KirbyDome89
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Everything posted by KirbyDome89
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Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Right Field
KirbyDome89 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Who is calling for Wallner's outright release? He posted good offensive numbers in 2023 and 2024 for sure, but his combined PAs from those two seasons don't even equate to a full season starting in the OF. He spent 3 months in AAA during 2024 because he struggled out of the gate, and those struggles persisted for a while in the minors. Obviously he turned things around, but saying it took pitchers 2.5 season's to find any sort of weakness just isn't true. Why is 2025 more important? Idk if it actually is, but again we're talking about 500 PAs in '23/'24 vs. 400 PAs in '25. A 110 OPS+ isn't impressive for a guy whose calling card is power, and it's not good enough to hold down a DH role full time. Wallner is an objectively poor defender, and at 28 that isn't likely to change, so the bat needs to carry him. People freak out when Larnach enters the convo, but he was viewed (and I'd say rightfully so) as expendable on the current roster. Part of that is Wallner's presence, but the rest; age, poor defense, questionable bat for DH, being a LH hitter, top OF prospects at AAA, arb eligible, all apply to Wallner after this season. -
Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Right Field
KirbyDome89 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
What is the narrative? -
Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: Third Base
KirbyDome89 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Idk where this idea of Brooks Lee at 1B is coming from. He hasn't shown anything offensively to suggest (defense aside) he could even stick at SS let alone be viable at 1B or 3B.- 17 replies
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- royce lewis
- kody clemens
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Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: First Base
KirbyDome89 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Damned if ya do, damned if ya don't. Bell doesn't belong anywhere near 1B, Clemons & Wagaman don't belong on a major league roster...- 43 replies
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- kody clemens
- josh bell
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Minnesota Twins 2026 Position Analysis: First Base
KirbyDome89 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Keeping the run of ineptitude alive I suppose.- 43 replies
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- kody clemens
- josh bell
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Yeah I mean I'm not saying they're incapable of implosion, but we're talking about 1/3 of their schedule being against the bottom half of the AL.
- 41 replies
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- joe ryan
- pablo lopez
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It'll be tough to lose close to 100 games in the ALC. The division as a whole is objectively terrible.
- 41 replies
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- joe ryan
- pablo lopez
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We saw Falvey do this with Kyle Farmer a few years ago. Idk if it's a hedge so much as an incredibly poor read on player value. That assumes Larnach was (is?) an actual trade candidate, because based on the mess that is the rest of this roster, he very well may have been in their plans the entire time.
- 77 replies
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- austin martin
- james outman
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Yeah I'm not arguing that the Twins' trio is any good. I'm asking what teams are so flush with talent at probably the most desirable position in baseball, that they're willing to give away even a capable backup for literally nothing? I don't see that happening.
- 77 replies
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- austin martin
- james outman
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Ok, but what players, who are a clear upgrade, are getting pushed onto the waiver wire?
- 77 replies
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- austin martin
- james outman
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What organizations are hoarding so much SS talent they'll be dumping usable players onto the waiver wire at the end of ST? I don't doubt some players will be available, but I'd be surprised if they're not also part of the Kreidler/Arcia/Gray echelon of talent.
- 77 replies
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- austin martin
- james outman
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Might be a case of the evil you know. Concur that to actually compete (which I don't think they had any real chance of doing) it was going to require a considerable jump in production from the supporting cast. For all the angst over the confusing construction and overall poor quality on the position player side (rightfully so) the pitching side, even prior to Pablo's injury was messy. The bullpen is just as bad as the infield situation IMO, and the quartet (Matthews, Festa, Abel, and Bradley) of SPs now filling in for Pablo + that last rotation spot are more wishcasting and hype than actual production.
- 54 replies
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- pablo lopez
- pete maki
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You can't have 3 guys, all of whom are unusable against RHs, in the same pen and expect to get away with it. It's the equivalent of trying to platoon your entire OF.
- 24 replies
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- taylor rogers
- cole sands
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This team was destined to be bad with or without Pablo, but now the "consolation prize," for sucking just got thrashed. Btw, the "I'd love to get off this 'payroll' thing for a second and let's get halfway through the year, to the end of the year, and let's judge the success of this year on wins and losses, on whether we're playing meaningful baseball in September," thing still applies....
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Which is a problem when the three newcomers all posted an OPS at or near .800 vs RHs. Last year the bullpen could afford the luxury of carrying a modern day LOOGY in Coulombe. They could burn a RP to get 2 outs because they had at least 3 arms at the top end that they trusted to get through innings (sometimes more than one) without intervention. That top end security blanket is gone. Coulombe was also far better vs. RHs than Banda/Chafin/Rogers. SWR + one of Festa/Matthews/Abel/Bradley aren't going to sniff getting through a batting order for a third time. Ober is coming back from injury too.
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Buddy, the "any reliever who doesn't have elite stuff or metrics," part is the strawman.... Yep, minor league contract for a Major League bullpen that badly needs to raise the floor. We're not even talking about the roster spot here. This is about a team that decimated its own bullpen and attempted to patch things back together with an abundance of washed arms/waiver wire fodder. "Depth," and "no bad minor league deals," aren't really a defense when those guys make up over half the pen. Detroit let him walk last year.....
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Spare me the strawman here, this guy is on his 7th team since 2023.... If you want to play the results, i.e. champion the ERA of a RP with 30ish IPs, and ignore the process that screams unsustainable, don't let me stop you. Any moderately forward thinking FO likely cares about "how the cake is baked." The idea that there's no downside to packing these incredibly limited arms into a bullpen that already lacks quality is also false.
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He's Banda with half the SS. Terrible against RH hitters, walks way too many guys, and an ERA that significantly outperformed his FIP and xFIP. I wouldn't trust either of them anywhere near high leverage, but that's not how bullpens work over a 162 game season, and given the still awful state of this pen one or both may still find themselves thrust into leverage roles early and/or often.

