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Cap'n Piranha

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Everything posted by Cap'n Piranha

  1. Cap'n Piranha
    In truth? The Rockies/Padres/Phillies seriously competing for the WS in 2017-2021 with Kepler/Berrios/Polanco/Stewart et al prominently involved.
  2. Cap'n Piranha
    I have to quibble with the pennies on the dollar statement. You can't judge this trade now because the Rockies got Reyes and 3 lottery tickets. Castro started the year as the Blue Jays closer, at the age of 20. That didn't stick, but again, he's 20. Hoffman was the ninth overall pick just last year. Tinoco has a 2.76 FIP in A-ball this year. Additionally, I've never stated that people were advocating to fix every hole. I'm saying, what's the point of fixing any of the holes, as just fixing one won't make us a legitimate contender this year. Let's say we got Tulo--are you cool with playing a one-game playoff started by Phil Hughes? Let's say we got David Price--do you think our dumpster fire bullpen can hold a lead when it counts? Maybe we got a couple relievers to solidify the bullpen--do you trust our rickety lineup to score enough to get us the win? I think we could, but I'm not confident about it. I just don't get this idea that making the wild card game is something to be excited about. Do you think A's fans are fondly remembering their appearance in the wild card game last year? Saying making the wild card game is making the playoffs is like saying making the "First 4" game in Dayton is making the NCAA tournament.
  3. Cap'n Piranha
    Better? Sure. Good enough to make the playoffs? Maybe, maybe not. To be a legitimate threat to not only make the playoffs, but do something once they got there, the Twins would need another bat, a frontline starter, and at least 2 good relievers. The package of prospects it would have taken to do all that would have been immense--think Berrios, Kepler, Polanco, Stewart for sure, and probably at least one of Gibson/May/Sano/Buxton. That's way too much to give up.
  4. Cap'n Piranha
    Let's also not forget Stuart Turner, who is right in the midst of his traditional second half surge. He slashed .310/.405/.423 in June, and in 27 games since the AS break, he's at .278/.371/.389, with 13 walks to only 16 k's. The word on him was always strong defense, and he actually has his best career rate at throwing out opposing baserunners (24 of 58--41%).
  5. Cap'n Piranha
    But your point, or rather Judd's point that you agreed with, was that TR is wrong to say he would trade Ramos for Capps again, because it didn't work out, and he needs to learn from that. You're saying that TR should ignore any indicators on whether it would have worked or not, and simply accept that it didn't. I agree that you should never trade a top prospect for a reliever, and I'd be horrified if the Twins traded Kepler for Papelbon, or something like that. But it wouldn't be because one trade didn't work out in our favor 5 years ago. That kind of thinking means that the Twins shouldn't ever sign another player from Japan, because Nishi was such a disaster.
  6. Cap'n Piranha
    Again, do you have concrete proof that Terry Ryan has been watching Golden Girls re-runs while letting phone calls go to a full voicemail? If not, you can't with any authority say that TR has done nothing, this year or any other. Absence of proof (i.e., results) is not proof of absence. And sure, we've won 6 games against our wild card opponents. But we've also lost 4 against those teams. Furthermore, 2 of those wins against the Jays came in May, when we were on fire and they didn't have Tulo and Price. One was against the Angels when Santana shut them down, but we won't have him in the postseason. The other three were against Baltimore during our most recent hot streak when they were stone-cold (lost 5 of their past 7).
  7. Cap'n Piranha
    If the process says you should, then you should. As in, if Robinson slashes .300/.400/.500 against lefties, and Sano slashes .200/.225/.250 against lefties, you probably should keep PH'ing Robinson for Sano against lefties, even if he does strike out 10 times in a row.
  8. Cap'n Piranha
    Here's my two thoughts on this subject; 1--anyone saying TR did nothing at the trade deadline that wasn't embedded with him for the week or so prior to the deadline, needs to stop. How do you know he did nothing? Maybe he was all in on Tulo, but the Rockies insisted on Gibson/Berrios, Sano, and Kepler? We know San Diego did nothing because, reportedly, Preller thought they could still make the playoffs, so there was no chance to make a deal there without giving up too much. Sometimes the best trade is the one you don't make. 2--why are we so interested in the wild card game? Does anyone think this team can win 1 game against Houston/LAA/Toronto/Baltimore? If not, what's the point? Shouldn't the goal be to win the world series, not just play a couple games before being sent home? If so, this team is so far away from realistically winning the WS that they would have needed to give up so much to get there, the future would absolutely have been mortgaged.
