dxpavelka
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Everything posted by dxpavelka
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"For now, the Twins' farm system exists somewhere between potential and proof. The next wave of prospects will determine which side of those rankings ultimately proves correct." Pretty much the same as every farm system ever for every team. As far as the one that ranked them in the bottom third, I suppose 21st is technically in the bottom third but when five others have us at least 9 spots higher I have trouble being concerned with the first spot in the bottom third.
- 8 replies
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- walker jenkins
- connor prielipp
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Revisiting Twins Daily's Top-20 Prospects From 2022
dxpavelka replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Prospect rankings are a shot in the dark. Not unlike the draft. But they ARE fun.- 6 replies
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- austin martin
- royce lewis
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Ranking Minnesota’s Post-Hype Prospects
dxpavelka replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not really shocked by the "fallacy of the 'top prospect' or 'ranked prospect' status thing. Maybe because I've been watching baseball for over 50 years and could write an article longer than this one just naming names of such guys I've seen (or who never actually got to the point where most fans ever even got to SEE them) reaching such status over the years. Tyler Jay, BJ Garbe & Adam Johnson jump off the page but it's a big page and these would merely be a start.- 19 replies
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- royce lewis
- matt wallner
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Not like extending Lopez and / or Ryan would be dollars poorly spent. I keep hearing that the plan has to be to develop from within and spend on free agency to supplement when the window is deemed to be truly opened. Nice theory but flawed. 1: No one truly knows WHEN the window is / will open. 2: Keeping your own guys is likely more affordable than bringing in outside guys when the time "right." Forget not when we traded away the best starting pitcher we've developed in a generation and then spent a number of years blundering our need to find and identical replacement to allow us to compete.
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Trusting the Process or Testing the Depth
dxpavelka replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If we can compete, great. If not, this season is about seeing how many guys can get big league playing time just in case there is no season or a very short season in 2027 and we're not sitting here two years from now wondering what guys like Jenkins, Rodgriguez, Culpeper, Prielipp, Gonzalez and as many as a half dozen others might look like at the big league level.- 13 replies
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- pablo lopez
- david festa
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Report From The Fort: Joe Ryan's WBC On Pause
dxpavelka replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
the sky is falling the sky is falling -
Teams also used to not be afraid of letting pitchers pitch.
- 48 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- alex jackson
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Obviously it would be better to NOT lose Pablo but I'm all about young guys getting starts this year. Especially with the prospect of a lost, or significantly shortened 2027 season on the horizon. Same thing goes on the offensive side of things as well. I don't want to go into 2028 without having seen Lee get a shot at being a full-time player and guys like Jenkins, Rodriguez & Gonzalez all getting a couple hundred plate appearances at the big league level. I'd probably throw Culpeper and Hendry Mendez into that mix as well maybe to a slightly lesser degree. Would love to have clarity about how a minor league season would shake out in 2027 if a big league work stoppage were to happen.
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Six months ago there were two things the fan base was certain of: This team would not compete in 2026 and one or both of our top starters would be traded. Such a trade would almost certainly NOT bring a return ready to contribute in 2026. So, essentially, in terms of 2026, nothing has changed. We won't have one of our top two starters, as was expected six months ago, and we will have no 2026 return for him. The only significant change is that a couple of handfuls of highly touted kids will get a chance to pitch. Maybe the sky is not falling.
- 25 replies
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- pablo lopez
- brooks lee
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Why the Twins Shouldn't Replace Pablo Lopez
dxpavelka replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree 100%. Six months ago most of the fan base did NOT expect this team to compete in 2026. Most also expected Ryan and / or Lopez to be traded away for players who would NOT be part of the solution in 2026. So, basically, in terms of 2026, losing Lopez is the same as trading away Ryan or Lopez for future lottery tickets who would not have contributed in 2026 anyway. As mentioned in the article, we have a number of such lottery tickets already here. Is it any better to buy a ticket and win the lottery than it is to win with a ticket you already have in your back pocket. Of course a nice consolation prize for the fan base would be to extend Ryan sooner rather than wait for more debate on the matter.- 39 replies
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- pablo lopez
- mick abel
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The troubling part about Larnach is that not only have we not gotten the kind of production one would expect from someone with his credentials, we've never even gotten a glimpse of that kind of production.
- 40 replies
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- trevor larnach
- pablo lopez
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Since only 5% of the fan base has any belief that this can be anything other than a lost season ride Ryan, Ober, SWR, Taj, Zebby, Prielipp?, Morris, Rojas, Abel, Raya, Festa, (Soto, Hill, Quick) as far as they will take you and see who shakes out as viable MLB starters. No different than having traded Joe Ryan, a move that was most likely not going to return a major league ready starter anyway.
- 40 replies
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- trevor larnach
- pablo lopez
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Totally agree. At least give him a shot as a starter. Look back to the guy we just traded last year at the deadline. Started 80 out of 84 games on the farm. Was LIGHTS OUT in the big leagues as a closer. But always the nagging question of what might have been. If starting doesn't work always much easier to transition to the pen. Once you commit a guy's career to the pen it's tough to put the genie back in the bottle. Yes, I know, five people will give me examples of guys transitioning to starting. Rick Aguilera is one. Maybe one of the best examples. And he lasted one season as a starter with less than stellar results before going back to being a bell cow closer. Hell, 90% of the fan base is convinced this is a lost season anyway. Give the kid a chance.
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Report From The Fort: Five Spring Training Tells
dxpavelka replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
We're still at the point where it's difficult to draw meaningful conclusions from what we've seen thus far. But, YES, we are getting to that point. This is a big season for Lee. I don't expect him to stay at SS long term but hopefully we see enough to let Culpepper develop until he's ready and to think Lee can handle 3B or 2B with Lewis or Keashall shifting to 1B. Hendry Mendez forcing his way into the 1B mix can only be a good thing. All of his slash lines improved after being traded to the Twins organization last year which is encouraging. If his power numbers follow suit and he learns to play in the dirt he could make things very interesting.

