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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. Is this a serious comment? You don't understand why they signed a platinum glove winning, MVP candidate SS when they could? Sorry to break it to you, but Lewis is the one they'd have to find a position for. When Correa gets healthy they're going to put the platinum glove winning SS back at SS. If Lewis mashes they'll move him to 3B or LF or a super utility role.
  2. MN sports team doing well so we need to find something to question our faith to ensure we don't get our hopes too high.
  3. Good info! Thanks for sharing! Will be interested to see what he looks like for the couple months he has left before the draft. Been an interesting last year+ for him.
  4. It's an interesting situation, right? I certainly don't think that's a bad strategy. It's not the way I'd go as I want more "certainty" (there's no such thing in a draft, but relative certainty) with a top 10 pick. I'd rather take a supreme, up the middle positional talent at the top over an arm. I just think it's harder to find a Byron Buxton type later in the draft (Mike Trout being the obvious counterpoint there). I wouldn't be mad or call for Falvine's collective heads if they follow the strategy you laid out. It certainly has merits. I wouldn't predict it, though, as they believe it's easier to find successful arms outside the top of the draft (which I agree with) than it is to find difference making bats. I think they need to work on their process for picking which bats to take early, but I think the overall strategy is sound. Jackson Holliday is the kid I want (with a realistic chance of being around at #8) as of today. I just think that the plan is to not be in the top 10 again for years and a positional superstar is worth more than a pitching ace so I want to take my chance at an up-the-middle star when I'm this high. Now if there's nothing but corner bats available at 8 I change my strategy and a Lesko type becomes a possibility, but if there's a potential star SS, CF, or C available I'm taking them.
  5. It'd be an awfully impressive move to go from being drafted 10th overall to not signing because of physical concerns to not playing for a year (to my knowledge he still isn't playing anywhere, but maybe I missed a story on that) to being drafted 8th overall. I'd love Kumar in the second, but taking him 8th would be pretty frustrating.
  6. The only worry I have is how long they'll continue to mess with him as a SS option and how hard they'll push for him to be a power hitter. I worry they try to force him into the "superstar SS" mold and try to get him to be something he isn't for another couple years and then he's 25 and hasn't gone anywhere. I get why they think he can hit for power (he's hit some super impressive HRs over the last couple seasons) and they absolutely should try to get more out of him, but they need to quit with the SS nonsense and not try to get more power out of him for too long. A right handed Arraez with speed and a better glove is still a very useful player. To me the power thing is more about his mental approach. A lot like Miranda. Miranda struggled because he could hit everything so swung too much, but once he changed his strategy at the plate he went nuclear in the minors. I think Martin is the kind of guy you should have looking to lift and separate early in the count by having 1 pitch in 1 spot he's looking for and trying to launch on. If he doesn't get it and gets a strike on him dial the swing back a little and expand the selection he's looking for. Then with 2 strikes let him do his slap hitting thing and get on base. The question is how well he can adapt and adjust his swing from the power stroke to the base hit one. Also reminds me of Larnach who they tried turning into a pull happy power guy and got away from his natural left-center swing. He's back to using the whole field and looking good, but doesn't have a HR yet. He showed he can hit mammoth HRs last year and I think if he sits on a pitch early in the count it could lead to him hitting for power early in counts before adjusting to his left-center swing later in the count to maintain a high average. It's all part of developing, though. And it's never linear. And never easy. But I'm not worried about Martin's baseball ability at this point.
  7. Pretty bad game all around. Correa with an error. Miranda not a great showing defensively (one ball hit 99.6 and another at 107 was encouraging, though!). Celestino with a ball or 2 he probably should've caught. Correa's relay sailing a little on him and missing the out at the plate. Sanchez wearing one off the bat on what would've been a run scoring single. Bundy having 2 blowup innings. 5 DPs hit into. Was just one of those games. Flush it an move on. Don't need to fire Baldelli or start cutting people cuz of 1 game. It was just 1 game.
  8. I would be very surprised to see them DFA Bundy before the end of May. Especially with Gray still not back. He's definitely the guy I bump from the rotation when Gray comes back and Ober coming back maybe knocks him off the team entirely, but I'd think after his first 3 starts he's earned the chance to rebound in another start before Gray returns. He certainly wasn't good last night, but the defense didn't do him many favors either. As for the rotation come All Star break (injuries not withstanding) I'd guess it'd look like this: Ryan Gray Ober Paddack Archer No idea what they're going to do with innings limits for the young guys, but right now I'd guess Winder is not a rotation regular as they limit his innings throughout the year. Those are the 5 I think they're willing to give the most innings to so I'd guess they're the rotation regulars while Winder, et al fill in with spot starts.
  9. I thought they'd be around .500 before the season. 80-84ish wins probably. I'm now thinking 88-92 wins (went with 90+ in the survey to just put some positive vibes out there). I don't know that my faith in the team over 162 games is much higher than it was before the season, but the rest of the division getting off to such a horrid start is giving them an extra 5-10 wins on it's own I think. They have a stretch against KC and Det coming up that could provide all the extra wins on the season on it's own. Dominate the next month against some pretty bad looking teams and they should be in great position to make a run at 90+ wins.
