As usual, I'm late to the party, but after about ten views (and I wish I could see Hick's reaction more in the picture), I think it's a bad read estimate. From my view, he clearly thinks the ball is going to high off the wall, and stops for the deke (which in hindsight, was likely the wrong decision). The ball appears to be playable, but I would categorize this more in line with unfamiliarity with the park as far as warning track to wall distance in concerned. If I was to guess a bit, I think he tracked the ball to the first step of the warning track, viewed it as going to be high off the wall, and made a judgment call that turned out to be wrong in the moment (he stayed away from the wall far enough to play what he thought was the bounce, and I don't blame him for not knowing where Robinson was). While I would view it as an error/bad judgment/unfamiliarity, I wouldn't lump it in with some of his bad plays from last year. I would agree that he has struggled with the ball hit directly at him (but that's the hardest ball to catch in the outfield). File this one under a whoops, and I think he would agree he misread the ball. * I haven't looked at the wind levels or direction, nor did I spend too much time looking at the distance of the warning track to wall ratio difference of Fenway.