was directed at YOUR assertion that trading was Falvey's strong suit and the method you used to support that position. I think it's a mixed bag, and I said as much in my initial post (where good trades were acknowledged btw) when I went over what I'd consider difference making acquisitions year by year. Idk how much more cogency you need. I was clear about the issue I see with ignoring context and counting WAR on both sides of the ledger to declare a winner, and like clockwork, you highlighted exactly what I was talking about with the Pablo/Arraez swap. Go look at that list of swaps again, it's at best a push, so no, the Twins weren't getting the better player "in the majority of trades." You've gone from moving the goalposts to straight up fabricating arguments now.
  23. Honestly Idk if they've really improved the floor at all. Maybe at C but that's it. The entire bench sans Caratini is waiver wire fodder. They're praying for replacement level production at 1B, whether it's Wagaman/Clemens or Bell. Rogers doesn't move the needle enough in a pen that only had 1.5 ok arms prior to his signing. Brutal.
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