  10. If Lewis is hitting over .300 with solid power still in June and there's a hole on the ML roster while the team is still contending I'd hope they bring him up. I think developing his glove at short should be a very high priority this year, but I think he can continue to work on that while playing LF (for example) with the Twins. Following Correa around and copying his routine for half the season would provide some development opportunities I'd think. So to me it's a question of how important the actual game reps are compared to the need on a contending Twins team. 1 start a week at SS in Minneapolis with 4 starts in LF a week and daily infield drills with a platinum glove winning SS seems like a decent enough situation for him to continue to develop while helping the Twins try to win a division. That's all assuming he continues to hit like he is.
  11. With Lewis' ability (he looked good in the AFL) to play CF I'd think he'd be the perfect player to keep around knowing Buxton is always 1 play away from a 2 month trip to the IL. If Lewis reaches his ceiling he's far better than an "above average 3B or a skilled outfielder." He's Ronald Acuna Jr who is a part time CFer, but has spent most of his career in a corner OF spot. Or Mookie Betts who plays RF. Now if you don't think he reaches his superstar ceiling then trading him could make some sense. But if you think he's going to reach his ceiling you don't even consider trading him until you can't pay him to stay.
  12. Fire Falvine they're the worst FO ever! Oops, wrong thread ? It's only been a month, but it's really nice to see so many prospects developing so well. This is how a team draws it up. Good major league team with a growing number of replacement options on the farm to step in when injuries or poor performance hit the big club. It's almost like there was a plan. I agree with the many people noting it's most likely a pitcher who's next up. I'd be absolutely shocked if they were willing to simply cut Sano loose so he'll be back at some point (sounds like he may have surgery?) and they'd let him see if the warm weather has him back to mashing before cutting him loose. Kirilloff is ahead of any other prospect so once he's healthy he'll be back. Garlick will get more chances to mash lefties. With those bats coming back at various times I'd expect it to be harder for a prospect bat to break through as I even expect Miranda to be the one sent out if/when one of those 3 is back during May. There are also a lot of non-prospect arms in line that could get shots before the prospect arms, but this FO seems much more comfortable cutting bullpen arms loose in short order than bats so I'd guess a prospect in the bullpen would be the next "big" prospect move. Maybe Canterino. I love him and wish he could stay a starter, but at this point I'd honestly look real hard at putting him in the pen for good. He's only 24 so there's plenty of time for him to establish himself as a starter, but with the Rice connection and him not having thrown many innings at all since 2019 (he threw 124.1 that year between college and his first pro ball stint) the injury concerns would have me looking at making him a weapon out of the bullpen. I'd love for him and Duran to both get shots at starting down the road, but I think they have the best stuff in the org and if they're going to compete the next couple years they may be the 2 best options for lights out relievers the Twins have. I'd certainly think hard about seeing what they can do together in the pen this year.
  13. I agree. I don't know if you were trying to disagree with my post or are just further emphasizing it.
  14. I did read the judge's findings then this crazy thing happened where I had a different opinion than you about what it all meant. I'm not suggesting Bauer is guilty. I haven't once in any post on here said he is. You are the one proclaiming his innocence. I haven't said I think he's guilty or innocent. I've repeatedly pointed out that comparing anything in the legal system to what MLB is doing is a fool's errand. They aren't the same thing. They aren't comparable things. I'm not desperately clinging to anything. I think Trevor Bauer comes off as a really crappy human being. I thought that well before I heard any accusations about sexual misconduct. Notice how I said "comes off as." I didn't say he is a crappy human being, I said he comes off as one. I've never met the guy and all I can go off of is how he chooses to conduct himself in public. I've seen the way he attacked a college girl over Twitter for days while encouraging his followers to also harass her because he didn't like her cheering for her favorite player. He's acted like a complete jerk in places that he knows thousands, if not millions, of people will see him acting that way. Now we have at least 3 women who say he acts like a complete jerk in private. I am able to take those pieces of information and add them to the fact that there are guilty people not charged with crimes every day in this country because a DA doesn't think they can convict with the evidence they have even thought they're 100% positive that the person committed a crime and come away with the reasonable idea that he may have done the things he's accused of. Notice how I used the word "may" there. He "may have" done these things. I don't know and you don't know. Yet you speak in certainties as if you were there. I say MLB knows far, far, far more than we do about the situation and they made a decision based on far more information than us. Now Bauer gets to appeal their decision and the situation will be independently arbitrated to decide if that suspension stays, is reduced, or is overturned completely. I have never, and will never, claim I know that Trevor Bauer is innocent or guilty of the things he's currently accused of based on the information we currently have. You can feel free to pronounce him innocent. That's your prerogative. I'm neither vengeful nor unreasonable in my stance. Your need to proclaim an answer 100% is on you, not me. We don't know either way. Baseball has a number of very highly paid attorneys I'm fairly certain they ran this by after it was investigated by some very highly paid investigators with some very impressive resumes. I think you stating that you know better than them is far more unreasonable than me saying I don't know what happened.