  9. Cap'n Piranha
    Ok, but you can't just judge based purely on results when trying to determine if you should emulate a past action in the future. For example, if Capps had been lights out in 2010, and Ramos had flamed out and turned into a 4A player, would you say the Twins should always trade top 100 catching prospects for "proven" closers? If Shane Robinson pinch-hits for Miguel Sano in the 9th inning, and hits a go-ahead homer, should he always pinch-hit for Sano in the 9th? If the results aren't matching what your process says they should be, then go ahead and evaluate the process.
  10. Cap'n Piranha
    The Twins coaching staff seems to maniacally adhere to the 100 pitch limit for their own pitchers, while steadfastly refusing to consider other teams might do the same, and have the hitters take a few more pitches.
  11. Cap'n Piranha
    Oh goody, Blaine Boyer to face Tulo, Donaldson, and Bautista. What could possibly go wrong?
  12. Cap'n Piranha
    And that may as well be ballgame.
  13. Cap'n Piranha
    At current rates, Santana will be lucky to complete 6. Looks like we'll need at least 3 innings from our pen to get a win, and May has yet to pitch on back-to-back days...
  14. Cap'n Piranha
    That was the Twins-iest inning there ever was.
  15. Cap'n Piranha
    Miguel Sano took 18 walks in his first 100 plate appearances. Danny Santana has taken 24 walks in 693 career plate appearances.
  16. Cap'n Piranha
    a 4 pitch walk to Ben freakin' Revere? Dammit Ervin.
  17. Cap'n Piranha
    Who had money on the Twins hitting a dinger before the Jays?
  18. Cap'n Piranha
    Given our (lack of a) bullpen, I'm not happy Santana needed 27 pitches in that inning.
  19. Cap'n Piranha
    Because no city sells out like Chicago sells out. For awhile, the official name for Chicago's NFL team was...The Chicago Bears presented by Bank One.
  20. Cap'n Piranha
    Those numbers are pretty misleading. Take a look at what he's done away from PetCo--71.2 IP, 4.90 ERA, opposing batters are OPS'ing .816 off him (which is better than Tulowitzki when he's not at Coors), 9.42 k/9, 3.27 bb/9, and a 4.19 FIP. Then look at his trends this year--his k/9 has gone down every month, from 11.9 to 8. His bb/9 has gone up from 2.61, to 4. You also can't play the "take away x statistic game" without citing the other side. For example, take away his two starts where he gave up 0 ER, and he's been a 4.14 ERA pitcher in 20 starts. Finally, unless the Padres are taking back Nolasco AND another pitcher, he simply adds to our SP log jam next year, where two out of May/Berrios/Duffey can't start. Is he better than those guys? Probably, but not at a 21 million dollar price tag, which is what his contract is each of the next 3 years (which also makes his contract, assuming no Nolasco, a 3 year, 39M one, not 3 years, 33M). In short, I'll trade for Shields, but only if the Padres take back Nolasco, do not get Kepler/Stewart/Berrios/Polanco in return, and we get Norris and/or a reliever not named Benoit. In other words, if I were Twins GM, I wouldn't get him, because the Padres I'm sure would not take what I would offer, and I'd be a-ok with that.
  21. Cap'n Piranha
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=31g0YE61PLQ
  22. Cap'n Piranha
    After 3 straight appearances giving up a run (4 if you include the ASG), I sure hope Perkins is injured (albeit non-arm category). If not, we potentially have a much bigger problem.
  23. Cap'n Piranha
    If Jorge Polanco's bat appears to be major league ready, what does it say about Eduardo Escobar's bat that he has a better OPS in the bigs than Polanco does in AAA? I would also argue that consistent playing time is a necessity to determine if last year was a fluke for Esco. As for the defensive side of the ball, this is the first year that Esco's UZR has been negative--he has been a positive defender every year until now, which I think has a lot to do with sample size too. The Twins should not be trying to acquire a shortstop, but playing the guy they already have who is in all likelihood, league average at worst.
  24. Cap'n Piranha
    Very heartened to see the line from Kohl. IMO, he's the most important prospect for 2016; if he can re-establish his bona fides as a potential #1 or 2, our organizational pitching depth will be in extremely good shape.
  25. Cap'n Piranha
    O'Day also wouldn't have helped much against A-Rod yesterday. He definitely wouldn't have been in for homer 1. Homer 2 came in the seventh, when Milone had just given up his second hit, so no reason to pull him there. Homer 3 led off the ninth against your all-star closer, so no reason to have him in there either. Sometimes, the other guy just wins.
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