  15. That's awesome! With the crowds the Orioles draw you should have some space out there to move about and grab those homerun balls. Looks a cool stadium there and hopefully the Twins can provide a good show for you tonight!
  16. Every player to be suspended under this particular policy to this point has agreed to a certain number of games in return for giving up their right to appeal the penalty. Dyson's case may actually be MLB's best chance for getting the 324 to stick. Dyson agreed not to appeal in return for a shorter suspension. So it's not a 1:1 comparison between the suspensions that have been handed out previously and Bauer's since Bauer has already said he'll appeal his. There was no agreement on punishment reached in return for waiving his appeal rights. Civil and criminal investigations and legal process did not find "no misconduct on Bauer's part." The criminal investigation found they didn't have enough evidence to convince a jury beyond a reasonable doubt that Bauer was guilty so they didn't charge. That doesn't mean they don't have evidence of wrong doing or that they think he did nothing wrong. We will likely never know what evidence they have or what they actually think happened or if they think he's guilty. The civil proceedings found that there was no basis for a restraining order against Bauer. Again, not the same as criminal guilt. The judge did have strong statements on the evidence they heard, though. But that was not a criminal hearing and different evidence was presented for a different goal. I haven't seen anyone say Bauer isn't nice so shouldn't be treated fairly. I've seen a lot of people point out that no criminal charges is not the same as finding no misconduct. I've seen a lot of people put extra weight on the accusations of 3 women who don't know each other over 1 guy who has done himself no favors in the "believe I'm a good person" department. That's what this all comes down to. Does MLB believe Bauer or the 3 women? Not being nice doesn't mean you shouldn't be treated fairly, but it does hurt when the situation at hand is your word verse someone else's. That's all this is. Bauer's word vs the word of his accusers. MLB seems to feel that Bauer's word is not as believable as his accuser's.
  17. Miranda playing 3B and batting 6th tonight!
  18. I know they extended the time they could have more than 13 pitchers to the end of May basically (29th maybe?), but I'm not sure if that came with a rule that they could only carry 14. The normal rule is you have to have at least 13 hitters on the roster so that will be the rule after the end of May.
  19. The Twins currently have 14 pitchers and 12 hitters on their roster. I'd be beyond shocked if they send Miranda down when Gray comes back and go with 15 pitchers and 11 hitters. And the guys who got called up and never got an AB before being sent back down were not prospects expected to ever be a real part of the major league team. I thought they should've gotten them on the field during a lost season, but they're not comparable to Miranda and what the team is hoping/expecting out of him.
  20. I wouldn't be surprised by an Arraez/Miranda platoon at first with both of them as part of the DH rotation as well. Miranda mixed in at 3B as well for Urshella rest days. Don't see them moving any of those guys to the OF. Urshella is the slowest guy on the team and best defensive 3B so really wouldn't make any sense to put him in LF. They were pretty clear Arraez is done out there. Miranda hasn't played there since his 3 test games last year that didn't seem to go the way they'd hoped. Think those are the 3 CIFers while mixing in at DH as well depending on matchups.
  21. Washington Post, and subsequently MLB Trade Rumors where I came across it, reporting there's a 3rd woman who's brought allegations against Bauer who was also interviewed by MLB. He denies those as well. I have no idea what the truth is in any of these situations, but it sounds like MLB had a lot to go on before making their decision.
  22. MLB didn't have evidence until after the prosecutors declined to bring charges. That's why the investigation took so long. Bauer has smart lawyers and there's no way they'd let MLB interview their client or gain evidence that could be used to prosecute their client in the court of law. And, as I said in my original post, the legal standards are drastically higher than the standards of this policy. In cases of "he said, she said" like this the court of law is very hard to prosecute in. But it's just a matter of MLB believing her enough. If they lean just 51% her direction they can lay down the hammer. Criminal court and a company policy are just not very comparable things. Looks like you already got the rundown on the right to appeal being waived by individual players, not being a part of the policy in general.
  23. Tough situation. The legal system is based on a certain set of rules and there are certain standards they have to be able to meet to convict someone. Not charging him doesn't even mean they don't think he did it, it just means they didn't think they could prove he did it. These situations are so tough because it's almost completely "he said, she said" and there's very little proof to be provided unless you have someone blatantly admitting to something. The league has a much lower set of standards for punishing someone. It appears as if they did a very thorough investigation on this. You'd like to think them suspending him for 2 full seasons means they have a lot of evidence that makes them believe a large part of her claims are true. But with the kind of money that's involved in this there's always the question of the Dodgers going to the league and telling them they don't want the PR nightmare so just get him off their books and roster. Really tough situation all around. I can't believe that 324 games is going to hold up on appeal, though. Maybe it ends up being 162? But I don't feel like they have a great precedent for a suspension like this so find it hard to believe it'll hold at 324 after he appeals. Will be interesting to follow, though.
  24. Fangraphs shows Godoy as having options left. Are you suggesting they should get him off the 40-man to add someone or were you thinking he was out of options and that was the only choice they had in sending him down?
  25. Ober to 10 day and Gray activated to take Ober's spot in the rotation next time through?
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